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BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

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BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby mattduke » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 20:24:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')hancellor Alistair Darling is to give new powers to the Bank of England to mount secret rescue operations for banks requiring emergency funds.


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7216883.stm
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby davep » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 20:30:39

Christ, they won't fund proper nursery care, but they'll look after the bankers.

France is no better. They're currently getting told off by EU bigwigs for stating that they will defend Societe Generale against foreign bids.

What happened to their much-vaunted free-market they're foisting on unprepared third-world countries?
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby Twilight » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 20:35:11

Thanks, I posted a discussion of this on page 208 of the housing collapse thread, but everyone ignored it. :-x

Including this gem:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BBC', 'H')e may also propose that the protection scheme for depositors should be funded by the banks up-front.

Maybe it will sink in the second time around.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby mattduke » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 20:53:36

Sorry twilight.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby sjn » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 21:04:01

:shock: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', 'T')hanks, I posted a discussion of this on page 208 of the housing collapse thread, but everyone ignored it. :-x

Frankly, I didn't know how to respond. I commented when Northern Rock was bailed out that for the government to be seen doing such things undermines the entire system. I guess they've learn't from that, so next time they'll just keep it quiet.. Not exactly what I had in mind! :-x
There seems to be a developing policy of sweeping all the crap under the carpet to keep up appearances of a functioning economy .. as long as equities remain inflated all will be fine.. but they neglected the stink!
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby americandream » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 21:15:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'C')hrist, they won't fund proper nursery care, but they'll look after the bankers.

France is no better. They're currently getting told off by EU bigwigs for stating that they will defend Societe Generale against foreign bids.

What happened to their much-vaunted free-market they're foisting on unprepared third-world countries?


What truly pisses me off with capitalist scum is that they're not too slow to dip their grubby hands into the public treasury when it suits them. This is our money people! These are the taxes from our hard work!
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby Twilight » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 21:19:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', 'S')orry twilight.

No, you misunderstand, it's OK, the issue is more important than whose post sparks the discussion. If this gets a response here, that's a good thing. :)

Anyway, for me the most worrying revelation here is the state of the FSCS. I already knew it was too small to safeguard the deposits of a large bank, and that its budget covers a whole range of other situations, not exclusively deposits, but this thing about it being stuffed full of IOUs is news to me.

Banks don't have to pay into the FSCS until someone implodes, and right now they can't afford to?

. . .

8O

My eyes nearly popped out of my sockets when I read that. Firstly, it truly is a fair weather mechanism. You can tell the people who put it together came from a country which had not had a retail banking crisis/run in living memory. Secondly, how complacent must the government be, drawing attention to this fact in plain view? Thirdly, how disconnected from reality must the people of this country be, not even giving this a passing mention on the comments page one click away, when a recent bank failure and run is involved in the discussion?

It effectively means the FSCS will not pay out in the event of multiple large bank failures unless it receives government funding.

This is like reading in the NYT that FDIC doesn't really contain that much money because everyone took a payment holiday.

And yet no-one cares because the government makes everything better, right?

The pointless comparison of different countries' deposit insurance arrangements we had in the news media last autumn focused exclusively on amounts, oh if only they had instead educated the public on the basics of the different funding models while they had their attention.

I guess my money isn't insured after all. Silly me. Someone post a facepalm.

As for everything else in the story, the government is basically saying it's OK to file a misleading statement provided you run it past them for approval first. Am I being cynical in reading it this way? :-x

Oh yeah - sigged.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby mmasters » Fri 01 Feb 2008, 23:20:07

It's all about keeping the general public's trust in the system, that's the only way the illusion of our money system can maintain itself. Once trust in the system is broken the task of ressurecting the scheme becomes incredible to the point that has historically taken decades of hard work to accomplish it.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby Iaato » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 00:01:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')"It's unclear whether the devastating run on the Rock could have been prevented by the kind of clandestine help which the Bank may in future be able to provide," said the BBC's business editor Robert Peston."


Clandestine help being openly talked about by our leaders--how did we come to this?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')There will be a lot of harrumphing in the board rooms of the big banks this morning. "Such secrecy would only apply where such emergency lending is temporary and limited in nature."


So who's going to make the ruling on temporary and limited?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')So the Treasury believes that the Rock probably needed too much money for too long for the Bank of England to be able to keep the rescue operation out of the public domain."


We couldn't lie about it anymore, because too many people had found out.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', 'I') guess my money isn't insured after all. Silly me. Someone post a facepalm.

[smilie=boxing.gif]
Poor Twilight. It's insured, alright. It's called the printing press. Here's something else for your campfire.

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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby gampy » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 00:21:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '
')What happened to their much-vaunted free-market they're foisting on unprepared third-world countries?


Capitalists like their entitlements just as much as the welfare Moms.

I don't mind people applying for welfare, but they should wait until they are un-employed and destitute like everyone else before applying for assistance.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby mattduke » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 02:15:03

Deposit insurance schemes are nothing new. From the "New York Safety Fund" founded 1829, to the S&L FSLIC. They never work. They always instantly fail. They only make the problem worse by encouraging risks and lulling the public. FDIC is just a placard.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby seldom_seen » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 02:30:04

This does not end well.

I don't care if you're a Keynesian economist on all sorts of anti-depressants that reads "The Secret" all day. There's no way you can spin this in to a happy ending.

The secret banking sounds very much like the Fed's "term auction facility." Where they download billions anonymously to our insolvent banks.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Federal Reserve to auction 60 bln dlrs in February

13 hours ago

WASHINGTON (AFP) — The US Federal Reserve said Friday it would auction a total of 60 billion dollars in February in two separate transactions to pump liquidity into the stressed banking system.

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5gaA ... blmEccRYVA
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby shakespear1 » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 06:37:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_code('', 'Christ, they won't fund proper nursery care, but they'll look after the bankers. ')

Most people don't understand what is happening now. Thus any such move for them seems like the right thing to do as ... "Well they must know what they are doing !!! " (those in authority know best)

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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby Twilight » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 10:52:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'C')landestine help being openly talked about by our leaders--how did we come to this?

We never pause to consider this, but most people do believe the ends justify the means. It is simply rare to see it dragged out into the light. Behold.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'S')o who's going to make the ruling on temporary and limited?

In the US, the various centres of power that run the country, including those that make up the military-industrial complex, will be explaining to those that make the rulings why they are going to sit on their hands. In the UK, I fear those elements are not influential enough to secure that outcome.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'W')e couldn't lie about it anymore, because too many people had found out.

Everything will emerge eventually, it just depends whether we allow it to run its course quickly and violently, or we cripple ourselves for ten or twenty years.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'P')oor Twilight. It's insured, alright. It's called the printing press.

I know, but the quantity of deposits in the UK banking system that could go pop in a general financial collapse is trivial in its inflationary effects if reprinted compared to the wholesale bailout of the entire British banking system, so I must challenge what you are implying.

You have to separate the two in your mind, for they are completely different issues. They are an order of magnitude apart in size. One is an absolute necessity to avoid revolution, the other is not necessarily so. One can be performed with survivable damage done to government finances, the other would be suicide, instant and irreversible. One would be merely inflationary and unlikely to prevent a deflationary collapse in the long run, the other would be hyperinflationary. One would be viewed with sympathy pains elsewhere in the world, the other would mean a complete debasement which would be mercilessly punished.

Thus as far as I am concerned, the bailing out of depositors by a government is a largely practical question and has little to do with the deflation vs. hyperinflation debate.

Now to the practical question.

In my work, I have an appreciation of the fact that laying a primary and backup cables in the same trench is lazy, stupid and will eventually come back to bite you on the arse. Using separate cores of the same cable for this purpose, even more so. That in a nutshell is the state of the FSCS. A healthy environment is a prerequisite for its proper function. It has paid out when failures were isolated and the system on which it rides was not compromised. It had no trouble with access to adequate funding. When it is asked to pay out in the context of a failure of the wider system which starves it of adequate funding, it too will fail. If subjected to the stress test we see building, it will not cope without government assistance. It has £4bn to cover its responsibilities, most of which historically have been insurance and pension fund defaults, and that is not going to go far when talking about the loss of some portion of £900bn of cash deposits. It only takes a few banks to implode in quick succession for the size of obligation to rise beyond the survivors' ability to meet it. Savers deposited £43.9bn last year, if you asked the British banking industry right now to set aside that kind of money, it does not sound like they would be happy to pay it. This is the scary truth being discovered by the consultation on the new proposals from the very first day.

We used to believe insurers tended to maintain a sound balance between risk exposure and capital, yet in the case of the FSCS we seem to have yet another example of counterparty risk where we least need it.

So, if as we agree the UK government is the deposit insurance provider of last resort, the question of real practical value is how they would cope with the demands of a task they have not previously undertaken, should it arise. I do not see them beating the FSCS's goal of paying out within a year.

The concern I originally intended to express was this - in a general financial collapse, deposits are not insured if by "insured" you mean access not measured in years after being frozen, because a new infrastructure would first have to be constructed after the current one fails the test.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby manu » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 11:28:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'I')t's all about keeping the general public's trust in the system, that's the only way the illusion of our money system can maintain itself. Once trust in the system is broken the task of ressurecting the scheme becomes incredible to the point that has historically taken decades of hard work to accomplish it.



Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby Iaato » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 19:59:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', 'I') know, but the quantity of deposits in the UK banking system that could go pop in a general financial collapse is trivial in its inflationary effects if reprinted compared to the wholesale bailout of the entire British banking system, so I must challenge what you are implying.

You have to separate the two in your mind, for they are completely different issues. They are an order of magnitude apart in size. One is an absolute necessity to avoid revolution, the other is not necessarily so. One can be performed with survivable damage done to government finances, the other would be suicide, instant and irreversible. One would be merely inflationary and unlikely to prevent a deflationary collapse in the long run, the other would be hyperinflationary. One would be viewed with sympathy pains elsewhere in the world, the other would mean a complete debasement which would be mercilessly punished.

Thus as far as I am concerned, the bailing out of depositors by a government is a largely practical question and has little to do with the deflation vs. hyperinflation debate.


Eh, you may have a point there. They simply can't bail out the entire system. So you're suggesting that the FDIC and FSCS are relatively small change, and easily bailed out? The FDIC bailout issue worries me because I'm not sure exactly how much money we're talking about--how paltry is it, relatively speaking?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', '{')FSCS} has £4bn to cover its responsibilities, most of which historically have been insurance and pension fund defaults, and that is not going to go far when talking about the loss of some portion of £900bn of cash deposits. It only takes a few banks to implode in quick succession for the size of obligation to rise beyond the survivors' ability to meet it.....

The concern I originally intended to express was this - in a general financial collapse, deposits are not insured if by "insured" you mean access not measured in years after being frozen, because a new infrastructure would first have to be constructed after the current one fails the test.


That doesn't sound so paltry to me? If you're a little guy, and you can't get at your funds, and they're frozen for a year or two, or are turned into a 30-year bond or something? I know I'm worrying this one like a bone (or ham hock, as the case may be), but my intuition says that the issues that impact J6P will be the ones that cave in the system completely.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby eastbay » Sat 02 Feb 2008, 20:03:26

mmasters, that is one mighty hilarious little video you have there. The best I've seen in along time. True cool humor.
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby Iaato » Sun 03 Feb 2008, 09:32:23

More chicanery from the other side of the pond. Both UK and US administrations are desperately trying to hide all of this stuff. I am fascinated.

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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby sjn » Sun 03 Feb 2008, 11:09:51

So is the difference between deflationists and hyperinflationists here, that one group believes the decision makes will "see sense" and allow the system to deflate letting the chips fall where they may, and the other group trusts those decision makers to continue in the same behaviour irrespective of it's eventual inevitable failure?
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Re: BBC: Secret bank rescues to be allowed

Unread postby Twilight » Sun 03 Feb 2008, 21:46:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'E')h, you may have a point there. They simply can't bail out the entire system. So you're suggesting that the FDIC and FSCS are relatively small change, and easily bailed out?

Precisely!

Depositor protection schemes are almost unique in that their bailout in the event of failure is non-negotiable. The rest is optional.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'T')he FDIC bailout issue worries me because I'm not sure exactly how much money we're talking about--how paltry is it, relatively speaking?

Well, find out how much money Americans have in cash deposits in total, how much money FDIC has this year, and draw conclusions from there. I have not searched out that data yet.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'T')hat doesn't sound so paltry to me?

It is paltry compared to the size of our banking system. And bear in mind even in a really bad scenario they would not have to reprint the lot, only a fraction.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Iaato', 'I')f you're a little guy, and you can't get at your funds, and they're frozen for a year or two, or are turned into a 30-year bond or something? I know I'm worrying this one like a bone (or ham hock, as the case may be), but my intuition says that the issues that impact J6P will be the ones that cave in the system completely.

Yes, to the man in the street, insurance that pays out a year or two after the event is no insurance at all. As the comments quoted in my signature line reveal, our depositor insurance is no longer provided by the banking industry, at least in the event of meltdown.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', 'S')o is the difference between deflationists and hyperinflationists here, that one group believes the decision makes will "see sense" and allow the system to deflate letting the chips fall where they may, and the other group trusts those decision makers to continue in the same behaviour irrespective of it's eventual inevitable failure?
Yes, sjn. Let us hope they choose wisely.
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