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Read it and weep---or scream

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Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby threadbear » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 16:18:02

Mike Whitney has written another piece of epic proportions and implications on the housing bubble collapse, for CounterPunch. There are several articles mentioned in this piece that can provide further education, to those inclined to this sort of thing.

Whitney--From Counterpunch--April 24 edition:

"Geither's right. The markets now operate as unregulated banks generating mountains of credit through massively leveraged debt instruments---a monster credit bubble larger than anything in the history of capitalism.

So, where is all this headed?

No one really knows. But when the housing bubble crashes into Wall Street's credit bubble,; we can expect the "big bang". That may explain why America's wealthiest investors are running for cover before the whole thing blows. (A number of investors have already cashed out and put there holdings into foreign funds and currencies)

http://www.counterpunch.org/whitney04242007.html
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby PrairieMule » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 16:40:27

TB-

I'm not the type who follows counterpunch, but this is a very good article.

Seems like putting your hand on a hot stove has proven to be equally painful with a "left" or "right" hand.
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 16:46:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')America's wealthiest investors are running for cover before the whole thing blows.


The market just hit an all time high today.

Most investors aren't running for the exits just yet.
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby threadbear » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 16:56:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')America's wealthiest investors are running for cover before the whole thing blows.


The market just hit an all time high today.

Most investors aren't running for the exits just yet.


I didn't write it. Whitney wrote it. The market hitting an all time high is just more testimony to the lack of financial education most people have.

Whitney explains that the wealthiest are exiting hedge funds, not the stock market. They likely exited most sectorson the Dow, ages ago. Hedge funds, are generally private equity, and large investors, like pension funds.
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 16:59:58

"Investors want to keep putting money into the markets," said Charles Rotblut, senior market analyst at Zacks Investment Research. "We're not getting the sense that there's much fear; we just ripped through" the 13000 barrier.

Many factors have led to the bull run, including surging global growth; massive liquidity creating a steady onslaught of private-equity takeouts and mergers; and the falling dollar. The weak dollar has helped particularly in recent days, especially for multinational companies such as those populating the Dow. "If we see a bounce in the dollar, I think it could set up a market pullback," said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, plus the Dow transports and utilities indexes, were all at records or multiyear highs as well. "The broad-based confirmation [of the Dow's record] was important" Mr. Pado said.

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from the wall street journal
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 17:09:53

The housing bubble is real enough...especially in overbought areas like California, Florida, DC, Boston, etc.

But much of the US never had an enormous housing bubble to match the one in California.

Personally, I think its a good thing if housing prices come down a bit. Lower housing prices will enable more young people and working class people to buy homes.
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 18:53:57

I believe the big bubble in the 1920s was in Florida, there are houses there that went for a million or more in 1920s dollars, and are still not worth that much in 2000's dollars.

I was not here in the SF area for the tech bust, but friends tell me it was very, very, fast. The housing bust will take time simply because it takes more time to get out of a house than sell a stock. I think it will be of at least the same magnitude though, if not worse.
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby NEOPO » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 18:57:23

I am laughing - am I bad? 8)
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby strider3700 » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 19:06:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NEOPO', 'I') am laughing - am I bad? 8)


You're hell bound. Of course so am I. It should be entertaining at least
shame on us, doomed from the start
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby threadbear » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 19:32:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he housing bubble is real enough...especially in overbought areas like California, Florida, DC, Boston, etc.

But much of the US never had an enormous housing bubble to match the one in California.

Personally, I think its a good thing if housing prices come down a bit. Lower housing prices will enable more young people and working class people to buy homes.


There is a veritable cornacupia of error expressed in your post. I would like to reply, but I'm done with you for the day, so will allow other posters to have at you.
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby Newsseeker » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 19:51:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')America's wealthiest investors are running for cover before the whole thing blows.


The market just hit an all time high today.

Most investors aren't running for the exits just yet.


Yeah, it remains to be seen how much of an effect the housing market is going to have. So far it hasn't penetrated Wall St.
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Re: Read it and weep---or scream

Unread postby Chaparral » Wed 25 Apr 2007, 20:13:14

The last few COT reports have showed the commercial hedgers building up an impressive long position on the index futures. They had a 5 yr record net short position prior to February's 800 point hiccup but while joe-blow was selling in a panic, the big guys were buying like there was no tomorrow. The little schmuck got faked out and the sharks ate his lunch. The expectation is that they big guys will entice the little schmucks to start pouring their money back in and they'll gladly fake them out again, perhaps this summer of maybe in the fall.
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