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Pimentel & Patzek totally disputed by scientists ... Not

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby halcyon » Sat 26 Jan 2008, 14:13:31

Never trust a single study

A meta-study reveals this:

Image

That is the best scientific and most up-to-date meta-study I've been able to find.

And of course, the boundary drawing problems are still there. That debate will not die, as it is at the heart of the matter.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Sat 26 Jan 2008, 15:46:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')ou understand halcyon, the "lignocellulose biomass" figures in the chart refer to burned material, and not liquid- fuels.


Pstarr is showing his reading skills again. The chart says: Energy ratio (E/R) of fuel bio-ethanol.

Get a grip, man.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Concerned » Sat 26 Jan 2008, 17:10:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Concerned', 'W')hats the price of fuel in your area?


€1.21 per liter for gasoline (US$6.67/gallon). €1.14 for E10.

In Brazil, unsubsidized ethanol is about 40% cheaper than unsubsidized gasoline. We're going to import the fuel.


Unsubsidized (join the dots) what do you think working for a dollar a day is?

Do you see where PO is taking us, smaller cars, smaller homes, less holidays, REALLY LOW PAYING JOBS...

*screams into the void*
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby halcyon » Sat 26 Jan 2008, 18:32:41

All of the above data is for bio-ethanols, not for raw biomass.

I posted the study, because it is a round up summary study, and to show that the range is still believed to be fairly large and that the debate is not over.

However, as we all know, the boundary definition is at the heart of the matter.

I can make a 10:1 system if I define a really narrow boundary.

Likewise, it is possible to make 0.5:1 system with a really wide boundary.

Personally I also believe that a self-sustaining test production system would be the best proof either for or against.

However, I don't think we are likely to see such a production system anytime soon.

Personally I remain pessimistic even about potential positive EROEI numbers, as they are not big enough. Cleveland's/Hall's work on total system EROEI is crucial in this regard, imho.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 26 Jan 2008, 19:51:52

Anyone who has frequented this forum for any amount of time need only see that a post is from lorenzo to know what kind of slant it is going to have. We are all predictable, in one way or another, but lorenzo is perhaps the most...consistent...reliable (I'm searching for nice words.)

Lorenzo seems to be a decidedly interested party. He seems to be involved in some kinds of get-rich-quick schemes to turn tropics into biofuel sources for developed countries.

One point he is not completely wrong about is the relatively small amount of bio-fuel capacity of the US. A recent post at TOD showed that US energy consumption exceeds all energy captured by all photosynthesis everywhere (cultivated and non) in the US.

So if the US is planning to power its future with biofuels, it will have to turn to the tropics...and lorenzo becomes a very, very rich man.

I personally think there should be a massive return of wealth from the first to the third world to start to make up for the massive piracy that has and continues to rob huge amounts of mineral, biological and human wealth from the have-not to the haves.

But it would be a deep shame to do so at the expense of what is left of the biodiversity of the tropical world, and for what is a futile and mad pursuit, as heini so eloquently put it, of maintaining our insane and eco-cidal civilization.

In short, lorenzo and his ilk are predictable consequences of our current situation.

(Google or Wiki "palm oil biofuel" for plenty of info on how much wreckage can result from such schemes.)
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby MacG » Sat 26 Jan 2008, 20:01:13

If they got that EROEI on ethanol from switchgrass, why the hell did they tell anyone about it? That's not SOP when you discover a new source of energy. The SOP is to STFU about it and take the money and run as far as you can get.

Where is that ethanol BTW? Already sold? Or was it just imagined?
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Alcassin » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 02:58:47

Growing food for fuel is monstrority. It needs expanding agriculture into endangared forests. Price of food will go up, and more and more people will die from hunger.

We have changed 50% of land surface on this planet, I think lorenzo can grow his biofuels on deserts or keep chopping down the rainforests for his biofuels.
Climate anyway will get worse.

I don't care so much about EROEI on that matter - I see this as a tool to mass starvation, new colonial 'cash crops' and destruction of Nature.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Alcassin » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 04:35:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'B')ut Lorenzo claims to be a Marxist working for the power of the people, and so justifies environmental degradation. Is he a self-deluded ideologue, or merely posing for his own profit?
I suggest the latter because he used to front for a company called biofact (tm) which scammed biofuels. Regardless he is full of it, algae or avocados, it hardly makes a difference.


He's industrial revolution epigon.
He doesn't see interdepedence in the system and absolutely doesn't respond to dangers of his agenda.

Fidel Castro opposes bio-fuels

I thought Castro is marxist, anyway this article is very interesting.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby efarmer » Sun 27 Jan 2008, 18:56:25

Has anyone ever researched a Spanish Company named Infinita
Renovables who is building biofuels plants?

www.timeinc.net/fortune/services/sectio ... Energy.pdf

The surplus glycerin from the biodiesel process is in demand in Spain according to this document, it is hard to sell or even giveaway in the USA.

I still hate the idea of betting the topsoil in a resources "strip poker"
game to see if we can keep the car culture alive for the duration of
our generation. We are very bad at making topsoil and we need it
more than we need to zip around in personal vehicles.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby davep » Mon 28 Jan 2008, 08:18:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gampy', 'S')orry to interject here, I am not too savvy when it comes to the biofuel debate, or what place biofuels should take in our economies going forward.

But I have a kind of dumb question. Why are people trying to convert cellulosic material into sugars, when they could just grow sugar cane?

Or corn?

Or oilseed?

It seems to me that even with less actual biomass to work with, corn, sugar cane, or oilseeds would be the most economic way to get simple carbohydrate from the sun's energy.

Are they working on ways to bioengineer plants that produce the maximum amount of carbohydrates?


The yield could be far higher per acre using cellulose. Oilseed won't get you ethanol btw, and generally biodiesel yields are even lower than starch/sugar-based ethanol yields.

Unless people use the alcohol production byproducts wisely, we'll end up in a food-or-energy crisis, hence the need for a greater production per acre (as most businesses don't use integrated techniques).

Also, the energy requirements for producing cellulose would be lower per unit dry mass.
Do you have any idea what you are talking about? All is conjecture unsupported by scientific fact.


Nothing I said is conjecture. I said that cellulose yields could produce far more ethanol than sugars or starches, due to the fact that we can produce far more of the stuff per unit area. This isn't conjecture. I haven't said we can do it viably, I was explaining why people see it as some kind of potential panacea.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'I') will summarize what I discussed a few posts back: it takes enormous amounts of energy to break cellulose down into the starches and sugars necessary to ferment into ethanol. There is no process known that has accomplished this with a positive energy return, claims for some yet-to-be-discovered bioengineered wonder bug notwithstanding. Without such a miracle breakthrough cellulose must be cooked and acidified under great heat and pressure at great energy expense.

Davep what do you have invested in the schemes? Stocks, options, book deal? Did you purchase one of Blume miracle bio-reactors (tm)? Have you considered opening a laundromat? That is all this hardware will be good for. :twisted:


I haven't pushed cellulosic ethanol at all. Check my posts. You're just posturing to the gallery as usual. I replied to a poster asking a question and you decided to insult me to divert attention from another exchange of posts of ours showing the glaring differences between Pimentel and other studies. Fair enough if you want to use that kind of tactic, but it's quite transparent and a bit odd.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby davep » Mon 28 Jan 2008, 09:03:40

BTW, I don't think any of the studies envisaged using stillage to generate methane (rather than distillers grains).

Generating methane can produce 66% more energy than is required for the ethanol distillation process.

Also, the waste from the anaerobic digester is a great fertiliser.

Given these elements, we can take out all the process heating required during distillaiton from the eequation. We can also take out a large percentage (all?) of the fertiliser costs.

According to this report a thermophilic methanol production facility added to an ethanol plant can reduce to zero the on-site need for fossil fuels (note, I'm not saying that the whole process is fossil fuel free, just the ongoing operation of the ethanol plant). Apparently $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')ombining the decreased energy needs with the sales of green electricity, Kopp says the EnviroPlus model offers a net energy gain of 138 percent, compared to the conventional ethanol process.


So, any study is only as good as the process it measures. If the studies don't use best practice, then they're irrelevant. Up until a few years ago, the capital cost of installing a methane digester was too high relative to electricity costs. This is no longer the case.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby dohboi » Tue 29 Jan 2008, 19:26:16

One of the problems with this kind of thread is that it seems to frame the topic so that all sides are stuck arguing along one dimension--in this case, production. We all become little Cheneys, obsessed with energy production, but implicitly or explicitly dismissing the, in fact, central importance of conservation.

If we wanted to reflect their relative importance, we should have 10 or more threads on conservation (reuse, using less, doing without...) for every thread on production, whether from conventional or from alternative sources.

We already use, directly or indirectly, some 40% of the earth's current biological capacity, and many times that when you factor in fossil fuels, which represents use of the earth's earlier biological capacity.

It's time, actually long past time, to think about how to massively scale back from this absurdly enormous use of energy, to "power down," to decide what power is (and we are) really for.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby davep » Tue 29 Jan 2008, 19:33:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', 'O')ne of the problems with this kind of thread is that it seems to frame the topic so that all sides are stuck arguing along one dimension--in this case, production. We all become little Cheneys, obsessed with energy production, but implicitly or explicitly dismissing the, in fact, central importance of conservation.

If we wanted to reflect their relative importance, we should have 10 or more threads on conservation (reuse, using less, doing without...) for every thread on production, whether from conventional or from alternative sources.

We already use, directly or indirectly, some 40% of the earth's current biological capacity, and many times that when you factor in fossil fuels, which represents use of the earth's earlier biological capacity.

It's time, actually long past time, to think about how to massively scale back from this absurdly enormous use of energy, to "power down," to decide what power is (and we are) really for.


That's a fair point, but this thread is specifically about the merits or otherwise of Pimentel's research. It's a bit rarefied, but I think most of us assume that any future would require power-down and don't see the various alternatives as being a direct replacement for what we have now. It's not really a "production" question as in scale, but a viability question in a post-peak world. I'm not sure many here would defend current "bio-ethanol" practices.
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby dohboi » Tue 29 Jan 2008, 19:44:28

Point well taken. (And I love your avatar.)
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Re: Pimentel & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby yesplease » Tue 29 Jan 2008, 19:50:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', 'W')e already use, directly or indirectly, some 40% of the earth's current biological capacity, and many times that when you factor in fossil fuels, which represents use of the earth's earlier biological capacity.
If by indirectly use you mean destroy, then sure. We only use a few percent, but in using that few percent prevent the other few tens of a percent from functioning.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Professor Membrane', ' ')Not now son, I'm making ... TOAST!
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