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THE Bear Stearns Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:37:40

pup,

The Fed totally realizes the minimal true value of these assets. I believe the sale price for Bear Strearns is indicitive of the true value of all the banks if they were forced to mark-to-market these derivitives. That's why they don't want these assets to hit the market, because it would price them and force the banks to mark-to-market and suffer fatal writedowns.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Ferretlover » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 17:05:54

B of A bought Countrywide.
JPMorgan buys Bear Stesrns.
Who's left who can afford to buyout anyone?
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Ayoob » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 17:23:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ferretlover', 'B') of A bought Countrywide.
JPMorgan buys Bear Stesrns.
Who's left who can afford to buyout anyone?


JPM couldn't afford to buy B/S. The "merger" was backed by the Federal Reserve.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 17:50:42

Quote: "In effect, the Fed has taken on the risk that these assets might be less valuable than anyone currently realizes."

That's been the name of the game all along, in spite of what self professed economic conservatives may tell you--as Noam Chomsky pointed out long ago, they "socialize the risks, and privatize the profits."

emersonb, that's quite a chart. I noticed that Citi bank is right behind them with $34 trillion in derivatives. Oddly, BearStearns didn't even make the chart!

With Lehmann Bro.s collapsing before us, it looks like it's the Citibanks and the JP Morgans that will be deemed too big to fail.

And I thought hundred of billions was a lot of cash. This is looking like it could be a collapse of hundreds of TRILLIONS of ("notional"?) dollars. Isn't world annual GDP only in the tens of trillions? (Yikes, did I just say
"only tens of trillions'?!)
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 18:49:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Fed totally realizes the minimal true value of these assets


I am not sure anyone, even the Fed, knows the true value of these so-called assets. However, I think they made the estimation that at some price, namely essentially free (the $268MM is probably the real estate value of BSC) JPM could be induced to do the deal.

JPM will do the public service of sorting through all of the garbage offline from congressional or other scrutiny, and at some point life will go on. The feds put up a line of credit (bailout money) just in case JPM finds something they don't like.

Do not be surprised if this happens again with other fine institutions.

You are quite right, though, echoing Mr. Bill's comments of some time ago: This appears to be like Japan 1990 where no one wants to mark their assets to market, that is, no one wants to admit the truth, and the Fed and SEC may be perfectly willing to let it go on indefinitely to save their skins.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby americandream » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 18:57:43

The Dow's being manipulated....the GBP/Yen which shadows the Dow shows no desire to replicate the Dow's retracement.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 20:02:21

The Bear takedown was orchestrated for a JP Morgan consolidation. Lehman getting sold off is just fear and speculation. It will recover in tomorrow's rally when their earnings are released.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 20:14:15

The failure of Citi will be the climax of this thing.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Ferretlover » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 21:52:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'J')PM couldn't afford to buy B/S. The "merger" was backed by the Federal Reserve.


Oh. I heard several times today that JPM was the only group who had the funds to do this deal.
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Live at the Bear Stearns collapse

Unread postby xerces » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 22:44:28

This is kind of messed up, but I heard from a college buddy of mine who now works as a broker with JP Morgan. We were talking earlier tonight about the Bear Stearns collapse, and he mentioned that large numbers of BS employees were asked today to pack up their belongings and leave the building. Of course, he also mentioned that the Bear Stearns people were incompetent cl*ster f**Ks who got what they deserved.

This is a massacre out there, 50% of all Bear employees were given the slip today, potentially 90% to 100% of all Bear employees will be laid off.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 22:46:53

<i>I am not sure anyone, even the Fed, knows the true value of these so-called assets.</i>

Give me a break. I know what their value is and so do you.

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Re: Live at the Bear Stearns collapse

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 23:27:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('xerces', 'T')his is kind of messed up, but I heard from a college buddy of mine who now works as a broker with JP Morgan. We were talking earlier tonight about the Bear Stearns collapse, and he mentioned that large numbers of BS employees were asked today to pack up their belongings and leave the building. Of course, he also mentioned that the Bear Stearns people were incompetent cl*ster f**Ks who got what they deserved.

This is a massacre out there, 50% of all Bear employees were given the slip today, potentially 90% to 100% of all Bear employees will be laid off.

They wont lay them all off. People that know Bear's infrastructure for example are too valuble and it would take years to replace them. Anyway there's a lot of people in the investment banks that think they are brighter than they really are your friend sounds like one of them. Bear was a respectable outfit, it just happened to be vulnerable to a bank run and was taken out behind the scenes by a financial mafia which most people are too dumb to know about. I would say it's more like Bear got taken at 5-10 bucks a share because JPMC is going to have to cough up some serious legal money to pay all the pissed off people. Anyhow there were no doubt plenty of good people that worked there. A few bad apples don't make for a bad apple tree.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Tue 18 Mar 2008, 02:48:45

The whole thing is incredible.

I have friends who went to the HQ of Bear Stearns back in October in order to learn about the business from the "experts". I even do my philosophy problem sets with a pen from that company. I guess I should hang on to it, in a year it will be a collector's item. :lol:

When Bear Stearns went public in 1985, the company's shares sold for $6 per share. They are currently trading for around $4.

It's sad, in a way.

On the other hand, that's exactly what those greedy bastards deserve. They gambled, they lost, screw'em. I hope the executives get sued in bankruptcy court and forced to return their excessive bonuses. :evil:

Don't get me wrong, I'm no socialist. But if your company loses 16 billion in a year (and subsequently collapses under your watch), you shouldn't be entitled to a multi million dollar bonus and I'll bet the shareholders would agree.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby pup55 » Tue 18 Mar 2008, 08:41:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he failure of Citi will be the climax of this thing.


I think it will be much more interesting to watch GE.

GE financials

30% of their revenues are from their financial services division, and they have borrowed $500B (half a trillion dollars) for this activity.

The way it works is: they buy and lease back buildings, equipment, and other things to businesses that want to avoid paying for things up front. They finance the whole thing by borrowing money in the bond market.

If the cash flow from this dries up, they are going to have a lot of problems.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Starvid » Tue 18 Mar 2008, 09:29:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'I')f you owned Bear Stearns, or your investments were managed by them, you woke up this morning to find you've lost everything.(and of course, if you worked there, you don't.)

Don't you have bank guarantees in the US? So that in the event of bankruptcy, the State guarantees you will have your savings back, up to a certain amount. About $40 000 here.

PS. It seems you have. FDIC.
Last edited by Starvid on Tue 18 Mar 2008, 10:40:01, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Magus » Tue 18 Mar 2008, 09:53:07

So...anyone care to predict when they will start jumping out of the windows...? :twisted:
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby benzoil » Tue 18 Mar 2008, 10:03:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Magus', 'S')o...anyone care to predict when they will start jumping out of the windows...? :twisted:


First, they'd have to find a building with windows that actually open. :-D
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby dinopello » Tue 18 Mar 2008, 11:56:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pup55', '
')I think it will be much more interesting to watch GE.

GE financials

30% of their revenues are from their financial services division, and they have borrowed $500B (half a trillion dollars) for this activity.


There is nothing that GE isn't into, they are 5 times the market cap of BSC at their peak. Although GE sold off a part of their financials in 2004-2006, they still have a lot as you point out. They have a 6 Billion dollar target for financing renewable energy projects alone. I'm heavy into GE so I've got my fingers crossed.

Meanwhile, BSC is trading over $6 today despite the knowledge that JPMorgan will be acquiring them at $2 a share.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby dinopello » Mon 24 Mar 2008, 12:32:35

Damn, I'm good! :wink:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'I') thought $10 a share was possible


JPMorgan Chase Increases Acquisition Price of Bear Stearns to $10 Per Share From $2 Per Share
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 24 Mar 2008, 12:55:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', '[')url=http://www.peakoil.com/post619568.html#619568]Damn, I'm good![/url] :wink:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'I') thought $10 a share was possible


JPMorgan Chase Increases Acquisition Price of Bear Stearns to $10 Per Share From $2 Per Share


And to think, you could have bought in at $2 a share a week ago, made a fortune, and retired to sunny Cabo San Lucas...

It sucks being right and then not listening to your own advice. 8)
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