by AgentR » Mon 06 Nov 2006, 02:20:04
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'O')n Tuesday we are likely to see a Democrat sweep of the House and possibly also a Democrat majority elected in the Senate. The House has the authority to conduct far-reaching investigations, and it will do so. These investigations are what the Admin fears most, because as the truth comes out, the demands for accountability will rise. At minimum we will have a lame-duck Admin tied down by Congress, at most an impeachment and possibly criminal trials for specific offenses.
1.) Unless you can get to a 60/40 split in the Senate, its all for naught.
2.) Congressional investigations do not aide criminal investigations; rather, they destroy successful prosecutions.
3) Year 7&8 are always lame duck years for a sitting pres. They're out of policy ideas, they're out of capital, they're spent. The only thing interesting will be some brinkmanship over the veto pen.
4) Finally, even with the greatest of majorities, two years is a very, very tight timeline on which to attempt anything interesting. Clinton wrote the playbook, take everything to court, string it out for as absolutely long as possible, and by the time anything moves, the only officeholders that the American people will want hung are the congressional leaders running the investigations.
So, no. The admin doesn't fear these types of investigations; they are counting on them in order to achieve a Republican victory in 2008.
Unfortunately for our side, I think Pelosi is smart enough to see the trap; I'd suspect she'll take the tack of throwing lots of chum for the masses, things like minimum wage hikes, tax hikes for the "wealthy", small farm "protection". Stuff that Bush will hate to sign and hate to veto. She'll also have the problem of best case a 52/48 Senate on her side; which means she won't be able to conference anything but the most tame of proposals.
Thus, it is unfortunate for us, but there will be no impeachment attempt. We'll see some ragging on Rumsfeld; but he's a big boy, he'll survive the experience.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f this election proceeds without massive fraud, it will be proof positive that the system still works.
Nah, it'll just set you guys up for '08 when the vote actually counts for something. 2006 is for funsiez. 2008 is for all the marbles and will likely set the agenda for the next twenty years.