A leap of faith for stocks
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he pessimistic view is that, after a 4 1/2 -year run, the bull market is on its last legs. These bearish investors say the outlook is increasingly dicey, as interest rates and oil prices climb.
What's more, the dollar is plunging against other currencies, suggesting that foreigners are losing their appetite for American securities.
Against that backdrop, big stock rallies are a dangerous sign, some analysts contend.
"It's certainly in the manic phase now," said Michael Metz, chief investment strategist at money manager Oppenheimer Holdings in New York.
The Dow is up 11.2% year to date after rising 16.3% last year. On Thursday, every one of the index's 30 stocks rose, a rare occurrence.
To optimists, the market is climbing the proverbial "wall of worry" — meaning it is overcoming bad news because of an inherent sense that none of the problems will be fatal for the economy or corporate earnings growth, which underpins stock prices.
"Manic", as in "manic-depressive". We all know what's on the horizon.
My God, the crash is going to be horrendous...