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Countering the gloom

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Countering the gloom

Unread postby asdar » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 12:51:11

I'm a peak believer, but I'm not a believer in the die off of humans, at least not in the U.S. and I think people are too critical of other people.

Maybe it's because of the way I grew up and what I've seen, but I don't think we'll collapse as a society. We may take some large backward steps, but I think the U.S. in particular will keep on rolling.

The reasons I see that happening are that we have the land for food, we have the coal for energy, we have the tech to build nuclear, and we have an infrastructure of railways that just needs to be maintained and repaired and not created from scratch. We also have a military that will keep people from messing with us.

People underestimate our ability to adapt. We're one generation away from being self sufficient. Even modern spoiled Americans can adapt and we have advantages that will keep us from going back to a level of living that's too primitive.

I remember going to family gatherings that were just to can tomatoes and freeze corn. My grandparents grew all of their own food.

My post isn't about the technology we'll be losing or finding a quick cure to the post peak problems. This is about how I think average people will react and respond to Peak Oil.

I think that we will respond as a nation and that we can adapt. Like I said, the U.S. has many natural advantages over other countries. Because we're currently the most spoiled country doesn't necessarily mean that we're the least capable of surviving Peak Oil mostly intact.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby Resurrection » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 13:17:54

I wish I shared your faith bro, especially about how the average person will handle it.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby NotMyBlood » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 13:23:23

I somewhat agree and I actually welcome these changes. But, I'm beginning to think most in the Peak Oil Community don't want to hear/read/discuss/explore anything but total collapse, paraniod beliefs about Bush/Cheney hiding under their bedds and playing boogie man, etc etc etc....

And lets be honest, those are interesting subjects. But the level of Doom and Gloom gets to be a little too much sometimes....

I do think it will be a "rocky" transition to the environment your describing, but I do think that scenario has as good a chance as any, if not more.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby Ferretlover » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 14:13:05

I don't have a lot of faith in people in general, especially when there are enough assembled to develop into a mob with a mob mentality.

It takes very, very little to set off a mob...

Stop the train! Soccer fans must have beer! German national railway halts special train to match when tap fails
link: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20155039?GT1=10252
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby Pops » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 14:19:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('asdar', 'P')eople underestimate our ability to adapt. We're one generation away from being self sufficient.

Good post asdar, I agree.

Though I get a little doomerish from time to time I think the only thing to do is to do something.

Thoughts of the if, when, why and how of doom have surely occupied idle minds forever.

But be assured the fantasizing will go away if things get tough and minds turn to the realities at hand.

The best way to combat the feeling PO.com is full of fantasizing fatalists is to find an area of interest that can help folks in the transition and post it up the Planning Forum.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby HorneyGeekBoi » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 14:40:11

Pure fantasy... What makes you think your neighbour cares what happens to you when their family might starve? Look at the crime stats as it is in inner cities, and were supposed to have it as good now...
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby clueless » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 14:48:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')ure fantasy... What makes you think your neighbour cares what happens to you when their family might starve? Look at the crime stats as it is in inner cities, and were supposed to have it as good now...


There are many problems that facilitate this in the inner city - The primary one being lack of two parent families and absentee fathers. The economy has very little to do with this, ever see how many overwight people live in the inner cities ?
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby clueless » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 14:50:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') don't have a lot of faith in people in general, especially when there are enough assembled to develop into a mob with a mob mentality.


This is a product of a society characeterized by sloth and laziness, when people have to start working instead of sitting around playing video games, wathing tv and oggling porn sites this will change.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby clueless » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 15:02:07

Asdar don't listen to these doomers on this site. If the US is going to collapse then it is going to collapse, nobody knows how things are going to pan out.

As I say over an over on these forums is life really that great in the USA ? I really get sick of the obsession with consumption, would less of that be so bad ?

I think the Doomers are really the ones that love this way of life and can't face the reality that things are going to change.

And it will change, but that is all we know...
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby asdar » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 15:10:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('HorneyGeekBoi', 'P')ure fantasy... What makes you think your neighbour cares what happens to you when their family might starve? Look at the crime stats as it is in inner cities, and were supposed to have it as good now...


This isn't true for every city. Some have had crime, and violent crime go down, NYC for instance.

Back in time they had cities as well.

I think a lot of the gloom is because people think we have it better now than we did 20 years ago, we don't. Vacations are down and stress is up. Going back 20 years, or 40 years wouldn't necessarily be a bad thing.

My neighbor cares about me, because I care about my neighbor. If things get rough you'll see neighbors buying farm equipment together and working together.

I saw it when I was young, when I worked on a dairy farm during hay season and I think it's an easier transition than modernized people think. It's natural to want to form a community in hard times.

The collapse won't happen overnight, and we have the greatest community builder available in the internet. If things start to get ugly we'll have agrarian communities and green energy communities forming faster because of the ability to communicate.

I hope we have the leadership to secure our energy, food and rail.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby Resurrection » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 15:22:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ferretlover', 'I') don't have a lot of faith in people in general, especially when there are enough assembled to develop into a mob with a mob mentality.

It takes very, very little to set off a mob...



Exactly.

Honestly sorry to everyone that's sick of the doomers, because i'll be posting much doom no doubt. I mean that too, because in theory I do believe people should always fight for what they believe in.

Many of the more optimistic on the boards seem to assume that the masses have the same level of thinking as others that post on these boards. They don't. Any great efforts you make will somehow be undone by the masses/mob/zombies.

I respect all of you though, really. And yes you should not give up, as it's good for your mentality in general if you believe there is hope. Just accept those of us that have much less faith in the western worlds ability populations to adapt, so abruptly.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('clueless', '
') oggling porn sites this will change.


Yeah, losing internet porn is what bothers me the most about peak oil. My kids will be so jealous when I tell them story's of being able to look at beautiful naked women at the click of a button.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby clueless » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 15:27:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') respect all of you though, really. And yes you should not give up, as it's good for your mentality in general if you believe there is hope I guess. Just accept those of us that have much less faith in the western worlds populations to adapt, so abruptly.


If your hope lies only in this world then you are the most pitiful.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby NotMyBlood » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 15:40:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('HorneyGeekBoi', 'P')ure fantasy... What makes you think your neighbour cares what happens to you when their family might starve? Look at the crime stats as it is in inner cities, and were supposed to have it as good now...


This may be true in some areas. But I remember and would guess there are countless small communities that still exist in America that still holds values that demand they help their neigbor. Not only values but more of economic and general support for each other. Growing up in the midwest I witnessed those values. You may not like the person, but you are going to do whatever you can to help someone out. You know, when I was a kid, I remember the parents getting together and "helping" each other. Especially young families. I'm sure that still exists and would return if it were necessary for everybody to get by.......
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby clueless » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 17:05:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')lueless, you suggest we take Take 75 million pleasure users offline and make them get jobs (although, of course, many will already have jobs) . Problem with that is, you take Take 75 million users offline and suddenly a very significant amount of jobs disappear. This applys to anything in the leisure industry.


What - Do you think change is always painless or comfortable ? My thesis is simple, put the fear of God into the next generation about their future (as BP and Chevron are sort of doing now) and you just may see a change, will it take some sacrifice, or course - But would that be a bad thing ?
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby Cloud9 » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 21:30:51

What would it take to cause humanity to abandon decency, forget law, abandon his family and run screaming into the streets to shoot his neighbor? I suspect for most, it will take more than the realization that he can no longer afford to operate his automobile.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby clueless » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 21:43:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat would it take to cause humanity to abandon decency, forget law, abandon his family and run screaming into the streets to shoot his neighbor? I suspect for most, it will take more than the realization that he can no longer afford to operate his automobile.


Ever been to Orange County Ca. ? If not that could be the one place where that could happen. :lol:
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby NotMyBlood » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 22:27:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ferretlover', 'C')lueless: "My thesis is simple, put the fear of God into the next generation about their future."



Notmyblood: "You may not like the person, but you are going to do whatever you can to help someone out. You know, when I was a kid, I remember the parents getting together and "helping" each other. ... I'm sure that still exists and would return if it were necessary for everybody to get by.."

If things get really serious, no body is going to stop working for their family just to help someone else. The only situation that I foresee people helping each other is that of defense. People may have helped others in the past, but when there are no more things being produced or shipped, people are going to hoard for their own. I would and will.


Depends on how "serious' things get. If were talking about total destruction. A nuclear war or climate change that blocks the sun and kills all plants, etc etc. Something like the Road, then yeah, your right.

But, if were talking about a slow decline or fast decline into a depression style way of life, then I think pooling resources and helping each other won't only be a moral obligation it will be required for survival.
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby TheTurtle » Tue 07 Aug 2007, 22:46:00

Let's all try to please stay with the spirit of the OP's premise. Please don't let this turn into yet another die-off/no die-off argument.

Thanks. :)
“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.” (Ted Perry)
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby TheTurtle » Wed 08 Aug 2007, 08:42:10

I split off the Internet die-off discussion into this thread in the Open Discussions forum.

Please continue your observations about the imminent collapse of the Internet there.

Keep to the original intent of the OP in this thread and remember that this is the Psychology forum. This thread looks to counter gloom, not foster more of it.

Thank you and have a nice day. :)
“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.” (Ted Perry)
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Re: Countering the gloom

Unread postby Blacksmith » Wed 08 Aug 2007, 15:11:02

I don't know if I can make you all feel happy and filled with hope and joy, but I can perhaps provide a few insights:

(a) Change is a given and generally occur slowly.

(b) People as a whole are very adept at adapting to change if it occurs slowly.

(c) Economists have been predicting for some time a restructuring of the US and indeed the world economy, what they can't agree on is will it be a slow decline or a catastrophic failure.
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