by Outcast_Searcher » Mon 25 Jul 2011, 21:57:44
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '
')But, you are arguing that oil does not act like all other commodities where more supply brings down price, you say oil price is high even though the market is supplied and more supply would not change the price.
Tell me you think supply and demand applies to every traded commodity except oil?
Pops, actually, demand for petroleum based products, such as gasoline and heating oil is highly inelastic. People NEED to get to work and the grocery store, and will pay more for gasoline and to heat their homes (and less for other things) FAR more readily than for increases in other commodities.
For example: grains -- they can buy other types of food (substitution). PM's - they can do without, or with less jewelry, or older computers.
Especially for folks who don't live in metro areas with effective mass transit -- there basically ARE no reasonable substitutes. Plus Americans, by their attitude, are largely addicted to their cars. Thus, a HIGHLY inelastic demand for crude oil based products.
I am NOT stating that this magicially repeals the laws of supply and demand. I AM saying, however, that until prices get extreme, it greatly skews things since people will buy to maintain their lifestyle. (Whine they will. Change they won't).
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.