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THE Consumerism Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby frankthetank » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 01:09:45

Seems to me that most people are spending this holiday season buying the normal junk...I think the nat gas bills haven't hit home yet.

............

4 YEARS of American high school German classes and the most i can say is

"Bitte, Bitte, Wo ist the toilette?"...and the answer would be "Da druben!"...

Ahhh...Got to love American school system.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby okek » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 01:25:18

[quote="frankthetank"]Seems to me that most people are spending this holiday season buying the normal junk...I think the nat gas bills haven't hit home yet.

They hit here just today! A number of our neighbors have been hit heavier that we are it seems though. We expected a much higher bill than we got. It was still pretty high, though.

We have also really cut back on our holiday spending. We have 4 kids and have placed a $100 limit per plus we don't exchange (dh and I). We send home-made cards, usually artistically created by our children. They are original works of art!!!
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 01:33:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NiKfUrY69', '
')Interesting note: the <b> Walmart store in Dumas Arkansas is closing after Christmas</b>.

Has anyone ever heard of a closing Walmart store??

They've been accused of opening stores just long enough to drive local stores out of business. Then they close it down, so people will have to drive to the next nearest MallWart.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Leanan » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 15:54:23

Malls full, but sales not spectacular

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')etailers remained anxious Sunday, after the last full weekend of shopping before Christmas appeared robust but not spectacular, despite generous bargains for many goods.

The retail industry - which had an uneven start to the holiday season and has seen disappointing crowds at the malls since - was hoping for a big sales bonanza. But with lean inventories and the final critical days still yet to come, stores are not panicking.


Wal-Mart is doing okay....sort of:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')al-Mart Stores Inc., the world's largest retailer, said Saturday that December sales growth is still on track to be up anywhere from 2 percent to 4 percent. But it noted that food sales continue to outpace general merchandise sales. That may not bode well for profits, as food carries thin profit margins.



They are blaming energy costs:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..analysts have been worried about disappointing business at the mall, a sign that shoppers are frugal amid high energy costs, though they have fallen in recent weeks.

According to the most recent data from ShopperTrak RCT Corp., which tracks sales at more than 40,000 stores, predominantly in malls, average weekly sales for December fell 9 percent through Dec. 10.

"I did more shopping this year in drugstores and small stores like that rather than department stores," said Sharon McKinley of Baltimore, who was at Mondawmin Mall in Baltimore.

She noted that higher gasoline prices and heating costs played a factor.

"I found out I had to pay more for gas and electric. It made a difference," she said.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby dbarberic » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 16:59:10

My good friend is a store manager of a Starbucks in an upscale mall in Northern Ohio. For the first time ever, his sales numbers are down compared to last year.

He has also reported that overall mall traffic seems to be down and that other managers in different stores in the mall are also reporting the same thing.

I don't believe the main stream media that reports that Xmas sales figures are up.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 17:05:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NiKfUrY69', '
')Interesting note: the <b> Walmart store in Dumas Arkansas is closing after Christmas</b>.

Has anyone ever heard of a closing Walmart store??


When Supercenters roll into town, they often close older 'regular' Wal-Marts in neighboring smaller towns, often with devastating consequences.

One such example:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ard when it comes, harder when it goes

NOWATA, Okla. -- The arrival of a Wal-Mart store leads to a familiar scenario as downtown businesses close. So there isn't much left if Wal-Mart closes, as happened recently in this Oklahoma town of 3,900 people.

The full account is in the March 5 edition of the New York Times (and thanks to Sam Mamet of the Colorado Municipal League for passing it along).

In brief, Wal-Mart opened stores in four Oklahoma towns in 1982. The usual downtown demolition followed as shoppers flocked to the big stores at the edge of town. Then, a year ago, Wal-Mart closed the four stores as it opened a regional "supercenter" in Bartlesville. As the story put it, "the supercenters must draw on customers throughout a region, and they can't have the hinterland stores holding them back."

So Nowata residents, many of whom are poor and old and without cars, have to travel 30 miles for toothpaste and toilet paper after Wal-Mart eliminated local competitors a decade ago, then removed its Nowata store a year ago. The town government, heavily reliant on sales-tax revenues from the Wal-Mart, had to raise fees substantially and remains $80,000 in the red.

And thus does the largest retailer in the world determine the character of little towns.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

George Carlin
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby dbarberic » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 17:16:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')rom my experience in retail management, retailers book the gift card revenue at the time of the gift card purchase, not redemption. Gift cards expire, and I assure you, WalMart does not wait until then to take credit for the sale.


Not true. From a GAAP view (General Accepted Accounting Principals) a gift card sale is treated as a liability on the retailers balance sheet until the gift card is redeemed. After the gift card is redeemed, it is booked as revenue and the liability is released. This is the treatement that will show up in the company's publically released finanical statements.

It is possible that for managerial accounting purposes, gift card sales were counted as sales for your retail store at the time the gift card is purchased. Managerial accounting differs from GAAP in that it is for internal use only, so management can treat the numbers any way they want.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby dbarberic » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 17:23:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'I') think the nat gas bills haven't hit home yet.


The real NG pain will hit around Feb/March/April when people start getting their NG bills which lag about one to two months behind from the time the NG is actually used.

Just in time for the Fed to stop their rate hike and Helicopter Ben to start dropping $20's out of the sky to inflate everyone back into prosperity.

Ugh....
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby PrairieMule » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 19:16:55

Went to the mall in Frisco, TX(3rd fastest growing city in the US)yesterday to get Disney Princess crap for my daughters. Mall was slow and traffic did not pick up until 2pm. We too are strapped this year so we just decided this year to keep it simple.

I know self reliance gifts and gift certificates are all I asked for this year, just like the last seven years. My in-laws gave me bass-pro gift certificates since they did not know where to order fence pliers. I just ordered a mioxx water purifier off basspro.com.

I'm more jazzed up about what my dad got me, A 14" POULAN GAS CHAINSAW!!!

RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby worrier » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 20:03:00

I think we can choose how we want to celebrate Christmas. Some time ago my Mum, brothers and me decided to have a $20 limit on Xmas gifts, I found that it seemed to make us think more about what the person might like. It also kind of made Christmas more low key and take the focus off gifts and onto enjoying the day in a low key way. I think we all found it a good way to approach Xmas. I think we can decide, no I'm not going to get sucked into the hysterical focus that advertisements try to foist on us. I don't have kids, so I know it's easy for me to preach when giving kids a great Xmas adds to the pressure. But even with kids, surely we can choose our own way?
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Leanan » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 20:16:21

This article:

http://msnbc.msn.com/id/10413794/site/newsweek/

Suggests a "homemade Christmas." Yes, even with kids. You can only give gifts you make yourself.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Seadragon » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 22:10:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'W')ent to the mall in Frisco, TX(3rd fastest growing city in the US)yesterday to get Disney Princess crap for my daughters. Mall was slow and traffic did not pick up until 2pm. We too are strapped this year so we just decided this year to keep it simple.


Sorry to hear where you live; did you see the story about sprawl in Frisco in the NY Times this morning? Funny coincidence: my cousin from North Texas was with us for Thanksgiving. His grandparents were old time residents of Frisco and had a farm for many years (I even remember visiting it, chickens and all). My cousin was telling us about the rampant growth and how all the farmland is gone now. :cry:
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby o2ny » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 23:26:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dbarberic', 'H')e has also reported that overall mall traffic seems to be down and that other managers in different stores in the mall are also reporting the same thing.

I don't believe the main stream media that reports that Xmas sales figures are up.


I really wonder how many people are scrapping the whole driving to the mall debacle for just shopping at home online. I believe online sales have been picking quite a bit in recent years, and works well for most gifts. Personally I bought around 75% of my gifts online... much easier than braving the hyper-crowded Manhattan shopping corridors on a Saturday.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Leanan » Mon 19 Dec 2005, 23:31:35

This time of year really makes me realize how unsustainable our way of life is. Everyone is worried about "same-store sales," and if they don't increase, there's gloom and panic on Wall St.

Even Wal-Mart, a retailing success if ever there was one, is feeling the pressure. They are now trying to expand overseas, because the U.S. is pretty much glutted. A lot of analysts are skeptical; Wal-Mart's truck-dependent model works in the U.S., but will it work in Canada or Brazil?

But Wal-Mart shareholders are demanding more growth, so they are trying to expand overseas. It doesn't matter that they're a behemoth that has rolled over all the competition in the U.S. It's not enough. They have to keep growing.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby o2ny » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 01:11:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'T')his time of year really makes me realize how unsustainable our way of life is. Everyone is worried about "same-store sales," and if they don't increase, there's gloom and panic on Wall St.


Right. It seems like we *have* to hit a limit on the retail big-box store 'sprawl' that we've seen over the last decade. It seems like every mile along side the interstates (especially in the southeast) are crowded with these eye-sore behemoth generic crapoleums. And it's not enough that they rake in huge profits every year at the expense of local economies and jobs, but they have to take in *more* profits than they did last year or they are seen as failing. That means destroying more farmland and even exporting our grand capatalistic vision overseas.

This time of year really makes me wonder how much of our economy is held together because we all agree to give each other crap from the mall on Dec. 25th. I know people have been saying this for years about christmas, but it just seems so out of control.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby The_Toecutter » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 18:41:22

Not having much money anyway, my family won't be exchanging much, maybe about $10 worth of items per person...
The unnecessary felling of a tree, perhaps the old growth of centuries, seems to me a crime little short of murder. ~Thomas Jefferson
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Shocking statistic about US consumption

Unread postby NevadaGhosts » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 04:25:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Last year 77% of US consumption was financed by borrowing as spendthrift Americans mortgaged their homes to pay for consumer goods and services. Both the Federal Reserve and Freddie Mac say that nearly one-third of American consumption has been financed by such borrowing over the past decade.


American Consumption

Holy %&$#. I knew American consumption depended on borrowing. But damn, I didn`t know it was 77% last year. There is no way in hell this can continue for much longer. 8O Complete insanity. When the bubble pops, it`s gonna pop hard.
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Re: Shocking statistic about US consumption

Unread postby clv101 » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 04:58:54

Is it correct to interpret that figure of 77% funded by borrowing by saying that Americans are spending 3x more than they earn? Based on the logic that to spend $100, $77 is borrowed and $34 is earned, $100 being 3x $34.

Say the money is borrowed at 4% interest that means that $77 loan will cost $3 to service which is 10% of annual earnings ignoring any capital payback.
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Re: Shocking statistic about US consumption

Unread postby artiko » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 07:10:15

In my country (Poland) it is normal that people are spending 3x more than they earn :) But Poland is not normal country :-D. USA is normal, I thought so, but now ... after your information :-D...
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Re: Shocking statistic about US consumption

Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 07:24:31

So if Americans stop borrowing , 77% of 25% of the worlds economy stops consuming ?

The next recession is gonna suck :(
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