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Pimentel & Patzek totally disputed by scientists ... Not

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Pimentel & Patzek totally disputed by scientists ... Not

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 13:59:28

EROEI-gurus Pimentel & Patzek have been completely debunked by science. These loonies have made themselves look ridiculous with their fake studies about the net energy value of biofuels from switchgrass. These studies were taken as proof by hysteric Peak Oilers, as proof that biomass is inefficient.

Well, scientists have completely nuked Pimentel & Patzek. They conducted the largest ever actual field study, 5-years long, on acreages 100 times bigger than previous studies with switchgrass, at 10 different sites, and showed that the fuels from the crop have a NEV of 540%. Many times higher than that "simulated" by silly Pimental and Patzek. So there.

To people who have just joined this site: never trust Peak Oilers when they talk about energy returns and efficiency. They never base their arguments on science. Only on gurus who are being debunked consistently.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Switchgrass to ethanol extremely energy efficient Tuesday, January 8, 2008, 2:31 PM, by Peter Shinn:
Research out this week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences shows switchgrass delivers much more energy than it takes to grow and process into ethanol. Just how much more? A whopping 540%.

Dr. Ken Vogel is a scientist with USDA's Ag Research Service and one of the study's authors. He's stationed at the University of Nebraska at Lincoln. Vogel told Brownfield he's been working on switchgrass for nearly 18 years and used that data to help growers in the five-year field trial grow the crop in the most energy-efficient way possible.

"What we did was used our best management practices that we developed since 1990, and so we provided those to the farmers, and so a lot of the energy inputs were a lot less than people had been using previously," Vogel explained. "And it just shows [what] research on management and agronomic practices and cultivars can do - it can really improve efficiency."

Much like the efficiency of corn production has improved dramatically over the last 25 years, Vogel said the same will be true of switchgrass. And he predicted switchgrass will be a main crop for cellulosic ethanol production.
The study, published in the PNAS, is open access, so see for yourself: link

Pimentel tried to comment, but he was silenced by the science community: "you screwed up once, there's no reason for us to listen to any of your other fantasies now."

Pimentel & Patzek used fantasy and fiction to make up energy balances. The scientists on the contrary used actual long-term field trials. The difference is enormous. Bye bye P&P.
Last edited by lorenzo on Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:22:49, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Aaron » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 14:14:59

From the study:

"The range of harvest depended primarily on the amount of rainfall."

And...

“One acre (0.4 hectares) of the grassland could, on average, deliver 320 barrels of bioethanol.” That suggests (320 x 640) that 204,800 barrels per year per square mile would come from this switchgrass - an improbable amount. So we called one of the study’s authors, Dr. Ken Vogel at the University of Nebraska, to ask him to clarify this number. It turned out the BBC reporter had mixed up barrels and gallons. The researchers had actually estimated switchgrass can yield 4,896 barrels per square mile per year.

This yield is consistent with yields from crops currently being harvested for ethanol. It is somewhat more than corn yields, and it is somewhat less than sugar cane yields, but it is an order of magnitude removed from the best case numbers we have heard discussed."

http://www.ecoworld.com/blog/2008/01/08 ... itchgrass/

Ummm.... you're a troll.

That is all.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 14:39:55

Wait a minute, the fact that a BBC reporter can't read a scientific study is not my problem.

I strictly don't care about what a blogger thinks, nor what a BBC reporter thinks, not what amateurs like Pimental and Patzek think, nor about how they screw up or can't read studies, or how they try to twist science in favor of their amateurish fictions.

All I care about is scientific results. A large-scale trial in the main targeted growing area showed switchgrass biofuels have an NEV of 540%.

It doesn't matter what you try to do with these data. The data won't change just because you don't like them or because you write about them over at your amateur blog.

540%. That's all.
Last edited by lorenzo on Fri 25 Jan 2008, 14:45:12, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Aaron » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 14:44:24

In response I'll repeat:

So we called one of the study’s authors, Dr. Ken Vogel at the University of Nebraska, to ask him to clarify this number. It turned out the BBC reporter had mixed up barrels and gallons. The researchers had actually estimated switchgrass can yield 4,896 barrels per square mile per year.

According to the author of the study.

Not me... or a blogger.

The scientist you quoted.

(That's gotta hurt)
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 14:49:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'I')n response I'll repeat:

So we called one of the study’s authors, Dr. Ken Vogel at the University of Nebraska, to ask him to clarify this number. It turned out the BBC reporter had mixed up barrels and gallons. The researchers had actually estimated switchgrass can yield 4,896 barrels per square mile per year.

According to the author of the study.

Not me... or a blogger.

The scientist you quoted.

(That's gotta hurt)


Man, get a grip.

Scientists published a study about switchgrass yields in the PNAS.

The world media took the results and presented them: a 540% net energy yield.

One BBC reporter made a mistake in representing these data. And you take THAT fact as a reason to discredit the study?

Isn't that a bid absurd?

Out of 700 reporters, 699 reported correct data. An idiot over at the BBC made a mistake.

But that doesn't change the data in the PNAS study, does it?

Why don't you read the study for yourself? It's an open access article.

You will read for yourself that the NEV is 540% and that Pimental and Patzek were completely wrong on all accounts (both on energy inputs, yields, and conversion efficiencies).

So get a grip.

I never base my view of scientific data on what bloggers or reporters write about it. I base my view on the data themselves. Apparently you take third-hand information as more important than the first-hand data.

Says a lot about your way of dealing with science.

Here's the study:

http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/0704767105v1
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Aaron » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 14:52:43

I suppose you're missing the point (again)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '4'),896 barrels per square mile per year


Not

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '2')04,800 barrels per year per square mile


Clear now?
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 14:58:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'I') suppose you're missing the point (again)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '4'),896 barrels per square mile per year


Not

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '2')04,800 barrels per year per square mile


Clear now?


But common man, I don't care about a BBC mistake.

This thread is not about a BBC mistake. This thread is about a study that debunks Pimental & Patzek.

Got it now?
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 15:02:08

To other readers, let me try again.

Scientists conducted a large field trial, and proved switchgrass biofuels have a net energy return of 540%.

This debunks the simulations made by Pimental & Patzek about similar fuels.

Pimental & Patzek merely simulated things and made mistakes on all factors: inputs, yields, conversion efficiencies.

The scientists instead tested the cultivation of switchgrass in real conditions (not arbitrary simulations), and found that switchgrass based biofuels are extremely energy efficient.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby TheDude » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 15:26:47

Some commentary:

TOD

"Perpetual Confusion over Energy Balances"

Green Car Congress

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he catch: Assumed ethanol production numbers, since nobody knows how to make cellulosic ethanol (just yet). So, while this study helped define certain parameters, the complete result should be ingested with a grain of salt, since the overall result is based on a number of "estimates", aka fudge factors.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat's the misleading thing on this. How much energy does it take to capture, create and distil the butanol? The UCLA process creates butanol at very low concentration, and slowly...so, the formula isn't high yield just yet.


So are we talking about cellulosic's potential in the same kind of terms used for fusion - i.e., wholly theoretical? Next!
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Twilight » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 15:32:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'T')he scientists instead tested the cultivation of switchgrass in real conditions (not arbitrary simulations), and found that switchgrass based biofuels are extremely energy efficient.

In other news, sunlight striking an n-type silicon layer sitting on a p-type silicon layer can give rise to an electric current.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'G')ot it now?

I will when I see a hundred thousand square miles of it (whichever) outside my house.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Concerned » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 15:39:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'T')o other readers, let me try again.

Scientists conducted a large field trial, and proved switchgrass biofuels have a net energy return of 540%.

This debunks the simulations made by Pimental & Patzek about similar fuels.

Pimental & Patzek merely simulated things and made mistakes on all factors: inputs, yields, conversion efficiencies.



How much fuel as a percentage of global energy consumption comes from switchgrass?

How much switchgrass are you growing Lorenzo? 540% must be money for jam.

I suspect without welfare style subsidies many of these biofuels wouldn't exist.

Or it's like the shales of Colorado you know the ones that "will be profitable" when oil reaches $150 bbl. It used to be $80, $50, $30.

You know what, Im really waiting for some of these alternatives or combination of alternatives to start to scale up.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Heineken » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:07:07

David Pimentel (not "Pimental") is a highly respected independent scientist, with multiple peer-reviewed publications to his credit, including in Science magazine. Your transparent attempt to belittle him as an "amateur," Lorenzo, merely undermines your OWN credibility (which on this site is already less than zero).
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:07:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '
')So are we talking about cellulosic's potential in the same kind of terms used for fusion - i.e., wholly theoretical? Next!


What do you mean theoretical? Can't you read? These were actual field trials on 10 sites on acreages 100ds times larger than any other study.

Fischer-tropsch fuels are commercially viable with oil above $65. And costs are going down all the time.

'Kraftstoff, Strom und Warme aus Stroh und Waldrestholz – Eine systemanalytische Untersuchung' (Fuels, Electricity and Heat from Straw and Forestry Residues), written by scientists from KIT's 'Institut fur Technikfolgenabschatzung und Systemanalyse' (ITAS), show it, dude.

http://www.itas.fzk.de/deu/lit/2007/leua07a.pdf

And there are several commercial scale BTL plants being built, amongst them Dynamotive's or a big one in Germany:
http://www.fzk.de/fzk/idcplg?IdcService=FZK&node=Press

The German plant is partly owned by VW and Daimler, who are going BTL all the way.

It's being built because the pilot shows cellulosic biofuels are feasible with oil at $65, as reiterated in the German study.

So I'm not so sure this is all merely "theoretical".
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby mkwin » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:12:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'T')o other readers, let me try again.

Scientists conducted a large field trial, and proved switchgrass biofuels have a net energy return of 540%.

This debunks the simulations made by Pimental & Patzek about similar fuels.

Pimental & Patzek merely simulated things and made mistakes on all factors: inputs, yields, conversion efficiencies.

The scientists instead tested the cultivation of switchgrass in real conditions (not arbitrary simulations), and found that switchgrass based biofuels are extremely energy efficient.


I had heard about this study and the projected results thanks for posting the link Lorenzo.

I do believe swichgrass and, eventually, cellulosic biofuels will be part of a the liquid fuel mix. How much, who knows.

The Pimental & Patzek study reminds me of the debunked SLS study on nuclear costs. They are central pillers to the eco-fundementalist arguement which states that there are no alternatives to maintaining or expanding energy production in the long-term. So don't expect a balanced discussion. Just as an islamic fundementalist won't debate the validity of the koran, they won't debate the posibility that we don't have signficant problems with long-term energy supply.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou know what, Im really waiting for some of these alternatives or combination of alternatives to start to scale up.


Shell are still basing their projections on an oil price of $40. Why would you scale-up alternatives when oil production is still forecast to grow? When it finally becomes evident peak oil is here, it is possible a variety of alternatives will be scaled up. Granted they may not completey fill the gap and I'm sure they won't prevent significant economic problems in the short-term to medium-term but they will help in any transition to a new energy system that occurs.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:13:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'D')avid Pimentel (not "Pimental") is a highly respected independent scientist, with multiple peer-reviewed publications to his credit, including in Science magazine. Your transparent attempt to belittle him as an "amateur," Lorenzo, merely undermines your OWN credibility (which on this site is already less than zero).


Pimentel is not respected and has even been discredited by his collegues because he so openly sides with the oil industry, by which he was paid for a long time during his career.

He was ordered to write studies against biofuels, and scribbled some simulations the results of which are so far out compared to those of other scientists, that nobody takes him seriously.

Real scientists now debunked his simulations with actual trials.

He should have known that his unscientific exaggerations were to be shown to be utterly flawed (and intentionally false), sooner or later.

That moment has arrived.

He has lost the last bits of the credibility he didn't have in the first place. It's his problem, really.
Last edited by lorenzo on Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:14:13, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Nano » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:13:29

I can see a farmer keeping a few acres of switchgrass to fuel his machines. Could you put an ethanolfac on a truck?
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Heineken » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:20:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'D')avid Pimentel (not "Pimental") is a highly respected independent scientist, with multiple peer-reviewed publications to his credit, including in Science magazine. Your transparent attempt to belittle him as an "amateur," Lorenzo, merely undermines your OWN credibility (which on this site is already less than zero).


Pimentel is not respected and has even been discredited by his collegues because he so openly sides with the oil industry, by which he was paid for a long time during his career.

He was ordered to write studies against biofuels, and scribbled some simulations the results of which are so far out compared to those of other scientists, that nobody takes him seriously.

Real scientists now debunked his simulations with actual trials.

He should have known that his unscientific exaggerations were to be shown to be utterly flawed (and intentionally false), sooner or later.

That moment has arrived.

He has lost the last bits of the credibility he didn't have in the first place. It's his problem, really.


I think you should be more focused on your own credibility. If you were, you'd see that you have no clothes.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:21:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mkwin', '
')I do believe swichgrass and, eventually, cellulosic biofuels will be part of a the liquid fuel mix. How much, who knows.


Well, for the US, we know how much. At least 16 billion gallons per year by 2022, to be precise. By law.

Image

I admit that's not much. It's only 380 million barrels per year, or a bit more than 1 million barrels per day.

But I'm sure that the other 16 billion gallons of corn ethanol required by law, will become cellulosic biofuels too, relatively soon thereafter as the technology becomes cheaper still.

So the US might be producing a few million barrels per day within 15 years. Not much, I know. But significant nonetheless.


But then, the US has a tiny potential for biofuels compared to other regions.
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Re: Pimental & Patzek totally debunked by scientists

Unread postby Heineken » Fri 25 Jan 2008, 16:24:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A')s many of you may be aware I have worked hard to carve out a particular niche here at PO--lambasting Lorenzo. Somehow this particular bash passed unnoticed under my radar and I must say I am a bit put off by all this. How dare you kick lorenzo without me!! I should get in the first punch. This will be brought up with the appropriate moderators and perhaps I will have to go directly to the owner of this site until this situation has been rectified.

I considered asking everybody (except Lorenzo) to delete their posts so I would be the first respondent. But I would have just called him dumb or a 'tool.' Where is the fun in that? In the future I would appreciate being told of in advance when Lorenzo is going to be humiliated. thank you.


If only Lorenzo knew how ridiculous he sounds, he might go away. His phraseology is the clumsiest, crudest propaganda. It comes off like Soviet-era "fashion."
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