by Outcast_Searcher » Sat 06 Apr 2019, 03:39:52
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'O')kay, now, can we get back to the peak oil debate? I have a feeling that we are on the edge of the Ugo Bardi Seneca Cliff. We are beginning to see over the edge. It would be nice to hang out here on the rim, checking out the view, but it looks like we are on our way down soon.

Year after year, decade after decade, doomers keep claiming that we are at the point just before the big crash. And you know the track record on such predictions.
1). So why keep saying that unless something meaningful has changed, since if not, the results of such predictions are inevitably the same as the last failed predictions?
2). What do you know that the EIA and the IEA don't, since they're predicting the plateau to continue until 2040, or possibly 2050? (And that's as far as they predict, so then we'll have to see). Their track records re predictions are far from perfect, but overall they're reasonable, unlike the fast crash doomer track records.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.