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THE Detroit Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Cloud9 » Mon 31 Dec 2012, 15:00:49

Detroit died because the globalists off shored our heavy industry. They made a lot of short term profits, but they hollowed out our heavy industry. When you see Bridgeport milling machines being sold for scrap you know the infrastructure has bone cancer.
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Fishman » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 13:07:49

"Technology and infrastructure leapfrogged Detroit and moved elsewhere. Such is the "Creative Destruction" of Capitalism"
NOPE, Democratic mayors, persistently elected caused the decline, just a variation of Blue State disease
Obama, the FUBAR presidency gets scraped off the boot
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 14:49:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Do not answer that the Unions were the fault.


The Unions were the fault.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', ' ')We can never compete with slave wages in slave countries that don't depend expensive infrastructure.


We competed quite successfully for a half a century following WWII. Its a lot harder to compete now when the average person in Detroit never graduates from high school and is either illiterate or reads at a grade school level.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', ' ')Something had to give. It gave.


Right-O. Obama gave Chrysler-Jeep to Fiat, and now FIAT is building a giant JEEP manufacturing plant in China while Obama and his minions cheer them on. That kind of "giving" is what has destroyed US manufacturing cities like Detroit. :roll:
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby The Practician » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 15:54:09

Goddammit, this is PEAK OIL Dot Frickin' com and you fools are lamenting that the death of heavy industry, specifically the bloody automobile industry, destroyed the American economy? Do you still not understand the crushing inevitability of all this?

JFC!
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 19:18:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The Practician', '.').. the death of heavy industry, specifically the bloody automobile industry.... Do you still not understand the crushing inevitability of all this?


When do you think all heavy industry, and specifically the bloody automobile industry, will die?

The US steel, chemical, and oil industries have actually been doing rather well recently, thanks to cheap natural gas produced by frakking and cheap electricity for industrial production resulting from the cheap natural gas.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The Practician', ' ')you fools...


Image
you da fool! :roll:
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 19:34:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The Practician', 'G')oddammit, this is PEAK OIL Dot Frickin' com and you fools are lamenting that the death of heavy industry, specifically the bloody automobile industry, destroyed the American economy? Do you still not understand the crushing inevitability of all this?

JFC!


FWIW, I agree.
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 19:49:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')FWIW, I agree.


Can someone please answer the question?

When do you think heavy industry, and specifically the bloody automobile industry, will die? Will it be dead by 2015? 2020? 2030? When exactly?

Keep in mind that when you look at the actual data, cheap NG has been helping US manufacturing rebound for several years now---the exact opposite of what you are predicting.

cheap NG triggers rebirth of US manufacturing, including chemicals, steel, etc.
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby The Practician » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 21:05:48

Wow, Plant, are you trying to tell me cheap energy in increasing ammounts is good for the economy? Who knew! Good thing the gas boom is going to last forever....

From that Gas industry puff piece you linked:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ere’s another industry you can add to that growing list of winners from the natural gas and fracking revolution: steel.

The sector continues to benefit from rising demand for tubular steel products used in pipelines, drilling equipment and rigs. At the same time, steel producers are enjoying the low price for natural gas by using it — much to coal’s chagrin — at new direct-reduced iron (DRI) plants. That’s providing big cost savings and expanded margins.


If that's not a classic example of unsustainable circle-jerk economics, I don't know what is.
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 02 Jan 2013, 23:09:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The Practician', 'W')ow, Plant, are you trying to tell me cheap energy in increasing ammounts is good for the economy? Who knew!


If you are changing your tune and you now accept that cheap energy is good for manufacturing, and NG is cheap energy, then why are you claiming manufacturing is dead?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The Practician', 'G')ood thing the gas boom is going to last forever.....


The gas boom doesn't have to last "forever' to have a significant impact on manufacturing and on the US economy. The entire "oil age" has only been around for 150 years, and look how the world has changed since the first oil well was drilled in 1859. Obama claims we have 100 years of NG----and there are still a heck of a lot of basins to explore.


--------------

I'm still waiting for you to answer my question----you said heavy industry, and specifically the bloody automobile industry, are about to die. When will this happen, in your opinion? Will it be dead by 2015? 2020? 2030? When exactly? :roll:
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 02:20:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', ' ')Obama claims we have 100 years of NG----and there are still a heck of a lot of basins to explore.
Can't disagree with O
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 02:30:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'O')bama gave Chrysler-Jeep to Fiat, and now FIAT is building a giant JEEP manufacturing plant in China while Obama and his minions cheer them on.
So, should he have just let Chrysler die a natural death, or bailed it out (actually didn't Bush do that?) and given it to some US corporatocracy?
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 05:13:37

Obama did it. I don't know what it is but Obama did it. 8O
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby sparky » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 08:19:18

.
actually , beside the numerous ghost towns , there is quite a lot of cities which have deperished.

a curious example is Rome , it went from an imperial metropolis of ~1 million to a few thousands mining the mountains of marble for the next 800 years , then a very comfortable living as the papal city
and now the taxpayer funded capital of a major state
next century , something else ..... talk about survival
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Cloud9 » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 10:52:37

It is interesting when you think about it. Religion was the fall back social structure when the imperial state failed. Those 800 years were not all wine and roses. The Vandals gave us a new word. Edward Gibbon is a great read.
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Lore » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 11:04:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sparky', '.')
actually , beside the numerous ghost towns , there is quite a lot of cities which have deperished.

a curious example is Rome , it went from an imperial metropolis of ~1 million to a few thousands mining the mountains of marble for the next 800 years , then a very comfortable living as the papal city
and now the taxpayer funded capital of a major state
next century , something else ..... talk about survival


Next century, a few thousand ghosts.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby Pops » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 13:42:04

Man, PO.com has come to quite a pass when not one subject can be brought up without it instantly degrading into a partisan rantfest. No wonder there is little participation here.

Anyway, I'll vote for containerized shipping and computer networks.

Capital has from day one arbitraged labor - paying less for labor than the labor produced is the definition of profit. America was founded by capitalists exporting labor to exploit the resources here. The New England mills were imported from Olde England before they were exported to the south until they were outsourced to Asia.

It took containerized shipping to reduce the price of transport to a level that allowed capital to access overseas labor and it took computer networks to enable real-time logistics control on the other side of the world.

Geographic specialization is the logical outgrowth of cheap energy.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby The Practician » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 14:09:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')
I'm still waiting for you to answer my question----you said heavy industry, and specifically the bloody automobile industry, are about to die. When will this happen, in your opinion? Will it be dead by 2015? 2020? 2030? When exactly? :roll:


No, I never said that, you just want to believe I am some fast crash doomer who thinks the world is going to come to a crashing halt next tuesday, which is not true. I said the death of heavy industry was INEVITABLE, Not imminent.

The point, willfully ignored by you, is that knowing what we do about the importance of energy to economic activity, crying about the off shoring of auto industry jobs is pointless. that sort of industry has no future, it's goddamn entropy incarnate. As to when it will die, it will die slowly, in lockstep with the decline of the infrastructure and way of life that supports it. I would expect it to be little more than a shell of it's current form by about 2050 or so, but I am also totally pulling that number out of my ass.

As to when exactly wasting as much energy as we can and calling it an economy will end....I'm not sure. I'm not even sure what the end of it will look like, or if there will even be a easy to define "moment" where we will be able to say that was when "it" happened. To be honest, I think we will continue trying to push this sort of economy far farther than it makes any rational sense to, increasing inequality, human misery, and environmental degradation along the way.

Horray for a 100 years of Natural Gas!
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Re: Detroit : No way to shrink a city

Unread postby dolanbaker » Thu 03 Jan 2013, 14:25:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nyway, I'll vote for containerized shipping and computer networks.

Yes, that makes sense, with containerization, transport costs both in labour and fuel can be brought down to the absolute minimum if you abandon JIT. I expect that many mass produced goods will remain "global" in the sense that they'll be manufactured where the materials, labour and fuel are cheapest. For western cities to compete in the future for jobs, they'll need to start adopting some of the "low cost of living" attributes that many Asian cities have now, for example having mixed zoning or cheap mass transit systems between high density housing & industrial areas.
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