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Agriculture

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Agriculture

Unread postby PrairieMule » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 13:11:52

I just got back from a conference on cattle and pasture management and I am a bit disturbed. Over the three days eight different professors of agriculture from Texas A&M discussed methods of optimizing pasture growth and management with soil supplements, herbicides and mad made agriculture products. Well they don't seem very focused on some of the potential ramifications of peak oil. It's like they assume we will always have access to things like potassium, boron, 240D herbicide, veterinary grade antibiotics and such. Just load up a ton of magic dust on delivery truck and have it delivered to be spread it on your fields.

Same thing with polywire electric fences. The wonder tool made of synthetics that will replace the barb wife fence, or at least 8 years until the plastics degrade from sunlight.

Perhaps the men of science had too much faith in Ethanol alternatives to diffuse our addiction to cheap abundant energy and other petroleum based products? I say that because that was their response to the rising costs of energy inputs-Ethanol. I did pipe up about the EROEI and lack of infrastructure with corn Ethanol but it did not exactly start a roaring debate.

Don't get me wrong these were extremely intelligent people in the methods and ways of agriculture. To their credit they did mention several low tech growth strategies as alternatives for optimizining plant growth, weed control, soil chemistry. Honestly I was a little intimidated to point out the possibility that in the next five years the emperor will not be wearing any clothes-or at least synthetically based clothes.

On the flip side-Brother, have you heard the good news about Tifton 85 bermuda grass?.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 13:36:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', '
') I did pipe up about the EROEI and lack of infrastructure with corn Ethanol but it did not exactly start a roaring debate.
I read a post at the oildrum from someone who is living in Japan and is in the process of moving back to the US with his wife. His father is setting up a farm right now as they are all extremely worried about the coming months. The problem I see is that farming is so dependent on modern methods and I have to wonder how anyone could make a go of it if they have nothing coming in from the outside. If transportation grinds to a halt, we're all up a creek without a paddle. I'm expecting to see authoritarian answers to this, and private ownership of land may be abolished. The principal rationale will be rationing of fertilizers, fuels, etc. all done in a command-economy manner. The feds will flex their power in a last-ditch effort to preserve their very existence.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby Daculling » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 18:28:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'T')he problem I see is that farming is so dependent on modern methods and I have to wonder how anyone could make a go of it if they have nothing coming in from the outside.


If you only need to feed yourself you need not worry. It's call subsistance. Forget about making money.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'I')f transportation grinds to a halt, we're all up a creek without a paddle. I'm expecting to see authoritarian answers to this, and private ownership of land may be abolished.


How? All the farmers are armed and they ate what they needed to by the time you show up to collect. What good is the land if you have killed the farmer? You can't farm it yourself... you'll be too busy running around the countryside killing farmers right?
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 18:52:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', ' ')It's like they assume we will always have access to things like potassium, boron, 240D herbicide, veterinary grade antibiotics and such. Just load up a ton of magic dust on delivery truck and have it delivered to be spread it on your fields.



But that's where the money is in agriculture, in these products. There's no money in promoting natural farming, so very few people promote it. A&M no doubt get much grant money, etc from producers of ag equipment and chemicals. The aim of these companies is to make sure farmers become hooked on their products, and so far, it's worked great. Now few people know how to farm without these inputs, though, of course, people used to farm without them, for thousands of years.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:02:29

It might be best to be some loner in the swamps somewhere trapping, if that's what you mean by subsistence. But as I was suggesting above, it will be by government having monopoly control over fertilizer, fuel, and supplies that farmers will be brought to heel. They won't have to shoot them. They might get to keep their 'titles' but it will be a fictitious title. They will receive emergency instructions and do as they are instructed. Maybe some will be arrested, but most will cooperate because of 'patriotism' and an intensive propaganda campaign. It's going to be an intense national emergency. Before "Big Government" collapses as Kunstler imagines will happen, there will be an all-out effort to consolidate emergency powers. It's only natural of course, that's where the population will look for answers.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby killJOY » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:04:46

I'm assuming you went there for professional reasons?

Otherwise...WHY? I'd rather choke on my vomit than listen to such "experts."

The people who built and survived for two hundred years in Maine in the house I live in raised animals without attending a single goddamn professional conference in their lives. They just worked.

CATTLE EAT GRASS.

SHIT MAKES GRASS GROW.

SOME GRASS NEEDS TO BE CUT AND DRIED FOR WINTER.

WINTER SHIT PILE GETS SPREAD WHEN GROUND IS DRY.

We've just learned by doing here, and, granted, we're not rich, but we get a little milk every day.

This society is so infatuated on its own complexity that there are always fifty thousand conferences that try to intimidate you into thinking I CAN'T BE A FARMER! I DON'T HAVE A PHD!


The only PhD you need is PILED HIGH (and) DEEP in the spring time.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby PrairieMule » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:08:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', ' ')It's like they assume we will always have access to things like potassium, boron, 240D herbicide, veterinary grade antibiotics and such. Just load up a ton of magic dust on delivery truck and have it delivered to be spread it on your fields.



But that's where the money is in agriculture, in these products. There's no money in promoting natural farming, so very few people promote it. A&M no doubt get much grant money, etc from producers of ag equipment and chemicals. The aim of these companies is to make sure farmers become hooked on their products, and so far, it's worked great. Now few people know how to farm without these inputs, though, of course, people used to farm without them, for thousands of years.


Funny you said that. On the last day several account reps from Dow showed up and "hung around" passing out literature and "swag".

I tried to pick their brains on producing natural/organic beef.The academics were split down the middle. I watched one of them inject a calf with a $1 steroid so the calf would bring a addtional $25 at market with a 20lb gain. Doesn't make sense to me.

Then they turn around and push the benefits of Tifton 85 Bermuda Grass. Cows go crazy over it and gain 3lbs a day on the broad leaf instead of 2lbs a day on costal bermuda grass. No need for steroids, no need to pump them full of corn in a stockyard. Stocker cow goes straight to harvest instead of spending the last 3 weeks of it's life in a crowded stockyard getting fat on corn.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby Chaparral » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:10:46

I've sort of run into the same thing. People pay lip service to "organic" and "free range" and "IPM" and all that but at the end, whatever they propose depends on all those PVC. polyethylene sheeting, herbicides, tractors and cheap transportation, huge inital inputs of soil amendment etc. Somehow, they just don't get the big picture.

If nat gas goes off the cliff, I have a hard time seeing how the gov't will be able to seize farmland for food prod'n for the masses. The land will be exhausted and won't produce crap in the absence of that cheap n' easy inorganic N. Those command n' control plutocrats seem too fixated on their own machinations and worldviews to realize the utter all-encompassing enormity of whats coming. It's not just the oil.

The only thing I could see doable with your average worked over row crop land is to start planting up cover crops and N-fixers in preparation for a return to the old days.....or should I say, the new days as envisioned by Bill Mollison and others. That is assuming you can pour money into a field for 5 to 7 years min before really getting anything out of it. I'm not looking forward to the financial prospects of trying to rehab a spare 20 acres or so.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:17:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Chaparral', '
')If nat gas goes off the cliff, I have a hard time seeing how the gov't will be able to seize farmland for food prod'n for the masses. The land will be exhausted and won't produce crap in the absence of that cheap n' easy inorganic N. Those command n' control plutocrats seem too fixated on their own machinations and worldviews to realize the utter all-encompassing enormity of whats coming. It's not just the oil.
I agree, but still think the command'n'control plutocrats will not only use monopoly control of remaining fuels but that the population will want them to. In a chaotic situation, it's the government that will be expected to provide 'a plan' and 'do something' and I fully expect they will.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby PrairieMule » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:24:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', '
')CATTLE EAT GRASS.

SHIT MAKES GRASS GROW.

SOME GRASS NEEDS TO BE CUT AND DRIED FOR WINTER.

WINTER SHIT PILE GETS SPREAD WHEN GROUND IS DRY.



Up till this week I pretty much though the same way. You ought to see some of the steers and grass they are producing. A lot of the conference focused on optimizing performance by focusing on soil chemistry, foraging strategies, and focus on the rumen bacteria in the cow's belly rather than focusing on the cow. By doing this less fertilizers and suppliments are needed thus cutting costs.

Also as silly as it sounds, not all shit is the same, or at least in terms of protein absorbtion and bacteria activity.

Same goes for hay, protein content of less than 5% and moisture greater than 20% effects performance too.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby Zardoz » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:27:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Daculling', '.')..If you only need to feed yourself you need not worry. It's call subsistance. Forget about making money...

...and devote all your energy to concentrating on holding off the hordes of hungry former city dwellers who will endlessly be trying to overrun you and take whatever foodstuffs they can glean from your land.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby PrairieMule » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:33:55

Chapparal,

If you mean Nitrogen based fertilizer, I agree. No way is any farmer or rancher going to call up and ask for a ton to be delivered if gas is $5 plus a gallon or if as you say the natural gas markets go nuts like you can today.

It may end up like PMS said, fertilizer distribution controlled by the goverment (USDA or homeland security?).
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby Daculling » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:52:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Daculling', '.')..If you only need to feed yourself you need not worry. It's call subsistance. Forget about making money...

...and devote all your energy to concentrating on holding off the hordes of hungry former city dwellers who will endlessly be trying to overrun you and take whatever foodstuffs they can glean from your land.


And you really think they will make it that far huh? In a fast crash they will kill each other on the road out of the cities. In a slow crash they will pull gang plows. Class problems arise in the later though...

It's great you all are talking about efficiencies through tech but in the end yields will return to normal. 80 bushels not 200 like we see now. Local beef. Local produce and local starvation like we now see in the third world.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby Chaparral » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:54:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '.')..and devote all your energy to concentrating on holding off the hordes of hungry former city dwellers who will endlessly be trying to overrun you and take whatever foodstuffs they can glean from your land.


Well, if some of those displaced city dwellers are Zardoz and PMS or any number of others that have a clue about the world, I'll try and have a couple of trailers where they can stay: I figure that I have me and mine to prepare for, and not all of mine are onboard at the present time so I'd like to have places and work for them as they're forced out, one foreclosure or job-loss at a time. As Ludi quite rightly points out, gardening need not be back-breaking. One of the possible business strategies I've been mulling over is the rehabilitation of abused row crop land followed by the subdividing of it into smaller parcels that would fit the scale of permaculture enterprises. A LLC could be formed and the participants could pony up $ or sweat equity to buy in or sell out. The plutocrats could get behind that idea if there was something in it for them. If Heinberg is correct when says we'll need 50 million new farmers then we'll need to start rehabbing that land, bit by bit by bit. A fast crash precludes this but a slow one could give us enough time.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'U')p till this week I pretty much though the same way....

The science behind the shilling is amazing. That is one of the reasons why I think we have other options besides just Olduvai awaiting us if we can get through this mess right. It'd be nice to have the capability to do all that fancy analysis available to the little guy or a local small-town professional ecologist/biochemist/agronomist type. Maybe a new post-carbon profession of the Env't analyst/engineer could spring up: a sort of veterinarian or midwife for the land and vegetation: a "land doctor" if you will.
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Re: Agriculture

Unread postby pea-jay » Sat 07 Apr 2007, 03:06:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne of the possible business strategies I've been mulling over is the rehabilitation of abused row crop land followed by the subdividing of it into smaller parcels that would fit the scale of permaculture enterprises. A LLC could be formed and the participants could pony up $ or sweat equity to buy in or sell out. The plutocrats could get behind that idea if there was something in it for them


I'm a county land use planner. We finally are looking into changing the rules that are so very much stacked against this. In a few weeks I will be publicizing a plan (or more accurately a set of plans) here and elsewhere.

Meanwhile I have little patience for mass mechanized agriculture and the whole "industry" that has developed to support it. When I worked in Central CA, I visited mega-dairies and each year got to experience the spectacle that was the World Ag Expo. Acre after acre of gas(and diesel and propane) guzzling equipment, mass milking devices and other nonsense. All to improve that yield by a fraction or reduce the cost by a few pennies

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