by Niagara » Tue 26 Sep 2006, 18:03:19
I haven't read the book yet, but I agree with what you're saying.
Look at the Amazonia for example. Traditional logic has said the rainforests are disappearing at x% (say, 2%) per year. Therefore they will be gone in 50 years; 100/x. Not so. The rainforests may be completely gone in 1 or 2 years if the droughts continue.
I don't put a lot of stock in computer models. Same as the Greenland glaciers melting. The computer models never considered the meltwater trickling down and making the underlying rock slippery. Doubling the speed the ice shelves slide and tumble into the sea.
Thanks for the tip, that book sounds interesting.
Remember: 73.3% of statistics are made up
and the other 23.6% are wrong