by gg3 » Mon 28 Feb 2005, 08:52:14
Keep in mind that submarines are not first-strike weapons, they do not have the accuracy or the C&C capabilities for that. They are deterrence, pure & simple. And a sub with SIGINT capabilities is also a war-preventer: SIGINT can and does make that much of a difference.
Okay, so that marks me as a conservative -an oldschool one not a neocon- who also thinks Carter was one of our greatest Presidents ever. When he was in the Navy he was a nuclear engineer. When Three Mile Island had a partial core-melt, he was on hand, on site, in the control room, talking tech with the plant crew. He had the brains and the technical knowledge to set up an energy policy that was practical and would have been effective.
And how much foreign oil are we importing today....?
But here's what cost him the re-election:
You may remember the Iranian hostage crisis. Coming out of the Vietnam war era we were reluctant to make use of military force, and the armed forces in general were in something of a demoralized condition. What Carter *could have* done but didn't, was tell the Iranian government that it was responsible for getting those hostages out safely, and if it failed to act, it would be considered complicit and therefore at war against the US. Set a deadline, move the aircraft carriers into position, and get ready to rumble.
USA at war against Iran would have produced a rally-round-the-flag effect that would have gotten Carter his second term. Cynical but true.
Instead, a team of advance-men for the Reagan campaign made a secret deal with Iran: Release the hostages at a "convenient" time, and we will supply you with arms, and by the way please divert some of that hardware to the Contras in Nicaragua. It worked: the hostage crisis strung along day after relentless day, with Carter's numbers dropping in the polls, made all the worse by a rescue attempt that failed due to our lack of experience (at the time) with desert warfare. Finally the hostages were released on the very day of Reagan's inauguration.
This is not a conspiracy theory, it is well documented, and I even heard none other than Edwin Meese (Reagan's attorney general) break the news, in detail, in his own words, his own voice, on the radio during Reagan's first term. He broke the news as a form of "damage control" because it was about to come out in the press, and had it come out on its own, the scandal would have been that much bigger.
Now what do you call it when one or more private citizens secretly entreats with a hostile foreign power in a manner that is clearly inimical to the national defense...? The word for that is TREASON.
The ugly fact is that Reagan's advance team committed treason, and in doing so, interfered with the foreign policy capabilities of the United States government at the time, and affected the outcome of the Presidential election. And the second ugly fact is that they got away with it. The whole idea of stealing an election by treason, was so hugely outrageous that the mainstream media didn't even touch it. And yet, the facts were there and are undisputed: a secret arms-for-hostages deal negotiated with a hostile foreign power while Carter was still in office. Twist it or spin it any way you like, it's still treason.
To this add Reagan's popularity, based primarily on his affable personality, but also to a large degree on the fact that he promised us a future without effort, without sacrifices; an endless national spending spree without reservation. In effect, a credit card with no limit. Just like telling children they don't have to eat their vegetables, and can have all the ice cream and lolly-pops they want. Of couse the voters -enough of them anyway- went for it. What child do you know of who will choose spinach over lolly-pops...? What grownup do you know of who will voluntarily choose to turn down the offer of an all-expenses-paid shopping and spending spree?
What surprises me most of all is that Carter has not been more vocal about energy in the past couple of years. All of his forecasts have basically come true with a vengeance, though on a slightly longer timescale due to subsequent oil shocks and recessions. Why the silence? Why doesn't he speak out about this now?