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THE Gas Hoarding / Storage Thread (merged)

How to save energy through both societal and individual actions.

Unread postby Steve » Sat 14 Aug 2004, 03:05:09

Leanan reports in the news forum that heating oil pre-purchases are recommended in this article:$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')
CNN's Money section has a story on how to save money on energy:

http://money.cnn.com/2004/08/09/pf/saving/willis_tips/index.htm

One of their tips is to buy your heating oil now. Yup, even though prices are near record highs. I guess they aren't expecting the price to go down.
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Unread postby Steve » Sat 14 Aug 2004, 03:24:18

Federal Oil Hoarding
Here's an article about the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve and public policy from the conservative Cato Institute:

http://www.cato.org/dailys/06-02-04-2.html

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Clinton administration made a strategic blunder by disclosing just how much would be sold each day and when the sales would stop. To keep speculators off balance, neither the maximum daily amount to be sold nor the duration of sales should be disclosed. That is also the fatal flaw in the plan of New York's Democratic Sen. Charles Schumer, to release 1 million barrels of oil per day for 30-60 days. That is like playing poker with all your cards showing.
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Re: When will we see crude hoarding?

Unread postby rerere » Sun 15 Aug 2004, 10:23:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Anonymous', ' ')Does it not make sense for a crude oil supplier to withhold supplies (or simply build inventories) in the rational expectation of a higher sales price at a future date?


As I understand the state of the refined product - it has a shelf life without stablizers. Oil exists in an anerobic environment...once out of the ground it is subject to aerobic bacteria which can break it down.
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Unread postby Guest » Wed 25 Aug 2004, 08:22:17

What I find more likely is that some oil rich countries will just decide that they are going to keep the rest of the their oil for themselves. Maybe they won't stop exporting altogether but cut output by 50% say.

Obviously there is an overwhelming reason to do so.

I reckon the price hike that this would cause could offset the fact that they are selling less volume of oil.

In fact, I'm surprised nobody has thought of this already. Oh wait the Russian government is effectively taking over Yukos. Hmmm, the Russians don't have any scores to settle with the oil consuming world do they ? nah, we're safe on that one.
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Unread postby Iraq information minister » Mon 04 Oct 2004, 09:44:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Anonymous', '
')
In fact, I'm surprised nobody has thought of this already. Oh wait the Russian government is effectively taking over Yukos. Hmmm, the Russians don't have any scores to settle with the oil consuming world do they ? nah, we're safe on that one.


Absolutely not.
Putin love us. The russians are sensitive people and the forget easily.
And he will not want to pressure USA to sign kyoto no sir !
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Unread postby bignev » Tue 12 Oct 2004, 07:47:40

Isn't this what Chavez is doing in Venezuela and giving Bush a big reason for going after him?
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China to build four major oil reserve bases

Unread postby SlipperySlope » Tue 12 Oct 2004, 13:21:41

It appears the Chinese want a reasonable sized petroleum reserve. This could be hoarding in advance of their rapidly growing demand.

http://english.people.com.cn/200410/10/eng20041010_159641.html
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Hoarding

Unread postby Barney » Wed 13 Oct 2004, 09:08:53

I'd rather hoard oil then dollars. And, I'm sure all the oil producers are afraid of the consumer countries fire power, especially the US. But, how long is it going to take to even get 2mb/day from Iraq? There has to be a limit to how many pipelines the US can guard. Is the US even winning in Iraq? Maybe the idea of invasion to obtain oil is not that easy to do, even with all of the fire power. Or, will it be a replay of the Romans and the Sabines? [smilie=XXking.gif]
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When will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil?

Unread postby Scooter_Rider » Sat 19 Feb 2005, 05:48:23

At what point will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil for themselves, and stop most oil exports? Well, anyone?
Last edited by Ferretlover on Sun 08 Mar 2009, 18:54:54, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merged with THE Gas Hoarding / Storage Thread.
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Re: When will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil?

Unread postby eric_b » Sat 19 Feb 2005, 07:17:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Scooter_Rider', 'A')t what point will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil for themselves, and stop most oil exports? Well, anyone?


My guess is not for some time yet.

Considering that a) the price of oil will likely skyrocket as we
pass peak (it becomes very profitable if you can export it), and
b) most of these countries don't have large populations, they
will continue to sell oil until it's nearly all gone, IMO.

And then there's the fact 'pressure' may be put on these countries
to continue to sell their oil, even past the point where they
may be hesitant to do so.

'Fill up the tanker, or we drop the bomb' 8O

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Re: When will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil?

Unread postby JayHMorrison » Sat 19 Feb 2005, 08:29:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Scooter_Rider', 'A')t what point will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil for themselves, and stop most oil exports? Well, anyone?


The oil/gasoline market is very tough to "hoard". An example of this is in OPEC countries that have artifically low gasoline prices. In Iran for example. The price of gasoline is rediculously cheap by law. But the gasoline dealers typically smuggle the gasoline out on the black market to other countries because the outside market pays a higher price. As a result, there are periods of time in Iran with gasoline shortages for the citizens.

If a country starts to "hoard" oil/gasoline then the price would skyrocket even more and make smuggling/black market sales even more profitable.
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Unread postby azur » Sat 19 Feb 2005, 12:55:46

It will vary from country to country as internal demand exceeds internal production. For Russia, for example, the following link indicates around 2010 as the tipping point. For others, it will come sooner.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he low energy effectiveness of the Russian economy may lead to a situation where Russia will be forced to stop all exports of energy sources such as oil and gas as early as 2010, Igor Bashmakov, the executive director of the Russian Center for Energy Efficiency, said on Tuesday, Dec. 7.


http://www.mosnews.com/money/2004/12/07 ... ency.shtml
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Re: When will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil?

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Thu 24 Feb 2005, 02:53:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Scooter_Rider', 'A')t what point will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil for themselves, and stop most oil exports? Well, anyone?

They may not exactly "hoard" but they may insist that energy intensive industries locate in their countries, creating local jobs and business.

This goes against the philosophy of "free trade and "globalization" which seems to be promoted mainly by the consuming countries.
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Re: When will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil?

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Thu 24 Feb 2005, 02:56:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Scooter_Rider', 'A')t what point will oil exporting countries start hoarding oil for themselves, and stop most oil exports? Well, anyone?

They may not exactly "hoard" but they may insist that energy using industries locate in their countries, creating local jobs and business.

This goes against the philosophy of "free trade" and "globalization" which seems to be promoted mainly by the consuming countries.
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Unread postby Doly » Thu 24 Feb 2005, 08:02:10

I think it will be different for OPEC and non-OPEC countries.

In non-OPEC countries, it's going to happen very soon. In OPEC countries, it will take a bit longer.

Free trade doesn't mean that countries aren't allowed to use all their resources for internal consumption. They actually do. Do the States export any oil?
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Hoarders

Unread postby JohnDenver » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 22:57:25

Personally, I think hoarders are the scum of the earth. If a hard energy crunch hits, we'll all have to move to a wartime footing, and the sacrifices will have to be shared. We will all have to work together in the national interest, and hoarders will need to be socially and criminally sanctioned.

Back in the seventies oil crisis, John Denver (the folk singer) had some private gasoline tanks installed at his posh home in the mountains. He thought he was above ordinary people, and he got flamed royale when the story leaked out. And that's as it should be. Hoarders and profiteers make life more difficult for everybody and sap the strength of the nation during war time.
Last edited by Ferretlover on Sun 08 Mar 2009, 18:37:28, edited 2 times in total.
Reason: Merged with THE Gas Hoarding / Storage Thread.
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Unread postby DomusAlbion » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 22:59:59

So is investing in one's future hoarding?

If I choose to buy a 2 year supply of food for my family and then use that food for my family does that make me the scum of the earth or someone who is prudent?
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Unread postby Trab » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 23:04:16

Hoarding is human nature, unfortunately. The elites will hoard and get away with it, as always. It will be the common hoarders who will be in trouble.

Speaking of which, anyone looking for future employment can look at careers in areas such as police, security, or military/paramilitary. If TSHTF, there will be a major demand for all of these areas. 8)
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Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 23:05:03

Quit eyein my stash hippie!

[smilie=qleft5.gif]
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Unread postby Lehyina » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 23:05:28

Noah would have to take the prize for being the ultimate hoarder but God smiled on him as he climbed into the ark.
Last edited by Lehyina on Fri 04 Mar 2005, 23:06:37, edited 1 time in total.
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