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Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Daryl » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 15:36:11

Topic is intended to rile you guys up a bit. A little boring around here.

OK. Submitted for your approval....plug-in hybrid personal autos combined with home solar panels/windmills solves personal transportation issue. Flexible route, quick to implement electric/hydrogen buses alleviate population density issue. Nuclear and coal supports expansion of electric grid. Trucking (and auto?) industry nationalized and subsidized, long term shift to commercial rail, mass transit rail begins. All done with current affordable technology. Some is not affordable now, but would be with mass production and demand. Next energy shock gives the federal government authority to intervene aggressively.

Yes, some suburbs will become obsolete. Most will just decline in value at the expense of denser housing closer to job sites, which will boom. Lifestyles will change dramatically. Less personal driving, less leisure travel. Good time to own a moving company, as there will be a mass migration of people moving closer to work. No panic, no collapse. Parts of economy that decline will be offset by parts that gain. Maybe even no recession, hard to say. Time to come out of your bunkers and get back to work.

(Sorry, Kunstler, the Pentacostal Christians in the South aren't going to cannibalize each other after church. Your fantasies will remain unrealized. A little advice: lay off the global macroeconomic theory. You've got a little credibility as an urban planner. Don't squander it.)
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 15:46:46

Did I miss the part where someone buys these things for all of us? Who's paying for this?

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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby bobcousins » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 16:11:25

Daryl has thought about this a lot. Here is his idea for wind powered personal transport:

Image
It's all downhill from here
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby jaws » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 16:41:14

Why not just move everyone on scooters?
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby NEOPO » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 17:32:20

"Fix" ?? Suggesting such a thing is like cruelty to humans!! :-D
Its a "nice thought" yet thats all it is.
Dry crowd Jaws 8)

This comes from the same everfull horn as all the "fixes" do.
The problem is that there is no solution to a problem we have yet to clearly identify!!!
Something within the human "germ" makes it feel insecure so it seeks to surround itself with other germs and things that germs believe are valueable here in petri land.
Something always seems to be "missing".
Think outside the dish!!!!

No wait......lets build the new paradigm around the people yeah yeah.
We could do it from 11pm to 7am when they are sleeping - heck they might not even notice!!!! :o
Perhaps we can get everyone to go on vacation all at once while the rest? of us implement all these new "fixes" for them - I can see their collective faces now :)
We can have camera crews - coffee and cakes - balloons and ribbon - a new reality tv show called "your new reality" this is gonna be huge!!

I think Daryl has got something there....
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Daryl » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 18:29:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', 'D')aryl has thought about this a lot. Here is his idea for wind powered personal transport:

Image



I've already got one of those!!!! Mine has a hemi, though!
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Concerned » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 19:54:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Daryl', '
')(Sorry, Kunstler, the Pentacostal Christians in the South aren't going to cannibalize each other after church. Your fantasies will remain unrealized. A little advice: lay off the global macroeconomic theory. You've got a little credibility as an urban planner. Don't squander it.)


ROFLMAO :lol:

I was hoping you threw in a bit about world peace, oh well I guess you can't be greedy and have it all :P
"Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
-Italian Proverb
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby ubercynicmeister » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 20:01:34

But...the ledge provides a nice view!

Mind you, one sneeze and you're history.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Hawkcreek » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 20:03:12

--
Last edited by Hawkcreek on Thu 23 Aug 2007, 17:15:17, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby katkinkate » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 20:40:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ubercynicmeister', 'B')ut...the ledge provides a nice view!

Mind you, one sneeze and you're history.


No, geography. :lol:
Kind regards, Katkinkate

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but the cultivation and perfection of human beings."
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby NeoPeasant » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 21:28:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', 'D')aryl has thought about this a lot. Here is his idea for wind powered personal transport:

Image


NO, NO, NO!! You're supposed to put the fan at the back of the truck and a sail in the front!! Didn't you ever watch Road Runner?
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Sunspot » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 21:30:12

A "solution" is only a solution when is has SUCCEEDED in SOLVING the PROBLEM! Nobody can claim that anything is the "solution" to the energy crisis, or anything for that matter, until the problem is over and has been solved. It's hindsight. And just plain logic. :)
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby aahala » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 22:15:08

A less expensive solution to the personal transportation issue would
be to install running shoes. Not only would we save a ton of money
in original costs, think how much money we would save by fewer trips
to McD's, Walmart and the shopping mall.

We would also save a lot of time on the road as we wouldn't live
50 miles, perhaps not 50 blocks, from work.

As the shoe method is obviously what we will eventutally have to
go to, we might as well start the transition now.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Heineken » Sat 29 Oct 2005, 23:08:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Daryl', 'T')opic is intended to rile you guys up a bit. A little boring around here.

OK. Submitted for your approval....plug-in hybrid personal autos combined with home solar panels/windmills solves personal transportation issue. Flexible route, quick to implement electric/hydrogen buses alleviate population density issue. Nuclear and coal supports expansion of electric grid. Trucking (and auto?) industry nationalized and subsidized, long term shift to commercial rail, mass transit rail begins. All done with current affordable technology. Some is not affordable now, but would be with mass production and demand. Next energy shock gives the federal government authority to intervene aggressively.

Yes, some suburbs will become obsolete. Most will just decline in value at the expense of denser housing closer to job sites, which will boom. Lifestyles will change dramatically. Less personal driving, less leisure travel. Good time to own a moving company, as there will be a mass migration of people moving closer to work. No panic, no collapse. Parts of economy that decline will be offset by parts that gain. Maybe even no recession, hard to say. Time to come out of your bunkers and get back to work.

(Sorry, Kunstler, the Pentacostal Christians in the South aren't going to cannibalize each other after church. Your fantasies will remain unrealized. A little advice: lay off the global macroeconomic theory. You've got a little credibility as an urban planner. Don't squander it.)


Here's the assumption lying beneath your entire scenario, Daryl: That one day, out of the blue, the human race suddenly turns rational, and that the neocons and the corporations and the media and the arms interests and the Bush junta and the Chinese junta and all the other juntas abruptly decide to cede the reins of power to a gentle and sustainable new enviro-order. And above all that the American people suddenly agree to get up off their fat asses and give up their comforts.

Ain't gonna happen. Kunstler's outlook seems far more likely.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby spudbuddy » Sun 30 Oct 2005, 00:15:55

-aside from morbid assumptions drawn from prophesies about rabid disenfranchised and disenchanted reds and blues tearing at each others' throats...
I kind of agree with Kunstler on a few things.
namely the stupid "enchantment" with something that is just not sustainable, period.
Which is what the whole PO issue is all about, anyway.

I even agree with a remark in his latest blog post...which is that suburbia was something to be disgusted with long before PO caught up with us.
Energy sustainability isn't the only thing wrong with it.

Understandably, a lot of folks want to get through this with as little pain as possible...no pain, no gain - I say.

Create and adjust.

There is much about modern life that is painful...unless you spend your way into the system with lots of hard-earned cash
(getting harder to earn all the time.)

Restraint and austerity hardly know how to be graceful, anymore.
Which is a big part of the bigger picture.
The point is entirely that less than 20% of the population have a strangle hold on the viability of choices made nationally...
internationally - I wouldn't put that percentage much above 5%, and that's stretching it considerably.

Our little blue planet has been bought, folks.
The owners still don't understand that their deed is nothing more than a lease, and the landlord is pretty pissed off.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 30 Oct 2005, 00:18:31

You're right, none of us really own anything . . . we're all just "renters." And we all know what renters do to properties.
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby katkinkate » Sun 30 Oct 2005, 00:49:06

Nah, squatters. We ain't paying no rent.
Kind regards, Katkinkate

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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 30 Oct 2005, 09:18:38

:lol:
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby ubercynicmeister » Sun 30 Oct 2005, 18:41:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('katkinkate', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ubercynicmeister', 'B')ut...the ledge provides a nice view!

Mind you, one sneeze and you're history.


No, geography. :lol:


LOL, No, no ,no NO....not geography (unless one plummets through the concrete into the ground) ...architechture?

Civil Engineering (they are polite about over-charging you)....?

Structural Engineering? (They are very assured and confident and have a lot of complex reasons for over charging you)...

I mean, it's not my place to pum(met) the depths and provide concrete examples of puns, but there is a ledge..er..of details below which I do not fall.
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Re: Get off the ledge everybody, here's the solution!!

Unread postby Daryl » Sun 30 Oct 2005, 22:46:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Daryl', ' ')

Here's the assumption lying beneath your entire scenario, Daryl: That one day, out of the blue, the human race suddenly turns rational, and that the neocons and the corporations and the media and the arms interests and the Bush junta and the Chinese junta and all the other juntas abruptly decide to cede the reins of power to a gentle and sustainable new enviro-order. And above all that the American people suddenly agree to get up off their fat asses and give up their comforts.

Ain't gonna happen. Kunstler's outlook seems far more likely.



Isn't it possible that an energy shock could bring about substantial changes? How about a week of empty grocery stores and no gas? I don't think it necessarily takes that much to change people's behavior. And the politicians will fall all over themselves to own the issue. If fuel prices go up high enough, the trucking/rail distribution system will have to be nationalized and rationalized. Detroit's already bankrupt, aren't they? Airlines too. I don't think we're talking about the need for a benevolent dictator. The options are going to be few and stark. If we can produce a cheap plug in hybrid, you might be suprised how fast the auto population turns over.

I'm a newbie, but from what I've gathered so far, replacing oil used for transportation is the biggest issue we're facing. If that is solved temporarily by plug-in hybrids, electric bus systems, rationalized commercial transport etc, the remaining big question is whether or not the transition can occur without severe economic recession/depression. I don't think that is an answerable question. The most brilliant economists are notoriously bad forecasters even in a stable environment. I don't consider the apocalyptic visions absurd - they are quite plausible. At the same time, no one can say with any confidence that economic collapse is certain. Thus my reference to the Kunstler/Savinar vein of economic speculation as amatuerish and even ridiculous in its self certainty.
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