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Pinnochio Putin and Porky Pies!?

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby airstrip1 » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 17:53:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Colorado-Valley', '
')I'm not sure the U.S. and Britain even know how to play checkers.


It is called draughts in the UK, old chap.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Andrew_S » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 19:32:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('airstrip1', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Colorado-Valley', '
')I'm not sure the U.S. and Britain even know how to play checkers.


It is called draughts in the UK, old chap.


:lol:
And that's what some are suffering.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Laurasia » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 20:25:39

I wonder how the Chinese are viewing all these political machinations. They seem to have cozied up to the Russians lately (had to put in that warm and cozy pun).

H'm...

L.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Starvid » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 20:47:05

And this my friends, is why domestic (or easily stockable) power supplies are vital.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby RonMN » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 21:51:07

This thread sounds like more of the "blame game" that is conjectured to go right along with peak oil.

Keep in mind...i'm not defending anybody...and i'm not blaming anybody (mainly because we all do NOT know what really happened to that pipeline).

I was one of the first to speculate that russia themselves, blew it up...yet this is the kind of indecision (or flawed logic) we can expect from resource depletion...nobody wants to admit it. Some will go to great lengths to keep it secret.

I think we're missing the big picture here. It's DEPLETION!!! There simply isn't enough for everybody :( and when we see people dieing...we want to blame somebody.
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 22:06:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RonMN', '.')..I think we're missing the big picture here. It's DEPLETION!!! There simply isn't enough for everybody...


...so it is becoming extremely valuable, so those who have it are going to become very powerful, and will demand more money for it, and the Russians are acting like a gang of extortionists to drive home the point in a hurry.

They're serving notice to their "customers": Toe the line, or you'll regret that you didn't.

Nobody's missing the big picture. We all know that if gas and crude reserves were not being depleted, the Russians wouldn't be acting like this. But it is, and they are, because they can. The blowing of the pipeline was very much a part of the "big picture".
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Re: Poor Georgia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby savethehumans » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 00:49:17

Just to verify, nobody's surprised by any of this, are they? [smilie=icon_rolleyes.gif]
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby RonMN » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 08:18:31

Nope. I may be saddened, disheartened, and even a bit frightened. But not surprised. It's difficult to see these things comming to pass in such a short time. Only a year ago i was still thinking we had 10-20 years before the shit started flying :(
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Zardoz » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 11:41:30

Europe Heeds Its Gazprom 'Wake-Up Call'

"As political and business leaders gathered in Davos for the World Economic Forum, Poland's prime minister and U.S. billionaire George Soros said the recent disruptions in gas supply meant Europe should find alternate sources."

Ya think?

Europe short of gas as Russia, Ukraine wrangle
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby OilBurner » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 11:49:36

There's a pattern developing now:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/4654632.stm

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')hechens freeze as gas is cut off
The gas shortage adds to Chechnya's chronic problems
Gas supplies to parts of Chechnya's capital Grozny have been cut off after an accident damaged a gas pipeline running through the Russian region.


Hmmm. Come to your own conclusions folks!
Burning the midnight oil, whilst I still can.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby thuja » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 12:00:09

Its interesting to see how Russia is the instrumental deal maker in the Iran crisis. By saying they will enrich Iran's uranium and then return it backfor "peaceful purposes", along with nuke inspectors in Iran, the world can delude itself into thinking that Iran is playing ball and not trying to build a nuke. But really a new geopolitical alliance is forming between Russia and Iran. If anyone applies pressure on Russia in the future, they can blackmail the world by sugesting that they will allow Iran to enrich their own uranium.
At the same time they are already announcing that they have control too much hydrocarbon energy to be messed with.

New alliances building quickly between Russia/OPEC countries to squeeze the West while making new deals with China. At some point Russia/OPEC will do the same to the US as Russia is doing to Georgia right now.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Zardoz » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 12:04:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilBurner', 'T')here's a pattern developing now:

...Come to your own conclusions folks!


This is unbelievable. Give the Russkies credit: They've got a lot of god-damned nerve.

Bunch of thugs...
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby OneLoneClone » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 12:44:19

Chechens freeze as gas is cut off

at the end it gets interesting

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ''')Sabotage'

Heavy snow has exacerbated the region's problems, blocking roads, isolating entire villages and preventing emergency delivery of wood and diesel to mountainous areas.

Across the Black Sea, Turkey says it is introducing electricity rationing because of reduced supplies from Russia and Iran.

Iran says it reduced its exports because harsh weather had raised domestic consumption.

The North Caucasus pipeline explosions damaged not only energy supplies but also Georgia's fragile relationship with Russia, our Tbilisi correspondent reports.

Georgia's President Mikhail Saakashvili called the incident a pre-planned act of sabotage by the Kremlin.

Moscow said his statements were outrageous and hysterical and promised to repair the pipeline and supply additional gas via neighbouring Azerbaijan.

But five days on it still has not arrived, our correspondent reports.
Last edited by OneLoneClone on Fri 27 Jan 2006, 13:50:29, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Starvid » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 13:40:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilBurner', 'T')here's a pattern developing now:

...Come to your own conclusions folks!


This is unbelievable. Give the Russkies credit: They've got a lot of god-damned nerve.

Bunch of thugs...

Is anyone surprised? The Russians are imperalists, have always been, will always be. They did occupy all of Eastern and Central Europe for 50 years, and that occupation ended only 15 years ago!. People forget so fast...

Energy independence is vital.

For the average country there is no way around relying in imported oil for transportation, but there is absolutely no reason why electricity and heating can't be entirely domestic and secure.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby cube » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 13:52:40

Russia's power is overstated. Sure they may be the world's 2nd biggest exporter of energy but they have already passed peak oil. They have yet to reach peak natural gas so there's potential for growth there. However the way things are going now which nation in their right mind would wish to create a long term energy strategy dependent on Russia's ability to deliver? :roll:

On a top 10 scale of nations with the largest proven oil reserves Russia is about in 8th place. How can a nation be in 8th place when it comes to reserves but 2nd place when it comes to exports? Simple, just get a fat straw and suck the oil out faster. Russia may be enjoying its 15 minutes of fame now but it will be very short lived.

I wouldn't worry too much about Russia throwing it's weight around. Every year that goes by they have less "weight" to work with.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby OneLoneClone » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 14:21:30

True, but they now have enough petro/natgas dollars to modernise their OTHER source of geopolitical power; enough nukes destroy a continent.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')ecently the Russians deployed a nuclear ballistic system that their generals made clear could render US anti-missile defense systems ineffective, according to reports in the European news media.

While Americans and Europeans celebrated the Christmas holiday, the Russian army activated a large number of Topol-M class missiles that can fit nuclear warheads and travel 6,000 miles, while rapidly switching their trajectory in order to neutralize any US- or European-based interception device.


Russia will probably never be the superpower it was; but clearly it is more powerfull today than at any time since the collapse of the USSR.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby thuja » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 15:05:55

You called it clone- ICBMs that make Russia the scariest nation outside of the US even after they peak and decline. As gas/oil supplies get increasingly tight, they can use their hydrocarbon/nuke position to gain more power, extort fatter fuel contracts and demand greater obeisance from the wider world.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Starvid » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 15:33:13

Russia is a Great power even without its hydrocarbons.

With them Russia becomes the only Great power exporting, not importing, energy. Russia will be the only Great power with energy independence.

That is quite a strong position, no?
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby The_Virginian » Sat 28 Jan 2006, 22:31:49

Russia wants well paying coustomers, esp. as the she wolf is up and running with the pack again.
[urlhttp://www.youtube.com/watchv=Ai4te4daLZs&feature=related[/url] "My soul longs for the candle and the spices. If only you would pour me a cup of wine for Havdalah...My heart yearning, I shall lift up my eyes to g-d, who provides for my needs day and night."
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Free » Sat 28 Jan 2006, 22:46:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Georgia strikes gas deal with Iran
Freezing weather worsens Georgia energy crisis

MOSCOW, Russia (CNN) -- Suffering through an energy crisis in the midst of an unusually cold winter, the former Soviet republic of Georgia on Saturday said Iran had agreed to provide it with emergency natural gas.

Officials hope natural gas will begin flowing Sunday into Georgia from Iran through Azerbaijan, said George Arveladze, a presidential administration official. Iran has agreed to provide Georgia with 4 million cubic meters daily, which should provide the country with some relief, he said.

...




CNN


I agree that Russia will be a considerable power, if not THE power in the future. Remember that power is always relative. So if they have relatively more energy independence/access than any other major power they have already made it...

I think Europe has to have some brainstorming here how we will deal with this...
"Democracy means the opportunity to be everyone's slave."
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