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Peak Oil Feeling Cycle: Denial, Anger, Fear, Depression (mer

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby TorrKing » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 03:33:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dukat', 'I') really don't think anyone here is ready for PeakOil, except maybe Killjoy. Who here can say, I have everything ready, I'm ready for PO. I seriously doubt anyone here is fully ready, and won't ever be fully ready.


Being able to catch your own food no matter what is pretty much to be prepared. Bushcraft is the solution. I am good at it, but not good enough.

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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby VinceG » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 04:51:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('alpha480v', 'B')ut unless I win the New York Lottery,my wife and I will probably not survive long after tshtf.Oh well.Nothing I can do about geology.Were healthy.but most likely will die of the bird flu.Can't control that either.People like me will just fade away like old soldiers.


That post was hilarious :lol:. You're either being very sarcastical or suffer from a very serious anxiety disorder!
"In the U.S., fears are so exaggerated and out of control that anxiety is the number-one mental health problem in the country.", Barry Glassner
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby killJOY » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 08:50:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') really don't think anyone here is ready for PeakOil, except maybe Killjoy.


Not really. I'm not ready to watch the rest of my family suffer in midwestern cities, where EVERYTHING is powered by NG.

I'm not smug, neither. If power goes out, we'll have to pump all our water by hand, pressure-can EVERYTHING that's in the freezer, and do laundry in a washtub.

The Great Uncertainty for us is not how to manage homelife during energy shortages, but HOW WILL THE MONKEYS* [people] REACT? That's why I've refused to issue any predictions about the future anymore.

On the topic of "depression": I'm not so much depressed as irritated by the BigMouths' failure to correctly predict what would happened during the fabled "4Q05."

I'm speaking of Kunstler's "Christmas clusterfuck," Ruppert's "Rita will collape the US economy!!" and Simmons' cries of oil over $100/ barrel.

Of course, there are three weeks to go yet...


*I know technically humans are not monkeys (they're apes), but it sounds funnier.
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby Doly » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 09:20:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', '
')On the topic of "depression": I'm not so much depressed as irritated by the BigMouths' failure to correctly predict what would happened during the fabled "4Q05."

I'm speaking of Kunstler's "Christmas clusterfuck," Ruppert's "Rita will collape the US economy!!" and Simmons' cries of oil over $100/ barrel.


If you listen to doomers, you have to introduce a correction factor for their biased (towards doom) predictions. I was pretty sure oil wasn't going to go up to $100, but it's certainly following the expected upward trend.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby AmericanEmpire » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 22:01:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')m I going to roll over and die because of peak oil?No.I will try to survive somehow.


You can just join the masses and shoot and loot to try and survive. Thats the only option I can see that the majority will have other than rolling over and dieing.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby Dukat_Reloaded » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 10:01:42

Hi KillJOY, it goes to show you how robust the US economey is. Kunstler is slightly right on his prediction of natural gas prices but the american people can still buy gas, there is no shortages, and Simmons claiming that the UK will have a gas supply problem and not able to heat their homes, doesn't look like it's going to happen. I watched "Denial Stops Here" by Ruppert, he said that the US dollar would fall during the 4th quarter, if not before. (I believe most of the video was made in may, as it was mentioned afew times in the video as being the date), granted gold has surged up somewhat, but still far from a dollar crash. I think usually there is truth in what they say, and their predictions do come out true in a very mild sense, but only very mild reaction compared to what they believe themselves. I guess if these guys didn't make bold predictions, no one would have heard of them in the first place.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby Pops » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 13:13:32

Steady people! :lol:

Repeat after me:

Prepare as best you can for every eventuality,
even the one where nothing bad happens.


(great avatar duk!)
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby jesus_of_suburbia_old » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 16:59:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')n the topic of "depression": I'm not so much depressed as irritated by the BigMouths' failure to correctly predict what would happened during the fabled "4Q05."

If I had not found this site a little over a year ago, I wouldn't have noticed much of anything except for an increase in gas prices.

The most significant events of this past year were natural disasters. So I ask?

What peak oil pundit or po.com board member predicted Katrina/Rita, the SEA Tsumani or the Pakistan earthquakes?

I've come to the realization that words mean shit. No one knows anything really. If they predict something with enough authority and conviction, then you almost fool yourself into believing it will most definately happen. You'll spend your time stressing out over prognostications than what is happening directly in front of you.

Here is my outlook on what's to come in 06:

Events will take place under their own circumstances and timetable, regardless of what any random asshole says.

My plan, in order.
Paying off the $3000 I owe FAFSA.
Paying off the money I owe my parents.
Continue working as an EMT, as well as my part-time job.
Start paramedic school in July, finish in June of 07'.
Relocate somewhere smaller, but not too far from family.

That's as far ahead as I am thinking. Good luck to everyone trying to acheive total self-suffiency in two years.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby ubercynicmeister » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 20:05:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lokutus', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ubercynicmeister', 'N')ope, not here....I'm so darn BUSY I can't sink into a depression...and I'm unemployed, LOL! Now, if I had any debts, I'd be quaking in my boots, but, well, they don't loan money to unemployed people.


I rather doubt that anyone will give too much of a damn about debts when the you-know-what hits the fan. I can just see the debt collector arrive at some community demanding to see Mr. Jones. Suddenly a dozen rifle barrels protrude through the stockade's firing holes.

Debt collector: Nevermind!


LOL, I *think* that the Debt Collectors have figured that bit out, and will arrive with an army.

Remember: the only person seriously overworked (and therefore seriously cashed-up) in any Recession is the Receiver (bankruptcy management).

Therefore they are likely to have the dollars (or whatever is passing for currency) to round up a few of the Good Ole Boys and form a posse and "head 'em off at the pass". Or the stockade as the case may be.

The stockade members have two choices: hand over Mr Jones (Better for one man to die for the people...) or get the place shot up.

I wonder what'll give first?

BTW: for those hooting about how the fourth quarter of this year didn't see US$100+ for the barrel of crude, please remember: the prediction was for the fourth quarter of 2005 and the first quarter of 2006! I'm thinking that if this Northern Winter follows the previous pattern, the really chill weather will hit late in the season, ie: February, March, mebbe as late as (early) April.

In which case: yep, Oil Prices really WILL Superspike. And Goldmann Sachs are correct: it'll stay relatively high for the next 5 years or so.

Interestingly, the Price of Oil has risen from US$5.60 per barrel to US$70 per barrel in a little over 7 years. That's a 164% increase, per annum.

If the trend continues, and there's every sign it will, then the average Price of a Barrel of Crude will be somewhere around US$90 per barrel. Please recall: this is the half-way mark, so if we start the Calander Year 2006 at (say) US$60 per barrel, then we'll see prices at "peak" of at least US$120 per barrel.

The maths is easy: (US$60 + US$120) ÷ 2 = US$90

This is about what the IEA has predicted and what the EIA (US Dept of Energy) has reluctantly, grudgingly failed to debunk.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby Liamj » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 20:14:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jesus_of_suburbia', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')n the topic of "depression": I'm not so much depressed as irritated by the BigMouths' failure to correctly predict what would happened during the fabled "4Q05."

If I had not found this site a little over a year ago, I wouldn't have noticed much of anything except for an increase in gas prices.

The most significant events of this past year were natural disasters. So I ask?

What peak oil pundit or po.com board member predicted Katrina/Rita, the SEA Tsumani or the Pakistan earthquakes?

You get your weather announcer to pick your stocks too?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'ve come to the realization that words mean shit. No one knows anything really. If they predict something with enough authority and conviction, then you almost fool yourself into believing it will most definately happen. You'll spend your time stressing out over prognostications than what is happening directly in front of you.
The desire to believe, and so to abdicate the difficult responsibility to understand, is in all of us.. blaming your chosen gurus cos they didn't provide the right answers to optimise your comfort and convenience is .. primitive at best (better sacrifice a priest or two eh?). Listen to all gurus (or as many as your time and patience allows), but uncritically accept or follow none.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Here is my outlook on what's to come in 06:

Events will take place under their own circumstances and timetable, regardless of what any random asshole says.

My plan, in order.
Paying off the $3000 I owe FAFSA.
Paying off the money I owe my parents.
Continue working as an EMT, as well as my part-time job.
Start paramedic school in July, finish in June of 07'.
Relocate somewhere smaller, but not too far from family.

That's as far ahead as I am thinking.
Fine, enjoy.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')ood luck to everyone trying to acheive total self-suffiency in two years. That'd be a fools errand, and not one i've seen m/any advocate here.

Why does admitting peak is possibly immanent mean have to be a self-sufficiency freak? Thats a cunning misrepresentation very popular with 'johndenver' and co., much like those other fundamental laws of RightThink:
"Think GWB is an incompetant puppet? You must be a terrorist."
"Against invading Iraq? You must be a Ba'ath party supporter."
"Notice one or two changes on the environment front? You must be a dupe of the liberal/communist media and/or a NWO depopulationist keen to get the US under UN control."

Truly, "Whom the gods would destroy, they first drive crazy".

Don't mean to offend JoS, but trying to force multiple diverse issues into a binary worldview is bound to cause headaches.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby Ludi » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 20:33:11

I've been getting seriously depressed from reading the boards here and realising how polarized we all are about how to deal with the situation. It sucks all the hope out of me.

Seriously, to the point of crying about it.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby PrairieMule » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 21:29:50

I am more worried about some of ya'lls state of mind when the next season of "24" starts and people find more reasons to doom. What's next? Peak Anxiety! Peak Corn Flakes! Peak Toilet Paper! Seriously folks, lighten up. If you have not scanned my earlier post today here it is.

http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic15668.html

You, the lurkers, and I-let's get our shit in a sock and pull it together. You are not the problem, you are the solution.....
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby twub » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 20:39:06

I'm sure worried about Peak Oil but hey that won't stop me skiing this season or just living pretty much the same way as always. As some one who has real depression and when asked by my GP at the last visit I said everything is just fine (whilst thinking about PO looking my GP in the eyes and thinking if only you know what I know). Maybe if/when PO does go mainstream we can all worry about it together. My wife thinks PO is a joke for sad cultists.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby malcomatic_51 » Thu 29 Dec 2005, 09:49:48

It's quite something to get to live through a crisis as momentous as mass energy starvation. I fail to see anything depressing about it. This cancerous economic behaviour had to hit the concrete ceiling sooner or later, it might as well be Peak Oil as Peak Water, Peak Soil, Peak Wheat or whatever. This is interesting. History in the making. Think of all the little Chinese and Russian kids who'll be learning about The Fall of The West a century from now. I expect it to be a bit like living through the Second World War, basically pretty alarming and spectacular while you're in it, but a hell of a time in your life if you come through it with all your bits still intact.

I despise the complacent, licentious society I live in and all the arrogance and indifference and hypocrisy it allows. I will not personally weep as it slides onto the dump of history. Good riddence to it.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby Hermes » Thu 29 Dec 2005, 18:15:38

Warning: Self help-y therapist-y speak below. If it's like nails on the chalkboard I suggest skipping the post...

In my experience depression is anger turned inwards. That is: anger not allowed to vent, or be used constructively, but rather stewing inside a person without a proper outlet.

Anger is usually a mask for fear of loss. Anger is the force that we humans use to defend ourselves against loss (injury/attack/change/etc).

I suggest that those that are getting depressed take a look at themselves and see if the deeper root of the depression isn't actually fear, and in particular fear of loss.

I find it useful for myself to name the fear: to have it in front of myself so I can look at it.

If that fear is starving to death, or my family being killed, or being herded off to some government camp...or just in general NOT being properly prepared for PO...whatever my fantasy fear is... I find that when I take 30 seconds and just really LOOK at that fear it mysteriously dissipates.

To be clear I'm not suggesting that the problem goes away...just that the fear/depression often goes away. This has the double function of releasing me from the depression AND freeing me up to actually DO something about the issue. If I don't take care of the depression I find that I remainin trapped in the situation of being depressed...but unable to do anything about it precisely BECAUSE I'm depressed. It becomes cyclical with me if left unchecked.

I put this forth in the hope that it'll help someone else. And frankly...I'm putting it forth as a reminder to myself to do it more when I get depressed myself!
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby drew » Fri 30 Dec 2005, 00:02:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'ve been getting seriously depressed from reading the boards here and realising how polarized we all are about how to deal with the situation. It sucks all the hope out of me.

Seriously, to the point of crying about it.


Don't be sad Ludi, we all gotta do what we gotta do!

There is a lot more unity here than in the wider world, aside from the naysayers of course.

You have to believe that the difference one individual can make is minimal in the grand scheme of things or you will go nuts.

Unless of course you are the next mother t, gandi, or ml king.

Do what you can in your sphere of influence, but don't worry trying to save the world, you can't.

Drew :)
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Re:

Unread postby Guest » Tue 03 Jan 2006, 16:35:10

When I first began to read about these issues a few years ago I just dismissed them offhand as liberal / eco-nazi propaganda...My view changed as I began reading in the last year about some of the propaganda being dissiminated by energy buissnesses. I began to take a closer and more open view, and determined that doomer predictions are possable as a responce to PO. Now I feel lost, unsure what to do with my life.
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Re: Anyone else sinking into a deep depression from the wait

Unread postby galacticsurfer » Fri 13 Jan 2006, 11:35:41

I watch the price of oil and keep my eyes on things generally but don't let it get me down and take it all with a grain of salt. The world and the economy, the government and big businesses are like big ships that turn directions ever so slowly. Predictions of "the end" have been made for practically every year for any number of reasons. Peak oil is now popular. It will happen and become integrated into daily life(or death) and then people will get used to it just like the plague or the mongol hordes or a new ice age or whatever. I just cannot hold my breath on this one but integrate it into general patterns of behaviour and thinking patterns and relationships. The pollsters always do polls with a question"what worries you most" and a certian percentage of people say crime, inflation, unemployment, war, etc. These things change but it is like that in my head. what is the biggest worry? Job loss, climate change and freak weather(more all the time), peak oil( a realtivley new worry), being old(now 40) and poor without health insurance or pension(due to peak oil this worry recedes to a sad joke). Do a poll with people here. Waht are your 4 or 5 biggest worries?
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peak oil depression

Unread postby jc4patents » Thu 20 Apr 2006, 17:40:07

I am certain others are responding to the awareness of peak oil as I am.

I am in the process of reading 5 of the latest books on this subject and recently began monitoring this site and others on this subject (e.g., ASPO).

As a result, I have found myself in deep depression. Although, at 75 and with no children, I will probably be spared most of the consequences, I have still found it hard to shake an awfully dark mood.

Today, I told my wife I just have to get out of this and enjoy our great life. I have thought for some time that we are fortunate to live in the greatest and most enjoyable of all times up to the present. Little did I realize that it is our good fortune to live in the best of all times - both past and future !
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Re: peak oil depression

Unread postby canis_lupus » Thu 20 Apr 2006, 18:24:49

jc4 -

The same thing happened to me when I read the Rolling Stone article, "The Long Emergency". I freaked out and found myself in a funk for about a month.

Eventually I came to accept what's on the horizon. I started to absorb more of the colorful life around me. Mrs. Canis_Lupus, my brother and his wife, playing music, and more.

This is the perspective that has kept me sane: if you are reading the books and message boards like this one -- and have an open mind --then you know what to do for you and yours.

Hang in there. Knowing is half the battle. Celebrating the good parts of your life is the other half.
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