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Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby AdamB » Wed 18 Sep 2024, 16:01:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]Crypto miner Digihost plans to move rigs from New York to Alabama
....the Alabama facility ....Alabama lawmaker.....Small Town Alabama Residents ....Haitian Migrants...U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) .... from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela....small towns across the US .... Sylacauga in Alabama .... Haitian migrants...


Why is it you don't ever seem to have much to say about Australia other than posting nice scenery pictures, as though other countries somehow lack scenery?

Do you think those of us who graduated high school don't notice...high school educations making us even dumber than you and all?

Australia Is Banning Nazi Symbols to Curb the Far Right. Here’s What to Know.
Image

Just take some pix already and post them. We're mostly a bunch of old retired folks here now, mostly male, the diminished remnant of one of the more interesting forums from 20 years ago. You can tell that I'm probably the only one even paying attention to your silly fascination with bashing every place else..because your country is barely an afterthought on nearly all levels, technical, educational, manufacturing, Nobel Prize winners, militarily, and so on and so forth. I'm sorry you live in a place where Crocodile Dundee is as good a national hero as you can get, and live among those who can't built cars or planes or anything much of value, and are stuck pretending you know what riding on a track is like, because you hope that with all the empty feel this place has, you won't run into someone who has ridden tracks all across their own country. For decades. And then is in a position to disparage you.

Take some pix. I'll stop reminding everyone that the main conversationists here are an oil and gas specialist who went quite a distance beyond high school and a retarded Nazi sympathizer.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Sun 22 Sep 2024, 01:12:15

BC perfectly on track, confirming it's stair-step downward trajectory. I guess Blackrock hasn't bought in yet? Or the hodlers haven't bought into the Blackrock story yet :lol:
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Tue 24 Sep 2024, 03:51:59

pODCAST

Tulip Backed Crypto-Currencies?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat can you say about crypto-currencies that hasn't been said already. However, Kerry and I are proposing a new form of crypto backed up by Tulips, preferably the Dutch variety. After all, Tulip prices only go up, right? And what of all those ICO's (Initial Coin Offerings) that are headed to the moon and back. Just today Bancor raised $153 million. Pretty good work if you can get it.


https://player.fm/series/dollar-collaps ... currencies
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 25 Sep 2024, 05:54:18

Come on Bitcoin, come on! Puff Puff Puff

Image

https://u.today/sites/default/files/inl ... e_1227.png
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Sat 28 Sep 2024, 02:49:19

Image

Bitcoin is a scarce commodity, you can't eat Gold, you can't build a bridge with copper or diamonds, but when Bitcoin, which is is smart fast and scarce money, moves from it's liquid to Vapor state, when it jumps onto a mobile device, it's traveling at lightspeed, and that's profound. That's the future, instantaneous commodities, and Bitcoin, which is not limited in any sense will lead the way to a global revolution in... in everything.

The current decision by the Federal Reserve is telegraphing, or let's say texting, why Bitcoin is taking control over financial markets, as well as commodity markets. ETF's like Blackrock are the bedrock of this, that's Bitcoin in it's solid phase, secure smart and dependable money. Bitcoin is money but it's a commodity, it's whatever you need it to be and at any point in space-time.

A time traveler 50 years from now will look back at people living in houses and shake their head in wonder. Houses are an example of the Solid state but now we have nylon tents, the liquid state of housing that can flow to any park or street, and the vapor phase follows this where you become the house and the house travels with you wherever you are, that's profound. That's the future and Bitcoin is leading the way to this transition, in space and time.
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 02 Oct 2024, 17:07:15

Back to Basics

Unlike Gold, Bitcoin is Not a Safe-Haven
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hough its supporters call it "digital gold," Bitcoin keeps proving that it is not a true safe-haven asset like real gold.

Today was yet another day marked by geopolitical turmoil, much like many others over the past year. This time, the turmoil was triggered by Iran launching at least 180 ballistic missiles toward Israel, marking the largest missile strike against Israel in history. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu declared that Iran has made a grave mistake and will face consequences as the world inches closer to all-out war with each passing hour. I hope for a peaceful resolution to this crisis, however unlikely that may seem. In this article, I’d like to share my observations on two assets often touted as safe havens—gold and Bitcoin—and how they perform during times of geopolitical crisis.

The chart below shows a tale of two assets: gold and Bitcoin. At approximately 9:32 AM EST, reports began circulating that Iran was imminently preparing to launch ballistic missiles at Israel. Interestingly, gold and Bitcoin responded in starkly opposite ways—gold surged while Bitcoin plummeted. This price action confirmed a long-standing frustration I have with Bitcoin: it behaves more like a risk asset than a true safe-haven. If Bitcoin were truly "digital gold," I would expect it to rise during periods of geopolitical turmoil, not decline.

I have long maintained that Bitcoin behaves more like a speculative risk asset, similar to hot tech stocks, rather than a safe-haven asset. This is evident in how closely Bitcoin's price movement tracks the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index. The data reveals a striking correlation coefficient of 0.88 (out of 1) between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 over the past five years, confirming their strong relationship and closely aligned movements. As the Twitter user “The Great Martis” frequently points out, “Bitcoin is merely a Nasdaq ETF,” and I couldn’t agree more.
https://thebubblebubble.substack.com/p/ ... not-a-safe

Image

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')y goal for this article isn't to present a full thesis proving that U.S. technology stocks are in a bubble (though I plan to address that in detail soon). I simply want the investing community to recognize the reality: Bitcoin shouldn’t be labeled “digital gold” if it doesn’t behave like a true safe-haven asset. I hope to raise greater awareness that Bitcoin is a risk asset, better suited for "good times" rather than times of crisis.


But this is 2024, the Decade of ever greater lies and marketing swindles so what could one expect? At some level nearly everyone sees this. When they get their car serviced, or look at their retirement portfolio, or even simply go shopping. The Marketing Hype engulfs them and invariably proves to be false. But then they go back to their TV set and it tells them all is well. They go to their favorite bubble forum and there the faithful tell them all is well. BC had it's halving and this is all normal, just Hodl and you'll be rich one day.

No mention is ever made of the correlation with techie stocks, that's studiously ignored because it doesn't fit the BC narrative. BC is Marketed as separate from all other assets, Superior to all other assets. If it fails to live up to one of it's founding principles, like being a medium of everyday exchange, that principle is simply ignored, tossed out the window because BC is Amazing and fast and unlimited and... The marketers of BC don't want hodlers to think too deeply, "this is all complex algorithms and market variations, it's beyond you, just have Diamond hands and stay the course." But what happens in a general market Crash! When you may need some liquidity to pay bills etc?

Well that's where the Basics come in doesn't it. Evil Fiat money and the selling of pet rocks. Last time I bought a motorcycle the options were Bank transfer or cash, or Finance. My insurance policies were cash or transfer, same with my utilities. Now Gold and silver are readily sold here for cash. And so is BC. But if my Gold was 10% or 30% underwater from the purchase price I'd have to be desperate to sell it wouldn't I. Thankfully it's not. Even my last purchases of 2 years ago are up 37%. That's inline with Gold's annual gains of around 20% dating back to around 2005 when I "awoke".

But Gold hodlers typically have large stores of cash as well. Sure we know it depreciates, that bank interest rarely even keeps pace with inflation, but cash is security, short term security. Typically we hate paying interest as well. I couldn't tell you the last time I carried debt, decades ago it was. In your private life you should never take on debt except for an appreciating asset like a Home. Cars? Holidays? Home renovations? Never! Stupid people do that and in the process eat away at their earnings year by year assuring that come retirement they will have a lot less to live on. No one buys Gold on finance but many bought BC on finance, even on CC Debt. How stupid is that!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')oes anyone still use Bittylicious? : r/BitcoinUK
I used them back in late 2017, in to 2018 when I first bought Bitcoin (on credit card lol) but I soon figured out their fees were brutal so ...


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')ryptocurrency is trending again—as Bitcoin has surpassed all-time high prices and the entire crypto market once again approaches nearly $3 trillion in market capitalization. As millions of people start pouring money into the crypto industry, you might be considering purchasing crypto directly with a credit card. After all—you use your credit card for everything else—why not crypto?
https://www.forbes.com/advisor/credit-c ... edit-card/

That was Apr 24, 2024, Five months ago. When BC was $10,000 higher. Come in suckers, every time :roll:
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 02 Oct 2024, 17:17:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o, what’s the issue with Bitcoin being highly correlated with the Nasdaq 100? The problem is that U.S. tech stocks are currently in the midst of a massive bubble, fueled by unprecedented stimulus from the Federal Reserve. Like all bubbles, this one is bound to burst, and when it does, Bitcoin is likely to be pulled down with it due to their close correlation. There are numerous metrics indicating that the Nasdaq is in the midst of a massive bubble, one of the most telling being its highly inflated price-to-sales ratio:


https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1 ... 19x699.png

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nother clear sign of the bubble in U.S. technology stocks is their inflated weighting in the S&P 500, which now surpasses even the peak levels seen during the 1999 dot-com bubble—an episode that ended in a market collapse:
https://thebubblebubble.substack.com/p/ ... not-a-safe

LOOK OUT BELOW!
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby AdamB » Wed 02 Oct 2024, 18:39:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]Back to Basics

Unlike Gold, Bitcoin is Not a Safe-Haven


Gold might be a safe haven if morons don't forget where they buried it in the yard, but market investments have just kicked its backside in terms of value. I don't know what bitcoin is exactly.

They teach these things in Australian high school in fiscal management classes I bet.

Endeavor to perservere Lucky! You don't have to be like you are now forever!

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Last edited by AdamB on Wed 02 Oct 2024, 19:08:47, edited 1 time in total.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Wed 02 Oct 2024, 18:46:40

Ahhh, my shadow :lol:
We're off to see the Wizard next Adam, the wonderful Wizard of Oz. See you there.
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Thu 10 Oct 2024, 17:02:49

Looks like the community didn't get the memo about Elon's prediction of a huge crash and a mad rush into Bitcoin. Five years ago a pronouncement like that would have sent the market sky high, but not anymore. He was attributed actually with starting the last bear, when he announced Tesla would no longer accept BC as payment. I believe Elon is half right this time, blind freddy can see a huge crash coming, all the well reputed analysts are talking about it so as usual he's just jumping on the bandwagon so he looks smart after the event. As for BC going to the moon, well I suspect he has a hodling there he wants to liquidate.

With BC back in the $50k's I see no panic buying. It's probably as I surmised, only the hodlers are in the game now and they are nervous, new money is nowhere in sight.
PeakBC adoption :lol:

-May 2021-
Why Elon Musk's bitcoin U-turn caused a crypto crash

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')uch of the recent run-up in the price of bitcoin has been based on the idea that large companies would soon adopt the cryptocurrency, not just as a means of payment but also as a safe place to store cash. Tesla's disclosure in February that it had invested around $1.5 billion in bitcoin and that it soon planned to begin accepting the digital currency as payment for Tesla vehicles only played into that belief.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/bitcoin-cr ... elon-musk/

-Oct 2024-
Finance: Elon Musk Predicts An Imminent Collapse Of The USA.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')is concerns have intensified recently, especially after the announcement of a record $204 billion increase in public debt in a single day. Musk fears that this situation could trigger rampant inflation and drive the country towards insolvency. His warnings resonate particularly in a context where confidence in the dollar as a global reserve currency may erode.

The rise of the BRICS and their declared intention to free themselves from the greenback in their exchanges adds additional pressure on the American economy. The situation is all the more worrying as some analysts, such as those from Morgan Stanley, predict a possible recession in the United States. If these dire forecasts come true, the repercussions on global finance could be devastating.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')In the face of this gloomy picture, Elon Musk doesn’t just raise the alarm. He proposes solutions, including the creation of a Government Efficiency Commission aimed at reducing unnecessary spending.
https://www.cointribune.com/en/finance- ... f-the-usa/

Everyone has to have a "Solution" otherwise they are just a Cassandra. But what does "Reducing unnecessary spending" do for the already $35T in debt and the $1T yearly interest? Nothing of course. Elon's real plan for the collapse is to be far far away. The Virgin islands? Only the British ones if that.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')ug 20, 2024 — Sources have suggested that Elon Musk is currently on the search for a suitable property to buy in this charming country in Southern Europe.
https://portugalbuyersagent.com/elon-mu ... -portugal/

Now that makes sense, Portugal, Of course! Why didn't I think of it.
First he sells off all his US based RE and is now shopping abroad. The American Public worship him but he's a White South African Grifter, never forget that. He has a US citizenship, why not? Passports are like baseball cards among the wealthy elite.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')lon Musk has a total of three passports (that we know about) : South Africa, because he was born in South Africa to South African parents; Canada, because his mother is ... https://www.schiffsovereign.com/interna ... too-26658/
Several countries in the Caribbean will give citizenship to an entire family of four in just five months in exchange for a $150,000 donation.

I wonder where he'll run to when TSHTF?
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby careinke » Thu 10 Oct 2024, 20:24:31

Lucky, maybe you need to figure out you can watch videos on your phone without a TV, who knows you could learn something more than Zero hedge dribble.

I do find it hilarious that you consider the richest man in the world to be some kind of Grifter. Someone, who has the bestselling truck actually, vehicle, over 100K. Someone who has saved the U.S. space program while making even more money. One of the staunchest defenders of Free Speech, (something Aussies don't seem to be concerned about, or at least do not have). Perhaps you need to watch the launch his new robo taxi today. Remember you can watch it on your phone even without a TV.

I bought some more BTC today below $59,000. Depending on the election results I may be buying a lot more on 5 Nov. I believe BTC has remained flat for so long waiting for the election. If Komi Kamilla wins, I expect BTC to tumble quickly for a while giving me another buying opportunity. If Trump wins, it is off to the moon immediately, and I will just ride BTC up through mid 2025 where I will cash some in for some lifestyle enhancements.

The Deathacratic Party is Anti BTC and pro CBDC, so they can further enslave and control the population. Don't worry Aussies will get to enjoy CBDCs sooner than the U.S. and you didn't even get to vote for it. Enjoy your slavery.

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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Fri 11 Oct 2024, 04:38:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') do find it hilarious that you consider the richest man in the world to be some kind of Grifter. Someone, who has the bestselling truck actually, vehicle, over 100K. Someone who has saved the U.S. space program while making even more money. One of the staunchest defenders of Free Speech,

I find it hilarious that you actually believe that shit. "Saved the US space program" Oh Dear, says a lot for NASA doesn't it that an outsider has to come in and "save them" lol lol. And free speech! You really have bought it hook line and sinker. He's controlled opposition is all, he gives you hope by allowing you to bitch on his platform, he says what you want to hear lol. And meanwhile he cavorts with the rich and famous and "You" He wouldn't even let you in the front gate.

But this isn't about ELON is it. It's about bitcoins failure to live up to it's promise, to your dreams. You're waiting for the big leg up and starting to doubt it will ever happen now.

"If Trump wins, it is off to the moon immediately" :roll: So you pin your future on election promises now. Pretty sad inke, pretty sad. Your suffering I know, and there is no words of comfort I can offer I'm afraid. You're just going to have to ride this out like all those before you that rode out unrealistic bubbles.

Image

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We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Fri 11 Oct 2024, 18:17:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '
')
I do find it hilarious that you consider the richest man in the world to be some kind of Grifter. Someone, who has the bestselling truck actually, vehicle, over 100K.

How many Cybertrucks have sold in 2024?
Tesla has sold 11,558 Cybertrucks to date in 2024

F-150: America's Best-Selling Truck in 2024
Ford F-Series: 528,028 units sold.
Chevrolet Silverado: 399,604 units sold.

Another typo inke?
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby careinke » Fri 11 Oct 2024, 22:44:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '
')
I do find it hilarious that you consider the richest man in the world to be some kind of Grifter. Someone, who has the bestselling truck actually, vehicle, over 100K.

How many Cybertrucks have sold in 2024?
Tesla has sold 11,558 Cybertrucks to date in 2024

F-150: America's Best-Selling Truck in 2024
Ford F-Series: 528,028 units sold.
Chevrolet Silverado: 399,604 units sold.

Another typo inke?


I didn't know a F-150 costs over $100K. Seems a might pricy to me. Maybe you need to read what I actually wrote. or at least stay away from Ford dealers, you sound like a Mark.

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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby careinke » Fri 11 Oct 2024, 22:50:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '
')
I do find it hilarious that you consider the richest man in the world to be some kind of Grifter. Someone, who has the bestselling truck actually, vehicle, over 100K.

How many Cybertrucks have sold in 2024?
Tesla has sold 11,558 Cybertrucks to date in 2024

F-150: America's Best-Selling Truck in 2024
Ford F-Series: 528,028 units sold.
Chevrolet Silverado: 399,604 units sold.

Another typo inke?


I didn't know a F-150 costs over $100K. Seems a might pricy to me. Maybe you need to read what I actually wrote. or at least stay away from Ford dealers, you sound like a Mark.

Peace


Pretty sure a Silverado Tops out at around 70K.


Another Typo Lucky?

Hmm.. My copilot says:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Tesla Cybertruck is currently the best-selling vehicle priced over $100,000 in the United States12. In July 2024, it had an average transaction price of around $111,2421.


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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby ralfy » Fri 11 Oct 2024, 23:27:44

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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby careinke » Sat 12 Oct 2024, 00:37:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', 'R')eminds me of this:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/compani ... r-AA1oEcFn


Well, runaway inflation raises the price on most things today, especially when priced in Ponzi Fiat dollars. :-D It's probably gotten cheaper priced in BTC since that original price was mentioned.

Well, that price was given in 2019, five years ago! At the time BTC was $8,346.00, so it would have cost you 4.6 BTC to buy one at 39,000. Today, you can buy one for 1.75 BTC roughly 1/3 the cost in BTC yet the product has tripled in price if you use the Ponzi Fiat dollar.

Oh, the F-150 doubled its Ponzi Fiat dollar cost over the same time, and it can't even drive itself, carry a bigger payload, or be nearly as fun.

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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Sat 12 Oct 2024, 02:00:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')
I do find it hilarious that you consider the richest man in the world to be some kind of Grifter. Someone, who has the bestselling truck actually, vehicle, over 100K.

Another typo inke?


Next time you want to quote price, put the $$$$ in front.
So tesla's truck costs more than those Fords sold for, and you think that's a Win? Overpriced junker.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby theluckycountry » Sat 12 Oct 2024, 02:17:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', 'R')eminds me of this:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/compani ... r-AA1oEcFn

It's the ugliest thing on 4-wheels. But if you want to sell a Magic Elixir you have to put it in a bottle with a unique label. "Uncle Elon's Amazing cure all" Say goodbye to fuel bills, save the polar bears, reverse balding.

I'm selling my stupid Tesla Cybertruck as prices are crashing, but Carmax refused to make an offer?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JsU0vNHXun0
Guy is actually an EVidiot too, just realizes he's been shafted as the Beta tester.
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Re: Bitcoin & crypto? Pt. 2

Postby careinke » Sat 12 Oct 2024, 02:42:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')
I do find it hilarious that you consider the richest man in the world to be some kind of Grifter. Someone, who has the bestselling truck actually, vehicle, over 100K.

Another typo inke?


Next time you want to quote price, put the $$$$ in front.
So tesla's truck costs more than those Fords sold for, and you think that's a Win? Overpriced junker.


The Tesla Truck was not even in production in 2019, you make no sense.

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