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Why The Drought Is Going To End

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby peeker01 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 20:06:39

Repeat after me......IT IS A ONE YEAR DROUGHT......
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby AgentR11 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 20:08:12

In order to be a one year drought, it has to stop now.
There is not enough rain in the forecasts, not even the one you cited, to end the drought.

Therefore, this is greater than a one year drought.

You remain, as usual..... wrong.
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby peeker01 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 20:18:51

You really sound ridiculous Agent. OK, let's call it a 100 yr drought like the last guy suggested.
Want to make a little side-bet on when it ends?
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby AgentR11 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 20:27:26

My bet for Texas to have less than 25% listed as exceptional drought is...

Dang, I hate to even think this way, but...

August 2012.
I don't wager money though, its immoral. I don't even buy lottery tickets. But we can wager the title of Grand Prognosticator if you wish.
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby peeker01 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 20:31:44

That's it, use your brain, it's weather, not climate......drought will end in the next 12 months.
I'm good with that. Now go clean up your backyard!
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby AgentR11 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 20:37:22

Whats really annoying is how optimistic that guess is. In order for it to happen, I must get an El Nino spring, or a *big* tropical system in July or August...
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby peeker01 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 21:09:15

Yea, it's hard to fit in around here if you are optimistic. How about we say this......the drought will end by Aug 2012, but it will be acid rain, and 40% of the Texas population will die in agony!!!!!!
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby Satori » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 21:40:58

if peak oil don't get ya
maybe this will

http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/arch ... -is-coming
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby peeker01 » Fri 16 Sep 2011, 23:21:04

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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby shenglu » Sun 23 Oct 2011, 21:12:15

In order to break the drought, and then to note that the normal fall weather patterns can not provide so much rain can not figure out how much rain.
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Re: Why The Drought Is Going To End

Unread postby scas » Tue 25 Oct 2011, 15:53:05

The thing about drought is...just like in East Africa, the drought frequency, intensity, and duration increases over decades especially as industrial emissions trap more heat energy. As the Arctic melts down the ITCZ will move polewards leading to a drying of the entire equator, sort of what we're seeing now. You get a few years of drought, some rain, then more drought, some floods, then more drought and its the Dust Bowl all over again. Eventually its becomes the Sahara.

So Texas may get a few wet years? Great. Be happy about it, All the serious climate science shows a heating and drying along the equator and especially in Texas even in a moderate emission scenario. Looking at the various drought and rainfall projections from NCAR and Hadley, the equator will be uninhabitable (for food growth) by mid-century.
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