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Productivity bullcrap

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Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby neocone » Tue 04 Sep 2007, 05:44:47

Instant BS stats for your viewing pleasure everybody!

link

I guess in the same vain one can argue the more houses are sold in America i.e generates paper money circulation, the more the worker's productivity goes up.

10 trillion $ of economic productivity means exactly what? It's fiat money and if tomorrow the US reserve prints enough money to increase the amount of $$$ in circulation within the US by 100%, then after hyperinflation the productivity of the US worker will jump 100% too!!!
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby kuidaskassikaeb » Tue 04 Sep 2007, 14:46:22

I saw an article in Business Week that could shed some light on that. They called it "The true cost of outsourcing". Basically the way the statistics work, if you have a company that sells say tables. If they are making the tables in the United States, at a cost of $1000, and they then close their factory and buy the tables from China for 500 dollars, the economists in the government, will say that the office staff and sales people have increased their productivity by 500 dollars. Nobody knew how large the error is, but they had some pretty impressive examples of error, and there has been a lot of outsourcing going on.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby Denny » Tue 04 Sep 2007, 15:11:25

The measure of GDP (Or GNI or GNP, for that matter) are always a bit suspect to me.

For instance, if you were to live in a hostile environment, and within a violent society, and one with many external enemies, so many of your extra living costs go into that GDP number, whether they are valuable by themselves or not.

In that context, the high insurance costs go into GDP. The high police costs go into GDP, the money people expend on locks and security systems and prisons go into the GDP. And, even the high costs incurred to support the military. Because all those tanks and artillery and munitions are part of the GDP too.

Lastly, the fuel you burn to make heat in winter and to cool in summer are part of the GDP.

So, I don't think the GDP is that good of a proxy for quality of life, which is what people usually are thinking when they talk about the economy and productivity. If I can make bullets in volumes three times faster than you, then in a numeric sense I am three times as productive. But, the big question is whether either of us is really productive.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby Ludi » Thu 06 Sep 2007, 17:50:40

I think what we all need to do is be much less productive, as part of the powerdown, we need to consume and produce much much less. We all need to kick back and relax and let this system implode.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Thu 06 Sep 2007, 18:42:59

Don't they take out inflation when calculating GDP, Productivity, etc.?

If people were more productive, they could work less hours, get paid more money, and enjoy a higher quality of life than if they were less productive.

Productivity is great, waste is not.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby Fiddlerdave » Fri 07 Sep 2007, 17:55:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kuidaskassikaeb', 'I') saw an article in Business Week that could shed some light on that. They called it "The true cost of outsourcing". Basically the way the statistics work, if you have a company that sells say tables. If they are making the tables in the United States, at a cost of $1000, and they then close their factory and buy the tables from China for 500 dollars, the economists in the government, will say that the office staff and sales people have increased their productivity by 500 dollars. Nobody knew how large the error is, but they had some pretty impressive examples of error, and there has been a lot of outsourcing going on.
The export of our manufacuring and technical base has, indeed, been the source of our "wealth generation" in the past 5 years, in my view.

But this so closely resembles mining the bricks from your foundation to afford to put a second floor on your house, I find it hard to trust in the future of the building. Despite it being over 200 years old, there comes a point where even a breeze could blow it down.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby Petrodollar » Tue 11 Sep 2007, 15:28:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') saw an article in Business Week that could shed some light on that. They called it "The true cost of outsourcing".


Yes, that was from a few months ago, and here are some remarks about US productivity statistics and US outsourcing to overseas markets...

http://www.informationclearinghouse.inf ... e18350.htm

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]American Economy: RIP
Sept. 10, 2007

The US economy continues its slow death before our eyes, but economists, policymakers, and most of the public are blind to the tottering fabled land of opportunity.

In August jobs in goods-producing industries declined by 64,000. The US economy lost 4,000 jobs overall. The private sector created a mere 24,000 jobs, all of which could be attributed to the 24,100 new jobs for waitresses and bartenders, and the government sector lost 28,000 jobs.

In the 21st century the US economy has ceased to create jobs in export industries and in industries that compete with imports. US job growth has been confined to domestic services, principally to food services and drinking places (waitresses and bartenders), private education and health services (ambulatory health care and hospital orderlies), and construction (which now has tanked). The lack of job growth in higher productivity, higher paid occupations associated with the American middle and upper middle classes will eventually kill the US consumer market.


(excerpt re U.S. "productivity" statisitcs)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..The jobs data and the absence of growth in real income for most of the population are inconsistent with reports of US GDP and productivity growth. Economists take for granted that the work force is paid in keeping with its productivity. A rise in productivity thus translates into a rise in real incomes of workers. Yet, we have had years of reported strong productivity growth but stagnant or declining household incomes. And somehow the GDP is rising, but not the incomes of the work force.

Something is wrong here. Either the data indicating productivity and GDP growth are wrong or Karl Marx was right that capitalism works to concentrate income in the hands of the few capitalists. A case can be made for both explanations.

Recently an economist, Susan Houseman, discovered that the reliability of some US economics statistics has been impaired by offshoring. Houseman found that cost reductions achieved by US firms shifting production offshore are being miscounted as GDP growth in the US and that productivity gains achieved by US firms when they move design, research, and development offshore are showing up as increases in US productivity. Obviously, production and productivity that occur abroad are not part of the US domestic economy.

Houseman’s discovery rated a Business Week cover story last June 18, but her important discovery seems already to have gone down the memory hole. The economics profession has over-committed itself to the “benefits” of offshoring, globalism, and the non-existent “New Economy.” Houseman’s discovery is too much of a threat to economists’ human capital, corporate research grants, and free market ideology.

The media has likewise let the story go, because in the 1990s the Clinton administration and Congress overturned US policy in favor of a diverse and independent media and permitted a few mega-corporations to concentrate in their hands the ownership of the US media, which reports in keeping with corporate and government interests.

The case for Marx is that offshoring has boosted corporate earnings by lowering labor costs, thereby concentrating income growth in the hands of the owners and managers of capital. According to Forbes magazine, the top 20 earners among private equity and hedge fund managers are earning average yearly compensation of $657,500,000, with four actually earning more than $1 billion annually. The otherwise excessive $36,400,000 average annual pay of the 20 top earners among CEOs of publicly-held companies looks paltry by comparison. The careers and financial prospects of many Americans were destroyed to achieve these lofty earnings for the few.

Hubris prevents realization that Americans are losing their economic future along with their civil liberties and are on the verge of enserfment.

Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan administration. He was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal editorial page and Contributing Editor of National Review. He is coauthor of The Tyranny of Good Intentions.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby Doly » Wed 12 Sep 2007, 10:39:21

Productivity is defined as the average output per worker, or as how much money a company gets from each worker. Clearly, to increase productivity you have to do one or several of these four things:

1) Get each worker to do more stuff
As you are limited on how many extra hours you can squeeze out of workers, the main ways of achieving this are:
a) Getting more efficient processes
b) New technology, possibly consuming more energy, depending on what it is the stuff you do.

2) Find a way to do the same amount of stuff with less workers
Outsourcing is a great way of achieving this. The solutions that work for (1) also apply here.

3) Increase prices of the stuff you sell
Not practical, unless you do funny things to manipulate markets.

4) Get workers to do different, more expensive stuff
This is generally called "innovation"

American companies like to claim that their methods of increasing productivity are always (1) and (4), but in fact they know they will be measured by the final number, rather than the means they used to achieve it. I suspect (2) and (3) have been used much more frequently in recent years.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 13 Sep 2007, 04:02:15

Productivity is rising slower than measured in the USA with profound implications. Basically the American worker is being outsourced as companies find it easier to substitute expensive labor for lower priced imports. 55% of all US imports go into manufacturing, not US final consumption. This, of course, keeps US prices lower and the USA more export competitive, but it is not a measure of US worker productivity. It also makes the US more vulnerable to imported inflation from a weaker US dollar. So if the Fed decides to cut rates next week we can expect oil, wheat and gold as well as every other commodity to continue to rise (as measured in US dollars). It is almost too depressing to contemplate. Sigh...
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: Productivity bullcrap

Unread postby bshirt » Thu 13 Sep 2007, 09:52:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') think what we all need to do is be much less productive, as part of the powerdown, we need to consume and produce much much less. We all need to kick back and relax and let this system implode.


Exactly.

It's entertaining as heck watching from Bob Eucker's third row.
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