by DantesPeak » Wed 19 Mar 2008, 21:50:52
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('therealtruth', 'I') wasn't predicting the day to day moves of the market! I'm saying that in the immediate short-term, oil prices are coming down. As you can see, the funds are liquidating. I said this 2 days ago!! I'm telling everyone to stay out of crude oil because the fundamentals in reality isn't strong enought to justify $100 crude, maybe $80 but definitely not $100. Even when you factor in the devaluation of the dollar and the potential risks still out there that might not have been factored into the price, anything above $80 is excessive!
What exactly are the fundamentals here?
How about a worldwide diesel shortage, which will be alleviated only the arrival of Spring.
The only way to get more diesel is to refine it, and world inventories of oil are running down - despite generally adequate supplies in the US.
But if you really wanted to look at fundamentals - what kind of oil exactly is in those inventories, even in the US?
There are no commercial reports on the quality of oil in private hands.