by Omnitir » Tue 22 May 2007, 06:17:46
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', ''')Bout the only optimist still hanging around seems to be Omnitir who just says that the march of technology will bail us out. Even he thinks tech may just as well sink us in the end.
Yes, I'm convinced that one way or another, human civilization is going to end with a BANG. None of this gradual die-off and decline into some extended menial existence bullshit. We are either going to advance to the point where we hit some singularity (BAM! Goodbye human civilization, hello post-human world), or alternatively, we are going to annihilate everything trying (BAM! Goodbye all life on Earth).
Consider this; resource wars are a given, right? I mean, is there anybody that thinks that peak oil is somehow going to result in peace? Oil peaks and we pull out of the ME?
And if there is one sector that can maintain a semblance of business as usual, it's the military.
So over the coming decades, we are looking at escalating conflict, coupled with the continued trend of accelerating technology. This will result in, at the very least, some hardcore weapons development. Today's WMD are nothing compared to what is around the corner, and it won't take much for something to go wrong. A nano-delivered super-virus designed to eliminate specific targets en-mass (for example), could easily result in the "grey goo" scenario (which simply means self-replicating nanobots going out of control). Or simply the development of a super virus on it's own could do it. Or several other scary scenarios.
Basically, the bulk of the doomer future scenarios, that envisions life eventually settling down to some sort of agrarian society, is not going to be possible. TPTB would rather do anything it takes to remain TPTB, and given the likely technology we can expect in the coming decades, if we lose, we all lose, permanently.
In this regard I'm probably the most doomer person on this site. Because the way I see it, the only single possible chance humanity has, is to reach an uber advanced state (in which case we will no longer be human anyway).
So I don't see how a potential economic collapse is anything to be pessimistic about. It's nothing to what's coming thanks to technology. Tech could easily pull us out of this mess we are getting into, but it can also end us just as easily.
"Mother Nature is a psychopathic bitch, and she is out to get you. You have to adapt, change or die." - Tihamer Toth-Fejel, nanotech researcher/engineer.