Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

What would you do with: Absolute power?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 00:25:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')How bad would it be if not for those gains?

Sorry, what gains...?


For starters:

USA:
1938 Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act

1947 Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act

1948 Federal Water Pollution Control Act (also known as the Clean Water Act)

1955 Clean Air Act

1965 Shoreline Erosion Protection Act

1965 Solid Waste Disposal Act

1970 National Environmental Policy Act

1970 Pollution Prevention Packaging Act

1970 Resource Recovery Act

1971 Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act

1972 Coastal Zone Management Act

1972 Marine Protection, Research, and Sanctuaries Act

1972 Ocean Dumping Act

1973 Endangered Species Act

1974 Safe Drinking Water Act

1974 Shoreline Erosion Control Demonstration Act

1975 Hazardous Materials Transportation Act

1976 Resource Conservation and Recovery Act

1976 Toxic Substances Control Act

1977 Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act

1978 Uranium Mill-Tailings Radiation Control Act

1980 Asbestos School Hazard Detection and Control Act

1980 Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act

1982 Nuclear Waste Policy Act

1984 Asbestos School Hazard Abatement Act

1986 Asbestos Hazard Emergency Response Act

1986 Emergency Planning and Community Right to Know Act

1988 Indoor Radon Abatement Act

1988 Lead Contamination Control Act

1988 Medical Waste Tracking Act

1988 Ocean Dumping Ban Act

1988 Shore Protection Act

1990 National Environmental Education Act

Australia:

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Heritage Protection Act 1984
Antarctic Marine Living Resources Conservation Act 1981
Antarctic Treaty Act 1960
Antarctic Treaty (Environment Protection) Act 1980
Australian Antarctic Territory Acceptance Act 1933
Australian Antarctic Territory Act 1954
Australian Heritage Council Act 2003
Captains Flat (Abatement of Pollution) Agreement Act 1975
Chowilla Reservoir Agreement Act 1963
Dartmouth Reservoir Agreement Act 1970
Environment Protection (Alligator Rivers Region) Act 1978
Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999
Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Amendment (Wildlife Protection) Act 2001
Environmental Reform (Consequential Provisions) Act 1999
Environment Protection (Sea Dumping) Act 1981
Fuel Quality Standards Act 2000
Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Act 1975
Great Barrier Reef Marine Park (Environmental Management Charge-Excise) Act 1993
Great Barrier Reef Marine Park (Environmental Management Charge-General) Act 1993
Hazardous Waste (Regulation of Exports and Imports) Act 1989
Heard Island and McDonald Islands Act 1953
Hindmarsh Island Bridge Act 1997
Historic Shipwrecks Act 1976
Koongarra Project Area Act 1981
Lake Eyre Basin Intergovernmental Agreement Act 2001
Meteorology Act 1955
Morgan-Whyalla Waterworks Agreement Act 1940
Murray-Darling Basin Act 1993
National Environment Protection Council Act 1994
National Environment Protection Measures (Implementation) Act 1998
National Water Commission Act 2004
Natural Heritage Trust of Australia Act 1997
Ozone Protection and Synthetic Greenhouse Gas Management Act 1989
Ozone Protection and Synthetic Greenhouse Gas (Import Levy) Act 1995
Ozone Protection and Synthetic Greenhouse Gas (Manufacture Levy) Act 1995
Product Stewardship (Oil) Act 2000
Protection of Movable Cultural Heritage Act 1986
Removal of Prisoners (Territories) Act 1923 - insofar as it relates to the Territory of Heard Island and McDonald Islands and the Australian Antarctic Territory
Renewable Energy (Electricity) Act 2000
Renewable Energy (Electricity)(Charge) Act 2000
Sea Installations Act 1987
Sea Installations Levy Act 1987
Sewerage Agreements Act 1973
Sewerage Agreements Act 1974
State Grants (Water Resources Measurement) Act 1970
Sydney Harbour Federation Trust Act 2001
Water Efficiency Labelling and Standards Act 2005
Western Australia Agreement (Ord River Irrigation) Act 1968
Western Australia Agreement (Ord River Irrigation) Act 1980
Western Australia (South-West Region Water Supplies) Agreement Act 1965
Wet Tropics of Queensland World Heritage Area Conservation Act 1994

Even China....

China:

On June 29, 2002, the National People's Congress approved new and comprehensive cleaner production legislation, the Cleaner Production Promotion Law. This new law is the most significant of a number of initiatives the Chinese government has taken to establish Cleaner Production nationwide as one of China's key strategies for sustainable development. It is unprecedented, being the first national law in the world to establish Cleaner Production as a national policy, and to lay out a strategy for its promotion and implementation. This law became effective January 1, 2003.

Environmental Legislation

China did not until the year 2002 have a specific law or act relating to cleaner production/pollution prevention, but cleaner production is reflected in several environmental laws. The relevant legislation is summarized below.


1998- National Peoples' Congress (NPC)-- PRC Law on Energy Saving ( effective 1 Jan 1998): Several programs will be set up under the provision of this law to develop upper-limits for energy consumption per unit of production. The act provides for the phasing-out of outdated products and equipment with excessive levels of energy consumption. The law also provides for energy-saving labeling.

1996-NPC--PRC Law on Water Pollution Prevention and Control --- Article 22: Enterprises should adopt cleaner production technologies to achieve higher efficiency of resource use and to generates reduced levels of pollutants. Enterprises should strengthen house-keeping to reduce the generation of pollutants

1995-NPC-- PRC Law on Air Pollution Prevention and Control --- Article 15: In order to reduce the generation of air pollutants, enterprises should give priority to adopting cleaner production technology which has higher energy efficiency and generates less waste.

NPC-- PRC Law on Solid Waste Prevention and Control --- Article 4: The State encourages and supports the adoption of cleaner production technologies to reduce the generation of solid waste.

1989-NPC-- PRC Law on Environmental Protection ---- Article 25: Applies to new enterprises or existing enterprises renovating their technology. These enterprises should use equipment and processes which have high efficiency of resource use and generate less waste.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby azreal60 » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 01:02:31

Monte, no more long lists. If they aren't getting it after just saying it, all the lists in the world isn't going to change their minds. I've never seen a mind opened by a list, just numbed.
Azreal60
azreal60
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1107
Joined: Sat 26 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Madison,Wisconsin

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 02:25:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('azreal60', 'M')onte, no more long lists. If they aren't getting it after just saying it, all the lists in the world isn't going to change their minds. I've never seen a mind opened by a list, just numbed.


Just a reminder that I always do my homework.

Opinions are a dime a dozen.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby TonyPrep » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 02:33:18

I think my point, amply demonstrated by a number of links in recent posts, is that sustainable methods of food production (but not all organic methods) could well be possible, to feed 6.5 billion people. Monte refuses to accept this but says, even if true, it would be disastrous. I contend that 6.5 billion people living sustainably would not be disastrous. However, I don't think it will ever happen.
User avatar
TonyPrep
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2842
Joined: Sun 25 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Waiuku, New Zealand

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 02:42:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'I') think my point, amply demonstrated by a number of links in recent posts, is that sustainable methods of food production (but not all organic methods) could well be possible, to feed 6.5 billion people. Monte refuses to accept this but says, even if true, it would be disastrous. I contend that 6.5 billion people living sustainably would not be disastrous. However, I don't think it will ever happen.


Then you deny we are in overshoot. I don't know one farmer who would agree with you.

How many years experience have you with actual farming?

I was raised on a farm and worked the fields for years.
Last edited by MonteQuest on Thu 26 Jul 2007, 02:51:21, edited 1 time in total.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby jesus_of_suburbia_old » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 02:42:26

Maybe you could feed 6.5 billion. How could you handle their other needs, though?
jesus_of_suburbia_old
 

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 02:46:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jesus_of_suburbia', 'M')aybe you could feed 6.5 billion. How could you handle their other needs, though?


Or reverse the environmental impacts that 6.7 bllion people are causing.

It isn't about just feeding people. This is just another Solution in Isolation.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby TonyPrep » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 04:13:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'T')hen you deny we are in overshoot.
No. I'm not sure you've been reading my posts, Monte. We are in overshoot, with current lifestyles and practices. The question is can the world move to sustainability, with the current population. That is a very different question. I contend that it is technically possible, even if practically impossible.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'H')ow many years experience have you with actual farming?

I was raised on a farm and worked the fields for years.
So you probably know a lot about the methods that were used on that farm. How about methods that weren't used on your farm and at a much smaller scale?

I have zero experience of farming but I also don't think that all of the studies and research mentioned in earlier posts are simply regurgitating lies. Based on your own experience, we cannot avoid collapse (technically or otherwise). Based on my experience, we cannot avoid collapse (technically or otherwise). Based on studies of other methods, of other people's experience, a high yielding sustainable method of food production that can sustain at least 6.5 billion people is possible.
User avatar
TonyPrep
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2842
Joined: Sun 25 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Waiuku, New Zealand
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby TonyPrep » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 04:20:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jesus_of_suburbia', 'M')aybe you could feed 6.5 billion. How could you handle their other needs, though?
OK, what are their needs? The experience of Ecology Action, over 30 years, shows that biointensive methods can also help the water situation. So that might be one other need addressed.

Remember that I'm just talking hypothetically. I think that a large re-distribution of the world population is needed, a complete change in lifestyles for everyone is needed, and we would need to stop using our energy bounty frivolously. There would also need to be a virtually immediate halt to population growth.

None of this will ever happen, of course. So this is definitely hypothetical.
User avatar
TonyPrep
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2842
Joined: Sun 25 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Waiuku, New Zealand
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby gnm » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 10:04:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')
posted really long list...



You basically confirmed what I said originally. That the US farmed out its pollution to the third world. Sorry but its not my "opinion" that illegal pesticides, chemicals, and pollutants are being used currently in the third world. I could firehose you with links too if that constitutes validating your argument. That long list of "laws" are words not deeds and it doesn't change the FACT that in the aggregate the losses - Loss of ecosystems, topsoil, species, the poisoning of water supplies, destruction of forests and general dumping of toxins has greatly overshadowed the "gains". If you consider the net a gain, well thats your opinion....

-G
gnm
 
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 11:44:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'T')hen you deny we are in overshoot.
No. I'm not sure you've been reading my posts, Monte. We are in overshoot, with current lifestyles and practices. The question is can the world move to sustainability, with the current population.


According to the leading pherologists, we can only sustainably support 2 to 3 billion with a change in lifestyle. Comes back to what I said about your viewpoint earlier; you assume that they must have overlooked something in their analysis.

And while the consensus is 2 to 3 billion, all the studies give a median value of 5 billion.

And the population is at 6.7 billion. 7 billion in less than 6 years. 9.1 billion by 2050.

It's like the 200 years of coal at current consumption. We are still growing exponentially with the only thing to curb the population short of die-off, is a continued increase in the standard of living in the developing countries. Which isn't going to happen with peak oil.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o you probably know a lot about the methods that were used on that farm. How about methods that weren't used on your farm and at a much smaller scale?


Under any method, it takes time to rebuild the soil as both and I Phebagirl explained. It takes moving the livestock back to all farms. It takes rebuilding all the out buildings to support the livestock. It takes a return of manual labor to the farms.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ased on studies of other methods, of other people's experience, a high yielding sustainable method of food production that can sustain at least 6.5 billion people is possible.


These focus on food production an not carrying capacity. I've said it many times; you can have surplus food production and still be in overshoot.

I know of no such study of carrying capacity to support your claim. And there are few even at the high range only considering food.

Carrying Capacity Studies
6.5 billion people is an overshoot condition under any food production method possible.

Debating me is the wrong approach.

Refute the studies that is the basis for my claim.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 11:53:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', ' ')[ That long list of "laws" are words not deeds and it doesn't change the FACT that in the aggregate the losses - Loss of ecosystems, topsoil, species, the poisoning of water supplies, destruction of forests and general dumping of toxins has greatly overshadowed the "gains". If you consider the net a gain, well thats your opinion....


I never said they did.

So, you don't appreciate or note any of the gains because they didn't turn the tide? :roll:

How bad would things be without those laws?
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby holmes » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 11:54:49

I think some have their thinking ass backwards. I think they think that without modern technology and oil that the carrying capacity would stay the same or increase. Thats not the case. take it away it drastically decreases. "Living off the land" will increase our footprint. when we are forced to we will see just how denuded and barren and polluted the land will get. We are in a utopia now compared to what is going to happen when we just hit the wall.
"To crush the Cornucopians, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of their women."
holmes
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2382
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 11:57:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', ' ')There would also need to be a virtually immediate halt to population growth.


Yes, we need to reduce the production of food, not increase it.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby gnm » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 12:28:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'S')o, you don't appreciate or note any of the gains because they didn't turn the tide? :roll:

How bad would things be without those laws?


If the net result is a loss then I don't consider them gains. So yeah, its all so much talk to me.

Those "gains" are like childrens sand castles before a red tide of pollution.

And yes.... we did farm out pollution to the rest of the world....

Perhaps it would have been better to focus on preventing multi national corporations from ever arising via trade tariffs and laws that would make them culpable for the byproducts of their industry wherever it was produced.

But its too late now.

-G
gnm
 
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby Ludi » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 12:55:14

" Ethics: It is not the purpose of people on earth to reduce all soils to perfectly balanced, well-drained, irrigated, and mulched market gardens, although this is achievable and necessary on the 4% of the earth we need for our food production. Thus what I have to say of soils refers to that 4%, with wider implications only for those soils (60% of all agricultural soils) that we have ruined by the plough or polluted by emissions from cars, sprays, radioactives and industry.

Our largest job is the restoration of soils and forests for the sake of the healthy earth itself. It is most definitely not to clear, deforest, or ruin any more land, but first to put in order what we have destroyed, at the same time attending to the modest area that we need for our survival and full nutrition....

Colin Tudge ( New Scientist '86) muses on the proportion of the British Isles that could be given back to nature. He comes down with a very conservative estimate of perhaps 60%. And at that, without letting go of the misconception that it is agriculture (not individual and market gardening) that will actually provide the future food we eat (a common fallacy). John Jeavons estimates ( on the basis of gardens ) that we could return perhaps 94% of the land to its own purposes. Not that I think that we will get there this next decade, but we can start, and our children can continue the process, and so develop new forests and wilderness to explore. A reduction of the ecological deserts that we have called agriculture is well overdue...."


- Bill Mollison - Chapter 8, Soils, "Permaculture a designers manual"
Ludi
 

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby Hawkcreek » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 13:07:25

--
Last edited by Hawkcreek on Sun 19 Aug 2007, 21:39:27, edited 1 time in total.
Hawkcreek
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 1468
Joined: Sun 15 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Washington State

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 15:02:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'S')o, you don't appreciate or note any of the gains because they didn't turn the tide? :roll:

How bad would things be without those laws?


If the net result is a loss then I don't consider them gains. So yeah, its all so much talk to me.


So, do you live in the third world, or the first, if it's all talk?

uhuh...I thought so.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 15:16:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', ' ')Our largest job is the restoration of soils and forests for the sake of the healthy earth itself. It is most definitely not to clear, deforest, or ruin any more land, but first to put in order what we have destroyed, at the same time attending to the modest area that we need for our survival and full nutrition....


In my, now, over 10,000 posts on this site, you cannot find one post where I rail against permaculture. Ludi can attest to that.

My only observation is that it cannot replace a phantom carrying capacity created by fossil fuels, much less increase it nor avert a die-off correction. That was a one-time event.

Like a dollop of sugar in a bacteria petri dish. The exponential growth an overshoot is the same.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Steps to take

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 26 Jul 2007, 15:26:42

And, let's say for a moment that permaculture can support 6.7 billion. How many can it support? Can it always meet the food demands no matter how many?

How many?

8 billion? 9 billion?

Well, we are going to get 13.4 billion at the current growth rate in 58 years.

But the UN says 9.1 by 2050 and then stabilized you say?

Only if the standard of living continues to rise enough to allow for demographic transition in the developing world...or die-off sets in.

Overshoot populations do not become climax communities.

Not the way nature works.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests

cron