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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Life and Death

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

If you were in a lifeboat rated for 8 people with 24 on board, and more tried to board, would you:

Poll ended at Sat 08 Sep 2007, 19:28:39

Let them on board.
9
No votes
Fend them off.
28
No votes
Other (must be explained)
8
No votes
 
Total votes : 45

Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:35:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'I')ts all pointless rhetoric.


Yet, several examples exist that show it isn't pointless. Ludi just posted one.

And in many developed countries that are either in the 3rd phase or 4 phase of demographic transition have lowered their fertility rates.

If it works in those instances, why can it not work elsewhere?
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby gnm » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:41:29

Less bad is still "bad"

I see nothing that has resulted in population declines or "negative growth"...

-G
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:44:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')So, we shouldn't even try?
"We" aren't ever going to try. I understand where you are coming from with your activist point of view. Kudos for your good intentions. But all the kings horses and all the king's men "tried" to put Humpty Dumpty back together again.


So far, the majority of the poll wish to try, and believe it is our responsibility to try.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:44:43

Lowering fertility rates is not the point. We are already in overshoot. Lowering fertility rates now is like closing the barn door after the horse is already out. I see this as indisputable but I would like to hear you argue the merits of this point of view.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:50:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'L')owering fertility rates is not the point. We are already in overshoot. Lowering fertility rates now is like closing the barn door after the horse is already out. I see this as indisputable but I would like to hear you argue the merits of this point of view.


Then you haven't been paying attention. The goal is not to avoid die-off, but to make an effort to reduce the degree of overshoot to lessen the impact on the carrying capacity.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby gnm » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:53:40

Free hot-dogs with a vasectomy? 8O
~shudder~

-G
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:56:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '"')It", in this case, being a local and completely voluntary program consisting of:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '2'). Free abortion, birth control, and sterilization on demand.

6. Promote family planning and education/teach population ecology in the schools at an early age.


Yes, two of the methods from the plan you rail against.

Just making sure we keep the facts straight.

Different measures will need to be applied according to what works or what is acceptable.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'U')ndoubtedly, the current growth must cease and be reversed. But anyone who believes that he can draw a blueprint for the ecological salvation of the human species does not understand the nature of evolution, or even of history — which is that of a permanent struggle for survival in continuously novel forms. So, any blueprint must really be a rough sketch that evolves and changes over time; it can’t be carved in stone.
Last edited by MonteQuest on Tue 14 Aug 2007, 12:59:28, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 13:01:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')Then you haven't been paying attention. The goal is not to avoid die-off, but to make an effort to reduce the degree of overshoot to lessen the impact on the carrying capacity.
Do you really think that when the die-off begins that it will matter if the human population is, say, 6.55 billion vs. 6.50 billion? Besides that, if global oil production peaked in 2005, which apparently it did, then it's way too late for any of this to make any difference. Tell me what you think, I'm paying attention.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby kevincarter » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 13:16:29

Are you backpedaling now?

How many people do you know that are concerned with population growth? And how many people do you know that have gone through an operation to become sterile? I guess both numbers won't match, at all. Those are personal choices that no one is making because no one gives a ****, even those who say the don't want children won't do it. I just know one single person that has gone through this kind of operation and he wasn't concerned a bit about population, he had other reasons.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 13:19:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kevincarter', 'h')e had other reasons.
heh heh. We know what those other reasons are.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby Alcassin » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 13:57:19

MQ: Sure these policies have to be implemented and are implemented.

There are some myths about 3rd world countries, the number of children per woman is falling due to some development, industrialization and some population control policies. Iran implemented some, India just trying their new program paying each marriage for not having children for two first years of it.

India sterilized several hunderd thousand of people, China is fighting in very nasty way to keep one child policy but it works. Sure, it is still not enough but it is merely beginning.

In the 1st world the number of people will decrease also - only to keep and concentrate wealth of western nations. This is a very good scenario if we can manage. I see many barriers - like christian right - to make it.

There are some optimistic models based on hard data, but if the population decline + efficiency growth (energy input per unit produced) can't offset decline of fossil fuels (and I think they can't) the doom is very likely. Anyway one can't pretend having solutions while being pro-birth.

This way is better than so-called "nature's job". People don't like when "nature" tries to kill them - think of antibiotics, many of us should die when we were ill during childhood. Anyone for "nature's job"? Yeah - don't go pro-abortion - let the 5 yo children die from cold. "Nature's job" is return to the dark ages and I reject this concept, it's very dangerous.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby kevincarter » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 14:36:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kevincarter', 'A')re you backpedaling now?

Are you addressing me?


Ment to say, Monte, are you backpedaling now?
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby eastbay » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 16:07:08

Shannymara,

Ya know, I still don't understand what it is you're trying to say.






(joke... just kidding :lol: )
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 16:13:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', ' ') Please read through the many posts I've made on this issue (not just the quotes selected by Monte) to see that my position is population control is nature's job, and that local efforts made by people are, in my opinion, natural.


Why are population controls applied locally natural, but if applied on a broader scale unnatural?
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 16:17:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alcassin', ' ')This way is better than so-called "nature's job". People don't like when "nature" tries to kill them - think of antibiotics, many of us should die when we were ill during childhood. Anyone for "nature's job"? Yeah - don't go pro-abortion - let the 5 yo children die from cold. "Nature's job" is return to the dark ages and I reject this concept, it's very dangerous.


That's the message I have been trying to get across.

Nature will be far more ruthless than we could ever imagine.

Our bellies are too full for many to grasp this.

They still put humanity above the carrying capacity.

A very unintelligent response to nature.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 16:23:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kevincarter', 'H')ow many people do you know that are concerned with population growth?


Most of the people I know are.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd how many people do you know that have gone through an operation to become sterile?


Many, or they chose to not have children.

And again, I have never advocated sterilization, only that we should make it free to those who want it.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 16:31:11

I'm not sure it's of any help to use the words "natural" and "unnatural" because so often the words are just used to denote what we like or don't like. The natural is good, the unnatural bad. Perhaps more useful would be a discussion about the possible benefits or drawbacks of each approach. Personally, I can imagine a globally shared system of values which would lead to local actions which may or may not be the same as some other community's actions. For instance, one community might have more success paying women not to have children, whereas another might have more success giving free vasectomies.

A variety of approaches emulates the diversity of living systems, and perhaps offers more opportunity for success and appeal to different groups of people.
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Re: Life and Death

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 17:10:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', ' ') Personally, I can imagine a globally shared system of values which would lead to local actions which may or may not be the same as some other community's actions. For instance, one community might have more success paying women not to have children, whereas another might have more success giving free vasectomies.

A variety of approaches emulates the diversity of living systems, and perhaps offers more opportunity for success and appeal to different groups of people.


Exactly. People are so vapid about denoucing the list of suggestions that members came up with, they don't stop to engage some critical thinking about what would work where or what could be added.

It's all just "madness and delusion." " Nazi ideology"

And if people find it rude for me to say that is just pathetic, go right ahead.

At least I, and others, attempted to make a list.
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