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Fed points to soft landing for economy

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Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby Graeme » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 00:40:44

Fed points to soft landing for economy

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ederal Reserve policymakers are becoming a little more confident about their ability to engineer a soft landing for the US economy, minutes published on Wednesday reveal.

Most expected core inflation to "edge lower" as pressure from past increases in energy prices waned, shelter costs slowed and pressure on overall levels of resource utilisation eased a little.

The committee noted that "recent changes in core prices had declined slightly from earlier in the year."

However, the labour market was "tight" and presented an upside risk to inflation.

There were hints that the patience of some committee members is being stretched.


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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby NEOPO » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 01:17:43

Former World Bank Chief Economist Predicts Global Crash

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ormer World Bank Vice President, Chief Economist and Nobel Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz has predicted a global economic crash within 24 months - unless the current downturn is successfully managed. Asked if the situation was being properly handled Stiglitz emphatically responded "no," and also drew ominous parallels to the development of the NAFTA Superhighway and the North American Union.

Stiglitz caused controversy in October 2001 when he exposed rampant corruption within the IMF and blew the whistle on their nefarious methods of inducing countries to fall under their debt before stripping them of sovereignty and hollowing out their economies.

Speaking on the nationally syndicated Alex Jones radio show, Stiglitz defined the process of globalization as a system that was "rigged against the poor countries, rigged for the advanced industrial countries - the result of that is there were an awful lot of losers."
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby seldom_seen » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 01:32:40

What exactly is a "soft landing"?

Is that where instead of the plane smashing in to the side of a mountain at full speed...it skids down the runway with chunks of the plane shearing off and the fuselage catching on fire?

maybe this is what they mean:

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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby TT » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 01:48:00

You have to be worried when the Fed predicts any sort of landing. Soft, hard, indifferent - whichever, means that the economy is on the way down. Not good for people hoping to continue the feeding frenzy.
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby grink1tt3n » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 03:56:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TT', 'Y')ou have to be worried when the Fed predicts any sort of landing. Soft, hard, indifferent - whichever, means that the economy is on the way down. Not good for people hoping to continue the feeding frenzy.


Right on the money, TT. Any admission of a landing at all from the Fed is scary.
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby FoxV » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 13:49:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', 'W')hat exactly is a "soft landing"?

A soft landing is going from too much growth back down to that wonderfull Goldilocks point of "not to hot, not too cold" growth where inflation is "acceptable" and growth is "acceptable"

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TT', 'Y')ou have to be worried when the Fed predicts any sort of landing. Soft, hard, indifferent

And just like Goldilocks and the three bears, a soft landing is just a bedtime story the Fed tells investors so they sleep well at night.

If you read non-MSM finacial news, you'll know that there never has ever been a soft landing.

The only things that have come close to soft landings is '96 and '02 where Greenspan gunned the gas (printing press) just as the "soft landings" started getting painful
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby mmasters » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 16:13:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', 'W')hat exactly is a "soft landing"?

It's what other posters have said, it's all relatively speaking.

On a related note, Cheney came out a week or two ago and said that he felt him and his posse should get more credit for keeping the economy going. Why he said that is because it takes an army of people and a lot of hard work behind the scenes to keep the dam from bursting. And if something is a pain in the ass for Cheney he's not one to hold back much on letting people know.

Anyhow the best you can hope for is they'll take the printing presses down a few notches - put the economy on a diet basically while at the same time they'll tactically fix any systemic problems that arise. The worst you can hope for is they'll stop the printing presses almost entirely and let the house of cards fall like a rock. I would guess for something inbetween the two.
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby seahorse » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 17:09:32

A soft landing is when the rich stay rich, and the poor get poorer
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Postby shortonoil » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 17:44:01

A soft landing is when:

in March 07 housing prices have declined 17.8% nationally, but we expect a soft landing.

in Sept 07 housing prices have decline 23.6% nationally, but we have reached the bottom and expect a soft landing

in Dec 07 housing prices have declined 38.4% nationally, but we are taking measures to stabilize the market.

in Mar 08 housing has declined 43.6% nationally, the job market is soft and investors returns are threatened unless remedial action is pursued.

Sept 08 - we don’t hear anything from them!
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby Kingcoal » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 19:24:30

A soft landing allows the rich to stay rich by slowing down economic corrections. Before the Fed, the markets corrected themselves often suddenly and without mercy. In those days, people went from being rich to poor when TSHTF. Can't have that, can we? These days, little is left to chance.
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby seldom_seen » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 19:28:49

Ok, I think I'm starting to figure it out. A "soft landing" is when the bankers and financiers are able to strap on parachutes and jump out just before the plane slams in to the mountain.
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Re: Fed points to soft landing for economy

Postby mmasters » Thu 16 Nov 2006, 19:55:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', 'A') soft landing allows the rich to stay rich by slowing down economic corrections. Before the Fed, the markets corrected themselves often suddenly and without mercy. In those days, people went from being rich to poor when TSHTF. Can't have that, can we? These days, little is left to chance.

Not quite right, private central banks allow the rich to stay rich - the FED is just another private central bank. It doesn't matter whether it's a soft or hard landing, the rich stay rich. What matters is that the central bank survives long term and to do that they need to manage people's perceptions such that they can be taken advantage of.
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