by Retsel » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 20:31:35
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s far as I'm aware (and I may be wrong), December 2005 is still the high watermark.
I am no expert on Peak Oil, but I have been following this topic for a couple of years now. I remember reading something earlier this year by Daniel Yergin of Cambridge Energy Associates saying that he knows of over 10 million barrels of oil/day coming on line by 2010. This suggests that we have not peaked yet. Of course, while this new oil is coming on line, our demand will continue to increase and many oil fields will continue to decline which would keep oil prices high.
If we have indeed peaked then perhaps this new oil coming on line means that the peak will be a flat peak lasting for many years. Of course, the rising price of crude oil will tend to flatten out any peak.
What is also interesting is that have read that Iraq has the capability to increase production by 10 million barrels of oil/day. Thus while Bush went into Iraq primarily to facilitate the increase in oil production (I assert), what may end up happening is that the U.S. action there will force the oil supply to peak earlier than what was possible.
Retsel