by joewp » Wed 12 Mar 2008, 00:14:14
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"Investing in crude futures by those not involved in the oil business has more than doubled since February of 2006, when crude oil traded as low as $58 a barrel, according to data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, the agency that oversees futures trading."
Quoted from
CNN Moneyjoeltrout
Why don't they mention that at any one time, the number of short positions of those speculators is between 40% and 60% of the total positions of all speculators? The very same CFTC data shows that fact too. As of last Tuesday, the speculators were 62% long, meaning that 38% of their positions were
sales, not buys, and contributed to keeping the price
down. Also, the COT data shows that speculators were only about 16% of the market, not really out of line from any commodities market. For instance, the number of speculators in copper is around 30%.
So don't blame speculators, blame geology.