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U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

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U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby Graeme » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 02:07:55

U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')ust to cover my bases, in case politics and laying groundwork can do wonders, I have just spent a week in Washington, D.C. talking with staffers of Senators Obama, McCain and Clinton. Their understanding of peak oil is rising at a critical time, perhaps in time for the election, but certainly afterwards for Presidential or Senatorial initiatives.

For peak oil literature, I gave copies of the San Francisco Bay Guardian recent feature on the city's Peak Oil Preparedness Task Force. I suggested that a national commission emulate San Francisco's.

I found that all three candidates' staffers were open to learning more about peak oil and what we might call "energy reality," after the openings made by Dr.s Bezdek and Hirsch. The Hubbert Tribute group and I have asked that Dr.s Bezdek's and Hirsch's slide show be on their website (link below), so many people can see this very informative presentation.


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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby alokin » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 06:58:23

How can it happen that the candidates must learn about peak oil???
They should be a bit better informed than you and me.
And they're not the candidates for a banana republic - or are they?
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby paimei01 » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 09:07:50

No they are not informed, they are "connected"
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby miraculix » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 09:56:43

in all thruthiness, it is more like they are embedded
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby ohanian » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 10:17:09

This is just as exciting as the time when Monica Lewinsky gave Bill Clinton an important debriefing session.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby dinopello » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 10:40:09

I wasn't able to find the presentation referenced by following the MISI link. This is a good thing, not that exciting though I agree - because it's not unusual for low level staffers to get briefed on just about everything. Golem could probably get in there to brief them on Archetypes. This is probably one of those issues that will get filtered by higher level staffers who don't want the candidates message to get off track in the middle of a primary and then a general. If they were smart, they would assign a group to continue to develop the issue (if they aren't already) so that it can be used if the opportunity presents itself during the campaign (unlikely, IMO) or to feed into an energy policy working group once the election is won. They all will need some reason for the gas prices/shortages - might as well start the process of truthiness.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby NeoPeasant » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 10:56:22

It's unlikely that Hillary is unfamiliar with an issue that Bill has spoken about in public several times now.

“A significant number of petroleum geologists have warned that the world could be nearing the peak in oil production." - Bill Clinton
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby centralstump » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 11:05:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NeoPeasant', 'I')t's unlikely that Hillary is unfamiliar with an issue that Bill has spoken about in public several times now.

“A significant number of petroleum geologists have warned that the world could be nearing the peak in oil production." - Bill Clinton


Ya, this is a marketing matter. You can't sell conservation.

Carter tried it . . . lost
Gore tried it . . . . lost


Forget the candiates. They have no power to raise awareness on this subject.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby Olaf » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 11:42:33

I personally asked Hillary Clinton about Peak Oil at an appearance she made around here a couple of years ago.

Paraphrasing her response...Got any ideas. We'll take 'em.


Which left me with the following possibilities to reflect upon:

1) She was just humoring me, didn't care, and didn't know. If representative of our leaders, indicates we're fucked.

2) She was aware of the problem, but doesn't have any good ideas. If representative of our leaders, indicates we're fucked.

3) She was aware of the problem, but her financial and political interests and relationships keep her stagnant on the issue. If representative of our leaders, indicates we're fucked. This awareness could also lead to the types of programs and secrecy you are seeing Bush implement which make martial law, imprisonment, and spying easier.

4) She is aware of the problem, didn't want to make a big deal out of it publically, and is quietly helping to implement sound energy policy. May leave us the possibility of not being fucked.

By my calculations, that is a 75% fucked rate.

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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby dinopello » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 11:45:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('centralstump', '
')Carter tried it . . . lost
Gore tried it . . . . lost


Forget the candiates. They have no power to raise awareness on this subject.


That's pretty much correct, except forgetting about the candidates. You never want to be too far out in front of the electorate as a politician or else you won't be in office very long. But, events will 'raise awareness' in the voters and then the candidates do matter because they will get a mandate to do something. Every politician who gets a mandate will act on it whether or not they know anything about the problem. So, its better if they were aware of the issue and have their facts straight at least- except they are better off if they pretend they just found out about it - because the electorate will blame them if they think they knew about it and didn't do anything, even though if they had done something they would have been thrown out of office.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby jdmartin » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 12:29:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olaf', 'B')y my calculations, that is a 75% fucked rate.

Olafr

:lol: Nice, Olaf! :lol:
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby shortonoil » Thu 21 Feb 2008, 12:46:46

dinopello said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his is probably one of those issues that will get filtered by higher level staffers who don't want the candidates message to get off track in the middle of a primary and then a general.


A brief look at the bond market indicates that by election time the economy will have become the main issue. It should be starting to look pretty tattered at that point. The candidates will approach the problem from the perspective of leading economic pundits, who will consequently completely ignore Peak Oil.

The reality that spending money is a necessary but not sufficient condition to improve an ailing economy in a Post Peak world has not yet occurred to economists. Fossil fuel depletion and its effects are beyond their held paradigms. To them, energy is just a commodity to be ignored, because it will respond to market forces like all commodities. When its supply becomes short, prices will go up and it will magically appear in the needed quantities to compensate.

Depletion is a word that is not in their vernacular, to them it is a word held synonymous with substitution. The concept that money can not buy what is no longer there, has completely evaded them. It is a concept that if embraced would illicit accusations of heresy.

The result will be a plethora of economic stimulus plans, reorganizations and changing trade laws; a review of the same old remedies. Affronting the cannons of economics, it can be assumed that Presidential staffers are being told to ignore the “cultist” of the Peak Oil movement. I is likely they are being told how to avoid and change the subject if it arises.

Being unaware of the implications of Peak Oil, politicians will in general continue to ignore it. It is not a subject that can easily be used to win votes, and so, ignore it they will. They will continue to ignore it until that eventful day - the day that the lights start to flicker.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby joewp » Fri 22 Feb 2008, 00:48:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olaf', '
')By my calculations, that is a 75% fucked rate.

Olafr


You're assuming all 4 outcomes have equal chances of being true. I don't think choice 4 has more of a 1% chance of being likely, hence we're really 99% fucked. :shock:
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Fri 22 Feb 2008, 02:21:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '[')b]dinopello said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his is probably one of those issues that will get filtered by higher level staffers who don't want the candidates message to get off track in the middle of a primary and then a general.


A brief look at the bond market indicates that by election time the economy will have become the main issue. It should be starting to look pretty tattered at that point. The candidates will approach the problem from the perspective of leading economic pundits, who will consequently completely ignore Peak Oil.

The reality that spending money is a necessary but not sufficient condition to improve an ailing economy in a Post Peak world has not yet occurred to economists. Fossil fuel depletion and its effects are beyond their held paradigms. To them, energy is just a commodity to be ignored, because it will respond to market forces like all commodities. When its supply becomes short, prices will go up and it will magically appear in the needed quantities to compensate.

Depletion is a word that is not in their vernacular, to them it is a word held synonymous with substitution. The concept that money can not buy what is no longer there, has completely evaded them. It is a concept that if embraced would illicit accusations of heresy.

The result will be a plethora of economic stimulus plans, reorganizations and changing trade laws; a review of the same old remedies. Affronting the cannons of economics, it can be assumed that Presidential staffers are being told to ignore the “cultist” of the Peak Oil movement. I is likely they are being told how to avoid and change the subject if it arises.

Being unaware of the implications of Peak Oil, politicians will in general continue to ignore it. It is not a subject that can easily be used to win votes, and sThey will continue to ignore it until that eventful day - the day that o, ignore it they will. the lights start to flicker.


That assumes that oil production and electricity production are somehow related...they aren't.

As for the candidates, I'm sure many of them are aware of Peak Oil and they are trying to figure out a way to sell their particular solution to the public.

Creating 5 million Green Collar jobs as Obama wants to do seems like exactly the kind of solution we need. Source

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Obama's investment would be over 10 years as part of two programs. The larger is $150 billion to create 5 million so-called "green collar" jobs to develop more environmentally friendly energy sources.

Sixty-billion dollars would go to a National Infrastructure Reinvestment Bank to rebuild highways, bridges, airports and other public projects. Obama estimated that could generate nearly 2 million jobs, many of them in the construction industry that's been hit by the housing crisis.


$150 billion over ten years is only $15 billion a year. That seems like a small price to pay to help move America in the right direction. It also seems like exactly the kind of thing you would propose if you wanted to solve Peak Oil.

I believe that Obama (as well as Clinton and McCain) are well aware of the issue and are incorporating it into their campaigns.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby shortonoil » Fri 22 Feb 2008, 15:22:31

Tyler_JC said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat assumes that oil production and electricity production are somehow related...they aren't.


I'm sorry that it escaped you, but that comment was meant metaphorically. However, fossil fuels and electricity are intimately related.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '$')150 billion over ten years is only $15 billion a year. That seems like a small price to pay to help move America in the right direction. It also seems like exactly the kind of thing you would propose if you wanted to solve Peak Oil.

I believe that Obama (as well as Clinton and McCain) are well aware of the issue and are incorporating it into their campaigns.


If you think a 21’st century CCC project is going to solve PO, you have a very poor understanding of PO, and I doubt that any candidate from Clinton to McCain has a much better grasp of the problem. Their experts, the EIA and CERA, have as yet, not expressed much of an understanding of the situation. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that they don’t either.

Solving PO is not as simple as finding another energy source; the society's entire infrastructure would also have to be altered to use that source - if one could be found. That is not a $15 billion/year project, it will be a multi trillion dollar project and take decades to accomplish. The problem is that we don’t have decades, we may not even have years before the system self destructs to the point that it can longer do no more than provide basic essentials for the citizenry.

If the candidates understand one thing about PO, it is that PO will be the end of the present political/economic system. I’m sure that if they do understand this, it is one thing that they aren’t going to mention to the voters.

PS changing someone’s quote without noting it, is basically rude.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby katkinkate » Fri 22 Feb 2008, 20:55:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '.').....If the candidates understand one thing about PO, it is that PO will be the end of the present political/economic system. I’m sure that if they do understand this, it is one thing that they aren’t going to mention to the voters.


Exactly. That is why it's useless to go looking to the Government, of any 'democratic' nation, for a solution. Some local councils are looking at it more honestly, but the only effective level for change in today's system is at the individual/ family/ tribal level of organisation. And hope TPTB don't pass too many laws and rules to stuff your preparations up.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '[')size=84]PS changing someone’s quote without noting it, is basically rude.[/size]


More than rude, it's downright dishonest, maybe even slanderous.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby PeakOiler » Fri 22 Feb 2008, 21:10:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '[')b]Tyler_JC said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat assumes that oil production and electricity production are somehow related...they aren't.


I'm sorry that it escaped you, but that comment was meant metaphorically. However, fossil fuels and electricity are intimately related.



That's for sure. Those crews that install and repair the grid's electrical lines after a storm don't use bicycles.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Fri 22 Feb 2008, 22:24:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PeakOiler', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '[')b]Tyler_JC said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat assumes that oil production and electricity production are somehow related...they aren't.


I'm sorry that it escaped you, but that comment was meant metaphorically. However, fossil fuels and electricity are intimately related.



That's for sure. Those crews that install and repair the grid's electrical lines after a storm don't use bicycles.


And soccer moms are going to be able to outbid the utility companies?

Oil isn't suddenly going to disappear and the oil that's left over in 50 years will be used as a chemical feedstock and to power the vehicles necessary to run modern civilization.

The idea that National Grid is going to say "Oh well, let's shut down the electrical grid (and thus modern civilization) because we can't afford to pay $40 a gallon for our trucks." is just ridiculous in my opinion.

Of course they are going to pay $40 a gallon to keep the electrical grid up and running. They can pass the costs on to consumers. I'm not promising cheap electricity but electricity will be available.

Moreover, why can't we electrify the trucks?

As for changing the quote. I only added bold to the last sentence. It's possible that I accidentally typed an extra letter when I was adding the HTML, if so, I'm sorry. It wasn't my intention to change the content.
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Re: U.S. Presidential candidates' staffs briefed on peak oil

Unread postby PeakOiler » Sat 23 Feb 2008, 05:17:53

Every statement in the previous post does indicate oil has an intimate relationship with electricity.
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