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All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 12:39:16

But Aaron, what do you want us to do about it? Besides agree that people can be rotten? Because I don't know how to react to your position. When you say:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o take your soft, bunny rabbit, eco-bullshit ,tree hugging fantasy & shove it up your ass.


What does that mean? Yeah, so, people can be rotten. So, yeah. There ya go. Yep-a-doo. Yep, got it.

So now what?
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 12:44:21

Wow Aaron, Did you really write "and shove it up your ass"? Harsh. How about "sing Koombayha softly, but carry a big stick".
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby JustinFrankl » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 13:04:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('trespam', 'I')s something really big going to happen? Should we all be afraid? As a child of the nuclear age, with air raid sirens and duck-and-cover drills, climbing under my desk, I'd say that the fearful here are lacking in context.

Or perhaps the context is not lacking, but rather the understanding of that fear is lacking.

As a child of the 50s, I'm guessing, you lived within an environment of fear that was well-known and widely understood: there is a risk of nuclear war, it is understandable as a singular threat, and the whole world is at risk.

This context of fear is distinctly different: we, the Peak Oilers, are apparently the only ones who know that "civilization" (and thus our ability to survive) is at risk, and we are the only ones trying to do something about it, while the other 99.9% of the planet is going to get caught in a shitstorm that will undoubtedly complicate everyone's ability to survive. The problems here are multiple, inter-connected, and compounding: resource depletion, inflation, unemployment, food shortages, resource wars, systemic collapse. While this is not an easy sequence of events for Joe Sixpack to understand, we easily understand Joe Sixpack's likely possible reactions: panic, hoarding, mobbing, and rioting.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')s gas getting more expensive? You bet. You poor kids. Sorry. Just the way it goes.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, in "Fooled by Randomness: The hidden role of change in life and in the markets" says it quite well: people these days, particularly with the internet, are inundating themselves with useless information. I mean really. We've got Aaron trying to be a writer over at his blog blathering about neo-darwinism. If Kunslter is a second rate thinker--he is--what does that make the depletion blogspot? Third rate? Fourth.

That you disagree with Aaron's "neo-darwinism" indicates that you are capable of critique, analysis, and complex thought, which will serve you well in the future. Aaron's ideas don't work for you, and as well they shouldn't, as no one singular set of ideas works for everyone. Making the blanket statement of it being "second-rate thinking", thus attempting to push people away from these ideas, in effect you are also pushing a one-size-fits-all solution.

One obvious benefit about Aaron's blog and Kunstler's writings are that they get people thinking along different and diverse lines. From a stochastic perspective, given that the environments people encounter during a possible crash are likely to be extremely diverse, survivability of society or of the human species will best be met by a diversity of ideas.

If you have already covered this in another thread, I apologize, but perhaps you can share some points about what, exactly, is "second rate" about Kunstler.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his is my non-contribution for this week/month: everyone get the fuck away from your computers. And this comes from someone who has been on the internet longer than all of you. Seriously. I mentioned before. My first employer built and ran the original internet (ARPANET). I've been munging around the internet longer than most of you. And my advice: get away from it. Go do something real.

Actively thinking and responding to the written word is one step more "real" than, say, passively reading a book. But I do support the position that people are probably better off spending less time in front of any video screen.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')emember, a large number of postings here, and at other places, are by the people who have no lives. And probably not too much income. So they're using this as a filler. Filling the empty places. Communing.

"No lives" and "not too much income" are unfair critiques and judgments, implying that doing something more or having something more is part of the solution. Wrong. "More" has always been part of the problem.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')eak oil is real. But most of the blather of the second and third rate thinkers who are praised on this site isn't real. Go outside into your community. Do something.

I would agree that doing something else in your local community would likely be beneficial, but that doing without thinking will lead to more problems than thinking without doing.

That's just my opinion, I could be wrong.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby JustinFrankl » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 13:28:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schweinshaxe', 'T')he governments and corporations will never allow that any of the two alternatives above come true. The politicians and the elite have far too much to lose in each scenario.

If they don't have the necessary resources, energy, food, then their "power" will be no greater than yours. The alternatives that come to pass will be more a function of what people are able to to locally with effort than what people are able to do remotely through power and attempts at control.

Long-term, none can say what the world will be like. But we can say what the world cannot be like, if it doesn't have the resources necessary to support it.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Aaron » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 13:31:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat does that mean? Yeah, so, people can be rotten. So, yeah. There ya go. Yep-a-doo. Yep, got it.

So now what?


I hear this from actvists frequently... The "Ok we get it... now what?" thing.

I'm sure I don't know.

But what I do know is that until we acknowledge just how serious this issue is, en mass, we won't get a chance for, "then what".

I'll venture briefly into psychic-land to characterize what some folks don't like about Kunstler, or myself for that matter.

Because it sounds harsh and politically incorrect. Offensive.

Kunstler may be speaking harshly for whatever his reasons are... maybe selling books, or lecture dates, or he's a CIA plant, or... whatever.

But I'm not selling anything, or writing for any other motive than compassion. Don't like what we write on depletion.blogspot.com?

Don't read it.

Different strokes...

Same for this forum... lots of differing opinions here.

Don't like what I write? Press that ignore button next to my post...

And please folks... the Zombie thing is a simplistic metaphor.

It means WAR.

In all it's wondrous versions. Terror attacks & suicide bombings, invading sovereign nations, torture & assassination.

Even the dreaded "N" word.

Finally I'll add that it's threads loike this one that I find most valuable.

Who knows? Perhaps one of you will point out something which merits hope & closer inspection... even for me.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby LadyRuby » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 13:43:54

I think we'd all be better off if we'd all be willing to take our blinders off. That goes for the peak oil doomers, as well as those who think all will be swell.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby MacG » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 15:01:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schweinshaxe', ' ')What's waitng around the corner is a grey, dull world run by beaurocrats removing more and more of your freedom until they own you and your life. Call it fascism, communism or socialism if you want. It doesn't matter. Oppression will come fro the state and/or the corporations. They will make you a slave in order to protect you, the society and big business.

The governments and corporations will never allow that any of the two alternatives above come true. The politicians and the elite have far too much to lose in each scenario.

I'm actually more afraid of corrupt governments and corporations with unlimited power than gun-owning rednecks.


These are interesting thoughts, and I followed the same path until recently. I have come to belive that we are dealing with a severe "chicken-egg" thingie here. A hell of a lot of people just LOVE authority and do everything they can to cheer and preserve it. If the current govcorp (+celeb royalty) disappeared, these people would rapidly promote others. And there would be a lot of willing candidates competing with eachother for promotion to the honeypots.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby MacG » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 15:08:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Wildwell', ' ')So there’s going to be a conflict of sorts, if it’s 95% good guys. The 5%, especially as they hold most of the wealth are going to try ANYTHING to hold onto it.


This is bloody interesting and really worth it's own thread! Populatin distributions that is.

My guess:

Enlightened: 1-3%
Go With The Flow: 30%
Stupid but harmless: 30%
Stupid and dangerous: 30%
General psychopats: 1-3%
Clever psychopats: 0.1%
Misc: 4-8%
Last edited by MacG on Sun 02 Oct 2005, 15:11:48, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Pops » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 15:09:39

Wow! What a great thread.

Like Trespam said, get your head out of your monitor and do something.

I also grew up with stints under the elementary school desk so when A. talks about the US’s final solution is hits me in a very soft place.

But like many other situations, there is a spectrum of terror. From the worry of a few dozen blown to bits through to a few million.

But extremes conceal the insidious. If one has never spent days in the cold and dark with little to eat then perhaps it may not seem a very scary proposition considering the FX of the movies.

Global Thermonuclear War is hard to mitigate on a personal level which makes it an easy excuse for not doing something - but not so a cold winter.


get your head out of your monitor and do something…
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby MacG » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 15:19:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('trespam', ' ')My first employer built and ran the original internet (ARPANET)


Wonderful! Lets open a tread "memories from the war"! :)

Hmmm... Did you actually have an account on ArpaNet? In that case I bow in respect. Otherwise I challenge you for real dates of engagement. I got connected in -87. That was before the browsers. We only had SMTP/POP, FTP, TelNet and the likes. Trumpet WinSock anyone?
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby backstop » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 15:57:41

Several points -

First medication - I know of no pharma anti-depressant products in the last 35 yrs that have been on the market for more than 5 years without major problems being uncovered - from addiction to side effects to outright reverse effects, such as increasing suicidal tendencies.

Thus I'd avoid all of them like the battery chicken flu.

Having set myself to facing profoundly depressing problems over the decades, I can recommend from personal experience a weekly therapy of taking a walk in the best of nature you can reach, with a spliff of good (not GMO) grass. (Steep it overnight in buttermilk for those who don't smoke).

This allows a regular period of reflection on events, with aspects of the true reality around one and an encouragement to inspiration within. For me it helps in allowing me to see problems in perspective - effectively to see beyond them to their solutions. I call it a Sunday Joint.

Like any herb, over-indulgence is not advised. Also, as the laws on this varies widely, I hope you'll pay your local version the respect they deserve.

Second - On bunny-rabbits, Aaron and expectations.

The issue of psychotoxic pollutants is one that IMHO deserves far wider investigation. Of the several I listed in a post above, I'd point out that lead poisoning has a variety of symptoms including the stunting of mental and emotional intelligence, and crucially, the promotion of paranoia in the individual and so in the society.

The scale of airborne lead that we are breathing began to rise with lead's use in ancient mediterranian empires, as is shown in the record of ice-cores. Currently we are breathing about 100,000 times the natural level of this poison.

The expectation of malign and brutal responses from others is not neutral -
it is highly dynamic in terms of what messages we emit and what reactions we thus generate in others.

To give this a practical perspective, I spent over 2 years travelling and working at the grass roots of Central and South American societies. I chose to ignore firm advice to carry a pistol at all times and instead carried a decent stick. Though lethal danger was close a few times, I never had to use the stick for defence. Had I been better armed, I very much doubt that I'd have got through without violence.

To the extent that fear begets violence, I differ strongly with Aaron's propagation of fear by assuming that a violent global 'balkanization' is inevitable. It is not. It is merely possible.

Certainly there are and will be those politicians who try to win power by promoting fears and scapegoating, but then it is our choice whether to support the fashion for political apathy and elect them by default, or whether to raise up national and international politics to address the dire crises we face.

To say that it's all going to hell, people will fall apart, and btw I've no useful suggestions, seems to me unhelpful. I suggest that we need first to get beyond the ancient slander of human nature if we're going to help develop ways through the present mess.

regards,

Backstop
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(from "A Sand County Almanac" by Aldo Leopold, 1948.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Schweinshaxe » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 20:22:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'W')ow! What a great thread.

Like Trespam said, get your head out of your monitor and do something.

I also grew up with stints under the elementary school desk so when A. talks about the US’s final solution is hits me in a very soft place.

But like many other situations, there is a spectrum of terror. From the worry of a few dozen blown to bits through to a few million.

But extremes conceal the insidious. If one has never spent days in the cold and dark with little to eat then perhaps it may not seem a very scary proposition considering the FX of the movies.

Global Thermonuclear War is hard to mitigate on a personal level which makes it an easy excuse for not doing something - but not so a cold winter.


get your head out of your monitor and do something…


Do what?

How do you prevent governments from going corrupt? How do you stop corporations from enslaving people through a forced lifestyle and mountains of debt?

All I can do is to try to make people understand that the greatest threat is corruption. Let's see how Wikipedia defines "corruption".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_corruption

This article deals with political corruption, but it's not different from corporate corruption. There are people who are in power in this world. Power breeds corruption. People in power are corrupt. End of story!

I'm scared to death by peoples lack of interest in these matters. I find the widespread trust in governments and current political systems disguisting. I want to throw up when people are selling their souls to big business just to be able to buy a widescreen TV-set.

Do I have solutions? No! Am I a doomer? Yes!

We are giving away our natural freedom for an imaginary freedom controlled by corrupt governments and corporations.
Was soll das?
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 20:55:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('backstop', '
')
First medication - I know of no pharma anti-depressant products in the last 35 yrs that have been on the market for more than 5 years without major problems being uncovered - from addiction to side effects to outright reverse effects, such as increasing suicidal tendencies.

Thus I'd avoid all of them like the battery chicken flu.


That must be an enjoyable luxury.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Pops » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 21:11:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schweinshaxe', '
')Do what?


Quit supporting the corporation.


Make your own future.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Schweinshaxe » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 21:19:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schweinshaxe', '
')Do what?


Quit supporting the corporation.


Make your own future.


How?
Was soll das?
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Aaron » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 21:24:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')o the extent that fear begets violence, I differ strongly with Aaron's propagation of fear by assuming that a violent global 'balkanization' is inevitable. It is not. It is merely possible.


And I would say there is a difference between promoting fear, and educating about reality.

But of course, honorable men can differ.

That's one heck of a "mere" possibility you skim by there.

As our countrymen fight & die this very day in the oil-rich Middle East... it seems more than some slight possibility to me.

What are we really hoping for here?

That future resource wars "won't be so bad?"

I contend that right this moment, it's pretty wonderful being hydrocarbon royalty, with the world as our playground. But for the hydrocarbon peasants of the planet, the world can be a brutal, shitty place.

Throw in depletion, and we have a similar situation faced by the world in the late 1930's.

Let me ask everyone a question.

Would you fight to protect your family and it's vital resources?

Yup... me too.

That's the problem...
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Ayoob » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 22:08:59

This is definitely an interesting thread and topic. The fuzzy bunny types have a good point. If we don't all get busy living an example for others to follow, it's definitely going to be worse than if we didn't. That is fo sho. It makes sense to plant a garden and ride your bike to work and all that stuff. And go vegetarian and wear hemp shirts or whatever. Fine, I agree. Hell, I ride my bike now quite a bit. To a certain extent, I think that you guys have a good bead on useful stuff to do.

As long as everybody can just get along, this strategy will work out just fine.

Anybody want to make a guess on whether we'll all just get along?

We currently do not all get along. Oil has not peaked. We are maybe in a dieoff in a couple of places but the people dying are black so nobody really cares. Nobody reading this post cares enough to sell their computer monitor and send money to starving Africans who will surely die this month without that money. It's life or death to them.

Fo shizzle

The United States is in a war in the Middle East right now, and the casualties may number over 100,000 including women and children. Death toll in Afghanistan over the course of the economic sanctions numbered over 500K children, and the US secretary of state Madeline Albreicht (sp?) said that she thought that price (meaning the death of half a million children) was worth it. I actually have that video clip right now, it's not faked, and it's not taken out of context. She thought that the death of half a million children was OK with her, once you measured that sacrafice against whatever it was that we wanted.

Here's the quote. Albright made highly controversial remarks in an interview with Leslie Stahl on CBS's Sixty Minutes. Asked by Stahl with regards to effect of sanctions against Iraq: "We have heard that half a million children have died. I mean, that's more children than died in Hiroshima. And, you know, is the price worth it?" Albright replied: "I think this is a very hard choice, but the price -- we think the price is worth it."

We do not currently all get along.

It makes no sense to ignore this. We will fight over resources in the future just like we have in the past, and continue to do right now. Nobody is going to give you anything for free when they are trying to put food on their family.

I've been considering joining the local Republican party apparatus and clawing my way to its murderous top. Why not? The hardest fighters are going to win, and that's how it goes.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 02 Oct 2005, 23:51:42

Shit, folks...every major war in history has been fought over scarce resources.

Has something changed?
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby GreyZone » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 01:04:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EdF', 'M')aybe that's because nature also selects for cooperative relationships in a climax ecology. You may need to update your Darwinism.

- Ed


Cooperative with whom? Nowhere in nature do the extremely large scale of relationships occur that we've seen superimposed over human affairs in the last several centuries due to industrialization. Human behavior has always been tribal in nature, with emphasis on the local and regional affairs of the humans living within those areas. Yes, some tribes have achieved large sizes but if you are not a member of that tribe, then the behavior of the tribe towards you was often anything except cooperative in so very many instances.


Also, why do you presume we are facing a climax ecology? Species extinction has been rising for the last few million years, largely due to the arrival of the ice age/warm age climate system that replaced the warmer global climate system that preceded it for so long. We actually appear to have evolved within the context of an extinction event that was running well before our own appearance (and which we appear to be hastening drastically as well). I am not willing to agree with the assessment that we are moving into a climax ecology at all, thus I disagree with your basic assumptions.


Finally, how was the problem of raising energy solved in the past? Too often by slavery, of human dominating human. This is sad, undesirable, but true. And to assume that such cannot happen again would be a dangerous mistake in my estimation.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 07:27:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'T')his is definitely an interesting thread and topic. The fuzzy bunny types have a good point. If we don't all get busy living an example for others to follow, it's definitely going to be worse than if we didn't. That is fo sho. It makes sense to plant a garden and ride your bike to work and all that stuff. And go vegetarian and wear hemp shirts or whatever. Fine, I agree. Hell, I ride my bike now quite a bit. To a certain extent, I think that you guys have a good bead on useful stuff to do.

As long as everybody can just get along, this strategy will work out just fine.


What are the major drawbacks to this strategy, and what is the alternative, in your opinion?

You say this strategy will work if everyone gets along. Then you point out that everybody is not getting along. So, in what way is the above strategy failing for the people who are implementing it? And what should they do instead, in your opinion? What would be a better strategy?
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