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I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby SoothSayer » Thu 04 May 2006, 14:54:37

I suspect that a "soft crash" will lead to ever increasing authoritarian government controlling all aspects of our lives.

In fact in the UK they are well on the way!

I don't think I want to spend the next 10 or 20 years being pushed around and bullied by petty bureaucrats & local politicians ... especially as they will have free car fuel and warm offices, and I might be forced to work in the fields.

Am I mad to think that a "hard crash" might be preferable?

At least we will get a chance to string up [or at least ignore] tax inspectors and their grasping ilk.

I quite fancy living in a strongly defended village surrounded by family & friends. If I do end up digging up veggies then at least they will be for MY community.

Is this a silly escapist viewpoint?
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby musselj » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:07:29

I am with you on the hard crash thing. if it is a soft crash here in the states I am sure the constitution will be the first thing to go and then all the poor people right behind it (me and my family included!) with a hard crash they wont have the muscle to enforce their will on everybody!
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby Grifter » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:13:43

I agree that in the long term a fast crash would be better for the freedom of mankind.

It wont be nice to live through though. Glad i'm fitter and heavier than I was a year ago.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby PolestaR » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:23:25

You might want to go dig up a post I made a while ago on the same topic. Everyone (or at least most people on this forum) should prefer a hard crash if they value freedom resembling anything we have today.

This is why I condone the disinformation of the populace and the increasing use of oil, the more oil we use now the less they will have later to control us.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby MattSavinar » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:27:29

Somehow I suspect you will change your tone when you have dysnetary as the sewer and water treatment systems in many municipalities will likely fail to some degree in a "fast crash."

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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby 12amps » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:27:43

does that mean we should tell everyone to buy Hummers??
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby Grifter » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:30:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'S')omehow I suspect you will change your tone when you have dysnetary as the sewer and water treatment systems in many municipalities will likely fail to some degree in a "fast crash."

Best,

Matt


I think the preference is for a happy ending. It will be better once its over. I don't think anyone is deluded enough to think it would be a pony ride getting there.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby PolestaR » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:32:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'S')omehow I suspect you will change your tone when you have dysnetary as the sewer and water treatment systems in many municipalities will likely fail to some degree in a "fast crash."

Best,

Matt


Speak for yourself, no doubt there are a lot of overweight, balding types like yourself who want society to stay as it is (or rather the things you value in our current society) so you can eek out some form of lavish existence until you die.

Look at the 15-28 age types on this board and how many of them want a hard landing. You were born in an era even though not that far from that age bracket have had it sweet for far too long.

Bring on the doom. The quicker it comes, the quicker it will be over for the remaining to enjoy.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby PolestaR » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:35:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('12amps', 'd')oes that mean we should tell everyone to buy Hummers??


Or another suggestion was to have petrol parties. Not unlike those in Zoolander.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby musselj » Thu 04 May 2006, 15:37:07

as far as water is concerned
A. boil it!
B. well water!
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby SoothSayer » Thu 04 May 2006, 16:22:32

>> Somehow I suspect you will change your tone when you have dysnetary as the sewer and water treatment systems in many municipalities will likely fail to some degree in a "fast crash."

Deep down I know you are right Matt ... <sigh>
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby MattSavinar » Thu 04 May 2006, 16:25:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PolestaR', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'S')omehow I suspect you will change your tone when you have dysnetary as the sewer and water treatment systems in many municipalities will likely fail to some degree in a "fast crash."

Best,

Matt


Speak for yourself, no doubt there are a lot of overweight, balding types like yourself .


Dude, get a clue.

Best,

Matt
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby MattSavinar » Thu 04 May 2006, 16:26:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PolestaR', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'S')omehow I suspect you will change your tone when you have dysnetary as the sewer and water treatment systems in many municipalities will likely fail to some degree in a "fast crash."

Best,

Matt


Speak for yourself, no doubt there are a lot of overweight, balding types like yourself who want society to stay as it is (or rather the things you value in our current society) so you can eek out some form of lavish existence until you die.

Look at the 15-28 age types on this board and how many of them want a hard landing. You were born in an era even though not that far from that age bracket have had it sweet for far too long.
.


Again, get another clue.

27 years old, full head of blonde hair, in better shape than probably 98% of the population.

Best,

Matt
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby truecougarblue » Thu 04 May 2006, 16:29:09

As for this boy scout, I'd prefer to depend on my own abilities to make a living than to watch my freedoms erode as those of so many did in Germany in the 30s.

So yes, in many ways I think I'd rather see it crash hard.

On dysintery, etc...

Infrastructure smrifrastructure, people who know the basics will do OK, and hopefully help others along as well. It would be nice if everyone could ride off into the sunset, but that doesn't seem to be the course we've set.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby BastardSquad » Thu 04 May 2006, 16:33:18

While I'm not convinced there will be a hard crash,at least not for many years,I can can see 2 benefits to a hard crash as opposed to a slow decline.

1) -Certainty! No one really knows just how a slow decline will play out so it's damn near impossible to know how and what to prepare for.In a hard crash scenario you know exactly what you're getting.

2) -Leveling Effect! Everyone more or less starts out on a level playing field.Unlike a slow decline where someone else(the elites) gets to decide who lives and who dies,it's survival of the fittest and everyone has a fair chance at making it.

In a slow decline I can easily see nations around the world slipping into dictatorships.No doubt many people will demand a dictator if they think it will save them :(
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby PolestaR » Thu 04 May 2006, 16:41:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'A')gain, get another clue.

27 years old, full head of blonde hair, in better shape than probably 98% of the population.

Best,

Matt


Ah...so you're blonde. Well that explains why your square shape doesn't fit into the circle hole.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby arocoun » Thu 04 May 2006, 17:04:37

Hard or soft crash, I want a crash that will allow the earth to rebuild natural habitats and balances, bring the human population to sustainable levels, and mitigate dangerous climate changes. Something tells me that a hard crash would allow for all of those things, and will stop government from getting too much more tyranical.

As for water, most of the world has to boil or dig for their water these days due to the various maladies of civilization. Looks like we in the first world will have to get used to it, too.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby Eddie_lomax » Thu 04 May 2006, 18:35:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PolestaR', 'Y')ou might want to go dig up a post I made a while ago on the same topic. Everyone (or at least most people on this forum) should prefer a hard crash if they value freedom resembling anything we have today.

This is why I condone the disinformation of the populace and the increasing use of oil, the more oil we use now the less they will have later to control us.


A thought on this, I wonder if by conserving now the crash will just be harder ? Say I chose to drive around in a Hummer to and from my job, once the oil crash does come the commute will come to an end and my huge use of oil will end too.

Protecting your pocket and driving something cheap should be the best plan here (actually I drive a bit a guzzler! A 26mpg Jag, although it runs on 1/2 price LPG so its obscenly cheaper than a more modern car to own), it also means that when the real crash arrives you won't be contributing to the conservation effort. Its kind of relying on that Jensons paradox - make oil cheaper by not using it and someone else will get addicted to it instead - evil :wink: , but who said life was fair ?

Right now helping number one seems the best approach to me, any efforts to conserve won't slow the rate that oils extracted from the ground thanks to the Chinese and Indians. So we might as well just do what helps us the most and make sure we aren't the ones addicted to oil that land in a world of hurt when Mr Reality steps in and announces peak oil to the world in a langauge they finally cannot ignore :)

One last bit - I'd prefer a fairly hard crash - one that cannot be forgotten, although if things get too desperate I don't think much progression will go on, but I never said I wanted to be one of those living through it.
Last edited by Eddie_lomax on Thu 04 May 2006, 18:38:27, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby JPL » Thu 04 May 2006, 18:36:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('arocoun', 'H')ard or soft crash, I want a crash that will allow the earth to rebuild natural habitats and balances.


In a strange kind of way, I agree. Last thing we all need is PO delayed by 20 years and then having to deal with run-away Global Warming at the same time.

I know that PO will kill a lot of humans but GW will kill a lot of species that never even cared about oil (maybe including us) & once the Planet heats up & turns against us that is IT, guys.

(BTW am 42 and balding but NOT fat...)

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Re: I think I might prefer a "hard crash" ...

Unread postby PolestaR » Thu 04 May 2006, 20:19:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eddie_lomax', 'A') thought on this, I wonder if by conserving now the crash will just be harder ? Say I chose to drive around in a Hummer to and from my job, once the oil crash does come the commute will come to an end and my huge use of oil will end too.

Protecting your pocket and driving something cheap should be the best plan here (actually I drive a bit a guzzler! A 26mpg Jag, although it runs on 1/2 price LPG so its obscenly cheaper than a more modern car to own), it also means that when the real crash arrives you won't be contributing to the conservation effort. Its kind of relying on that Jensons paradox - make oil cheaper by not using it and someone else will get addicted to it instead - evil :wink: , but who said life was fair ?

Right now helping number one seems the best approach to me, any efforts to conserve won't slow the rate that oils extracted from the ground thanks to the Chinese and Indians. So we might as well just do what helps us the most and make sure we aren't the ones addicted to oil that land in a world of hurt when Mr Reality steps in and announces peak oil to the world in a langauge they finally cannot ignore :)

One last bit - I'd prefer a fairly hard crash - one that cannot be forgotten, although if things get too desperate I don't think much progression will go on, but I never said I wanted to be one of those living through it.


Since oil is a truly global commodity conservation in small sectors just makes it cheaper for the other sectors. The worst thing high fuel prices do is reduce demand (don't cry yet nay-sayers), so do what you can to tell people to live life as they usually would and make sure they keep using oil till the very end. ;)

Once you have done some research into how governments will react to a soft landing (based on history and using common sense) you will definitely want the hardest landing possible. I haven't yet been unable to convince anyone aware of PO that a hard landing is the best possible outcome for the world. Of course by saying this the cornucopians (who don't truly believe in PO anyhow) in here will dig their feet into the ground like stubborn buffalo waiting to prove me wrong. There are quite a few people on this forum who are either cornucopians or religious freaks who believe they have the ideas on what is best. It's usually along the lines of human death is completely intolerable but wiping out whole species of other animals to save a human life is ok.

This stems from religious doctrine which values human life over everything else, and is something which current society also instills in the populace. So it is very hard to change the viewpoints of these sorts of people who are unaware of their programming.

When you realize a human life is as important as the millions of bacteria you are killing each day in your stomach things fall into perspective pretty quickly.
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