by joewp » Sat 16 Feb 2008, 02:50:51
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')If you spend 105% of your income, you will accumulate lots of debt but in terms of day-to-day consumption, feel great.
Then if you cut down on the credit cards and spend only 95% of your income (allowing you to pay off the debt over time and build up savings), your day-to-day consumption suffers. However, your long term fiscal stability has improved.
The only way out of this whole is less spending and more saving. This cannot be accomplished without a decrease in consumer spending.
So yes, US consumers will be worse off but the country's long term economic health will be improved.
Like I said, ivory tower ramblings. When people are spending 105% of their income on necessary goods like food and heat, then cutting back will entail suffering and possible death. I guess that's easy to overlook when you refer to people as "consumers", like they're some kind of automatons not related to your species. Unfortunately, people do exist, and people are hurting now. Increased prices for basics like food and energy are going to hurt more and more people, and eventually you. Your hand waving and simplistic scenarios like you posit above don't change that fact.
Edit to add:
Here's an example of "less spending" with no savings at all.
Elderly struggle to pay their bills$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')With costs of health care, housing, energy, transportation and food on the rise, low- and moderate-income seniors find themselves in a bind.
Many haven't saved enough to enjoy their older years without financial worry, and they aren't poor enough to qualify for government assistance programs.
"The only thing I get for help is my Medicare," said Ashbrook, referring to the federal program that provides health coverage to those 65 and over and some others. "Other than that, they say my income is too much. I get a little over $800 a month [from Social Security]. That seems like a lot of money until you start paying it out."
Ashbrook's story is all too common, experts say.
"Those older Americans on fixed incomes, their incomes just aren't increasing to keep up with the skyrocketing costs of health care, utilities and, in some cases, gasoline," said Tiffany Lundquist, a spokeswoman for Maryland's chapter of AARP.
Social Security payments increase annually by about 2.3 percent to keep up with rising costs of living, Lundquist said. At the same time, however, Medicare premiums are going up an average of 3.1 percent.
Other rising costsAnd seniors are being hit by other increased living costs: soaring prescription drug costs (only some of which are covered by Medicare's drug benefit, leaving many seniors to pay thousands of dollars out of pocket); gasoline prices hovering about $3 a gallon; and a 72 percent Baltimore Gas and Electric Co. rate increase last year.
"And then ... your utility bills are going up another 5 percent this year," Lundquist said. "So you can begin to see the problem."
Since 2002, the number of families with at least one person 60 or older that applied for help from the state with their home heating costs has gone up by 53.8 percent, said Ralph Markus, acting director of the state Department of Human Resources' Office of Home Energy Programs.
"We see a lot of people who are on Social Security, some of them who get only $600 or $700 a month," Markus said. "It's amazing how many we see at that level. If that's your only income, which it is for a lot of people, that's very, very tough to pay all your bills."
Why don't you tell Ms. Ashbrook about your theory on how she should suffer some for the country's long term economic health?