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Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & energy

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Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & energy

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 30 Nov 2007, 22:16:26

Hi, I have some great inside information (thank you Lorenzo for this scoop). Next week, scientists will publish a letter to "the governments in Bali" (and to the public at large), in which they call for the promotion of carbon negative bioenergy and biofuels.

With these fuels you can actually take carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere and avoid catastrophic climate change.

Renewables like wind or solar, and nuclear and other so-called clean forms of energy are "carbon neutral" at best. They don't add "new" emissions to the atmosphere (in reality they do add small amounts over their entire lifecycle). But with the prospect of catastrophic and abrupt climate change this is too weak an offer.

Therefor the scientists will be calling for a far more radical energy concept, to know: carbon negative biofuels and bioenergy.

You obtain these by coupling biofuel and bio-electricity production to carbon capture and storage (CCS) - you capture and lock up the carbon dioxide before it enters the atmosphere - either in soils in the form of agrichar, or in geological sites like depleted oil and gas fields or saline aquifers.

This way, when you use this energy, you effectively take carbon from the past out of the atmosphere. Negative emissions! Projections show that if implemented on a global scale ("geoengineering" scale) today, we can reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide levels from the current 425ppm to pre-industrial levels (270ppm) by mid-century, and avoid catastrophic climate change.

Compare:
-a kilowatt of electricity from coal results in 800 grams of CO2
-gas combined cycle: 500 g/kWh
-gas & coal with carbon capture and storage: 100 g/kWh
-photovoltaic: 100g/kWh
-wind power: 20-50 g/kWh
-nuclear: 10-30 g/kWh
-bioenergy with carbon capture and storage: -1000 g/kWh!!!

You read that right: minus a thousand grams!! Negative emissions!!!

They will say that the time has come for this most radical of concepts and that the post-Kyoto framework should give it absolute priority.


Negative emissions can only be gotten from biomass (because it acts as a machine that captures CO2). Other "geoengineering" options to take CO2 out of the atmosphere don't generate energy and have been dismissed as too risky: iron seeding the oceans to cause algae blooms (won't work and could be very damaging), emulating the cooling effects of a volcano by seeding the atmosphere with sulphur, etc... way too dangerous and risky.

Carbon negative biofuels and bioenergy in contrast offer a safe, efficient and low-risk geoengineering strategy.

So watch out next week!
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby lorenzo » Fri 30 Nov 2007, 23:13:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'L')orenzo would you mind sharing the original science with us. The science that promotes these incredible energy and carbon savings. I would just so much like to see the data and methods. and stuff.


Sure pstarr. There's an entire science organisation devoted to the concept, called the Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group (ACCS), which has a mandate from the G8 to study it (ACCS was founded during the G8 Gleneagles summit, you know, the Blair "climate change summit" of 2005).

Check here for some of their publications:
http://www.accstrategy.org/presentdrafts.html

Then search scholar.google.com for:

-"biomass CCS" [without hyphens]
-"bio-energy with carbon storage" [with]
-"negative emissions" [with]
-"biomass carbon capture" [without]
-"carbon negative bioenergy" [without]
-"bioenergy CCS" [without]
-"biotic CCS" [without]

Some key articles:

Peter Read and Jonathan Lermit: "Bio-Energy with Carbon Storage (BECS): a Sequential Decision Approach to the threat of Abrupt Climate Change", Energy, Volume 30, Issue 14, November 2005, Pages 2654-2671.
Link
Link: open access, draft.

Stefan Gronkvist, Kenneth Mollersten, Kim Pingoud, "Equal Opportunity for Biomass in Greenhouse Gas Accounting of CO2 Capture and Storage: A Step Towards More Cost-Effective Climate Change Mitigation Regimes", Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Volume 11, Numbers 5-6 / September, 2006, DOI 10.1007/s11027-006-9034-9
Link.

Noim Uddin and Leonardo Barreto, "Biomass-fired cogeneration systems with CO2 capture and storage", Renewable Energy, Volume 32, Issue 6, May 2007, Pages 1006-1019, doi:10.1016/j.renene.2006.04.009
Link.

Christian Azar, Kristian Lindgren, Eric Larson and Kenneth Mollersten, "Carbon Capture and Storage From Fossil Fuels and Biomass – Costs and Potential Role in Stabilizing the Atmosphere", Climatic Change, Volume 74, Numbers 1-3 / January, 2006, DOI 10.1007/s10584-005-3484-7
Link.

Shows it's cost-effective, lower CO2-offsetting costs than coal+CCS in several carbon pricing scenarios.

David Tilman, Jason Hill, Clarence Lehman, "Carbon-Negative Biofuels from Low-Input High-Diversity Grassland Biomass", Science, 8 December 2006: Vol. 314. no. 5805, pp. 1598 - 1600, DOI: 10.1126/science.1133306
Link.

Lehmann: "A Handful of Carbon", Nature, Vol 447, pp. 143-144, 10 May 2007.
Link [open access].

James S. Rhodesa and David W. Keithb, "Engineering economic analysis of biomass IGCC with carbon capture and storage", Biomass and Bioenergy, Volume 29, Issue 6, December 2005, Pages 440-450.
Link.
Draft [open access].

Kei Yamashita, Leonardo Barreto, "Biomass gasification for the co-production of Fischer-Tropsch liquids and electricity",
Interim Report, IR-04-047, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2004.
Link [open access].

FT-fuels with CCS.

S. Haszeldine, "Deep geological CO2 storage: principles, and prospecting for bioenergy disposal sites" (23 pages, 5MB pdf), Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group.
Link [open access].

T. Sugiyama, "Ocean Storage and Biomass Energy" (7 pages, 280kb pdf ), Abrupt Climate Change Strategy Group.
Link [open access].

National Energy Technology Laboratory, "Increasing Security and Reducing Carbon Emissions of the U.S. Transportation Sector: A Transformational Role for Coal with Biomass" - Department of Energy, National Energy Technology Laboratory and the Department of Defense, Air Force - August 24, 2007.
Link [open access, thick report].

Coal+Biomass-To-Liquids+CCS or CBTL+CCS as a transition to pure BTL and BTH+CCS fuels, i.e. carbon negative biohydrogen


F. Sano, K. Akimoto, T. Homma, T. Tomoda (RITE) D. Gielen (IEA), "The contribution of CO 2 capture and storage to a sustainable energy system", ECN, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, CASCADE MINTS, EU Sixth RTD Framework Programme.
ECN-C--06-009 July 2006.
Link [open access].

James S. Rhodes and David W. Keith, "Biomass Energy With Geological Sequestration of CO2: Two for the Price of One", Presented at the Sixth International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, Proceedings, 2003.
Link [open access].

H. Audus and P. Freund, "Climate Change Mitigation by Biomass Gasificiation Combined with CO2 Capture and Storage", IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme; Proceedings of 7th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, 2004
Link [open access].

Shows you can get -1030 g/kWh out of the system. Negative emissions!



And soon an article on the topic to appear in Energy Policy titled "Carbon Negative Bioenergy", on which I have collaborated.


**Moreover, Lorenzo's vision on the future of bioenergy ranks... number one in the top 25 of most read articles in the leading journal Energy Policy!**

Check it out: http://top25.sciencedirect.com/?journal_id=03014215


Enough to keep you busy for the weekend! :)



PS: would you mind sharing some of your feedback? You're a good critic, Pstarr, so your insights are always welcome.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby americandream » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 02:19:17

I'ld like some of what you're smoking to keep me busy this weekend.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby highlander » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 13:38:08

How about starting a fund to buy Lorenzo some books.
Lets start with "physics for dummies"
This is where everybody puts profound words written by another...or not so profound words written by themselves
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby Aaron » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 13:45:38

Image
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby lorenzo » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 14:36:15

So what exactly don't you understand about the concept?
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby Narz » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 15:59:18

If I didn't know any better I'd swear you hecklers want the world to be destroied and the lifes of human beings to be turned to s***. :(
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby Andrew_S » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 16:56:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'T')herefore the scientists will be calling for a far more radical energy concept, to know: carbon negative biofuels and bioenergy.

You obtain these by coupling biofuel and bio-electricity production to carbon capture and storage (CCS) - you capture and lock up the carbon dioxide before it enters the atmosphere - either in soils in the form of agrichar, or in geological sites like depleted oil and gas fields or saline aquifers.

This way, when you use this energy, you effectively take carbon from the past out of the atmosphere. Negative emissions! Projections show that if implemented on a global scale ("geoengineering" scale) today, we can reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide levels from the current 425ppm to pre-industrial levels (270ppm) by mid-century, and avoid catastrophic climate change.

Okay, lorenzo, give us a description of the essential principles of how it works. I have too much to read and worry about already and I don't have time to read the links. A cogent description in a few paragraphs, if convincing, would encourage me to find the time to read up on it.

If you are serious, give your own suggestions a good chance by describing them convincingly.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby Valdemar » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 17:15:56

So, a large scale programme to switch over to bio-fuels and bio-electricity that not only is neutral, but reduces carbon and carbon equivalent output?

Why don't I believe that? I, too, would like a nice concise explanation of the workings of such a project, rather than wade through numerous papers that, from what I can see, have had no impact on things thus far.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby efarmer » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 17:53:50

Doggone it Lorenzo. I was reading through that laundry list answer of yours to Pstarr and forgot I had food on the stove.
I'm heading outside to sequester my first big batch of biochar in a little while. I admire your optimism and believe it is a good thing to set a high goal as well. But there is a danger in putting optimism on steroids, it tends to convert it into fantasy.
I hope if scientist really do aim for carbon negative, they at least pull the trigger and hit lower carbon or carbon neutral first.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby lorenzo » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 19:31:42

The concept really isn't that difficult to understand. It is the combination of producing bioenergy with carbon capture and sequestration. There are two ways to do this: a high tech and a low tech route.

"HIGH TECH"
1. if you produce bioenergy, say electricity and heat from biomass, you do a "carbon neutral" operation: you grow biomass, burn it, it releases CO2, which is taken up again by the new biomass.

Of course, no renewable is ever an entirely carbon neutral operation, because you emit some GHGs during the harvesting of the biomass and the construction of the plant, or during the manufacture of wind turbines, etc...

But for the sake of clarity, let's call these classic renewables like wind, biomass or solar "carbon neutral".

2. electricity from fossil fuels is "carbon positive": you emit GHGs during their combustion.

3. the coal & gas industry are looking at reducing these emissions. How? By capturing the CO2 before, during or after the combustion of the fuel, and by then transporting and storing this CO2 into geological formations, such as depleted oil and gas fields, or saline aquifers. This process is known as "carbon capture and storage" (CCS).
Emissions can be reduced considerably, but can of course never go below zero. Coal + CCS makes the electricity "carbon neutral" at best - no new emissions into the atmosphere.

4. Now if you couple CCS to bioenergy production you obtain "carbon negative" energy.
Why? Because your biomass crops take CO2 out of the atmosphere, but when you burn them in your power plant, and consequently capture and sequester the CO2 in geological formations, you effectively take more CO2 out of the atmosphere than you put in.
You alter the carbon cycle and you take emissions from the past out of the atmosphere.

This is "carbon negative" energy. It's not so difficult to grasp, is it?

How do you capture CO2? There are three basic pathways:
1. capturing it before you burn the fuel, by first gasifying it so that you obtain a carbon monoxide and hydrogen rich gas, which you reform (via water shifting or other methods) so that you obtain a separate stream of CO2; you can then burn the decarbonized fuel, as hydrogen, in a gas turbine, and capture the CO2.
2. capturing it during the combustion (oxyfuel combustion)
3. capturing it after the combustion, sifting it out of the flue gas, with membranes and other technologies.

A special case is the production of carbon negative bio-hydrogen: you ferment biomass into hydrogen, which releases a pure stream of CO2, which you can then capture in a pretty straightforward way, without the need for the gasification step.

Finally, you can produce biogas in such a way that you obtain a larger than 50% CO2 fraction; this is quite easy to capture; after you have separated the CO2, you obtain pure methane, which you can then reform into hydrogen. During this step, you again take out the CO2 and add it to the already captured, large fraction of CO2 from the biogas; you then transport and put all this gas under the ground.
The end result: hydrogen with a negative carbon balance.


But let's stick to the most straightforward way to generate "negative emissions": producing bio-electricity with Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS).

-The emissions from ordinary coal electricity are around 800 grams of CO2 per kWh
-The emissions from ordinary coal electricity but with CCS are around 100 grams of CO2 per kWh (you can never get to real "clean coal" because you always need some energy to drive the CCS process)
-The emissions from ordinary bio-electricity are around 30 grams per kWh (this is commonly seen as "carbon neutral", in reality slightly "carbon positive")
-The emissions from bio-electricity with CCS can be up to -1000 grams per kWh (yes, that is: minus 1000 grams).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')Figure 3] illustrates the concept. Atmospheric CO2 is adsorbed by growing biomass which is then used to produce electricity. If the CO2 produced is returned to atmosphere, the process is essentially carbon-neutral (typical emission factors for biomass energy schemes are in the range 10-20 gCO2/kWh; c.f. about 800 gCO2/kWh for a modern coal-fired power station). However, if the CO2 produced by burning biomass is captured and permanently stored, e.g. in an underground geological formation, the overall process would result in a net removal of CO2 from the atmosphere.

Image
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')CO2 balance
The biomass feed to the power station contains carbon equivalent to removing 216 000 tCO2/year from the atmosphere (see Figs. 2 and 3). It is assumed that the CO2 absorption unit can capture 85% of the CO2. Hence, 32 000 tCO2/year are returned to atmosphere and 184 000 tCO2/year are captured and sent to a permanent store. This 184 000 tCO2/year is a net removal of CO2 from the atmosphere by the overall process cycle. It can be thought of as a ‘negative emission’, and is equivalent to –1030gCO2/kWh. (a modern coal-fired power station emits about + 800gCO2/kWh).

From:
H. Audus and P. Freund, "Climate Change Mitigation by Biomass Gasificiation Combined with CO2 Capture and Storage", IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme; Proceedings of 7th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, 2004
http://uregina.ca/ghgt7/PDF/papers/peer/440.pdf

"LOW TECH"
Now there is another, low-tech approach to producing carbon-negative energy and fuels, based on storing carbon in an inert form in soils. The socalled "biochar" approach.

1. You grow energy crops which take CO2 out of the atmosphere. You then pyrolyse them and use the gas and heat released during the process to generate electricity; alternatively, you use fast-pyrolysis to produce pyrolysis oil ("bio-oil" or "bio-crude"), which you use to make liquid biofuels. During these pyrolysis processes, a considerable fraction of the biomass becomes char ("biochar" or "agrichar").

The technique to make these biofuels or that bio-electricity carbon-negative is very simple: you put the char fraction into agricultural soils. The CO2 thus originally captured by the energy crops, now is stored in an inert form, and can remain locked up for hundreds or even thousands of years.

A very short, 2-page introduction:
Lehmann, J. 2007. A handful of carbon. Nature 447, 143-144.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')epending on the feedstock used
and bioenergy produced, low-temperature
pyrolysis with gas capture (but no sequestration)
can be a carbon-neutral energy source.
Most companies that generate bioenergy in this
way view biochar merely as a byproduct that
can itself be burned to offset fossil-fuel use and
reduce costs. But our calculations suggest that
emissions reductions can be 12–84% greater
if biochar is put back into the soil instead of
being burned to offset fossil-fuel use7. Biochar
sequestration offers the chance to turn bioenergy
into a carbon-negative industry.

And a schematic of this simple idea:
Image
A great added advantage: biochar-amended soils make these soils much more fertile, makes them retain water better, and improves the cation exchange, and virtually eliminates the need for fertilizers. Experiments have shown crop yields to double and triple when grown in biochar soils.

So instead of just using trees as a carbon sink, you can better turn them into carbon negative energy by burning and charring them, and putting the char fraction into the soils as a sequestration method.


Of course, the economic feasibility of both pathways (the low and high tech one), dependx on two factors: the price of energy from fossil fuels, and the price of carbon dioxide. The higher the price of a ton of carbon dioxide, the more attractive obviously carbon negative bioenergy becomes.

Producers of carbon negative bioenergy will dynamically decide whether to produce more energy or to use the system to produce more "negative emissions", depending on which option is most lucrative under prevailing prices for both services.



Sorry, I cannot explain the concept in any simpler way. Hope you get the basics of it now.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby Andrew_S » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 20:03:06

Thanks, lorenzo, for your good overview. I shall now take the trouble to read the references.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby Valdemar » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 20:45:53

Indeed. I am interested to know more now and see how this progresses, if at all.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby steam_cannon » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 23:24:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', 'S')orry, I cannot explain the concept in any simpler way. Hope you get the basics of it now.
Great pictures and info on agrachar, I'm going to take a crack at explaining it too...

A Carbon-Negative Fuel
http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/007427.html

The idea of Negative Emission Fuels covers several options. I think it's best to take one thing at a time and since I have some experience with gasification, I'll focus my thoughts on the "agrichar" option. There are other options like pumping CO2 down mineshafts and into oil wells has hasn't worked out so well. So first, in my opinion agrichar could at least be implemented in most places with farm wastes. It can produce fertilizer. It can be used to generate power from farm wastes and possibly it could produce some liquid fuels.

What is agrichar
Agrichar is charcoal from "incomplete" combustion of farm wastes. The idea is to dump it back onto the fields as fertilizer, with the fairly reasonable assumption that carbon will stay in the soil not get back into the atmosphere. As long as it gets into the soil and not into a bbq grill. :roll:

How is agrichar made?
The process is similar to making charcloth, making charcoal or producing woodgas. Many people know that if you put some layers of cotton cloth in a tin into a fire, the tin will leak flammable smoke that may ignite into flames. And when you take the tin out of the fire the cotton will have turned to thin charcoal. The flammable smoke that came out of the tin is Hydrogen, CO and hydrocarbon molecules breaking free of the cotton cloth due to heat. The charred cotton is agrichar.

Making charcloth
http://tinyurl.com/2brevx

Making charcoal
http://tinyurl.com/rlpi

Woodgas
http://www.woodgas.com/

Electricity from wood waste
http://www.green-trust.org/woodgas.htm

Agrichar gasifier
http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/company
http://www.eprida.com/home/index.php4

With a large woodgas system, the flammable gases that come out of the heated plant matter can be filtered and burnt in an engine. However woodgas engines normally burn the charcoal too. So making agrichar would be less efficient than the regular woodgas process. But though it would be less efficient, it would produce a useful fertilizer. So this is kind of a social hack to convince people to dump carbon into the soil and make some money too. So instead of burning energy to produce fertilizer, perhaps farmers might get paid to fertilize their fields. It's a cool idea anyway.

This isn't as ideal is putting the coal and oil back in the holes they came from, but it's much better then nothing and could help reduce CO2 levels in the atmosphere. However, if it isn't implemented widely it might just act as a new carbon credits scheme to write off increased coal burning...

But practically speaking, in the US south, farmers often burn fields after crops have been taken in. Instead, these materials could be gathered and reduced to char. This would provide a better fertilizer for the fields then burning out the minerals in the open air. It would produce fertilizer faster then mulching. And it would provide fuel perhaps for generator engines to go back to the grid.

Producing energy and fuels
I think there are several ways this approach to gasification could be used for energy production.
* Produced gases could be captured and filtered then run though an engine and a generator connected to the grid.
* Gases could be separated held in large pressurized holding tanks or unpressurized balloon tanks.
* Possibly using zeolite catalyst some of the gases could be converted into methanol using waste heat.
However the last two options require large processing and storage facilities.

[web]http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/007427.html[/web]
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby steam_cannon » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 23:38:24

Different names for the same thing: "biochar" or "agrichar" or "terra preta"
Apparently it does make a good fertilizer and stays in the soil a long time...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wiki', 'O')rigin of terra preta

For a long time, the origins of the Amazonian dark earths were not immediately clear and several theories were considered. One idea was that they resulted from ashfall from volcanoes in the Andes, since they occur more frequently on the brows of higher terraces. Another theory considered formation as a result of sedimentation in Tertiary lakes or in recent ponds.

However, because of their elevated charcoal content and the common presence of pottery remains, it is now widely accepted that these soils are a product of indigenous soil management involving a labor intensive technique termed slash-and-char. The technique is differentiated from slash and burn by a lower temperature burn and in being a tool for soil improvement. Amending soil with low temperature charcoal produced from a mix of wood and leafy biomass (termed biochar) has been observed to increase the activity of arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi. It is theorized that terra preta self-propagates via this mechanism; a virtuous cycle established as the fungus spreads from the charcoal, fixing additional carbon and stabilizing the soil with glomalin, and increasing nutrient availability for nearby plants. The widespread peregrine earthworm Pontoscolex corethrurus (Oligochaeta: Glossoscolecidae), which thrives after burning of the rainforest, due to its tolerance of a low content of the soil in organic matter, has been shown to ingest pieces of charcoal and to mix them in a finely ground form with the mineral soil, pointing to its possible role in the formation of terra preta.

About 10% of the original terra comum appears to have converted to terra preta. Whether all Amazonian dark earth was intentionally created for soil improvement or whether the lightest variants are a by-product of habitation is not clear at present time. This is in part due to the varied features of the dark earths throughout the Amazon Basin. Thus suggesting the existence of an extensive ancient native civilization dating back 500 to 2500 years bp.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terra_preta
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby eastbay » Sat 01 Dec 2007, 23:46:50

Does this mean humans can continue to manufacture 50 million cars (with a 5% annual growth rate) annually?

And produce around 2,000 commercial passenger aircraft annually too?

Plus maintain a fleet of tens of thousands of commercial seagoing vessels in operation?
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby lorenzo » Sun 02 Dec 2007, 00:14:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', 'D')oes this mean humans can continue to manufacture 50 million cars (with a 5% annual growth rate) annually?

And produce around 2,000 commercial passenger aircraft annually too?

Plus maintain a fleet of tens of thousands of commercial seagoing vessels in operation?



No, we don't always have to rape the debate by being so radical.

I think everyone will agree that people from wealthy countries need to kick off their stupid inefficient ways of life by driving bicycles, eating less fat and sugar and meat, and using railroads. And instead of going on holiday in some tropical country, they should visit Denmark or Belgium or France (if you're in Europe) and Canada or the opposite coast (if you're in the US) - and send a big fat check to the people of the tropical country who see their incomes go because of this "local tourism".

This is needed to give developing countries some slack to develop to such a level that they too can economically start to introduce more efficient means of transport and energy production. So yes, they will go through a phase of more cars and airplanes and trade, but this is good and necessary: this way they will achieve a level of development with which they can start to clean up their mess.

Development economists know it's not feasible for these countries to "leapfrog" beyond such a polluting, inefficient economy and into a green and efficient one. You have to take the "long road". (Unless of course the West decides to give these developing countries $25 trillion tomorrow - highly unlikely).


Ok. Then tax carbon dioxide in wealthy countries. Put a price on the stuff. With $100 per ton we can avoid dangerous climate change. (And we would see renewables, including the carbon negative bioenergy type, pop up everywhere). And hand over the revenues from this tax to poor developing countries.
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby eastbay » Sun 02 Dec 2007, 00:28:13

Ok, just so I understand you correctly:

The 750 million passengers who flew on domestic airliners within the USA on 11 million commercial domestic flights and the uncountable millions of interstate truck runs and and billions of passenger car trips across state lines in the year 2005 could all take the train instead.

That's what I'm talkin' about. Avoid the radical stuff. I'm down with that. :)
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Re: Scientists to call for negative emissions fuels & en

Unread postby steam_cannon » Sun 02 Dec 2007, 00:34:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', 'I')f I didn't know any better I'd swear you hecklers want the world to be destroyed and the lives of human beings to be turned to sh!t. :(
You're absolutely right Narz, many people here do want doom. As the roller coaster of exponential population growth climbs higher and higher... The peak oilers are getting worried the ride down is looking scarier and scarier.

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You know that "Oh my fucking god!" feeling on a roller coaster... That's what these guys are feeling.

So the heckling is also for good reason. Humanity outgrows every saving technology and we also tend to fail at implementing large projects, like Kyoto. Plus we are greedy. If this technology is less profitable (efficient) in any way compared to other alternatives (coal to liquids), then it won't happen. Maybe some of Europe will try, but the US, China and the rest of the world might not. It may just become part of an ineffective carbon credits scheme.

So no matter how good the idea is, don't underestimate mankinds capacity to screw it up. The doomers don't! :-D

Here are a few questions...

How well does this scale up? It's already appears that Biofuels (even cellulistic ethanol and slashing down all the forests) are unlikely to ever fully fuel any country without serious population reductions. Brazil has been called an ideal case and it has only replaced about 10% of it's oil energy needs with Ethanol. The rest of their energy boom seems to have come from drilling.

The problems of scale are, how many hundreds of years would it take to sequester enough carbon to make a difference in climate change. If the answer is more then 20 years, we will be seeing massive problems in our time. And how much energy can this provide for people. How many households can it heat or power? How much liquid fuels can be derived this way? And can it be scaled up to make up for depletion of other resources? How long can it fuel an exponentially growing population? Can anything?

With wastes likely to be demanded for cellulistic ethanol it's hard to know how much market demand there would be. It would have to outperform ethanol and produce a liquid fuel. And if it doesn't outperform ethanol it probably wouldn't be implemented no matter how good it is for the soil. Personally, I suspect that there will be more stuff like agrichar, but I'm not sure how much of a difference it will make.

People can char farm waste and hook up methane capture devices to their butts while their at it and it still isn't going to fuel this...
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Last edited by steam_cannon on Sun 02 Dec 2007, 01:40:55, edited 2 times in total.
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