[EnergyUnlimited]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RdSnt', '
')I would truly hope that we can maintain some connection to advanced technology, so that we can populate the rest of the solar system.

[RdSnt]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '
')Realistically any space elevators are non starters because materials necessary to make such constructions simply don't exist and cannot be made by the same.

[MonteQuest]

Bumped up for the newbies to the site.

[MonteQuest]

For all those who say I never post about solutions.

[dinopello]

Salt Shortage !

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') shortage of road salt and skyrocketing salt prices could mean slippery roads this winter in communities across the nation as officials struggle to keep pavement clear of snow and ice without breaking their budgets.

[allenwrench]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'I')s peak oil the "tip of the iceberg?"

How many see peak oil as a symptom of a greater disease? ?

[allenwrench]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'F')or all those who say I never post about solutions.

[Subjectivist]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', '
')The downslope of hubberts peak will humble many people to the bone. It will shake them to the core. They will question everything they thought they knew. Many people's ego and identity will be shattered and in pieces. Some may never recover. Many will die.

What I love about nature it that it is warm and tender but at the same cruel and indifferent. It provides everything we need to live a happy healthy life, but doesn't give a flying poop what happens to us. We have gotten so far out of balance a correction is in order. It is just the way things work. Sorry, there's no space capsules waiting for a hasty escape. "You're runing and you're running and you're running away, but you can't run away from yourself." The tide ebbs and flows, our narcissism and arrogance will be rewarded with humility and suffering. Maybe some day we will find a middle ground?

I'm sick and disgusted at seeing every forest and green field around me bulldozed and paved over for condos and shopping malls. Endless growth is a terminal disease that ends in death. What will people eat? parking lots? Will they eat the composite siding off of their new condo?

You can't have your cake and destroy it too.

I was reading Jared's Diamonds Collapse last night. He was discussing being at the quarry on Easter Island where they made all the statues. Many statues stand half finished with tools scattered about the quarry. As if one day everyone just got up and walked off the job.

Systems breakdown does not follow a a smooth logarithmic curve. One day we might all be sitting back enjoying a cold one debating when and if the peak will occur. The next day we could wake up in a completely different world.

[ROCKMAN]

"The downslope of hubberts peak will humble many people to the bone." I doubt it. LOL. The production profile for oil wells, oil fields, oil trends, oil producing regions, etc exhibit the same asymmetry: the decline side of the production rate curve isn't as steep as the increasing side of the bell curve. FYI: a "bell curve" doesn't have to be symmetric to be a bell curve. Mother Earth very rarely allows a symetric distribution.

I'm not saying how steep the backside will or won't be. Just that the decline will be much slower than the increase. And that won't begin until we slide off the undulating plateau.

[Keith_McClary]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', ' ')The production profile for oil wells, oil fields, oil trends, oil producing regions, etc exhibit the same asymmetry: the decline side of the production rate curve isn't as steep as the increasing side of the bell curve.

[StarvingLion]

The House of Saud is Collapsing

“Saudi Arabia plans $27bn in bond issues”

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e9e197fe ... z3hzfNyMYn

[Tanada]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('StarvingLion', 'T')he House of Saud is Collapsing

“Saudi Arabia plans $27bn in bond issues”

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e9e197fe ... z3hzfNyMYn

[Timo]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('StarvingLion', 'T')he House of Saud is Collapsing

“Saudi Arabia plans $27bn in bond issues”

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e9e197fe ... z3hzfNyMYn

[Subjectivist]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Timo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('StarvingLion', 'T')he House of Saud is Collapsing

“Saudi Arabia plans $27bn in bond issues”

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e9e197fe ... z3hzfNyMYn

[ROCKMAN]

pstarr - Are you saying N Sea production will decline as fast or faster then it increased? Is that what you mean by plumit? Be a dear on ost the N Sea oil production curve so we can all see it. BTW from 2 days ago:


Oil & Gas
North Sea production expected to rise to highest level next month
Industry news . Written by Energy reporter - 07/08/2015 2:42 pm

North Sea oil production will rise to its highest level so far this year in September, up 5.6 percent on August at 1.988 million barrels per day (bpd), according to loading schedules. These large volumes are likely to pressure North Sea price differentials and weigh on Brent crude futures LCOc1, which are trading below $50 a barrel due to a global supply glut

[Tanada]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'O')il & Gas
North Sea production expected to rise to highest level next month
Industry news . Written by Energy reporter - 07/08/2015 2:42 pm

North Sea oil production will rise to its highest level so far this year in September, up 5.6 percent on August at 1.988 million barrels per day (bpd), according to loading schedules. These large volumes are likely to pressure North Sea price differentials and weigh on Brent crude futures LCOc1, which are trading below $50 a barrel due to a global supply glut

[ROCKMAN]

T- But it got your attention, eh? LOL. Back to the point: symmetric bell shaped curves. It took UK N Sea production 9 years to go from zero to more than 2.6 million bopd. It then took 16 years to fall from 2.6 million bopd to around 1 million bopd. The current projection pegs it at 500k bopd by 2020.

So again back to the original topic: symmetric vs asymmetric bell shaped curves. Or cliff vs non-cliff. So 9 years to go from zero to 2.6 million bopd and a projected 21 years to drop but only to 500k bopd. That is not a “cliff”. In fact, it’s far from even being symmetric. And so again I won’t guess what the global oil production curve plot would be looking back in 30 or 40 years. But it won’t be sysmetric and it certainly won’t be a “cliff”. The closest we may see to such symmetry might be the US shale trends but given the many thousands of low rate strippers it won’t be symmetric either.