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How Long Do We Have?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby bodigami » Tue 08 Jul 2008, 01:43:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zeeea', 'I') really really want someone to prove me wrong lol :P

It would be impossible to prove you wrong, because only loons believe in Planet X/Nibiru - any legitimate source of information about the planets such as from NASA would immediately be discounted. Any authority offering an alternative explanation will be rejected. :cry:
In any case, here are some links:
http://www.universetoday.com/2008/05/25 ... -planet-x/
http://starchild.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/Sta ... tion4.html

Actually there has being an ongoing astronomical investigation of more planets farthest from pluto in our Solar System. However, astronomers decided (basically by voting), that now Pluto is too small for a planet and so also astral objects farthest from it are no "planetoids". Now we have less planets in our Solar System but some unknown "planetoids"... or something, this post is from memory.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby BigTex » Tue 08 Jul 2008, 09:15:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hogan', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zeeea', 'I') didnt quote you when i said that ...so what makes you think I was talking to you ...hit a nerve did i lol :P And im not here to answer your questions if you are so blatantly ignorant :P There are plenty of links around the place you can work from and go from there like I have ... now if you have something interesting or intelligent to say on this feel free but if you are only going to start name calling and getting all upset go somewhere else ...id prefer practical discussion with relevent information ...not just peoples opinions ...
Yeah, Zeeea. Lay off the insults and stop trying to stir up trouble. You are seriously beginning to sound like a troll. :x

What's funny is she called me "blatantly ignorant" and talked about me starting in with name calling. I never called her any names. I just asked some questions about this mysterious planet.
:)
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby mercurygirl » Tue 08 Jul 2008, 14:05:42

[smilie=new_tomato.gif]
It is pretty funny.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby leal » Tue 08 Jul 2008, 17:31:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', 'N')ext Tuesday.
Today?
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Ainan » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 05:01:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hogan', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ainan', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ainan', 'O')h i think we have plenty of time before TSHTF, a good 5-10 years at least. Of course if you factor in the 'credit crunch' issue, it could be next year. :8O:

Many people here on PO.com are getting on a bit and I think they want the 'collapse'. They have lived good lives and (quite rightly) want to see this horrible system we live in destroyed. It clouds their judgement.

Of course you could quite reasonibly argue the fact I'm in my early 20s with no physical preperations yet clouds my judgement.


Dude, oil is over 140 per barrel, the dollar is weakening, corporations are beginning massive layoffs, the prez is talking up expanding war in the Middle East, and millions of people are going to lose their homes. What kind of a dreamworld are you living in? I'm one of the less pure doomer types on this forum, and I'm getting the s****.


Oh sure, but thats in America, when TSHTF there it will give the rest of us a little more breathing room. I do understand this will have a massive impact on the rest of the world but we can probably get by.


Ainan, you're still fairly new around here, but you'll be assimilated into reality thinking soon enough. Notice how most of the long-time board members here are doomers (quite a few were actually cornucopians in the beginning)? It's because for years most of us have read, and read, and read all the fine posts here and the many good books about overshoot, die-off, and peak oil. We are no longer in denial. But many newer board members still are, because they are too scared to face the truth, and also because they can't see the big picture. The more you read, the more you will realize what is coming soon. And it isn't going to be pretty. It probably won't be the end of the world, but it will be the end of the world as we know it.


You are right of course and in the long term I see nothing but doom. Prehaps my judgement is clouded because I just moved to a new country, where everything is nicer, it's sunny and warm, beer is 70 euro cents a bottle. It seems like life here could go on forever, hmm think i'll go to a cafe later...
April 2008 Global Population: 6.8 billion
April 2010 Global Population: 7 billion
April 2012 Global Population: 7.2 billion
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby californydreamin » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 07:46:51

Economy is like a cactus that you stop watering today.

How long? A while. Doomed? Certainly. but we cannot see day to day and each day doesn't look any different from the day before.

You will prolly be more upset about the waiting time until you actually starve to death.
But you WILL starve to death. That is a given, it will take a few years.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 08:33:49

That's a good analogy, California, but remember that we're not talking about just the economy here. We're talking about all the bad stuff put together in a big greaseball.

Aldous Huxley wrote, "After many a summer dies the swan." The swan lives long and strong, but . . .
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby jlw61 » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 09:06:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zeeea', '
')
only a fool would disregard this without further investigation ...

...if you are so blatantly ignorant

...but if you are only going to start name calling...


I love irony. It's so much fun to watch.
When somebody makes a statement you don't understand, don't tell him he's crazy. Ask him what he means. -- Otto Harkaman, Space Viking
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby NoahsDove » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 19:38:28

I'm not much of a gloom and doomer, but if US/Israel decides to launch an air strike over Iran we may see a major world economic crisis and spike in crude oil. Otherwise, I would say that US/World economy will survive. We may have to quickly adopt to nuclear, wind and solar energy, but I don't think it's going to be that bad. We'll also see many electric and hybrid cars on the road; bullet trains rather than airplanes as US begins to look more like Europe.


We may never see the type of economic growth that was achieved during the 20th century but most of the developed countries will still do pretty well. I'm afraid it will be the third world that will take the brunt of a major economic hit, as it always does.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby cannedsalmon » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 20:11:04

Think positive:

Gas will never cost you more than what you are willing to pay.

AND

If you are richer than your neighbors and willing to pay more, you will ALWAYS have gas, so stop worrying.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 22:01:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cannedsalmon', 'T')hink positive:

Gas will never cost you more than what you are willing to pay.

AND

If you are richer than your neighbors and willing to pay more, you will ALWAYS have gas, so stop worrying.


Ever heard of rationing?
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby BigTex » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 22:42:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NoahsDove', 'I')'m not much of a gloom and doomer, but if US/Israel decides to launch an air strike over Iran we may see a major world economic crisis and spike in crude oil. Otherwise, I would say that US/World economy will survive. We may have to quickly adapt to nuclear, wind and solar energy, but I don't think it's going to be that bad. We'll also see many electric and hybrid cars on the road; bullet trains rather than airplanes as US begins to look more like Europe.

We may never see the type of economic growth that was achieved during the 20th century but most of the developed countries will still do pretty well. I'm afraid it will be the third world that will take the brunt of a major economic hit, as it always does.


Welcome to the site my friend.

Unfortunately, a lot of your vision of the future is wishful thinking.

Don't take my word for it, though, find out for yourself.

Start with "The Party's Over" by Richard Heinberg.

If you're feeling really saucy pick up a copy of "Overshoot" by William Catton.

Come back when you're done and let us know if you have revised any of your thinking about the future.
:)
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 13 Jul 2008, 22:56:06

What BigTex said.

The US will never "look like Europe." We had our chance to go that route, but we chose the stupid path we chose, and now we're stuck with an infinitude of cheap-fuel-dependent infrastructure and all those industries and institutions dedicated to serving it. We're essentially bankrupt and don't have the money to "look like Europe." No magic makeover is possible.
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"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Cashmere » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 00:21:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NoahsDove', 'I')'m not much of a gloom and doomer, but if US/Israel decides to launch an air strike over Iran we may see a major world economic crisis and spike in crude oil. Otherwise, I would say that US/World economy will survive. We may have to quickly adopt to nuclear, wind and solar energy, but I don't think it's going to be that bad. We'll also see many electric and hybrid cars on the road; bullet trains rather than airplanes as US begins to look more like Europe.


We may never see the type of economic growth that was achieved during the 20th century but most of the developed countries will still do pretty well. I'm afraid it will be the third world that will take the brunt of a major economic hit, as it always does.


No way.

First, let's agree on this -

If Iran is hit, there is no "may" about it - oil rockets up and the world economy goes into serious retreat.

As for the rest - read more.

Start by reading my sig regarding non-doomers

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|
V
Massive Human Dieoff <b>must</b> occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where <b>you</b> live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby lotrfan55345 » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 03:25:32

Don't worry, people will be watching TV and internetting until the lights go off for good. Or even after that.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Mominator » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 19:59:55

Speaking of watching TV. . . I read this whole thread a few days ago and 2012 kept sticking in my head. I'm feeling antsy. THEN, today I try turning on the TV and it's on the History channel and some special about TEOTWAWKI and all they do is reference 2012 over and over and over again and how many people and things predict 2012 to be. . .bad. I don't really put stock in such shows or notions, but it was weird and creepy and I am vulnerable. LOL
So, this number is burned into my brain now :(

Oh, and when DH got home he turned on the tv and IT WAS ON AGAIN.
~Laura

"If you weren't smart enough to plan ahead then Doom on you!" ~Dodo bird
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Lore » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 21:32:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mominator', 'S')peaking of watching TV. . . I read this whole thread a few days ago and 2012 kept sticking in my head. I'm feeling antsy. THEN, today I try turning on the TV and it's on the History channel and some special about TEOTWAWKI and all they do is reference 2012 over and over and over again and how many people and things predict 2012 to be. . .bad. I don't really put stock in such shows or notions, but it was weird and creepy and I am vulnerable. LOL
So, this number is burned into my brain now :(

Oh, and when DH got home he turned on the tv and IT WAS ON AGAIN.


Oh wow... freaky! 2012... right? My suggestion is start drinking heavily. When you wake up, the hangover should pretty much have replaced your worries about 2012.

The bottom line, is no one can really predict what is going to actually happen, other then it will. How long we have, is like trying to fathom, how long will I personally live, and how will I go.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Heineken » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 21:33:23

One thing's for sure: by 2012 there will be less oil. Less NG. Less coal. Less topsoil, less potable water, less glacial ice, less forested land, less fish and wildlife, less . . . anything useful. MORE population pressures. MORE heat, drought, flood, and other disaster.

LESS good stuff, MORE bad stuff.

Nothing can stop these trends, apparently. I am still waiting for ANY significant positive developments that are more than hype, propaganda, marketing ploys, or window dressing.
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Re: How Long Do We Have?

Unread postby Lore » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 22:01:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'O')ne thing's for sure: by 2012 there will be less oil. Less NG. Less coal. Less topsoil, less potable water, less glacial ice, less forested land, less fish and wildlife, less . . . anything useful. MORE population pressures. MORE heat, drought, flood, and other disaster.

LESS good stuff, MORE bad stuff.

Nothing can stop these trends, apparently. I am still waiting for ANY significant positive developments that are more than hype, propaganda, marketing ploys, or window dressing.


You are absolutely right, ole buddy. We just keep digging a deeper hole into the abyss .

Don't expect much in the way of positive developments from the next new US admin. Who ever it is will be spending most of their time trying to repair the last eight years while dealing with the overwhelming crises' to come.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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