Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 04:59:13

The reality is that energy is everywhere. The reality is that with the hunt-and-peck of scientific inquiry of the last hundred ( or more to the point hundreds of thousands) of years we have established a body of understanding that doesn't require re-learning.The reality is that energy is in the very fabric of the earths orbit.

The reality is that Mr Simmons is a neo-con and closely tied to Bush and the Bush agenda. The reality is that absolutely nobody on this board KNOWS for SURE how much "oil" or energy resources are available...they only know what they READ...and if propaganda wasn't convincing it wouldn't work. Hitler called it "Social Engineering"

The reality is that Cuba has better health care than the U.S. without a fraction of the resources ...just a social contract and educated people.

They're are certain patterns in human interaction, activity and consumption that I find interesting that people who congregate around "peak oil" entertain and discuss - but some you are sold on something you read about - but have trouble admitting you don't actually "know" beyond the words of a banker and a few scattered enviornmentalists here and there..... who incidentally make good money off their websites and public talks.


Just felt like saying that.
people are going to persue whatever they percieve to be in their own interests and thats always changing because everything in life is in constant motion
User avatar
BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 116
Joined: Tue 17 Aug 2004, 03:00:00

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby Olle » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 05:24:07

Hmmm, this is true for everything. You have to chose what you believe in. Who's arguments are best? If you in the absence of 100% perfect knowledge chose to believe in nothing, is that a good choise?

Are you one of those post modernists?
Me Tar sands, you Jane
User avatar
Olle
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 97
Joined: Wed 28 Jun 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Sweden

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby mididoctors » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 05:49:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', 'T')he reality is that energy is everywhere. The reality is that with the hunt-and-peck of scientific inquiry of the last hundred ( or more to the point hundreds of thousands) of years we have established a body of understanding that doesn't require re-learning.The reality is that energy is in the very fabric of the earths orbit.


the reality is for many that they do not understand what we understand.

In a way its best to see Energy everywhere as the problem not a abundance.

Energy being freely accessable so it can be used to do work WITHOUT inputing more enery than the liberated energy is...... and i want you to understand this


RARE.. and i mean that in terms of the universe

localized concentrations of energy or fuels as a percentage of the processes taking place in the universe is rare

this is conclusion of thousand of years of human enquiry...

of course there is "plenty" of energy to tap into... eg solar from our current POV but then all current fuels are concentrations of a tiny percentage of that flux... ie most is lost and by most we mean virtually all..

yet we burn these concentrations at rates greater than they are created...

so it follows we must recreate these concentrations at the rate we burn them (and increase that rate intime for economic growth) if we wish to live in a business as usual way (debatable)

not easy (understatement)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
They're are certain patterns in human interaction, activity and consumption that I find interesting that people who congregate around "peak oil" entertain and discuss - but some you are sold on something you read about - but have trouble admitting you don't actually "know" beyond the words of a banker and a few scattered enviornmentalists here and there..... who incidentally make good money off their websites and public talks.


Just felt like saying that.


well most issues seem to attract nutters from all sides of an argument

Boris
London
Last edited by mididoctors on Thu 28 Jun 2007, 03:57:52, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
mididoctors
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 578
Joined: Mon 30 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: London

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby Micki » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 06:36:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he reality is that Mr Simmons is a neo-con

What do you base that on?
That he once in the past was an energy advisor?
Are all people in the oil industry neo-cons?
Micki
 

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby TheTurtle » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 07:44:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', '
')The reality is that Cuba has better health care than the U.S. without a fraction of the resources ...just a social contract and educated people.


They also don't drive one person per SUV back and forth from where they live to where they work, so I'm not sure how this notion has anything to do with peak oil being a neo-con scheme (or whatever point it is that you are trying to make). Yes, Cuba has learned to cope with fewer resources than we waste in "first world" countries (particularly the US).

So? ...
“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.” (Ted Perry)
User avatar
TheTurtle
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1905
Joined: Sat 14 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Along the banks of the muddy Mississippi

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby mark » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 07:57:20

Depends on your definition of “know.”

Strictly speaking, none of us “know” anything outside our present “now.”

But that wouldn’t be much of a life now would it, restricted only to knowledge of the “now.”

So we mostly do the best we can, with imperfect knowledge and a realization that life forces compromises. It’s learning that we often mean when we use the word “know,” and learning is where we place our faith.

I tell my skeptic friends that I only know one thing, that the rest is just filler. But, from that one thing I can learn, and what I’ve learned of our energy predicament … well.

Since history does not repeat, but instead rhymes, most humans, not being very good musicians, fail to learn the lessons of history. So we foolishly commit the same errors of judgment over and over, again and again.

So we will this time.

Most of us would agree that this marvelous civilization has been built on the back of fossil fuels. Does it follow that if fossil fuels are taken away from us, our marvelous civilization will also be taken away?

You may assume that the slower the decline rate, the more time we’ll have to prepare substitutes. That the worst possible outcome is a sudden, sharp decline, or realization of decline, commonly referred to here as “hitting the wall.”

Which would you prefer? I’ll assume, as I would, you’d choose the slow decline. Of course, being human, that would imply we could learn from history and as I already posited, we don’t.

Therefore, I’ve long since concluded that we’ll “hit the wall,” preferably at 1000 miles an hour, as 100 would only kill most of us. Hopefully, this is the last time we’ll have to “learn the hard way.” Hopefully, those few who have survived the environmental, economic, and social disintegration that is our future will learn enough to avoid any similar fate in the distant future.

Well, anyway, I just felt like say that.
Who is John Galt?
mark
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 215
Joined: Wed 01 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: chicago

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby kevincarter » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 08:18:57

The reality is that you are scared, because the more you read about PO the less you can debunk it, so you take this orgiastic leftist approach where "nothing is connected to nothing and it's all feelings and appreciations and then we hold our hands together and sing KUMBAYA"

Don't get me started on Cuba. What do you really know about Cuba? Only what you read, and if propaganda wasn't convincing then it wouldn't work.
kevincarter
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 426
Joined: Thu 04 Aug 2005, 03:00:00

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby Aaron » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 08:20:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')ust felt like saying that.


Simmons is a respected energy investment & market expert.

Cuba's miracle economy is provided by it's vast & lucrative black market. Go right ahead and go to a Cuban medical clinic... I hear they are great. When you're done, you can pick up[ the most beautiful woman you have ever seen for $20, some counterfeit designer shoes & a big block of tar heroin on your way to the casinos. (Where Cubans are not welcome)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')he words of a banker and a few scattered environmentalists here and there..... who incidentally make good money off their websites and public talks.


Ummm.... no.

What the hell are you talking about?

Guy... weak post.

There... I just felt like saying that.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

Hazel Henderson
User avatar
Aaron
Resting in Peace
 
Posts: 5998
Joined: Thu 15 Apr 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Houston
Top

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby jdumars » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 09:08:54

I think it's good to be skeptical. It's good to question what we believe about PO. I hope most people simply refuse to believe it, because ultimately we can't do much about it -- human nature and all that.

We can quibble over truth, lies and propaganda, but while this argument happens, the now is concretely unfolding under our feet. If you take a long, hard look around and think any of this is sustainable, then the real agenda of those in power has worked. It's ultimately not a bunch of people in a dark boardroom smoking cigars... it's your corner diner, the local auto dealer, the county bank.

I learned it is best to shape a personal future that aligns with your own internal compass. For me this points to a low-energy, low-consumption, austere lifestyle as petroleum-free as possible.
User avatar
jdumars
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 438
Joined: Sat 02 Apr 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Portland, Oregon

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby coyote » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 11:56:40

True, we don't know exactly how much oil there is, or when peak will occur, or even whether it has already. I notice you don't try to dispute that peak oil will happen. Just that we don't know when. I agree. As Turtle wrote, so what? The fact that it's certainly going to happen is the important part. We don't need an investment banker to tell us that. Just an introduction by Hubbert and a little reflection on the word 'finite.'

Perhaps your skepticism is not concerning peak oil theory itself, but only with the notion that we've already peaked? Or is it, as per your Cuba example, simply that when it happens it won't be all that bad?

Hope you're right. I'm not going to relax just yet.
Lord, here comes the flood
We'll say goodbye to flesh and blood
If again the seas are silent in any still alive
It'll be those who gave their island to survive...
User avatar
coyote
News Editor
News Editor
 
Posts: 1979
Joined: Sun 23 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: East of Eden

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby bobcousins » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 12:16:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', 'T')hey're are certain patterns in human interaction, activity and consumption that I find interesting that people who congregate around "peak oil" entertain and discuss


What patterns are you referring to?
It's all downhill from here
User avatar
bobcousins
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1164
Joined: Thu 14 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Left the cult
Top

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby Windmills » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 13:27:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', ' ')you don't actually "know" beyond the words of a banker and a few scattered enviornmentalists here and there.....


The facts on which many here and elsewhere base their conclusions concerning peak oil come from a much wider and deeper number of sources than a handful of self-righteous or self-interested fringe elements. If that is all that you've learned about the sources of information supporting peak oil, then you are seriously ignorant on the subject and should avoid making your bold assertions until you have better informed yourself. There's nothing terribly wrong with knowing as little as you obviously do about the subject. It just makes you ignorant, and that is easily remedied by taking the time and effort to educate yourself. However, there is a problem when you insist you know more than you actually do. That makes you a fool.
Windmills
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 547
Joined: Tue 11 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Arizona, USA
Top

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby clueless » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 14:24:44

dup.
Last edited by clueless on Wed 27 Jun 2007, 14:27:26, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
clueless
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1001
Joined: Tue 13 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Just the right place

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby clueless » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 14:26:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hey're are certain patterns in human interaction, activity and consumption that I find interesting that people who congregate around "peak oil" entertain and discuss - but some you are sold on something you read about - but have trouble admitting you don't actually "know" beyond the words of a banker and a few scattered enviornmentalists here and there..... who incidentally make good money off their websites and public talks.


BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT is partially correct - For us in America "peak oil" has no relevance whatsover. What we need to be most concerned with is when we hit "peak exports" (which will most likley happen much sooner than "peak oil") which is the real issue. When exports peak, you can turn out the lights becasue the party is soon to be over....Is is ludicrous (insanity really) for a nation to believe it can continue to import and consume as much energy as we do.

Anybody disagree ???
User avatar
clueless
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1001
Joined: Tue 13 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Just the right place
Top

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 14:39:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', ' ')The reality is that absolutely nobody on this board KNOWS for SURE how much "oil" or energy resources are available...they only know what they READ...and if propaganda wasn't convincing it wouldn't work.


We don't have to. We only need to understand that the energy resources we currently rely on are finite, and that we are using more than we are discovering.

A day of reckoning awaits.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby seahorse2 » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 14:50:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'w')ho incidentally make good money off their websites and public talks.


This is a wild ass assumption. First, you have no idea how much any of these unnamed people are making (seen their tax returns?). This wild ass assumption says a lot about the rest of your post.
User avatar
seahorse2
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 2042
Joined: Mon 18 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 14:55:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', 'T')he reality is that energy is everywhere. The reality is that with the hunt-and-peck of scientific inquiry of the last hundred ( or more to the point hundreds of thousands) of years we have established a body of understanding that doesn't require re-learning.The reality is that energy is in the very fabric of the earths orbit.


The reality is that CONCENTRATED energy like that found in fossil fuels is NOT everywhere. The reality is that our vast body of understanding does not stop us from behaving like the proverbial bacteria in the Petri dish. The reality is that the laws of thermodynamics still apply to all that energy in the fabric of the Earth's orbit.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', 'T')he reality is that Mr Simmons is a neo-con and closely tied to Bush and the Bush agenda. The reality is that absolutely nobody on this board KNOWS for SURE how much "oil" or energy resources are available...they only know what they READ...and if propaganda wasn't convincing it wouldn't work. Hitler called it "Social Engineering"


The reality is that regardless of Mr. Simmons' political or religious affiliations, the amont of oil at our disposal shrinks every day.

Yes, nobody knows for sure the URR. But one can make an educated guess, based on a huge variety of sources, both MSM and independent. Sources that many times contradict each other. All you need to do is learn to read between the lines.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BILL_THA_PHARMACIZT', '.').. you don't actually "know" beyond the words of a banker and a few scattered enviornmentalists here and there..... who incidentally make good money off their websites and public talks.


Well, I don't think it is the opinion of a few scattered environmentalists and a solitary banker. You know very well that's plain BS. And if you don't, that means you should go back to your favorite search engine and start studying. After almost 3 years since you became a member of this forum there's no excuse for how bad your post is.
"The world is becoming too complex and too fast-paced to manage." - Thomas Homer-Dixon
User avatar
Ingenuity_Gap
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 199
Joined: Fri 25 Nov 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Right place, wrong time
Top

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby XOVERX » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 17:49:54

I see no basis that you give for your "skepticism".

I mean, for what reason or set of reasons are you "skeptical?"

If you fail to fill your gas tank with gas and then continue to drive, will you eventually run out of gas or not?

Are you "skeptical" that your car will eventually stop if you continue to drive it but do refill it with gas?

And, with regard to Peak Oil, once the oil that makes the gas is gone, then where will you get the gas to fill up your car?

So where's the basis for your skepticism?

Is the world's oil being used up or not?

Is there an oil fairy somewhere out there replenishing the oilfields?
User avatar
XOVERX
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 196
Joined: Tue 18 Apr 2006, 03:00:00

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby greenworm » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 21:38:51

I'm skeptical.

The day I made a turbine spin continuously with magnets is the day I realized what a real joke this place is.(Kiddies, uncle greenworm, says be careful when handling magnets, keep them away from your heart and don't spend too much time around them.)

The day I realized how oil is really created was another monumental day of reckoning.

You guys repeat the same arguments over and over, it is quite tedious to listen to this garbage day in and day out. Try thinking, can't hurt to try it.

Peace

And may you live in interesting times, cause there is no doubt in my mind that they will soon be very interesting.


This is the end, my only friend the end.

Goin' out like a rockstar.
User avatar
greenworm
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 862
Joined: Fri 27 Jan 2006, 04:00:00

Re: The Cold Reality Of Peak Oil Skepticism

Unread postby OnceFueled » Wed 27 Jun 2007, 21:57:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('greenworm', 'I')'m skeptical.

The day I made a turbine spin continuously with magnets is the day I realized what a real joke this place is.(Kiddies, uncle greenworm, says be careful when handling magnets, keep them away from your heart and don't spend too much time around them.)

The day I realized how oil is really created was another monumental day of reckoning.

You guys repeat the same arguments over and over, it is quite tedious to listen to this garbage day in and day out. Try thinking, can't hurt to try it.

Peace

And may you live in interesting times, cause there is no doubt in my mind that they will soon be very interesting.


This is the end, my only friend the end.

Goin' out like a rockstar.


Hey, Rockstar:

Why don't you come off of your high horse, eat a much-needed slice of humble pie, and repeat that drivel in english.

Just so us on the short bus can understand. Thanks.
User avatar
OnceFueled
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 35
Joined: Tue 22 May 2007, 03:00:00
Top

Next

Return to Medical Issues Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron