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Collective Burn Out from PO

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 20:06:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'I') have a feeling that the sadness will only increase as the bad news deepens. It's enough to make me wish I was a fundamentalist Christian and could believe The Rapture was approaching. I can't believe in such tales of course, but I can see how it might help to do so. But aside from that, one of the issues that bothers me is the uncertainty that won't go away. We've got data posted at the oildrum saying oil production peaked already in 2005. And we've got ASPO saying peak will occur in 2011. Dammit, I need to know, which is it?


Which is it?

Light sweet crude peaked in 2005, it's likely total crude oil (not counting natural gas liquids or biofuels) peaked in 2006 or possibly even in 2005 (but there is a chance it didn't - see below).

While total liquid fuels have not yet peaked, I almost agree with ASPO that 2011 is the latest date for a peak in that category. My last date for a peak is 2010. However the actual peak liquids could be as soon as somewhere about January 2008 - due to the opening of new fields in Saudi Arabia and Angola in the next few months or so. There are also other projects in the next three years that appear to be bringing natural gas liquids on line while other older regular crude fields fall back. After that, existing production may fall off enough that it may not compensate for new fields. The wild card is that Saudi Arabia plus Kuwait still have unused heavy crude capacity of 1 million bpd or something in the range that they could produce - except there isn't currently enough refinery capacity for that type of crude.

So to simplify, I would say we are on an irregular production plateau from now to 2010 (at the latest). Plan accordingly.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby THEKINGHUBBERT » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:00:15

Mmasters - I hope you have managed to question it again as I have and come to the conclusion that it does not matter.

It does not matter if it reality or an illusion.

It does not matter if it is simply mankinds growth meeting earth's geological limit or some conspiracy of grand proportions.

If it is reality then it explains alot and the same applies if it is a conspiracy.

It fits the round holes in their heads where the square peg once sat and thus it will work like a tool to accomplish the goals of TPTB.

So, have you managed to step that far away from it yet?
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby Iaato » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:04:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'I')aato, any thoughts for beating burnout? I'm relaxing for now, doing what I can to be on a good schedule, exercise some and eat healthy. I'm looking to get back in gear somewhat soon if possible.


The standard response of stress counselors would be to cut back, take care of your health, make sure to get out and exercise, have some friends, and talk to friends. If there's grief involved, just know that you need to go down and through the grief, to come up on the other side of it renewed. Time really does heal wounds. But if you're not having fun and learning at your job, it's time to get a new one. Life is way too short.

My standard response to stress is to increase my exercise, and that has generally worked. You produce all kinds of nasty free-floating catecholamines when stressed, and exercise burns them off. Bodily tressors for cave men (like a mastodon hunt, perhaps) typically responded well to running; but there are not too many mastodons around today, and typing doesn't burn those catecholamines off. Plus running creates endorphins, which are magical happy drugs similar to morphine.

And consider your support systems, which can be very important for both sexes, but especially for women. All the original stress research was done on men, and that's where the fight or flight phrase came from. More recent research on women has found that women react differently to stress; women will "tend and befriend." Women circle the wagons, gather the family, and help each other out. Interesting differences with a clear evolutionary causation based on gender role differences in hunting and gathering societies.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby PrairieMule » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:07:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'A')s of now I'm recovering from burn out after dealing with a prolonged bad work situation and some troubles in my personal life. So anyway it made me more aware of where our limits are and that burnout is a real phenomenon when people are pushed too hard (as when emotional stress becomes overwhelming for a prolonged period of time). I really believe that PO or events stemming from it have the power to burn out vast segements of society. Curious how many of you have dealt with breakdowns or depressions resulting from being overloaded. Experiencing it really leads me to believe that a good portion of society will become frail when TSHTF (as I'm more conscious of the possibility for it within myself).


Well with as many posts and contributions as you have made to this forum if you told me you were not burned out I'd say you were a liar. I see this every three months or so. I'll tell you the two things that I tell those folks. First, take a break from this place. Go for a hike, go to the gun range, go fishing. Give yourself a day off from the doom-you have earned it. It happens to Frequent posters and almost all of the mods have needed to take a short term break.

Second, take an honest stock of your situation. IMHO-you as well as many other posters and Mods are so far ahead of the curve you will fair better than 95% of our countrymen walking around bow legged from having their heads up their ass.

As far as pressure at work, brother I feel your pain. I just survived being laid off from Countrywide last May and I have had (metaphorically speaking) a dozen plagues decend upon my household. Shit happens. Five months ago I had my ass kicked to the curb and escorted out to the parking lot. Tommorow I am being promoted to head a project for BMW North America. Good Shit happens too.

Be receptive to take the good with bad and know that you have friends here who give a shit about you. It's going to get better-as Specop once said "Sun shines on a dog's ass once in a while".
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby WildRose » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:13:26

Sorry to hear you're feeling a little out-of-sorts, mmasters. Try not to stress about being away from it all for a while; rather, enjoy the time that you have to figure out what works for you.

An aunt and uncle of mine described to me a process they went through several years ago, when they were at the height of their working lives and their years raising children. They felt overwhelmed by their schedules and realized their collective level of satisfaction with everything on their plates was at an all-time low. What they did was this: they both took a few weeks off work and spent that time doing absolutely nothing. Then, they gradually added activities and responsibilities, immediately discarding anything that brought back the familiar feelings of stress, anxiety, or the vague sense that the activity was not something they wanted to spend any more time on. Anyway, what they ended up with after all this was more free time, more time together, more meaningful time with their kids, less stress and more energy. I'm happy to report that today they are in their 70's, retired, and I'd be hard-pressed to find another couple enjoying life more than those two are.

I don't know if you can see any similarities in this example to your situation, mmasters. I think we can all use a bit of re-evaluation in our lives at times, though.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby Revi » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:27:28

We are living in an amazing time period, and lately I am just trying to enjoy the show. I am getting together with others who know what the deal is, but I've decided to quit talking as much about peak oil to most people. It's too late now anyway.

I do get a bit tired of the doom. I know that the doom is coming, but I've decided to be like Roberto Benini in Life is Beautiful. He knew that things were bad, but he told his son that he was building a tank when he was actually melting down metal for the Nazi war machine.

We're building a tank.

I try to tell my students that the future has hope. I may not believe it myself, but they just may make it anyway.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby americandream » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:35:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')hat's the problem isn't it. The uncertainty. Not knowing. That place between heaven and hell.

They want to talk about work, movies, music, crops, economy and all I want to do is scream "peak oil, you f@ckin numbnuts." But that gets you nowhere fast.
Yeah, I hear you. I do my share of talking about those other things you mentioned. It's sort of a "here today, gone tomorrow" mentality and I understand it. I don't think I could cope without those other cultural things to distract me. Here's an irony for you, recently I rewatched David Attenborough's famous series, The Living Planet. My oldest daughter said as she watched part of it with me that it's nowhere near as good as the recent series Planet Earth. Turns out David Attenborough was deeply involved in both series. Planet Earth, though, is mored stressed even than New York stock brokers. If I have anything approaching a religious faith, it's that the Earth will bounce back someday after we trashed it. Have you ever pondered what your last words might be? Those are mine: the Earth will bounce back eventually. Small comfort to us who have to live through the coming horrors, but hey, it's all I've got.


I don't think it really matters to the cosmos whether the earth is alive as we see it, or dead. Although this may well be the last time that the earth is enveloped in a gaian organism, it will continue its cosmic journey till the end of the sun's life.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby Heineken » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:37:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'I') am burned out from enduring the worst drought of my adult life. We have had only half an inch of rain here going back well into August, and it's running 5 to 10 degrees F warmer than "normal" each and every day. We went two whole weeks without even seeing a cloud. The sun is murderous. They're now calling for record highs in the 90s next week, which will be close to 20 degrees above normal. Our streams have dried up, our well is weakening, our forests are under severe stress, and fire looms. I've given up on some of my plantings, which are dying. There seems to be no end to this in sight.

If you're tied to the land in any way, a drought is absolutely the worst thing there is, except for a tornado, which at least is mercifully brief. A drought is slow torture, with ever-building pressure. I can well understand how drought-stricken farmers in Australia and India have been killing themselves rather than deal with it any longer.

I am burned out from taking care of two crazy, controling octogenarians, aka my parents. You talk about stress, mmasters!

Combine this personal stuff with what I know about PO, GW, the real economy, and the rest of it, and I'm feeling unusually gloomy. Wish I could do what roccman advises and just walk away, but it ain't that easy.
I left central Pennsylvania 15 years ago because I was tired of the drought. Of seeing stunted corn rows year after year. As you may well know I relocated to coastal California in Humboldt Co. This is a mild land of fog, cool summers, and wet winters. Well we are now feeling the same f*cking global warming you and everybody else is. The summers are clear and warm and the rains comes late now. Too late for forest mushrooms that I love. It has been a passion of mine to go deep into the forest and to discover and bring back exotic and edibles delights.

What is worse is the Douglas fir forest depends on a symbiotic relationship with specific fungus. Nutrients are passed back and forth from mycorrhizal mushroom webs (chanterelles, boletes, tan oak, etc.) and the roots of the fir tree. These trees are the economy here, though I would screw the economy to save the earth.

It is very sad to see such changes.


I guess even the redwood curtain is permeable to the world's crap, pstarr. Sorry to hear it.

I share your passion for mushrooms, and as you may (or may not) know I grow shiitakes. It's a pleasant activity with a nice return, and I recommend it to you.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby threadbear » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:44:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'I') have a feeling that the sadness will only increase as the bad news deepens. It's enough to make me wish I was a fundamentalist Christian and could believe The Rapture was approaching. I can't believe in such tales of course, but I can see how it might help to do so. But aside from that, one of the issues that bothers me is the uncertainty that won't go away. We've got data posted at the oildrum saying oil production peaked already in 2005. And we've got ASPO saying peak will occur in 2011. Dammit, I need to know, which is it?


Which is it?

Light sweet crude peaked in 2005, it's likely total crude oil (not counting natural gas liquids or biofuels) peaked in 2006 or possibly even in 2005 (but there is a chance it didn't - see below).

While total liquid fuels have not yet peaked, I almost agree with ASPO that 2011 is the latest date for a peak in that category. My last date for a peak is 2010. However the actual peak liquids could be as soon as somewhere about January 2008 - due to the opening of new fields in Saudi Arabia and Angola in the next few months or so. There are also other projects in the next three years that appear to be bringing natural gas liquids on line while other older regular crude fields fall back. After that, existing production may fall off enough that it may not compensate for new fields. The wild card is that Saudi Arabia plus Kuwait still have unused heavy crude capacity of 1 million bpd or something in the range that they could produce - except there isn't currently enough refinery capacity for that type of crude.

So to simplify, I would say we are on an irregular production plateau from now to 2010 (at the latest). Plan accordingly.


I'd just go for the "sometime soon" explanation. Don't box yourself in. Otherwise, it's bit like Oral Roberts preaching that he's going to be called home on a specific date. Hey, though...there's an idea there. Remember the Oral escape clause?

You can do what Roberts did. Make a specific date for peak, urge the faithful to pray and send donations, to you or your favorite charity, (ASPO), and if peak oil doesn't occur on that very date, you can just tell people their prayers were answered!! Perfect :lol: :lol:
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby Heineken » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 22:49:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'I') am burned out from enduring the worst drought of my adult life. We have had only half an inch of rain here going back well into August, and it's running 5 to 10 degrees F warmer than "normal" each and every day. We went two whole weeks without even seeing a cloud. The sun is murderous. They're now calling for record highs in the 90s next week, which will be close to 20 degrees above normal. Our streams have dried up, our well is weakening, our forests are under severe stress, and fire looms. I've given up on some of my plantings, which are dying. There seems to be no end to this in sight.

If you're tied to the land in any way, a drought is absolutely the worst thing there is, except for a tornado, which at least is mercifully brief. A drought is slow torture, with ever-building pressure. I can well understand how drought-stricken farmers in Australia and India have been killing themselves rather than deal with it any longer.

I am burned out from taking care of two crazy, controling octogenarians, aka my parents. You talk about stress, mmasters!

Combine this personal stuff with what I know about PO, GW, the real economy, and the rest of it, and I'm feeling unusually gloomy. Wish I could do what roccman advises and just walk away, but it ain't that easy.


That's awful, Heineken. Is your brother helping with your parents at all, or is he too far away? I had no idea the weather was that severe where you are. We're having record rain here and have had for a year. Prior to that we had drought after drought in the Spring and Summer months, going back years.

You have to witness your own mother going downhill at the same time you're forced to witness Mother Nature fall apart. It's kind of cinematic, in a way.


My brother is in Boston and is very tied down there at present, T-bear. However, after his two sons have flown the coop (one is 18 and the other is 16), he may move in with us. He's a bankrupt former businessman (and current Latin teacher in a Boston high school) who lost everything because of the events of 9/11.

I had heard that parts of Canada have been plenty wet this year. Everything seems shifted either north or south this year, leaving places like Virginia in a strange, agonizing limbo.

Yes, it is very difficult watching the disintegration of my parents, and participating in the general mess of it. I am now certain I don't want to go through that myself. 77 is the age I plan to take my exit, should I be so lucky (get it?) as to get there. Gives me 25 more years from here . . .

p.s. I read all of Orwell's stuff when I was younger. I mean ALL of it. I was a regular little Orwell scholar. I'd have to put "Down and Out" up there among the 10 best books I've ever read. Guaranteed to make the miserable feel a little less miserable by contrast.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby vision-master » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 23:28:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')y standard response to stress is to increase my exercise, and that has generally worked. You produce all kinds of nasty free-floating catecholamines when stressed, and exercise burns them off. Bodily tressors for cave men (like a mastodon hunt, perhaps) typically responded well to running; but there are not too many mastodons around today, and typing doesn't burn those catecholamines off. Plus running creates endorphins, which are magical happy drugs similar to morphine.


They quit worken for me. Exercise causes stress if you need that to make it through the day. 30+ years of the endorphin fix and I had enough. I quit chasing the dragon. The runners high dosen't work for me anymore. The exercise freaks get a blank look now when I mention this. Getting mello is best for me now. Everything that mattered has changed. I'm happier now, but can't handle stress anymore. I ran too hard for to many years. Was fearless and liked being the king of the hill. I like walking in the woods with my black lab the best now. Did a 1 1/2 hour hike today. Somedays I'll go for 3 hours. Depends on how I feel. Other days I just can't do much of anything.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby kadoomsoon » Wed 03 Oct 2007, 23:45:48

Plan your finances to live for five years, it won't hurt if there is a little left over.
Heinikn, come to Or. We grow mushrooms here. I just woke up and found a whole flower be FULL of diamond studded pufballs, and I said What is going on here?: And the neighbor goes, oh no, it is mushroom season, enjoy! (eat before they turn dark inside)

lots of berries and mushrooms and rivers and rain and fireplace and wood.
come. the move gives yo something to do, and it is exciting being near the ocean.

I am a little sad you don't belive in other scenes, so many religions have been spore bait sucking the money out of their people.

When you get sad, do this one thing, Go into the woods or outside at night see the stars, endless or feel the wind or hear the creek where it is quiet. Just ask, God, help me believe in who you really are.not the fake evil one who tortures people, the moneymaker, but in the one who made all these beautiful things. Show me who you are. Reveal yourself to me. That is it.

That is it. Then go for a walk.

Next time you have a chance remember what he said.
Those who come to me I will in no way cast out. He doesn't lie.

then read genesis, see how it goes.

The neat thing is we are all the same in his ind, if youmade something, and you are an artist that is exceptional, whatever you make is special.

anyway, don't worry how long, just remeber today only.
Quality..When a house fire comes, the artist always saves his pictures he drew first. If you get what I mean.

Anyway, the walk will always help.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby SILENTTODD » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 04:51:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', 'T')ake a hike...ride a bike...


This is the best piece of advice of all the posts up to now. I can testify for myself a long bike ride (if you don’t have a Bike, get one!) is the best thing for the spirt one can do.

By nature I tend to be predisposed to be what has been termed on these pages as a “Doomer”. I find it hard to find fault in the arguments of Matt Savinar, but still I’m not ready to put the gun in my mouth.

I find the 5 to 10 mile bike rides I take daily life savers. They keep my body exercised (and I have a bad left leg) and my mind optimistic. A suggestion, if you are within 10 miles of your work, GET A BIKE. Ride it every day to work. Will save your sprit, Will save your life!

The father of existentialism, Soren Kierkegaard, known for his long daily walks; once wrote “There is no problem I cannot walk away from”. I would paraphrase that and say there is “no problem I cannot RIDE away from”!
Last edited by SILENTTODD on Fri 05 Oct 2007, 01:26:15, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby mkwin » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 04:58:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mkwin', 'W')ell I am under a lot of pressure at the moment. I do a pretty fast paced high pressure job in the city and knowing it has no future means I have lost all motivation and it shows in my performance.

I will be telling my boss that I am quitting over the next couple of days and I will be moving back home some 150 miles away to start retraining for a job that might still be needed post-peak in a moderate scenario. Man peak oil is hard. So many uncertainties.


What is it you do, Mkwin?


Commercial property development and investment of all things. Has to be one of the most doomed activities in the industrialised world. You can't successfully build property for profit in a inflationary depression. Good times!

I am going to do a quick training course as an energy surveyor and I can work for myself while studying an engineering degree and then a finsihing with a renewable energy course.

I figure engineers might still be needed and even in a worst case situation i'll be able to fix and build things.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby MD » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 05:10:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '.')..I like walking in the woods with my black lab the best now. Did a 1 1/2 hour hike today. Somedays I'll go for 3 hours...


More wood walks = less stress.

Wife and I stay whole in the woods.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby Heineken » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 09:25:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kadoomsoon', 'P')lan your finances to live for five years, it won't hurt if there is a little left over.
Heinikn, come to Or. We grow mushrooms here. I just woke up and found a whole flower be FULL of diamond studded pufballs, and I said What is going on here?: And the neighbor goes, oh no, it is mushroom season, enjoy! (eat before they turn dark inside)

lots of berries and mushrooms and rivers and rain and fireplace and wood.
come. the move gives yo something to do, and it is exciting being near the ocean.

I am a little sad you don't belive in other scenes, so many religions have been spore bait sucking the money out of their people.

When you get sad, do this one thing, Go into the woods or outside at night see the stars, endless or feel the wind or hear the creek where it is quiet. Just ask, God, help me believe in who you really are.not the fake evil one who tortures people, the moneymaker, but in the one who made all these beautiful things. Show me who you are. Reveal yourself to me. That is it.

That is it. Then go for a walk.

Next time you have a chance remember what he said.
Those who come to me I will in no way cast out. He doesn't lie.

then read genesis, see how it goes.

The neat thing is we are all the same in his ind, if youmade something, and you are an artist that is exceptional, whatever you make is special.

anyway, don't worry how long, just remeber today only.
Quality..When a house fire comes, the artist always saves his pictures he drew first. If you get what I mean.

Anyway, the walk will always help.


I appreciate the thought and sensitivity you put into this delicate flower of a post.

OR is too expensive, except for the western part, which is one of the driest places on Earth. I can't see buying one or two acres there; I need far more space to stretch out in.

I tried to read the Bible once but found it mostly unintelligible, and rather cruel. I have patience for Dickens, but not the Bible. I do have some vague religious thoughts that are tied entirely to nature, not anything PEOPLE, who to me are killing nature and therefore killing God.

I normally spend lots of time in the woods, but these days the woods depress me because of our endless drought. I'm spending more time working on our buildings, and hoping that they won't burn up.

Thanks again, kadoomsoon.
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---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby TT » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 09:56:05

Heineken,

I have been where you are now. 7 years of terrible drought, devastating fires, crippling water restrictions, everywhere dust underfoot, garden plants dead and dried out.

Yet I have found that the rains do come again. Just recently we had rain. So much, in fact, that houses were inundated or even washed away. The pump houses at the catchment dam were washed away and bridges over the local creeks destroyed. That was in July and we have had no rain since. So we are back to drought and already bush fires are threatening.

I was depressed because I felt that I was powerless to deal with drought, fire and flood. But then I took some positive action. We drilled a bore, we installed another 26,000 gallon water storage tanks in addition to the 25,000 gals we already had. We installed a drip water system for the gardens which is very economical on water. We installed a mist sprinkler system on the roof for fire protection. We dug two huge dams on the property.

At first these extra tanks and dams were sitting empty, but when the rains came they filled and they supply us with enough water for a full year of house use and irrigation. We also have enough to share with the neighbours so they can grow a good vegetable garden.

What we did wasn't cheap, but didn't cost as much as you might think because we did most of the work ourselves and we now feel more empowered to deal with our changing weather patterns.

Look around and take positive action where ever possible. Even a little with help you feel more empowered.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby Last_Laff » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 11:59:43

If the prices barred me from the travel from one place to back home, I'd pull out my bug out baggage and ride down the long journey across 3 provinces. If I have to.
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Re: Collective Burn Out from PO

Unread postby Heineken » Thu 04 Oct 2007, 12:18:31

TT: Thank you for your thoughts.

We're not used to severe drought around here, so it's more of a shock than a drought in Australia, I suppose. We're just not set up to handle it at all, but I hear what you are saying about taking proactive steps.

I may have to consider having my land (which is nearly all heavily forested) clear-cut. Then at least the house would probably survive a fire . . . although I've heard that burning cinders can blow long distances and land on rooftops. Since the woods may well burn off anyway, I could get some economic return for the lumber and not feel guilty. We may just have to shift to a regime of more open land around the house, which we'd mow to keep open.

It would be expensive to get rid of all those stumps, though, and grade and seed.

I guess in the future Virginia will look a lot more like Australia . . .
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
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