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THE Collapse of the US Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Not apocalypse yet, but it's coming

Unread postby BastardSquad » Sun 31 Oct 2004, 23:20:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('trespam', '
')I never heard the phrase "Mad Max" before I joined this forum. I'm still not completely certain about what it means. Survivalism will be necessary for survival, and those who did not prepare will die.
Jerry Abbott


Alright!!! Now that's just downright BLASPHEMOUS!!!!

The Mad Max trilogy is a cult classic! A cultural icon I tell you!

The storyline of these three movies is based on exactly what we're talking about here.The world runs out of oil and slowly descends into chaos.

The first movie "Mad Max" was alright,it basically takes place as civilization is in it's death throws trying desperately to hold itself together.Max is a cop whose job is to protect the major highways in Australia from maurading bandits.

The second movie "The Road Warrior" totaly kicked ass!!!Yeah I know,some of the costumes were pretty corny,but the highway battle scenes were cool as hell,especially the one at the very beginning :twisted: In this movie civilization is gone,it's killed or be killed as various roving bands of thugs fight to find and obtain the last bits of gasoline(juice).This is the movie that launched Mel Gibson to superstar status.

The third movie was called "beyond thunderdome"total piece of crap,what a waste of film,don't even bother to watch it.

So with that I say,if your interested in PO you have to watch the Road Warrior.Excellent piece of fiction. :twisted:
"Switzerland is small and neutral.We need to be more like Germany,ambitious and misunderstood!" Futurama


"As for the dieoff of 5E+09 people - not a problem, so long as I'm not one of them." Jack
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Re: Not apocalypse yet

Unread postby BastardSquad » Tue 02 Nov 2004, 00:18:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bart', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BastardSquad', '
')I find it laughable when people start saying "we need to get Bush out of office,Kerry will save the day!"As if one would truely be any better than the other.


I wouldn't say that Kerry will save the day, but he does have the distinct advantage over Bush of being sane. He listens to his advisers and does not rely solely on "gut feelings" and prayer to make world-changing decisions. If I were Republican and conservative (as I used to be), I would vote for Kerry in a miinute.


And maybe ,if we're lucky,we can see the end of free speech,personal gun ownership,and have a tremendous increase in entitlement programs for the leeches!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('trespam', 'Y')et I take issue with articles that discuss "economic collapse" without even defining what they mean by "collapse" and "explode." The question that must be answered: how will the correction take place.

It's anyones guess but I bet it won't be pretty.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bart', 'I') agree with trespam's approach. Other societies have faced similar problems and dealt with them. Some solutions have been horrible (Easter Island, Haiti, 1930s Germany) and some have been productive (Cuba, Kerala, many W. European countries). We need to keep thinking, discussing and making choices..



I hope you understand that it was "Hitler's Germany" that brought the whole world out of depression in the 30's.

Cuba is a communist nation you piece of crap!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bart', 'T')he problem with apocalyptic thinking is that it is black and white. Either things continue as they have been, or we will suffer some horrible unimaginable fate. Our brains turn off and we jump into rigid, fearful solutions. We become primed for stupid choices like a fascist dictator, Stalinist socialism, or Max Max survivalism.


Tell that to an ancient Roman who had his land overrun and taken by a Vandal or Goth you dumbass!
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Yes, Cuba is a communist nation

Unread postby bart » Tue 02 Nov 2004, 01:41:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BastardSquad', 'C')uba is a communist nation


You are right, BastardSquad, Cuba is a communist nation and thus unappealing to many Americans. However, the reason to look at Cuba is not because it is communist, but because it is one of the few countries to have entered a post-Peak Oil world and to have dealt with the blow somewhat successfully.

They minimized car use, turned to organic agriculture, and converted large state farms into smaller farms, some run by individuals and others by groups. They managed to arouse popular support for the changes, as unappealing as the changes might have been.

Any country that enters the post-PO world will face the same challenges as Cuba has. I suspect that countries which deal successfully with post-PO will take much the same measures as Cuba has. It doesn't matter what the politics of the countries are, somehow they have to ensure that food is produced and transportation systems maintained. Different countries will use different degrees of force, a different mix of socialist and capitalist strategies. But they all face the same challenge: adapting to a low-energy society.
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Re: Yes, Cuba is a communist nation

Unread postby BastardSquad » Tue 02 Nov 2004, 09:38:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bart', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BastardSquad', 'C')uba is a communist nation


You are right, BastardSquad, Cuba is a communist nation and thus unappealing to many Americans. However, the reason to look at Cuba is not because it is communist, but because it is one of the few countries to have entered a post-Peak Oil world and to have dealt with the blow somewhat successfully.

They minimized car use, turned to organic agriculture, and converted large state farms into smaller farms, some run by individuals and others by groups. They managed to arouse popular support for the changes, as unappealing as the changes might have been.

Any country that enters the post-PO world will face the same challenges as Cuba has. I suspect that countries which deal successfully with post-PO will take much the same measures as Cuba has. It doesn't matter what the politics of the countries are, somehow they have to ensure that food is produced and transportation systems maintained. Different countries will use different degrees of force, a different mix of socialist and capitalist strategies. But they all face the same challenge: adapting to a low-energy society.


While I'm completely opposed to communism,you do make a valid point.

I apologise for my arrogant and mean spirited replies.

take care
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"As for the dieoff of 5E+09 people - not a problem, so long as I'm not one of them." Jack
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past is past

Unread postby bart » Tue 02 Nov 2004, 15:31:07

Thanks for the post, BastardSquad. If we're going to solve the problems of PO, somehow we have to find ways to work together even if we strongly disagree.

I suspect that many of the political systems and conflicts of the past will seem irrelevant in a PO future.
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Unread postby Concerned » Tue 02 Nov 2004, 16:37:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Cuba is a communist nation you piece of crap!


So is China and you have no problem smooching up to them. Crushing of a democracy uprising :? No worries you can have most favored nation trading status. *snicker*

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Tell that to an ancient Roman who had his land overrun and taken by a Vandal or Goth you dumbass!


Well in some more recent history, there were some peaceful guys called umm... Indians who welcomed some white guys from Europe offering their hospitality and food. These "primitive" Indians were even kind enough to help these "civilised" white guys while they were starving getting started in Jamestown.

The white guys being all civilised and interested in principles and democracy, freedom, rule of law etc.. etc.. the white guys proceeded to kill most of the Indians, herd the rest to the least desirable parts of the country and continue to pat themselves on the back regards the greatest experiment in freedom, democracy, peace loving etc.. etc.. ever experienced on the planet.
"Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
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Unread postby BastardSquad » Wed 03 Nov 2004, 23:31:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Concerned', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Cuba is a communist nation you piece of crap!


So is China and you have no problem smooching up to them. Crushing of a democracy uprising :? No worries you can have most favored nation trading status. *snicker*

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Tell that to an ancient Roman who had his land overrun and taken by a Vandal or Goth you dumbass!


Well in some more recent history, there were some peaceful guys called umm... Indians who welcomed some white guys from Europe offering their hospitality and food. These "primitive" Indians were even kind enough to help these "civilised" white guys while they were starving getting started in Jamestown.

The white guys being all civilised and interested in principles and democracy, freedom, rule of law etc.. etc.. the white guys proceeded to kill most of the Indians, herd the rest to the least desirable parts of the country and continue to pat themselves on the back regards the greatest experiment in freedom, democracy, peace loving etc.. etc.. ever experienced on the planet.


As far as the trading with China comment goes,I,like most Americans,am completely opposed to it.It costs us jobs along with billions of dollars that leave this country and will never come back.This is just another example of how we,the American citizens,have absolutely no control over our own government.Multinational conglomerates and international banking rule this country,voting doesn't mean $hit!!!!!!

As for your comments on the Native Americans goes,I fail to see any point!What I meant in regards to the Romans was that when they fell apart ,much of their land was seized by force by various barbaric tribes.The Goths literaly sacked Rome!The territory of "Hispania"(Spain) was given to them(the Goths)at the expense of Romans already living there.Just as their northern territories were given to the Francs,which is now "France".My point is,a major collapse,isn't "no big deal"!

From the Native American comment I can only come up with 3 conclusions......................................................

1) You're a European who wishes to make me feel guilty about the fate of the American Indians.To that I can only say,we didn't do anything that virtually all of the other European countries were doing around the world with their overseas territories/assets.From Africa to Polonisia!

2)You're some self hating,guilt riddin white American who wants to make me feel guilty about how we conquered this country.I have a special bullet in my gun just for you!

3)You're either a Native American or some other "ethinic minority" who wants to make me feel guilty or paint me out to be a bad guy because my people were soooo much more sucessful than yours.To that i say.....FU<( YOU!!!!...........if your people were so damn great and equal,then how come we kicked your ass????



As for my replies to Barts post,I still feel really bad.Going out drinking,and then posting is never a good idea.Theres the happy drunk who wants to be your friend and then there's the asshole drunk who wants to fight.Unfortunately I sometimes fall into the later category.
"Switzerland is small and neutral.We need to be more like Germany,ambitious and misunderstood!" Futurama


"As for the dieoff of 5E+09 people - not a problem, so long as I'm not one of them." Jack
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Unread postby Guest » Thu 04 Nov 2004, 03:58:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')As far as the trading with China comment goes,I,like most Americans,am completely opposed to it.It costs us jobs along with billions of dollars that leave this country and will never come back.This is just another example of how we,the American citizens,have absolutely no control over our own government.Multinational conglomerates and international banking rule this country,voting doesn't mean $hit!!!!!!


Actions speak louder than words how many Chinese goods do you, your family friends and associates own. Every dollar worth of Chinese GDP is a vote for China essentially you are voting for communism! If Cuba were playing the Hati, China, El Salvador, India, Balgladesh, Burmese, Indonesian etc.. etc.. low wage slave labor game to US and European multinationals, I bet you wouldn't hear a peep about that government.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')As for your comments on the Native Americans goes,I fail to see any point!What I meant


The point is really quite simple. Justaposing your comment of the Vandals sacking rome Vs what your ancestors (and mine in other parts of the world) have achieved using similar tactics. The forceful expatriation of people from their property is not limited to Vandals it is the foundation of America.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')in regards to the Romans was that when they fell apart ,much of their land was seized by force by various barbaric tribes.The Goths literaly sacked Rome!The territory of "Hispania"(Spain) was given to them(the Goths)at the expense of Romans already living there.Just as their northern territories were given to the Francs,which is now "France".My point is,a major collapse,isn't "no big deal"!


I agree a major collapse will be a disaster, hence the term major collapse

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')From the Native American comment I can only come up with 3 conclusions......................................................

1) You're a European who wishes to make me feel guilty about the fate of the American Indians.To that I can only say,we didn't do anything that virtually all of the other European countries were doing around the world with their overseas territories/assets.From Africa to Polonisia!


Nope. Hint America was colonised by Europeans :)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')2)You're some self hating,guilt riddin white American who wants to make me feel guilty about how we conquered this country.I have a special bullet in my gun just for you!


Nope wrong again. Just someone who calls a spade a spade. People in America and other parts of the world shouldn't blather on about democracy, freedom, human rights, equality, peace loving etc.. etc.. when not only is your history full of the opposite values, your current administration that puports to hold these same enlightened values is equally on it's merry warmongering and explotative path while winding back hard fought liberties at home in the oh so ironic Patriot act.

I'm not guilt ridden at all, quite the opposite in fact. I can face the historical record and accept that bad things happened and admit that they were wrong. It's the people who refuse to accept the historical record that have issues and it's not about being guilt ridden it's about taking responsibility not for your crimes because you or I were not there but the crimes of your nation. IMO there needs to be an acceptance that our success for want of a better word is nothing but superior barbarism. That goes for every country by the way not just the USA. Your particular reference to Europeans in Africa and Oceana not to mention Asia. Then we have actors such as Russia in the East, generally however it tends to be the US (govt / administration) who proclaims the loudest their enlightened and benevolent and every so kind humanatarian nature.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')3)You're either a Native American or some other "ethinic minority" who wants to make me feel guilty or paint me out to be a bad guy because my people were soooo much more sucessful than yours.To that i say.....FU<( YOU!!!!...........if your people were so damn great and equal,then how come we kicked your ass????


No again.

A good place to start as to why we kicked your ass would be a text called Guns Germs and Steel by Jared Diamond. See I think you do feel a bit guilty and it's not about being successful it's the fact that your so called success is based on death, destruction, murder, slavery, genocide etc.. that somehow gets sugar coated into peace loving, democracy, freedom, beacon of hope all the usual clap trap coming from the high priests above. You are correct that is is not just an American phenomenon, I was discussing something I percieved that would be close to home.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')As for my replies to Barts post,I still feel really bad.Going out drinking,and then posting is never a good idea.Theres the happy drunk who wants to be your friend and then there's the asshole drunk who wants to fight.Unfortunately I sometimes fall into the later category.


Sure we all make posts every now and again and I was humbled in your reply to Bart. As you were man enough concede an error of judgement when you perceived that such an event had transpired. I applaud you for that 8)
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Unread postby holmes » Thu 04 Nov 2004, 10:41:13

hey bastard squad you are just another wana be american who has zero understanding of the histroy of this once great country. Neo cons and libs never do know the true history its a mish mash of wacked out partisan views. and bunk science.
DISEASES wiped out the Indians well before our ancestors ever stepped foot onto this continent. We didnt Kick any ass. 90,000,000 speculated died from diseases. Lying in there homes not fighting some made up european sensationalized war. It was no war. it was a genocide based on greed and religion.
300,000 were left when we got here. What a crock of lies the indian wars. we had 40 million against 300,000. More BS propaganda fed to the simple minds. Get used to the fact that most of our culture is based on lies and semi truths.
we kicked 300,000 on there way out tribes,that basicly surrended but had to fight becuase we kept pressuring them.
performed genocide on them. Exterminted their natural sustainable food sources and forced them into dependent welfare socialist state.
Burned their orchards and fields.
The gun and a culture of overpopulation helped as well. Most of the tribes culture did not allow overbreeding.
They had a free self sufficient system. And u know what they were handing our asses to us by the end of the indian wars and didnt have enough warriors and resources left. So lets get some perspective and truth into this fallacy of history that has been imbedded into the psyche.
Only the guilty feel guilty.
Oh and our society will not last past this century. Theirs lasted 8,000 years and had no sign of decline. Pure bred and strong. a code.
Read bury my heart at wounded knee.
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Unread postby BastardSquad » Thu 04 Nov 2004, 17:35:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('holmes', 'h')ey bastard squad you are just another wana be american who has zero understanding of the histroy of this once great country. Neo cons and libs never do know the true history its a mish mash of wacked out partisan views. and bunk science.
DISEASES wiped out the Indians well before our ancestors ever stepped foot onto this continent. We didnt Kick any ass. 90,000,000 speculated died from diseases. Lying in there homes not fighting some made up european sensationalized war. It was no war. it was a genocide based on greed and religion.
300,000 were left when we got here. What a crock of lies the indian wars. we had 40 million against 300,000. More BS propaganda fed to the simple minds. Get used to the fact that most of our culture is based on lies and semi truths.
we kicked 300,000 on there way out tribes,that basicly surrended but had to fight becuase we kept pressuring them.
performed genocide on them. Exterminted their natural sustainable food sources and forced them into dependent welfare socialist state.
Burned their orchards and fields.
The gun and a culture of overpopulation helped as well. Most of the tribes culture did not allow overbreeding.
They had a free self sufficient system. And u know what they were handing our asses to us by the end of the indian wars and didnt have enough warriors and resources left. So lets get some perspective and truth into this fallacy of history that has been imbedded into the psyche.
Only the guilty feel guilty.
Oh and our society will not last past this century. Theirs lasted 8,000 years and had no sign of decline. Pure bred and strong. a code.
Read bury my heart at wounded knee.


I agree,disease took the greatest toll.

I suppose my last two post have been a bit extreme,I don't personaly have anything against the Indians.I guess my grievence is "the sins of the father shall not bother the sun",I'm tired of being expected to feel guilty about something I had no part in and can't really do anything to change.

Ultimately in regards to China I have to concede.We are the ones who had a choice to buy American but chose to save a few bucks instead.Now it looks like it's about to come back and bite us in the ass.If the American people really did care about our trrrade deficit with China then Ralphh Nader would've won the election by a landslide.

Having recently become aware of PO,I've been feeling exceptionaly hostile lately :x Maybe it's just because I want to know what to expect and no one can tell me cause nobody knows :(
"Switzerland is small and neutral.We need to be more like Germany,ambitious and misunderstood!" Futurama


"As for the dieoff of 5E+09 people - not a problem, so long as I'm not one of them." Jack
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Unread postby gg3 » Fri 05 Nov 2004, 04:48:23

The first task is to face facts objectively, and the second is to make choices rationally.

Guilt:

The question of guilt over historic genocide is a red herring. Yes, Americans genocided the Indians, and Germans genocided the Jews; to which we can add Cambodia, Rwanda, and all the other "never agains" that keep happening again and again. Much was done in each case that any rational person must conclude was abolute evil. BUT- we, ourselves, who are writing and reading this, didn't do those deeds. It's not even sane to feel guilty about a crime someone else commits. And if the criminal managed to get away (i.e. the perpetrators of those genocides are long since dead), the best we can do is try to set things right for the victims and their descendents, and put measures in place to prevent a repeat-performance. Witness modern Germany, with world-class democracy and free enterprise, and practically zero chance of ever getting taken over by tyranny again.

China:

Count me as another American who doesn't approve of America giving away the farm to a communist government in exchange for cheap consumer goods. Now THIS is an area where there is clear moral responsibility: anyone who, when confronted with the choice between cheap goods made by slaves, and slightly more expensive goods made by free people, chooses the former, is contributing in a concrete way toward communism and the oppression of labor, and toward the decline of their own country's economy. There are no two ways about this.

Personally I check the labels on *everything* I buy, and wherever possible, avoid buying goods made in countries that treat their citizens as little more than slaves.

Also the goods my company sells pass the same sniff test. I can prove that the excuse of needing slave labor to get a competitive price while earning a respectable profit, is pure unadulterated bull----.

Cuba:

To my mind, socialism is dull, gray, stifling, and represents the entropy of incentive and inventiveness. However the fact remains that Cuba managed to pull off its own PO transition without a social collapse or a die-off, something that the predominant theories here say is darn near impossible. So clearly there's something to learn from; and the place to start is by recognizing that one can choose: we don't need to go commie in order to learn from something a commie government actually managed to get right (same case with the new generation of Chinese nuclear reactors).

Our task is to adopt the best without getting the rest. What I find really interesting is the idea of making Cuban infrastructure (technologies & methods) work in a free enterprise democracy environment. It's almost like a design engineering challenge, and I think it should be undertaken in that spirit.

Econo-splat:

I can't imagine any way the debt load could keep growing without eventually causing an implosion. However, my experience of econo-splats over the past 20 years is that they aren't sudden catastrophes that manifest everywhere simultaneously to the same degree. They hit some people catastrophically, and the rest of us less to varying degrees.

If someone has a ton of debt but it's at a fixed interest rate and their cashflow holds up well enough that they can keep making payments, I don't think they're going to get trashed. It's the variable-rate debt that's the real risk, and the cases where cashflow takes a hit; people in those circumstances are going to get wiped out. Then of course there'll be a ripple effect through the system, but again, it will primarily knock out those who are in a precarious position to begin with. And those who are observant will see the wave coming and protect themselves as far as possible before it hits.

What that means presently is, reducing consumer debt to the absolute minimum, and assuring that you have the cashflow to cover those components that are truly necessary such as a mortgage. And then diversifying your assets in such a manner as to be less vulnerable to sectoral shocks. And simultaneously with the rest of this, diversifying your skill-set to enable a range of means of earning an income in the event of job loss. This isn't hard, it just takes using your free will.
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If America collapses - we're all buggered

Unread postby linlithgowoil » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:22:21

Was just thinking - a lot of people on here seem to be rubbing their hands with glee at the prospect of the amercian empire ending. Problem is, china and the communists would replace them - militarily and economically.

I wonder if you'd all be pretty happy to see the red flag of china flying in washington and mass murders of americans to clear space for all the chinese?

my point is that, although america has done many pretty terrible things in its history, what is the alternative?

And lets just forget all the pie in the sky pipe dream stuff of people all living in wonderful middle earth type towns with no central control. Wont happen. There will always be some form of 'leader' or control over people - always has been in history, and always will be. So which is best? A leader that at least attempts to stick to the rule of law, or a leader who has no rules except whatever they feel like doing is fine?
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Unread postby reggieUK » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:25:29

then we're all buggered.
China is the new empire
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Unread postby Geology_Guy » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:29:28

Can't wait for the dictatorship of the prolitariat!

Good point in that there is always some kind of leader. As in Animal Farm "all animals are equal, but some are more equal than others".
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Unread postby Battle_Scarred_Galactico » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:33:41

How are they going to do all this Galatic Empire stuff with no energy ?
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Unread postby Leanan » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:38:21

If there was unlimited oil, then China would definitely be the new empire.

But without oil, forget it. China may as well be on the moon (unless you're an immediate neighbor). China will not be able to maintain hegemony over the world, any more than Britain could maintain hegemony over the U.S. It just won't be worth the effort.

This doesn't mean we'll be living an idealistic, Shire-like existance. But I suspect "all politics is local" will have a whole new meaning.
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Re: If America collapses - we're all buggered

Unread postby Doly » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:40:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('linlithgowoil', '
')And lets just forget all the pie in the sky pipe dream stuff of people all living in wonderful middle earth type towns with no central control. Wont happen. There will always be some form of 'leader' or control over people - always has been in history, and always will be.


There have been a number of new political systems developed in recent history, including democracy and communism. Anarchy has a well-developed political theory, even though it hasn't been put to practice in any country yet. But I wouldn't discount it as entirely impossible just because it never happened before.

Besides, if transport becomes more difficult, it will be harder and harder to maintain big empires. China may want to conquer America, but will they be able to keep it? Maybe not, with difficult transport. China may even have trouble to stay together as a single country!
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Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:46:18

Can someone explain how China will avoid crashing with the rest of us when the US goes pop?

After all, the reason why China is growing so quickly is the demand generated by the West. If all our economies are in recession , China has no demand, barely any resources per capita, and 1.3 billion angry , hungry unemployed people !

PB
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Unread postby BiGG » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 10:14:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('reggieUK', 't')hen we're all buggered.
China is the new empire


In their own minds maybe, ICBM’s don’t need oil to fly so they better keep their empire desires contained if they were thinking of expanding after the crash.
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Unread postby linlithgowoil » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 10:37:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')an someone explain how China will avoid crashing with the rest of us when the US goes pop


I think the main reason China would be able to do something about it is the following reasons:-

1. its a communist country - rule of law doesn't really apply. if the communists want something done, they'll do it - which is related to #2:-

2. their army is f**king enormous, with technological advances happening all the time with bought in western tech and employees.

3. china has always harboured a desire for a massive empire - everyone knows this - this might be their chance.

4. another war of empire would allow them to entrench their control of the means of production even further - absolutely everything would be taken as a means of further the state's aims.

5. when war is going on, people turn a blind eye to atrocities against your own people - Nazis in WWII is a good example. 'if you're not for us, you're against us' - cue another 'Cultural revolution'.

I could be very wrong though, but imagine the world with China as the only 'policeman'. They'd tell the UN to get lost and assume full control of all international diplomacy and strategy, with no one to stop them.
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linlithgowoil
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