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Energy and the Mother of Invention

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby Ancien_Opus » Mon 03 Jul 2006, 17:12:03

Gekko said: [/quote]If you listen to Rose Wilder Lane, who wrote "Discovery of Freedom", she chronicles all of human history in relationship to freedom and concludes that all the spurts of advance were periods of freedom, while all the periods of stagnation and general human suffering were periods of slavery.
[quote]

Invention is dependent upon freedom, freedom is dependent upon a surplus of energy. You have no time to spend on creative invention if all of your time is consumed in survival.

You need look no further than industrial agriculture. A single farmer can only exploit 2000 acres of cultivation given the prodigous use of fossil fueled equipment and petrol based fertilizer, herbicides and insecticides. Take away the petrol and you're back to a 80 acre two mule farm. The same amount of time is spent on each endeavor.

Without the energy you can not have the freedom of time to invent.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby captain_planet » Mon 03 Jul 2006, 18:42:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('montequest', 'U')sing what source of energy? Their bare hands? Taking centuries to construct? Who will pay their wages? When will this start? Did you not read what has been written already in this thread?


The source of energy will come from people. There are currently 2 million prisoners in jail. 2 million people working 8 hour days is equivilant to 32,000 gallons of gasoline a day. Ethanol can be farmed to aid with the construction of the nuclear power plants and alternative energy. A fit human can generate 75 watts cycling at a continuos 12mph, now on the nuclear power construction site you might see 50 human cycle generators connected providing 3750 watts of continuous electricity, oxes/horses, and some biodiesel machines. A nuclear power plant will not take centuries to build without oil. If we are using prisoners their wages will be cheap allowing them to earn extra money spending it back on our economy. If we are not going to use prisoners then the wages will come from the customers of the nuclear power plant.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 03 Jul 2006, 20:56:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', ' ')The source of energy will come from people.


Lurkers? See what we have to deal with. A total departure from reality.

I don't have time for this nonsense.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby TonyPrep » Mon 03 Jul 2006, 21:40:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'S')o the alternative will not replace the volumes we consume it, but instead alternatives will power our basic needs.
So you've become a doomer. We will only be able to power our basic needs, post oil/gas. It will not be a smooth transition.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'A')gain I would like to ask why does nuclear, solar, hydro, wind need oil?
Oil/gas/coal powers the homes of people working (or who will work) in alternative energy industries. It powers the plants that produce the steel and concrete needed to build the alternative energies. It powers the offices and computers of the designers of this infrastructure. It paves the roads to these alternative power plants. It feeds the people invoved. It transports the raw materials. If you can ony build the alternatives using energy and lubricants from existing alternatives, then it will be decades or centuries before you build enough alternative infrastructure to make a difference. If you're not new to this, how come this is new to you?$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 't')hat oil is not the end of civilization.
No, but the end of oil is the end of this civilization. Nothing you've written is anything other than a belief. A smooth transition to a much powered down global civilization is extremely unlikely.

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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby TonyPrep » Mon 03 Jul 2006, 21:50:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'A') fit human can generate 75 watts cycling at a continuos 12mph,
CP, for a fit human to output x amount of energy, that human has to have x+y amount of energy as inputs, where y is greater than 0.

Where do you think that energy input will come from? You have also said nothing about the raw materials needed and the processing of those, nor the building of these human generator devices.

This isn't optimism, it's dreaming.

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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby captain_planet » Tue 04 Jul 2006, 00:26:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'O')il/gas/coal powers the homes of people working (or who will work) in alternative energy industries. It powers the plants that produce the steel and concrete needed to build the alternative energies. It powers the offices and computers of the designers of this infrastructure. It paves the roads to these alternative power plants. It feeds the people invoved. It transports the raw materials. If you can ony build the alternatives using energy and lubricants from existing alternatives, then it will be decades or centuries before you build enough alternative infrastructure to make a difference. If you're not new to this, how come this is new to you?


The reason I ask was to see what you would say and I knew you was going to say what you said. To counter it, steel has been around as early as 200 A.D http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steel#Hist ... teelmaking . and mass steel production patented in 1855 by Bessemer was from a chinese development in the 200's http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bessemer_process . Concrete has been around since roman times and they was able to build grand cities and roads http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concrete . Coal can power the offices/computers until the pebble bed reactor is built, then when it is built the reactor will power the offices/computers. Raw materials can be transported by rail and food production is powered by oxes, humans, and biodiesel farm equipment. Louisiana State Penitentiary(Angola) is an example of a prison powered farm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Angola_Prison . You have to grasp the concept that at the nuclear power construction work site you will see a mini city pop out of no where because people want to work. Once one pebble bed reactor is built, the next one will be easier/faster to build because of the added energy to the grid.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'W')here do you think that energy input will come from? You have also said nothing about the raw materials needed and the processing of those, nor the building of these human generator devices.


The energy will come from calories(food). The only reason mentioned this human powered device was to show you how much energy a human is capable of producing using very few calories. http://computer.howstuffworks.com/question658.htm . The raw materials need to create a device like this would be miniumal because all it is a one wheeled bicycle with a electric generator in the wheels made up of magnets and copper. A gallon of gasoline contains about 31,000 calories, if humans was able to drink gasoline they would be able to travel 912miles on one gallon. We cannot drink gasoline but we can carry food that equals to 31,000 calories http://auto.howstuffworks.com/question527.htm . Internal combusion is not a efficient use of energy because alot of energy is wasted.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 04 Jul 2006, 01:20:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', ' ')The energy will come from calories(food).


Careful Tony, we got a sharp cookie here. LOL!
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby TonyPrep » Tue 04 Jul 2006, 07:03:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'T')o counter it, steel has been around as early as 200 A.D.
And of course, we can smoothly go back to the methods used then to manufacture the huge quantities of steel and concrete we need in the time frames we need it. I don't think so.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'C')oal can power the offices/computers until the pebble bed reactor is built
Which will consume fossil fuels. Coal AND gas will power the offices, oil is also a factor in running the offices and the transport for the workers.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'R')aw materials can be transported by rail and food production is powered by oxes, humans, and biodiesel farm equipment.
Not in the quantities required.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'Y')ou have to grasp the concept that at the nuclear power construction work site you will see a mini city pop out of no where because people want to work.
And you need to grasp that cities don't just pop out of nowhere; they have to be constructed.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'O')nce one pebble bed reactor is built, the next one will be easier/faster to build because of the added energy to the grid.How do you know that energy will be added? How much would have declined in the 10 years or so to design plan and build the first one?$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'W')here do you think that energy input will come from? You have also said nothing about the raw materials needed and the processing of those, nor the building of these human generator devices.The energy will come from calories(food).And humans doing more work will need more calories. How will we produce more food with a declining supply of oil, gas and topsoil?$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', 'T')he raw materials need to create a device like this would be miniumal because all it is a one wheeled bicycle with a electric generator in the wheels made up of magnets and copper.Copper is getting more expensive and you were talking about 2 million prisoners. That's not minimal.

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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby TonyPrep » Tue 04 Jul 2006, 07:06:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('captain_planet', ' ')The energy will come from calories(food).


Careful Tony, we got a sharp cookie here. LOL!
I'm restraining myself, Monte!
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How Cuba survived peak oil

Unread postby captain_planet » Tue 04 Jul 2006, 19:37:06

http://www.energybulletin.net/13171.html

This is a interesting article about Cuba and its adaptation to post-peak oil. Cuba does not have the infrastructure like in the US but they showed what can be done. If only they had one 1200 mega watt pebble bed reactor things could of changed greatly there. For example the United States generates 3.892 trillion kWh with a population of 298,444,215 http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/fac ... nt/us.html that is 12.25 MWh per person in America vs Cuba which generated 15.65 billion kWh with a population of 11,382,820 http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/fac ... nt/cu.html that equals to 1.37 MWh per person in Cuba. American's use 12 to 1 more electricity then Cuba.

I forgot to add that oxygen is also is what powers humans.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby Omnitir » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 02:10:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zensui', '
')IMO, humanity may be "branching" in 2 groups:

the ones that gamble for an evolution of humanity to an ecological friendly lifestyle

&

the ones that gamble for "keeping business as usual"


Has the possibility occurred to you that ‘business as usual’ may in fact be the best course to achieve an evolution of humanity towards an ecological friendly lifestyle? In other words, both groups may ultimately be moving towards the same goal.

i.e., groups striving for sustainability, and groups striving to maintain their privileged status quo, are merely different parts of the same process: the evolution of civilization.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby peripato » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 02:58:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', 'H')as the possibility occurred to you that ‘business as usual’ may in fact be the best course to achieve an evolution of humanity towards an ecological friendly lifestyle?

So you believe that the same system that helped get us into this mess will be the one that will lead us out of it?

"Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results." Einstein attributed
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby Omnitir » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 20:15:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', 'H')as the possibility occurred to you that ‘business as usual’ may in fact be the best course to achieve an evolution of humanity towards an ecological friendly lifestyle?

So you believe that the same system that helped get us into this mess will be the one that will lead us out of it?

"Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results." Einstein attributed


It’s wrong to believe that we live in a static unchanging world. ‘The system’ of today is vastly different then the system of the past.

The notion that there is such a thing as ‘business as usual’ is questionable, regardless of energy. There is no ‘usual’. Change is a way of life for modern homosapien.

Parts of the system strive for sustainable living through ecology.
Other parts of the system strive to increase carrying capacity through science.
Other parts of the system strive to secure future resources through military actions.
Other parts of the system strive to maintain their over-consuming status-quo.
Other parts of the system develop revolutionary technologies because it’s profitable.

The entire system is in a constant and rapid state of evolution, building upon past successes to develop the most suitable solutions for the current situations. So yes, the system that got us into this mess will be used (and improved upon) to get us out of this mess. But it’s hardly doing the same thing over and over.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 20:58:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', ' ')So yes, the system that got us into this mess will be used (and improved upon) to get us out of this mess. But it’s hardly doing the same thing over and over.


So, it will be "business as usual?"

Nothing wrong with the system, it just needs tweaked?

How do you make a Ponzi scheme sustainable?

How do you improve a system based upon infinite growth in a finite world?

You can't. Pigs don't fly.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 21:09:28

When will "getting us out of this mess" begin? Currently, by all expert opinion, we are still getting deeper and deeper into the mess. When will these "improvements" begin to get us out of this mess?
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby Omnitir » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 22:02:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', ' ')Nothing wrong with the system, it just needs tweaked?

So you think it’s impossible to achieve sustainability through an evolution of what we currently have? No point in striving for a better world, better to let it all burn and start again?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')How do you improve a system based upon infinite growth in a finite world?

The entire system is completely based upon infinite growth in a finite world? 100% of economic activity requires infinite resource consumption?

I will not elaborate until you clarify your beliefs on growth. Is the only form of growth building more Wall-marts and SUV’s? Is this what you mean by ‘business as usual’?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', ' ')When will "getting us out of this mess" begin? Currently, by all expert opinion, we are still getting deeper and deeper into the mess. When will these "improvements" begin to get us out of this mess?

Yes, good question/point. Indeed we appear to be getting deeper into ‘the mess’. But are we unchanging? Has transition not yet begun? Is the model for modern consumerism identical to what it was 50 years ago, or 100 years ago? Will it be identical in another 20 or 50 years?

When do we start changing? When have we ever not been changing?
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 22:09:08

You claimed improvments will get us out of this mess. When?

When will they start getting us out of this mess, instead of deeper into it?

That's the question. Not "are we changing" or "are we not changing."

Holy crapping crap.

8O
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 22:40:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', ' ')So you think it’s impossible to achieve sustainability through an evolution of what we currently have?
Yes, not with our current world view. $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')o point in striving for a better world, better to let it all burn and start again?
I don't respond to strawman arguments.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he entire system is completely based upon infinite growth in a finite world?
Yes.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')100% of economic activity requires infinite resource consumption?
I don't respond to strawman arguments.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') will not elaborate until you clarify your beliefs on growth. Read my thread on money and oil depletion in Economics. My beliefs are laid quite clear.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hen have we ever not been changing? Ever since we started the Ponzi scheme.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby Omnitir » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 23:02:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'Y')ou claimed improvments will get us out of this mess. When?

When will they start getting us out of this mess, instead of deeper into it?

That's the question. Not "are we changing" or "are we not changing."

Holy crapping crap.

8O

So the question is “when do we start changing” not “have we started changing”?? It’s the same argument! My argument is that we are always changing – the notion that we have to start something that is already well and truly in progress makes no sense.

Rather then ask “when do we start changing”, you probably mean to ask “when will we achieve sustainability?” Of course that’s impossible to answer (maybe a few more decades?), but the point I’m trying to make is that it is something that we are moving towards, and this progression is happening all on it’s own, even with what is regarded as ‘business as usual’.
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Re: Energy and the Mother of Invention

Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 15 Nov 2006, 23:21:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', 'M')y argument is that we are always changing – the notion that we have to start something that is already well and truly in progress makes no sense.


Since when did we start changing from a debt-based monetary system?

Since when did we stop externalizing the true costs of industrial production?

Since when did we start on a population reduction plan?
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