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THE Heating Oil Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 09:07:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'I')t's called a pellet boiler fueled with wood pellets. Fuel is 30 to 50% cheaper. It's a big hit in Europe.


They have them here but they are all sold out right now and only preexisting customers have been assured that they will get pellets delivered.
The local logger has turned down 100 callers due to the high cost of fuel to deliver log length firewood any distance and high prices being paid by mills for the same grade of wood.
Vermonters not seeing any oilrigs in there back yard have been stocking up on wood from the June spike in oil prices. About half of the houses here have adaquate chimneys for wood heat and I expect that most of that 50000 homes will burn some wood this winter. Perhaps four cord each on average.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby aahala2 » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 11:14:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '
')


We will probably tap it this coming winter if Obama is elected.....Obama has already said he'd tap the strategic petroleum reserve to bring down gasoline prices. That suggests he'll tap the 10 days worth of home heating oil supplies to bring down home heating oil prices too. :)


If you're talking about the 2008-9 winter, I doubt it. Obama
would not take over till Jan 20, a good part of the winter is
over but an even larger portion of the fuel oil buying season
would be completed by that point.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 11:55:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '[')
The problem is that heating bills will drag the middle class, which is NOT eligible for emergency programs like this, down to the poverty line.


Thats a problem all right.

Perhaps the New ENgland states should make heating assistance available to all who need it, regardless of skin color or religous belief or ethnicity or income levels.

The $1200 energy emergency rebate check, just authorized here in Alaska for example, is going to go out to help every single citizen in the state. :)


Since New England doesn't have any oil fields how do you propose they raise the funds? Tax increase? Bonds?


Whoa--- you are starting with an erroneous assumption ---- in truth you don't know if New England has oil fields or not.

The democrats in Congress are blocking offshore exploration and the politicians in New England are also almost all resolutely against offshore oil exploration. So please don't claim "New England doesn't have any oil fields" when the fact of the matter is that New Englanders have never looked. :)


A big assumption? Maybe I should draw a picture. NO drilling rigs, no oil being pumped, no infrastructure for starters. Do they have oil deposits? Maybe, but that wasn't what I was referring to. And trust me, it isn't all about the democrats in New England.


Maybe I should draw a picture. New England may very well have offshore oil deposits. But New England won't have any drilling rigs and New England won't collect any taxes on oil production unless Congressional democrats (including a big block of democrats from solidly liberal New England) stop blocking oil exploration in offshore areas. It sounds a bit silly when people in New England whine about high oil costs and about not having oil deposits while simultaneously sending a solid block of politicians to Congress who have spent decades stopping all possibility of looking for oil deposits in areas offshore from New England. :roll:
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby MarkJ » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 12:09:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'I')t's called a pellet boiler fueled with wood pellets. Fuel is 30 to 50% cheaper. It's a big hit in Europe.



Here in the Northeast, the majority of our natural gas, propane and heating oil customer base have hydronic heat and also produce domestic hot water via a tankless boiler coil, aqua booster or indirect water heater. The adoption of pellet boilers, multi-fuel boilers and wood gasification boilers is growing, although at a very slow pace.

There are many efficient European Biomass Boilers and Feed Systems, but many are extremely expensive, and/or they're not imported into the U.S. The production scale of Biomass Boilers is also *extremely small* in comparison to gas/propane and oil fired boilers. Even the production scale of many pellet stove models is small, hence why certain brands and models sell out in a matter of weeks and/or why future shipments are purchased in advance.

Modern three pass horizontal oil fired boilers with outdoor reset controls and/or energy managers like Viessmann, Buderus, Biasi, Burnham MPO, Energy Kinetics System 2000 and others are so efficient that people don't mess with wood, pellets or coal. The same logic applies to the gas fired modulating condensing boiler market. The set-it-and-forget-it crowd doesn't like making trips ito the basement to mess with wood boilers, coal boilers, boimass boilers etc. The cost of piping, control strategies, venting and heat exchangers required to tie a biomass boiler into an existing gas/propane/oil fired hydronic system is also very expensive.

On the other hand, the adoption of pellet stoves and multi-fuel biomass stoves and fireplaces is incredible. Many of our heating oil, kerosene and propane customers have pellet stoves for supplemental and back-up heat . In some regions, it's uncommon to see a home *without* supplemental alternative heat whether its a stove, fireplace or boiler. Multi-fuel biomass stoves are an excellent solution for the set-it-and-forget-it crowd that still need to use their primary heating system.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby retiredguy » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 15:03:38

About 80% of my heat comes from wood. I heat my woodworking shop with an outdoor-fired, air-circulating stove (Lil House). My house is heated with a small Jotul stove that now sits where the fireplace used to be.

For some time, I have been interested in micro co-gen systems. You know, systems that produce electricity with a combustion source and then use the waste heat for residential heating.

The only micro co-gen systems I've been able to find use NG as the fuel. Does anyone here know of a system that works with wood?
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Homesteader » Tue 12 Aug 2008, 15:18:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '[')
The problem is that heating bills will drag the middle class, which is NOT eligible for emergency programs like this, down to the poverty line.


Thats a problem all right.

Perhaps the New ENgland states should make heating assistance available to all who need it, regardless of skin color or religous belief or ethnicity or income levels.

The $1200 energy emergency rebate check, just authorized here in Alaska for example, is going to go out to help every single citizen in the state. :)


Since New England doesn't have any oil fields how do you propose they raise the funds? Tax increase? Bonds?


Whoa--- you are starting with an erroneous assumption ---- in truth you don't know if New England has oil fields or not.

The democrats in Congress are blocking offshore exploration and the politicians in New England are also almost all resolutely against offshore oil exploration. So please don't claim "New England doesn't have any oil fields" when the fact of the matter is that New Englanders have never looked. :)


A big assumption? Maybe I should draw a picture. NO drilling rigs, no oil being pumped, no infrastructure for starters. Do they have oil deposits? Maybe, but that wasn't what I was referring to. And trust me, it isn't all about the democrats in New England.

Maybe I should draw a picture. New England may very well have offshore oil deposits. But New England won't have any drilling rigs and New England won't collect any taxes on oil production unless Congressional democrats (including a big block of democrats from solidly liberal New England) stop blocking oil exploration in offshore areas. It sounds a bit silly when people in New England whine about high oil costs and about not having oil deposits while simultaneously sending a solid block of politicians to Congress who have spent decades stopping all possibility of looking for oil deposits in areas offshore from New England. :roll:

Good, you conceded the point that New England doesn't have any oil fields. So where will the funds come from?

Maybe there would have been more progress on exploration if the New England politicians had acted more like your beloved republican senator:

Alaska Republican Faces Seven Count Indictment In Federal Corruption Probe

http://cbs11tv.com/national/ted.stevens ... 82698.html :lol:
"The era of procrastination, of half-measures, of soothing and baffling expedients, of delays, is coming to a close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences…"
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Beliefs are what people fall back on when the facts make them uncomfortable.
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WSJ: Ditching Oil, Converting to Gas (home heating)

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 00:43:32

Looks like all those Marcellus Shale drillers are gonna be busy.

More oil demand destruction, too.

--> WSJ <--
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Ditching Oil, Converting to Gas
By JEREMY SINGER-VINE
August 13, 2008; Page D1

Suzanne and Dave Francione figured they could reduce their heating bill by $1,300 this winter by switching from oil to natural gas, so they called the utility company and plumbers. That was in May. Today, the couple is still waiting on their conversion, which won't be done until September because of a growing backlog of other Northeasterners desperate to abandon costly heating oil.

"We were watching the price of oil escalate" and determined that the winter heating-oil bill would hit $3,000, says Mr. Francione, a Needham, Mass., investment banker. "That's when we decided to convert."

[...]

But despite the upfront costs and uncertain payback period, natural-gas utilities and plumbers are reporting a flood of interest from residents in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and the six-state New England region. About eight million homes in the U.S. rely on heating oil, and 6.2 million are located in the Northeast.

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 01:35:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Homesteader', ' ') Good, you conceded the point that New England doesn't have any oil fields. So where will the funds come from?


Not so. Its foolish to claim that New England doesn't have any oil fields, when no one has even looked for oil fields in the offshore areas.

It a simple fact that the New England states oppose exploring for oil in their offshore areas, and their congressional delegations are part of the democratic majority blocking offshore oil exploration. The Kennedy's, for instance, have also opposed any kind of offshore wind energy farms off New England.

The New England states may well have oil (or gas) in their offshore areas. You can pretend that possiblity doesn't exist, but nonetheless it does. Scientific drilling has already shown that there are methane hydrates off some of the east coast---it isn't unreasonable that other types of hydrocarbon deposits are there as well.

As far as the state funds for relief from high heating oil, its up to the various state legislatures. Based on past behavior, I would imagine they will do something like put a tax on home heating oil, which will be paid mainly by the middle class, and then use the tax proceeds to provide financial relief for the poor and other deserving people. :)
Last edited by Plantagenet on Wed 13 Aug 2008, 02:06:38, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WSJ: Ditching Oil, Converting to Gas (home heating)

Unread postby joeltrout » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 01:58:50

I agree the Marcellus Shale could be a major player in the Northeast heating situation.

That and the Rocky Mountain Express pipeline.

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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby cube » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 02:00:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '.')...If the government is going to pony up money it should be towards permanently lower heating bills: super-insulation, geothermal heat pumps, etc... So much of the residents' heating bills is for heat that just escapes out of highly inefficient houses built with cheap oil in mind. For a while yet it should still be practical to heat with oil if houses (like the one I'm in) didn't leak like swiss cheese.

not to sound mean but if your entire strategy for survival is to rely on the government to save your rear end from freezing I think that's the equivalent of committing financial suicide.
Remember Hurricane Katrina?
The first people to die-off will be the ones didn't cover their own rear because they thought Uncle Sam was going to send in the calvary in the 11th our to save the day.
//
I have a better idea....move to a smaller house.
I think in the future we're going to see people move back into 500 sq ft homes instead of living in the 2000 sq ft homes of today.
How did the colonists "afford" to heat their homes back in the old days?
Simple --> they lived in smaller houses. :roll:
Last edited by cube on Wed 13 Aug 2008, 02:12:39, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 02:05:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '.')...If the government is going to pony up money it should be towards permanently lower heating bills: super-insulation, geothermal heat pumps, etc... So much of the residents' heating bills is for heat that just escapes out of highly inefficient houses built with cheap oil in mind. For a while yet it should still be practical to heat with oil if houses (like the one I'm in) didn't leak like swiss cheese.

I have a better idea....move to a smaller house.
I think in the future we're going to see people move back into 500 sq ft homes instead of living in the 2000 sq ft homes of today.
How did the colonists "afford" to heat their homes back in the old days?
Simple --> they lived in smaller houses. :roll:


Some colonials lived in small houses, but some colonial houses are very large, with 5-10 or more fireplaces scattered throughout the house. Visit Providence or Bristol or Boston or Nantucket or Charleston, SC and similar historic places on the east coast and you'll see some splendid old huge houses dating from the Colonial era .
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby TheDude » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 02:42:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he New England states may well have oil (or gas) in their offshore areas. You can pretend that possiblity doesn't exist, but nonetheless it does.


MMS estimates 2.3 bbo for the entire Atlantic seaboard. It simply isn't very oil prone. Seismic exploration has been conducted for decades - you don't think an offshore field conveniently located to NJ or PA would be a welcome find? It just isn't in the cards.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')cientific drilling has already shown that there are methane hydrates off some of the east coast---it isn't unreasonable that other types of hydrocarbon deposits are there as well.


The circumstances for formation of clathrates and petroleum are wholly different.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 02:53:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he New England states may well have oil (or gas) in their offshore areas. You can pretend that possiblity doesn't exist, but nonetheless it does.


MMS estimates 2.3 bbo for the entire Atlantic seaboard. It simply isn't very oil prone. Seismic exploration has been conducted for decades - you don't think an offshore field conveniently located to NJ or PA would be a welcome find? It just isn't in the cards.


The MMS estimate is just an estimate. All estimates have uncertainties and "error limits." What are they? The MMS doesn't actually know that there is precisely 2.3 bb because they've also never really looked. There has never been a seismic survey, never been a lease sale, and nothing has been drilled.

But, OK, take the 2.3 billion barrel estimate as gospel. Where is it? Is it evenly distributed by state line or population? Nope...its going to be in local structures...and some of those structures and oil traps might be very well be offshore from NJ and/or PA and/or Long Island and/or Cape Cod and/or Maine....we really don't know because we never looked.

Do you know who Mathew Simmons is? The author of "Twilight in the Desert"....you might check out what he says about the offshore east coast. Simmons makes a persuasive case that we should at least do some seismic and take a LOOK at the oil potential there.....and we haven't as yet. :)
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby cube » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 03:00:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '.')..
Some colonials lived in small houses, but some colonial houses are very large, with 5-10 or more fireplaces scattered throughout the house. Visit Providence or Bristol or Boston or Nantucket or Charleston, SC and similar historic places on the east coast and you'll see some splendid old huge houses dating from the Colonial era .
not to sound offensive but....
Yeah I'm quite sure George Washington must of had a big house but certainly not J6P back in the 18th century.

I think there's a HUGE misconception that advanced technology has resulted in a high density living arrangement.
It must of been those cheesy Blade Runner / cyber-punk movies.
Or maybe people think of Japan as advanced and also densely populated so they kind of just lump the two together.
However in reality....
Technology has allowed us to live a "less dense" lifestyle thanks to advances in transportation (especially cars and freeways).
Just look at the average house size of today compared to back in the days.
Without question people live in bigger houses today.
but....
that's going to change in the future. :twisted:
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby mos6507 » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 03:01:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')Simmons makes a persuasive case that we should at least do some seismic and take a LOOK at the oil potential there.....and we haven't as yet. :)


MA is a pretty liberal state. I just don't see a lot of enthusiasm for turning it into an oil producer and fanning the flames of global warming even further. Then again, there is also rampant NIMBYism on renewables ("that's where I sail!" Kennedy vs. Cape Wind) so something's got to give. Maybe I shouldn't give this state so much credit. There are plenty of McMansions and SUVs here. Plenty talk the talk but don't walk the walk.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 03:08:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '
')I think there's a HUGE misconception that advanced technology has resulted in a high density living arrangement.


The automobile produced "Suburbia" in America. But America is not typical of the rest of the world.... modern technology has also played a role in the development of huge cities characterized by high density living arrangements in places around the world like Tokyo or New York City or Hong Kong or Mexico City or Cairo or New Delhi etc. etc.

These "mega-cities" of 10-20 million and more are a modern invention.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 03:20:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')Simmons makes a persuasive case that we should at least do some seismic and take a LOOK at the oil potential there.....and we haven't as yet. :)


MA is a pretty liberal state. I just don't see a lot of enthusiasm for turning it into an oil producer and fanning the flames of global warming even further. Then again, there is also rampant NIMBYism on renewables ("that's where I sail!" Kennedy vs. Cape Wind) so something's got to give. Maybe I shouldn't give this state so much credit. There are plenty of McMansions and SUVs here. Plenty talk the talk but don't walk the walk.


Good points, Mos.

I agree completely and I also respect Massachusett's decisions to block offshore oil drilling and wind power generation in offshore areas. Cape Cod is a beautiful area....I went biking on Nantucket last time I was in the area, and even crossed paths with one of the Kennedys in a waterfront restaurant (it was one of the Bobby's kids---the jerk was yelling at the poor staff in the restaurant because he didn't get served quickly enough).

I just think its disingenuous for the same people who oppose offshore oil drilling to then complain that Massachusetts doesn't have any offshore oil fields. I'm all in favor of Teddy Kennedy and his fellow rich yachties enjoying sailing, but its silly and dishonest to claim there isn't any potential for wind energy offshore from Massachusetts and silly and dishonest to claim there isn't any chance of oil fields being found offshore from Massachusetts. :)
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby mos6507 » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 03:44:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')silly and dishonest to claim there isn't any chance of oil fields being found offshore from Massachusetts. :)


Also remember that regions other than New England stand to suffer more from global warming, so it's particularly heinous to consider such a drill drill drill scenario. I'm sure there are some in New England who look at GW as just an opportunity to spend less on heating in the winter and won't give a crap that the southwest is drying up.

Yet wasn't it last year or the year before that Venezuela gave MA cheap oil for the winter? The status quo is NOT good.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heating prices

Unread postby TheDude » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 04:06:43

From the MMS: Atlantic Information

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')istorical Background

Ten oil and gas lease sales were held in the Atlantic between 1976 and 1983. Fifty-one (51) wells were drilled in the Atlantic OCS; five (5) Continental Offshore Stratigraphic Test (COST) wells between 1975 and 1979, and forty-six (46) industry wells between 1977 and 1984. Five wells offshore New Jersey had successful drillstem tests of natural gas and/or condensate and can be found in mid Atlantic wells. These five wells were abandoned as non-commercial. A summary document of the eight exploratory wells drilled in the North Atlantic is currently available. Reports on each of the eight exploratory and two COST wells drilled in the North Atlantic Planning Area are available and reports on ten of the thirty-four (34) wells drilled in the Mid Atlantic Planning Area available in this release.


I'm in favor of mandating more seismic surveys and test wells and increased production from OCS, but this notion of untapped riches off Cape Cod is just ignorant blather. Read the papers in the links for the MMS page above. It's been tried, and what little oil has turned up isn't economical to produce. The GOM is still the place to go.
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Re: NYT: New England’s own Katrina disaster - heat

Unread postby cube » Wed 13 Aug 2008, 07:17:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '
')I think there's a HUGE misconception that advanced technology has resulted in a high density living arrangement.


The automobile produced "Suburbia" in America. But America is not typical of the rest of the world.... modern technology has also played a role in the development of huge cities characterized by high density living arrangements in places around the world like Tokyo or New York City or Hong Kong or Mexico City or Cairo or New Delhi etc. etc.

These "mega-cities" of 10-20 million and more are a modern invention.
nope sorry
even with mega-cities, -->"density"<-- was still higher back in the old days.
I never said anything about population.
For example Manhattan was more densely packed in 1910 then today.
How is this possible?
Like I said before --> people lived in much smaller living arrangements back in the days.
If you really want to look at tight living spaces the average apartment unit in ancient Rome would make a modern day studio in New York city look like Texas ranch style living.
The idea that each person is "entitled" to at least 300 sq ft of living space is a 20th century concept. PO is going to change that.
//
The cube scenario:
Imagine a family of 5 living in a 500 sq ft apartment unit. :twisted:
or each person gets 100 sq ft
That's where we're headed folks.
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