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THE Bear Stearns Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby benzoil » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 13:15:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'C')NBC is showing Bear Stearns employees leaving the building with their personal belongings in boxes. Looks just like a repeat of Enron.


Wow. Of course, if I had CNBC at work today, I'd be getting NOTHING done. The revolution might not be televised, but the financial collapse preceding it sure is.

Got popcorn?
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 13:28:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')o you have stocks in BSC, pup55?


I do have a mutual fund in which this was one of the holdings. It is much less than 1% of the total in that fund.

So this gives me the right to bitch, but not as much of the pain.

I also have JPM and Citigroup in the same fund, so I am on both sides of the transaction.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby SteinarN » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 13:37:22

Hmmm, I'm not sure banks are the right stuff to be holding stocks or funds in these days.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby dinopello » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 13:47:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SteinarN', 'H')mmm, I'm not sure banks are the right stuff to be holding stocks or funds in these days.


I think it matters which banks....

Certain banks are going to own everything at the end of this and have paid practically nothing for it.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby SteinarN » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 13:54:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SteinarN', 'H')mmm, I'm not sure banks are the right stuff to be holding stocks or funds in these days.


I think it matters which banks....

Certain banks are going to own everything at the end of this and have paid practically nothing for it.


You are probably into something there. At least if fed take care of all the toxic waste from the failing banks. Better not to have stocks in fed then. :-D
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 13:59:29

Lehman Brothers now down 33%. In 2 1/2 hrs they have lost a third of their value. Just like Bear Stearns on Friday. So now they need someone to 'aquire' Lehman, or TSHTF.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby heroineworshipper » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 14:16:18

Investment food chain:

1) Capitalists
2) Bankers
3) Bond owners
4) Preferred stock owners
5) Regular stock owners
6) Workers

Savers always lose & once again, they did.
People first, then things, then dollars.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 14:20:35

Yahoo News

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')We've been contacted by large individual investors and institutional investors," said Jeffrey Nobel, a partner at class-action law firm Schatz Nobel Izard. "Suffice to say, we are certainly looking very carefully at it."



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')"You have investors who are upset because they feel as though the company was not truthful in reporting its financial condition," Nobel said.

Other suits may be brought by Bear employees who hold company shares that are now virtually worthless, lawyers said


In my case, this is a "diversified" mutual fund with holdings in various industries, so although some of the banks are being beaten up, other components of this fund are ostensibly supposed to balance it off.

But this particular fund was supposed to be "conservative", which shows, I guess, the vulnerability of the system at the moment.

Meantime, whenever a lot of money changes hands, there are sure to be lawyers involved.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby dinopello » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 14:43:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('heroineworshipper', 'I')nvestment food chain:

1) Capitalists
2) Bankers
3) Bond owners
4) Preferred stock owners
5) Regular stock owners
6) Workers

Savers always lose & once again, they did.


And, at every level of the chain are the blood-sucking lawyers !

God, I love saying that. Especially to my lawyer friends. They just chuckle. Sick, isn't it ?

What does it mean ? The Bear Stearns thing is the first piece of good news in a while. It means things are starting to get realistic-isized. A few more banks going under and my doom meter will ratched down a notch (as long as I still have a job that is)
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 14:50:20

You can now add Lehman to your list.

They've now lost half their value with hours left in the trading day.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Last_Laff » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 15:34:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bas', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Laff', 'B')as, how are you watching this and or where?


In Holland, tv, on the internet checking all the the market movements. A dutch business channel at one point had on it's banner: Greenspan: worst crisis since WWII...too bad all the drama seems to be cooling down after more fed emergency measures...we're probably better off for it though...:)


Thanks, I have a slightest idea where to catch these headlines in my locale. :)
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:01:06

So does this mean that JP Morgan can just strike all of those Bear Sterns CDS's off of it's books? I don't really get derivitaves. Can they do that if they are now both party and counterparty?
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:06:21

So does this mean that JP Morgan can just strike all of those Bear Sterns CDS's off of it's books? I don't really get derivitaves. Can they do that if they are now both party and counterparty?
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Ferretlover » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:15:50

Apparently there are rumblings that the Bears stockholders are not thinking too kindly of JPMorgan's offer, may reject it and take chance on the bankruptcy courts.
According to CNBC, if they don't take the offer, then JPM gets the building anyway.
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:17:57

Wow, just wow.

JPM has $91.7 TRILLION of derivatives exposure, as of last September.
They were/are leveraged 74:1.

Avert thine eyes from this derivatives exposure spreadsheet
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:21:25

I think not. It means that they inherit the instruments. The $30B from the government is just a little insurance to sweeten the deal.

Despite all of the whining, there is the idea going around that only 5% or so of these loans are nonperforming right now. Maybe the figure is closer to 15%, but by taking this mess over, it means that they are getting a pretty big portfolio of securities, some of which may actually be worth something. It is not much risk to get all this for 4 cents on the dollar or whatever.

So once they sort the whole thing out, even if half of the instruments are performing, they are still way ahead. If not, they tap into the fed's line of credit, and they still win.

JPM is up almost 9% as of 3:30ET so the market confirms this might be the deal of the decade for JPM.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby Ferretlover » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:29:50

Half of Bear's 14,000 Employees May Lose Their Jobs
JPMorgan Chase, which has agreed to buy Bear Stearns for just $240 million, expects to cut about half of Bear's 14,000 employees, CNBC has learned. ...

Soon to be unemployed?
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:30:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')PMorgan was happy to buy most of Bear but wanted no part of its portfolio of complicated mortgage and other investments. Paulson and Bernanke were personally involved in the talks and told JPMorgan executives that they could not buy just the most valuable pieces of Bear Stearns because there were global financial issues at stake.

Fed leaders, eager for the transaction to happen and wary of anything that would result in a fire sale of those risky assets, agreed to finance those assets and then sell them in an orderly way. In effect, the Fed has taken on the risk that these assets might be less valuable than anyone currently realizes.
Yahoo
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Re: Bear Stearns - What does it mean?

Unread postby benzoil » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:33:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pup55', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')PMorgan was happy to buy most of Bear but wanted no part of its portfolio of complicated mortgage and other investments. Paulson and Bernanke were personally involved in the talks and told JPMorgan executives that they could not buy just the most valuable pieces of Bear Stearns because there were global financial issues at stake.

Fed leaders, eager for the transaction to happen and wary of anything that would result in a fire sale of those risky assets, agreed to finance those assets and then sell them in an orderly way. In effect, the Fed has taken on the risk that these assets might be less valuable than anyone currently realizes.
Yahoo


Maybe that's why the market is about to finish up 100 points - you can have your risk and make the Fed eat it, too.
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Re: Bear Stearns sold for $270 million... down 97% from Frid

Unread postby efarmer » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 16:37:03

So in the opinion of you more market savy posters,
what is the chance of a B of A or citi going bust this
year on a 1 in 10?





Wow, when the Bull eats the Bear to prepare
for hibernation it's time for a jackass like me
to hoof it on down the road.
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