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Peak oil is over

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 03:28:50

Expect designer bacteria within a decade that can convert ANYTHING to usable hydrocarbons. Tar sands will not be a problem.

http://www.wired.com/science/discoverie ... tic_genome

Why am i so confident? Because technology revolutions like this have
spectacular innovation in their early phase e.g. wright brothers to flying the
atlantic in 20 years, first fission reaction to first reactor within a decade.

Hang on to your hats.

No doubt doomers will opine the usual:

Too little too late, infrastructure may need changing, where do we get the raw materials, environmental byproducts etc.

The world ain't perfect, never was and never will be.

But the odds are very high that we will use the most powerful
force on earth- life itself (which draws all its energy from the sun)-
to do the work for us.

It will be a crowded and not very pleasant plant- perhaps- but
we will survive.

So yeah, business as usual for quite a while to come.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 03:57:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A')re you ever clueless.


Very helpful.

Let's see, you object to bacteria using free energy from the sun
with an efficiency no man made process can rival to convert
our waste to fuel is a bad thing?

And i mean here fuel of usable quality, in unmodified engines,
with unmodified transport infrastructure.

The board has moaned about ROI and all the rest in terms of
"there's nothing that can replace the cheapness, calorific
content of light sweet crude in the time scale we have."

Well buddy it is just round the corner with an efficiency that can
be dialed in through the genome.

There is no force greater than that of life itself. Because it's
direct from the sun. Our entire complement of nuclear weapons
is nothing compared to what the sun bathes us in by the week.

And we're just about to get it working for us.

We will grow our houses, grow new materials harder than steel
or kevlar, neutralize waste and suck carbon from the atmosphere.

Most doomer cults have always ignored technology.

But i forgive you my son, welcome to the new world.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby americandream » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 04:18:16

Synthesised DNA. Interesting. The potential is endless if the technology works. Who knows, maybe this might just work..fingers crossed.

Time will tell.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 04:27:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'S')ynthesised DNA. Interesting. The potential is endless if the technology works. Who knows, maybe this might just work..fingers crossed.

Time will tell.


Absolutely endless potential!

Consider that the man reason that asia has the population is does
is thru the application of "green revolution" crops that maximise
yield but need fertilisers etc. Without them, these populations would
be much lower.

Now consider that the breeding technology that developed these
crops is like changing the spark plugs and carb on a car, while
DNA technology will literally change the entire engine.

Truly, this is comparable to the invention of the steam engine.
That allowed mines to go deeper (pumps), factories to work
24 hr days, the age of empires and the industrial revolution.
It had huge social impacts as well.

I expect exactly the same scale of upheaval/change to occur
from molecular biology.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby SheikYarbhouti » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 07:10:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('moobradidi', 'I')t will be a crowded and not very pleasant plant- perhaps- but
we will survive.

So yeah, business as usual for quite a while to come.


So "Crowded and not very pleasant" is business as usual? Not where I come from...

You are proposing we run our cars on fuels synthesized from trash? That's fine, in a specific context, but surely you understand where that leads us in the long run. The world has a fixed amount of usable material in it, y'know.

And I do hope the scienticians have figured out how to keep the untold quadrillions of bacteria that are powering our new world from mutating spontaneously. They'll organize themselves into the shape of a monkey wrench in no time!

But yeah, other than that - yay for us! We should start making plans to either make cremation mandatory or bury people standing up. Oh wait... those bodies are fuel!!
Last edited by SheikYarbhouti on Sun 27 Jan 2008, 13:46:00, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby MD » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 07:18:46

I certainly hope they don't screw up along the way.

On the other hand; at the end of that road I see sterile landscapes and dead seas with mile-upon-mile of tank farms growing food, releasing oxygen, and converting energy.

Cyborg planet here we come! Yummy!
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby Concerned » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 08:45:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('moobradidi', '
')
No doubt doomers will opine the usual:

Too little too late, infrastructure may need changing, where do we get the raw materials, environmental byproducts etc.

The world ain't perfect, never was and never will be.




Seriously where do we get the raw materials from? They have to consume something. Can one robot consume more than a specific product e.g. black garbage bag plactic or can one robot just be set loose on landfill and it can multiply and systematically go through everything?

What if the robot goes beyond landfill and enters a house and mulches that?

I don't recall any doomers talking about a perfect world. The perfect shitstorm then yes definately.

I'd rate the chances of this technology along the lines of space elevators, fusion and mining asteroids.

Interesting that the yeast culture turns out to be so useful in creating these DNA robots :)
"Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby like_the_dinosaurs » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 08:49:31

thankyou so much for this revelation, i was completlely wrong about peak oil. This new system sounds great, just yank out every single cubic metre of earth on the planet and feed it into a machine. Hell the great barrier reef has xxxx billion barrels which should keep capatilism going for another xxxx years.

Take this #%&# elsewhere please.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby PeakOiler » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 09:15:50

So this is the world that people can look forward to if this technology is implemented and successful (which I doubt), a planet that is wall-to-wall people like in that old Star Trek episode The Mark of Gideon :

Image

Glad I won't be around.
There’s a strange irony related to this subject [oil and gas extraction] that the better you do the job at exploiting this oil and gas, the sooner it is gone.

--Colin Campbell
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 10:47:17

Well there seems to be an air of scepticism here.

But we have to face facts. The future will not be based on your
aesthetic preferences but on what will be done to ensure survival.

Personally i'd prefer this new scenario to dentistry without drugs,
childbirth in a tent, 1920s medicine.

Debate on this board is really about values:

utopians wanting a pristine world dominated by the beauty of nature,
pragmatists like myself recognising that nature is often very ugly.
And so are people, but we generally choose ourselves over nature
if it's a question of survival.

I would not wish death from stomach cancer on anyone, let alone
in a world without modern pain relief.

If you think smog filled cities are horrific, try life pre polio vaccine,
smallpox and the rest. Try life expectancy dropped by 30 years.
Try counting the number of conditions treatable in the last
50 years and losing the diagnostic technology behind it.

And as for where the resources come from to fuel the new microbes.. well try the refuse mountains that are manila and
mexico city. Try acid lakes, toxic waste dumps, sewage plants,
exhaust stacks, effluent pipes and the very air breathed in
cities. Try tar sands with more energy in them than the whole
middle east.

As for its impossibility/feasibility. Consider that it took less than
half the time predicted to map the human genome. I now know several people conceived in a test tube (horrific horrific),
stem cell research is a freight train.

People this will come. There is no stopping it and although there
are certainly risks, we really have no choice and the bulk of the
population will embrace it if the choices are as stark as people
here claim.

No-one stopped the steam engine and it changed the world.

Soon we will design genetic engines that will change
everything.

Like it or hate it, its-a-coming brother.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 10:50:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PeakOiler', 'S')o this is the world that people can look forward to if this technology is implemented and successful (which I doubt), a planet that is wall-to-wall people like in that old Star Trek episode The Mark of Gideon :

Image

Glad I won't be around.


If you were chinese or indian, you'd see nothing wrong about it.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 10:53:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('like_the_dinosaurs', 't')hankyou so much for this revelation, i was completlely wrong about peak oil. This new system sounds great, just yank out every single cubic metre of earth on the planet and feed it into a machine. Hell the great barrier reef has xxxx billion barrels which should keep capatilism going for another xxxx years.

Take this #%&# elsewhere please.


Why would we touch the barrier reef? Not as though we don't
have enough waste/refuse to process both stored/present and
also being produced this very moment.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby Heineken » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 10:55:29

As long as the emphasis continues to be on eleventh-hour techno miracles that are intended to maintain or even expand the current destructive regime . . .

WE'RE DOOMED.

As long as we refuse to discuss rational population reduction, powering down, localizing, restoring natural systems, and making personal sacrifices . . .

WE'RE DOOMED.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 10:57:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Concerned', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('moobradidi', '
')
No doubt doomers will opine the usual:

Too little too late, infrastructure may need changing, where do we get the raw materials, environmental byproducts etc.

The world ain't perfect, never was and never will be.




Seriously where do we get the raw materials from? They have to consume something. Can one robot consume more than a specific product e.g. black garbage bag plactic or can one robot just be set loose on landfill and it can multiply and systematically go through everything?

What if the robot goes beyond landfill and enters a house and mulches that?

I don't recall any doomers talking about a perfect world. The perfect shitstorm then yes definately.

I'd rate the chances of this technology along the lines of space elevators, fusion and mining asteroids.



All technologies have risks. Life is never risk free.

Molecular biology research has several orders of magnitude more money behind it than space elevators, fusion etc. Moreover
the progress hits the press almost daily.

It's difficult, but no pipe dream.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 11:11:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'A')s long as the emphasis continues to be on eleventh-hour techno miracles that are intended to maintain or even expand the current destructive regime . . .

WE'RE DOOMED.

As long as we refuse to discuss rational population reduction, powering down, localizing, restoring natural systems, and making personal sacrifices . . .

WE'RE DOOMED.


A new technology backed by real money, excellent minds and with huge commercial potential is much more achievable than the idealistic view that we can suddenly all just agree to get on i.e.
fort the first time in human history we actually collaborate as
a species.

Technology has always happened, completely reversing the
direction of history never has.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 11:19:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SheikYarbhouti', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('moobradidi', 'I')t will be a crowded and not very pleasant plant- perhaps- but
we will survive.

So yeah, business as usual for quite a while to come.


So "Crowded and not very pleasant" is business as usual? Not where I come from...

It's crowded and unpleasant in many current cities yet most people
just get on with it. Better than peak oil alternatives.


You are proposing we run our cars on fuels synthesized from trash? That's fine, in a specific conext, but surely you understand where that leads us in the long run. The world has a fixed amount of usable material in it, y'know.

And the sun will die but for practical purposes no-one cares.
There are plenty of resources to recycle.


And I do hope the scienticians have figured out how to keep the untold quadrillions of bacteria that are powering our new world from mutating spontaneously. They'll organize themselves into the shape of a monkey wrench in no time!

It's a risk we have to take i'm afraid and most people will accept it
just as they accept test tube kids and other innovations and their
risks


But yeah, other than that - yay for us! We should start making plans to either make cremation mandatory or bury people standing up. Oh wait... those bodies are fuel!!


We are a long way from there. Raising 3rd world standards will
eventually stabilise the popn just as infant survival etc in the
first world has caused us to have zero pop growth.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby like_the_dinosaurs » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 11:19:24

It's called sarcasim.

The simple truth is that you showed no sign of repect, ie peak is over. The fact that so many people have altered there lives in an attempt to either help the planet or themselves says to me the there is a fair bit of conviction in regards to this topic.

I know i am right, for the laws of the universe are on my side, and a powerful friend it is.

You cant get something for nothing, simple as that, so you telling us some microbe is going to power the worlds economoy well, you get the picture.


ps. maybe we could breed trillions of chickens for biomas feedstock and keep them alive by feeding them chicken eggs. lol
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby Heineken » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 11:20:26

So, Moo, don't you think your techno pipe dream would require unprecedented human collaboration on a global scale?

If we're going to save ourselves from ourselves, the means of our salvation are already at hand. We simply need to learn to do less with less. Not reinvent the wheel.
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Re: Peak oil is over

Postby moobradidi » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 11:32:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('like_the_dinosaurs', 'I')t's called sarcasim.

you mean sarcasm right?

The simple truth is that you showed no sign of repect, ie peak is over.

I thought this was about discussion/debate? When was it a place to "respect" ideas? Is there some shrine here i missed?

The fact that so many people have altered there lives in an attempt to either help the planet or themselves says to me the there is a fair bit of conviction in regards to this topic.

We all act based on our convictions. I'm not stopping anyone.
Equally people in a democracy deserve the free exchange of ideas.
If people have acted on their convictions then they should be
substantial and defendable or at least not so fragile that
an alternative view is so disconcerting.


I know i am right, for the laws of the universe are on my side, and a powerful friend it is.

Which law is that? My law is that life always survives and there are
a lot of microbes out there who could give us a helping hand!


You cant get something for nothing, simple as that, so you telling us some microbe is going to power the worlds economoy well, you get the picture.

No i said that they potentially provide an alternative source of
fuel and new materials. They potentially provide unheard of
efficiencies in this regard. Your phrase is pretty ambiguous.


ps. maybe we could breed trillions of chickens for biomas feedstock and keep them alive by feeding them chicken eggs.

We have only tapped the readily usable resources of this planet.
There are plenty left Last i heard trees only needed soil, air and
water to produce biomass and O2. I think we could do with some
trees that grow in over salinated soils. Bit that's only an opinion

lol
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