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Are we getting richer?

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Are we getting richer?

Unread postby rogerhb » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 21:25:22

I would like to know if we are getting richer. We have more debt, less savings and more two income families than ever before, but are we actually becoming wealthier?

For instance, say we chart the average wage from 1800 to now, and with that also chart average of

(a) food expenditure
(b) travel expenditure
(c) rent/mortgage payments
(d) savings
(e) debt

Given that we now have many dual incomes, we could happily treat the unit as a "family" or "household" rather than a single wage-earner.

If anyone knows of such a study please post a link.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby fossil_fuel » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 22:16:10

more people have access to good health care, decent housing, and luxury items than ever before.

any comparison with 1800 is kind of ridiculous. a comparison with 1950, 1960, 1970, 1980 or even 1990 might be in order however.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby perplexd » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 22:20:15

I think the population expansion rates might make anything before 1990-95 hard to really make heads or tails of.

I would be very interested, for any such study, to see comparison of the rates of medieval serfs to lords versus destitute third-world kids sniffing glue and working in a factory to American and European (and Australian) consumers.

Not that I'm making any predictions about what that would look like, but I'm a bit curious about it.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby nero » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 22:29:45

Perhaps you would like to read about :

the Genuine Progress Indicator

I think any such exercise is frought with opportunities for the investigator's bias to enter the calculations so I wouldn't put too much into the apparent peak in progress that this report sees occuring in the early 70s), but it certainly will give you some things to think about.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby perplexd » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 22:47:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')he quality of economic development is at least as important as the quantity of economic activity as measured by GDP


Sounds like the right kind of bias to me.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby jaws » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 22:54:55

Wealth is a relative phenomenon. Collectively, as a civilization, we have better stuff available in greater quantities for lower prices than we did before. This is an increase in collective wealth, but measuring it is impossible as all advances are subjective. How do you know 3-bladed razor is better than a 2-bladed razor? Only from shaving and feeling the difference for yourself. These kinds of advances are subjective phenomenons.

From an individual perspective, wealth reflects demand for your labor from other members of the society. There must always be a relatively more wealthy class of society and relatively poorer class of society because some people's labor is in much greater demand than others', therefore commands a higher price on the market. The composition of such classes fluctuates with demand.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby rogerhb » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 23:14:26

I agree there is a lot of subjectivity, but imagine what would happen if we were wealthier.

1. we would not need to so much time at work to make ends meet.

2. we would be able to pay off our houses quicker

3. we would be able to retire earlier

4. we would be saving more than digging ourselves in to more debt.

5. we would not need two incomes instead of one to get by in a household.

These are not arguments about whether we get more value from improvements in quality of products, I'm trying to look at it from a bigger picture.

In otherwords, will the rat-race ever end, or will houses always soak up available funds, and will we ever have enough consumer goods that are irrelevent to survival.

Eg, are the problems because we are incapable of saying 'enough'.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby Evltre » Wed 26 Oct 2005, 23:18:40

I don't know if we're "richer" - we certainly have more "stuff", but in the typical household both parents are working long hours to pay for it! Often at the expense of quality time with our kids, our health, and sometimes our sanity - all of which make us poorer in the long run.

I've heard stories of the "golden days" (from my nana's) - when the dad would work, and actually got paid enough to support his family - so mum could stay at home and raise the kiddies, tend the vege garden, mend the clothes etc. The kids got their next years school clothes for Xmas and a book and one well made toy for their birthday.

Now, in a lot of cases, both parents are working just to make ends meet - I know a lot of people in this category. And they don't drive flash cars, or holiday out of town, let alone overseas, or wear expensive clothes - they are simply working hard to house and feed themselves and their little ones to a level pretty much as "no frills" as my nana's.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby Armageddon » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 00:01:49

my inheritance kicks in this year, so i am getting wealthier
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby jaws » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 00:07:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'I') agree there is a lot of subjectivity, but imagine what would happen if we were wealthier.

1. we would not need to so much time at work to make ends meet.

2. we would be able to pay off our houses quicker

3. we would be able to retire earlier

4. we would be saving more than digging ourselves in to more debt.

5. we would not need two incomes instead of one to get by in a household.
If you were to travel in time 100 years and strike up a conversation with a random stranger in a pub, and you complained that with everything you have in the future you still cannot make ends meet, the conversation would probably end in bar brawl. The idea that people cannot make ends meet in any economy is bogus, especially in the advanced economies. You always have a choice. You have a choice to buy a townhouse or an apartment instead of a McMansion. You have a choice to save money instead of flying to Aruba or Cancun every year. You have a choice to work a job that pays less money but that you find more satisfying.

People don't make these choices because they are greedy. They always want more. If single-income families survive in the depths of Africa, clearly they can do the same in the first world. The problem is that they have to accept the material consequences of such a lifestyle. They live on two incomes because they don't want to face the lifestyle of one income.

One-income families are just as economically productive as two income families. In the first case however one parent produces services for the household instead of earning a wage income.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hese are not arguments about whether we get more value from improvements in quality of products, I'm trying to look at it from a bigger picture.

In otherwords, will the rat-race ever end, or will houses always soak up available funds, and will we ever have enough consumer goods that are irrelevent to survival.

Eg, are the problems because we are incapable of saying 'enough'.
The rat-race never ends. The rat-race ends when you choose to end it. The rat-race is in your mind. People today get into debt because they feel social pressure to keep up an illusion of wealth through spending. Everyone is guilty of creating this social pressure by participating in the consumerism. The government is especially guilty of this in the Anglo-American world because for the past 20 years each country, USA, Canada, UK, Australia, NZ, has followed a policy of stimulating demand by lowering the rate of interest. This has turned saving money into a nearly useless endeavour, and the consumer-debt culture that evolved from it has snowballed into 'the rat-race'.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 00:35:02

Yup, getting somewhere, thanks jaws.

In the Western World there are two parts I think are emerging:

1. if you fail to take part in the rat-race, you become a social misfit and looked down upon by those still in the race - that's not an economic problem, that's a social issue

2. the economic one, is if you don't take part in the rat-race you can't compete for a piece of land or a liveable house (ie one that is classed as fit for human habitation) unless you have a certain amount of money.

So there is a threshold at which you can check out of the rat-race, ie the one where you can get a small house in a small out of the way town. Then if you are in that small town you would actually be socially accepted - I think you would be accepted anywhere that you could get freehold in that place (if you see what I mean)
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 04:07:37

I think much of it comes down to the battle for status. We're no better than peacocks flaunting our plumage.

There's a very interesting book on this matter: Status Anxiety, by Alain de Botton, which many may have read. The drive for status is by no means unique to our modern technophilic society, but the (supposedly) meritocratic ethos of modern capitalism, together with liberal democracy, has made transitioning between social classes more readily achievable, ensuring a frenzied battle for status, centred on rampant consumerism.

I think this increased social mobility and less rigid class structure has much to do with our modern status sickness, and associated affluenza. We're all out there trying to prove we're worthy of our positions by associating ourselves with expensive material goods. And of course, easy credit just adds fuel to the fire.

The upper classes of old didn't have to bother too much with all that; they just 'knew' they were superior, and felt no need to prove themselves to the masses.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 04:46:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', 'S')tatus Anxiety, by Alain de Botton


Yes, a good ref. Keeping up with the Jones' can seriously damage your wealth.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby DarkDawg » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 12:37:47

Please define rich. If wealth is simply a person's net worth, you need to put that in perspective and compare an average Joe's net worth to the that of the truly wealthy. It's all relative.

If wealth is society's combined intellectual prowess, then one could say we are richer today by leaps and bounds than we were in 1800. Being a history major I was always of the mind that we learn more and more each day, each month, each year as a civilization because we have more history behind us. The more we learn, the more intellectual property we own, therefore, we grow richer constantly. Of course, one could easily argue that when we elect individuals of lesser intelligence to govern us, we might not be as rich as we think we are. :-(

Here is some food for thought on the net worth aspect anyway, sorry if it's a little dated:
Ownership Statistics

Here are a few examples from the link above:
- The financial wealth of the top one percent of households now exceeds the combined wealth of the bottom 95 percent
- From 1983-1997, only the top five percent of households saw an increase in their net worth while wealth declined for everyone else.
- The world's 200 richest people more than doubled their net worth in the four years to 1999, to more than $1 trillion, for an average $5 billion each. Their combined wealth (the top seven are Americans) equals the combined annual income of the world's poorest 2.5 billion people.

Yea, I guess some ARE richer.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby KingM » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 13:01:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', '
')The upper classes of old didn't have to bother too much with all that; they just 'knew' they were superior, and felt no need to prove themselves to the masses.


Have you ever seen the "cottages" of the Vanderbilts, etc., in Newport? Been to Versailles? How about the Taj Mahal? Have you ever seen an exhibit of the gold crap that King Tut was buried with to give him status and wealth in the next life?
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 16:03:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KingM', '
')Have you ever seen the "cottages" of the Vanderbilts, etc., in Newport? Been to Versailles? How about the Taj Mahal? Have you ever seen an exhibit of the gold crap that King Tut was buried with to give him status and wealth in the next life?


Yes, I'm not suggesting that displays of wealth are a uniquely modern phenomenon, simply that there is a difference between demonstrating your wealth and status to the lower classes, in a society where they have no hope of emulating you, and trying to prove your status to your peers in a society where there is significantly more "status-competition" due to increased social mobility. Greater freedom breeds greater insecurity.

The audience for status/wealth displays varies according to the social structure. In a society where status is determined by which family you are born into, there is a security of status which minimises status conflict, or at least contains it. In a society like ours, where opportunities to ascend the social strata are greater, status conflict is rife.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 16:29:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', 'T')he upper classes of old didn't have to bother too much with all that; they just 'knew' they were superior, and felt no need to prove themselves to the masses.


I'll pickup on that one for a bit. One component of fuedelism that is forgotten about is the system of obligation upwards and downwards. The Barons and Lords swore fealty to the King, but were also responsible for the peasants on his land. A peasant would go to his Lord to get justice in addition to paying his tithe.

Apart from the wars and plagues, it was also the rise in status of the the freemen merchant classes that helped break this system.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby Paul64 » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 17:09:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', 'I') think this increased social mobility and less rigid class structure has much to do with our modern status sickness, and associated affluenza. We're all out there trying to prove we're worthy of our positions by associating ourselves with expensive material goods. And of course, easy credit just adds fuel to the fire.


For men anyway, the dedication to higher status and income is also driven in large part by the dating and mating game. Most women clearly favor high status in their men over most other considerations, and men know it.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby GoIllini » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 17:22:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KingM', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', '
')The upper classes of old didn't have to bother too much with all that; they just 'knew' they were superior, and felt no need to prove themselves to the masses.


Have you ever seen the "cottages" of the Vanderbilts, etc., in Newport? Been to Versailles? How about the Taj Mahal? Have you ever seen an exhibit of the gold crap that King Tut was buried with to give him status and wealth in the next life?


That's true, but a lot of it got built up when they were just "new money". I grew up in a town with lawyers, CEOs, and big stakeholders in large corporations. The "old money" had a lot in common:
A) They lived in fancy houses that were built when Grandpa or Great-Grandpa or some other person got rich.
B) They never throw anything away. Nothing. One of my friends from school invited me over to his grandmother's house when I was in second grade. The mansion had a five acre garden, a 75 foot pool, a kitchen twice the size of my current apartment, an elevator, a ballroom on the third floor replete with three gold chandeliers, and 30 year old furniture, electronics, and appliances. Aside from a few things like a five year-old computer and a few other electronics, the house looked like something out of the '60s.
C) They drive 10-20 year old well-built cars, not new ones.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he audience for status/wealth displays varies according to the social structure. In a society where status is determined by which family you are born into, there is a security of status which minimises status conflict, or at least contains it. In a society like ours, where opportunities to ascend the social strata are greater, status conflict is rife.

I would really argue that there's two characteristics and/or gene that I've seen in old money; a joy out of being thrifty (but fair enough not to be cheap), and an understated approach to wealth.

IMHO, one is truly going to wind up wealthy when he/she can simply afford to keep less than 10% of his/her real wealth on display.

Naturally, the town also had the new wealth that lived in new 10,000 square-foot, higher-quality versions of McMansion and drove 1-2 year old Ferraris, and it also had middle class folks (like my family.) Something tells me the old wealth and some of the smarter middle class folks there will make it through Peak Oil without too much trouble, but we'll have to see.
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Re: Are we getting richer?

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 20:02:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Paul64', 'F')or men anyway, the dedication to higher status and income is also driven in large part by the dating and mating game. Most women clearly favor high status in their men over most other considerations, and men know it.


So true... downgrading your lifestyle too much is a mating strategy that is likely to fail :(
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