by BigTex » Fri 18 Jul 2008, 15:01:12
I'll pile on a little here...
Oil is special. Natural gas is special. Coal is special. When they're cheap they are REALLY special.
The days of them being cheap, both in monetary terms as well as in net energy terms, are behind us.
The more expensive that fossil fuels get and the less net energy they deliver, the more of a chokehold our economic systems will feel.
Every recession of the past 35 years has been preceded by an oil price spike. In response to the recessions, oil prices collapsed every time, which set the stage for more economic growth. Once the peak of world production is reached, however, there is no reason to believe that there will be cheap oil on the other side of an economic downturn. If demand destruction doesn't outpace production decline, you might even see prices rising, even as people use less and less.
Thus, we may see our past cycles of economic growth in reverse--a short period of economic growth followed by several years of contraction. And what is bad is that this is the best case scenario under our current system.
