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No more insights to be gleaned

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby Ibon » Fri 27 May 2011, 08:02:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
') although coffee did go up another 11% couple days ago.. one of the big brands up a whopping 50%.


That is good news. We are planting 1500 shade grown coffee seedlings this week at 1800m, the sweet spot for growing premium high elevation coffee.
Patiently awaiting the pathogens. Our resiliency resembles an invasive weed. We are the Kudzu Ape
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Fri 27 May 2011, 08:38:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'W')hen is the last time you really read a worthwhile post on this site or any other peak oil related site? Let's include the Oil Drum and JMG's Archdruid site as well.
...
Time to move on?


well, the Oil Drum is The Oil Drum. there's nothing like watching real geologists engage in shop-talk.

i agree, while there's some good 'prep' threads here, e.g. Loki's thread about the rocket-stove etc., what could be ... isn't here.

for example, i have 3 Rhode Island Red hens. I would like to combine them with a Salmon Favorelle Rooster.

Image

so i would like to get info on that combination of personalities, and also on the breeding implications.

ideally, i would like to get that info here - if this place is about Peak Oil, it's about prepping for Peak Oil ... one would think.

but the prep info here is not voluminous.


what is voluminous here is Mos's trolling & attempt to denigrate other members who don't subscribe to Mos-approved conspiracy theories (which usually coincide with Official US Government Conspiracy Theories).

so this website is more of an entertaining place where you come on coffee breaks to argue about what year Peak Oil occurred, or to marvel at Mos' 7-post-a-day thread rate ... which of course makes one wonder if Mos is paid to post here.

so, between watching such side shows, the real prep info & conversations which ought to occur here are few & far between.


it might help to have a separate "garden survival/ hunting/ serious prep" group of forum categories. "planning for the future" is good, but there are many many details that go into full-tilt prepping.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby sparky » Fri 27 May 2011, 08:48:26

.
One more insight as far as possible forecast goes

Most U.S. citizens think of alternative society as a mix of Mad Max and the old West
with a bit of "the little house on the prairie "

get real ,
the main chance is rather made in U.S. A. North Korea
work camps , great leader , people justice and people Army

No government will ever give up its power ...ever
they are ready to any sacrifice for their constituents to bear so they remain in power
state of emergency , martial law , military necessity .. whatever

The state will die AFTER the last potential taxpayer has breathed its last
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby Revi » Fri 27 May 2011, 09:28:49

I was thinking that most media these days is like the loudspeaker on the Titanic. The real decisions were being made in the pilot house and it was to get the rich off in the lifeboats and let the ship sink. That was never broadcast to the public. They just waited on the tilting decks for the rescue that never came. So it is nowadays. I think this is one of the few places where we can get a different viewpoint. It isn't a political viewpoint, nor is it a religious one, so it may be as close to objective reality as we can find.

That's why I stay on Peak Oil.com. It is one of the few places I can stand. I like my other websites, such as Maple Trader which deal with one aspect of my life, but this site is the best one to talk about the world through the peak oil perspective.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby SpockLives » Fri 27 May 2011, 09:41:50

This is one of the most fascinating threads I have found since joining this website.

Effectively, it appears to boil down to, "We now know everything, there is nothing new left to examine on the topic, and therefore will relax, secure in our certitude."

I myself like Legrand's take on it better, "The more I live, the more I learn. The more I learn, the more I realize, the less I know".

Certainly peak oil hasn't stood still over the past half decade, and certainly I react differently to it now than I did back then (USA Today front page article is where my interests start).
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby efarmer » Fri 27 May 2011, 11:07:00

pedalling_faster, please keep us informed of the chicken breeding experiment. Will it yield chicken
that tastes like salmon? I am working on Asian Carp here on the Missouri River, if I can get them to mate with catfish, I am going to have big ass catfish that jump right in your boat every time you gun the motor in the sloughs. If that works I am going to see if I can come up with a cross between Pops and Pstarr so I can surround myself with pragmatic doomer optimists.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby Pops » Fri 27 May 2011, 11:20:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SpockLives', 'E')ffectively, it appears to boil down to, "We now know everything, there is nothing new left to examine on the topic, and therefore will relax, secure in our certitude."

I myself like Legrand's take on it better, "The more I live, the more I learn. The more I learn, the more I realize, the less I know".


I'd suggest you reread the thread. The tilt of most posts was the opposite of "We know everything" - including Ibon's "I think it is really hard for a lot of folks to accept the path forward being shrouded in mist."

It's pretty obvious you're not "Short" on preconceived certitudes of your own, Legrand or no.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby Asterisk » Fri 27 May 2011, 11:48:26

Depends on how up you wish to be on current events regarding PO, GW, Arctic Melt, or whatever else your interests may be (politics, geoengineering, radiation, etc. etc. etc.)

I find that there is no "news" site that can provide the degree of insight you can get on this board.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 27 May 2011, 14:32:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SpockLives', 'E')ffectively, it appears to boil down to, "We now know everything, there is nothing new left to examine on the topic, and therefore will relax, secure in our certitude."

I myself like Legrand's take on it better, "The more I live, the more I learn. The more I learn, the more I realize, the less I know".


I'd suggest you reread the thread. The tilt of most posts was the opposite of "We know everything" - including Ibon's "I think it is really hard for a lot of folks to accept the path forward being shrouded in mist."

It's pretty obvious you're not "Short" on preconceived certitudes of your own, Legrand or no.


A little rough on a relative newbee? He's not flaming anyone.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Fri 27 May 2011, 15:45:48

There are always new insights to be gleaned.

I started out on Oil Drum long before coming here. I established my peakoil doomstead in NorthTexas. I set the estate up like a bunker so it can survive 20 years without outside input.

While still at Oil Drum I read an article in Energy Bulletin about the Methane Time Bomb.

Then it was just a future possibility, then it started looking more like a probability, then later a far off certainty.

That was when I decided to relocate my doomstead to northern Saskatchewan. There I gleaned a new insight, there is no heavy construction equipment or laborers unless you bring them in yourself. I wasn't grasping the realities of the frontier.

By this time the knowledge base concerning the methane had expanded and circumstances were changing. Methane was already releasing, then increasing and accelerating. The time frame had shrunk. There was no longer any point in leaving North Texas. We decided we would meet our end here.

Just a few years and we were older and there was no point in changing horses.

Then Fukushima happened. It had never occured to me what would happen to nuclear power stations after the collapse. I didn't even know where the closest nuclear plant was.

Turns out we are downwind from Comanche Peak. Not immediately downwind, but if you know anything about North Texas, the area between Comanche Peak and where I am located is where Thunderstorm systems are born. We get the first rain here.

Definitely a new insight. But like I said we are old and ready to meet our end here when it comes.

Just making the point, it's the unknown unkowns. The things you don't know you don't know.

And circumstances are rapidly changing. This website is where you find out about the things you didn't know you didn't know.
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The level of injustice and wrong you endure is directly determined by how much you quietly submit to. Even to the point of extinction.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby SpockLives » Fri 27 May 2011, 18:50:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '
')I'd suggest you reread the thread. The tilt of most posts was the opposite of "We know everything" - including Ibon's "I think it is really hard for a lot of folks to accept the path forward being shrouded in mist."

It's pretty obvious you're not "Short" on preconceived certitudes of your own, Legrand or no.


From the original poster, Ibon. I present the title of the thread.

"No more insights to be gleaned."

From the original post in this thread, I present Ibon:

"I learned everything useful about peak oil 6 years ago and already at that time made adjustments to my lifestyle."

"I faithfully visit this site once a day. I rarely any longer contribute posts. And I rarely find a thread thats engaging.It's all been said."

Ibon in another post:

"Remember the initial insight when you first got the big picture? So now what? Are you going to keep zerohedging and peakoiling and greenwizarding your way everyday through life flipping from site to site reconfirming again and again what you already know? "

Sixstrings:

"So yes I guess the OP is right and there aren't any new insights to be gained.. we're sort of in a cooperative "seeing where the chips fall" phase."

Pedalling Faster?

"so this website is more of an entertaining place where you come on coffee breaks to argue about what year Peak Oil occurred, or to marvel at Mos' 7-post-a-day thread rate ... which of course makes one wonder if Mos is paid to post here. so, between watching such side shows, the real prep info & conversations which ought to occur here are few & far between."

So after rereading the thread, I will allow my original post to stand as is. If I were to modify it, I might mention a subtext of pretty strong opinions, the conflict of which leads to "entertainment" for some.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby davep » Fri 27 May 2011, 18:55:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 's')o this website is more of an entertaining place where you come on coffee breaks to argue about what year Peak Oil occurred, or to marvel at Mos' 7-post-a-day thread rate ...


Wow, you're pretty on the ball for a newbie. Welcome back Shorty.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby SpockLives » Fri 27 May 2011, 19:02:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', '
')And circumstances are rapidly changing. This website is where you find out about the things you didn't know you didn't know.


Circumstances are always rapidly changing, this is the world we live in. And if those changes were really related to the quality of the Obama administration, politics in general, global warming, industrial accidents in Japan, with Arctic sea ice and super typhoons for good measure, this might be just the place to watch two groups duke it out without anyone ever admitting they might learn something from the opposing viewpoint.

I am interested in peak oil. While this thread was fascinating for a different reason, my interest in unrelated topics is not as strong.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Fri 27 May 2011, 20:56:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('efarmer', 'p')edalling_faster, please keep us informed of the chicken breeding experiment. Will it yield chicken
that tastes like salmon? I am working on Asian Carp here on the Missouri River, if I can get them to mate with catfish, I am going to have big ass catfish that jump right in your boat every time you gun the motor in the sloughs. If that works I am going to see if I can come up with a cross between Pops and Pstarr so I can surround myself with pragmatic doomer optimists.


well, i haven't gotten the rooster yet.

i will be travelling a little this summer, and was planning on taking the chickens with me. with chickens, that is practical - as long as they are fed, they are happy & not too noisy, especially if you put the proverbial blanket over their cage.

today i took them out to their coop (which needs to be predator-proofed) and let them learn to eat carpenter ants. by the end, they were scratching through the straw picking out the ants, which is exactly what i wanted them to learn how to do.

about 50% of the ants ran for their lives. the other became chicken protein.

one of the 3 birds could be called a runt. they were hatched about March 28 or 29. the smallest one is actually the most adept flier. i was wondering if it would be dumb to mate her (because she's small) but i figure the flying ability is worth replicating.

i have been teaching them how to swim too. the biggest one is very comfortable floating, but can't do a water take-off very well. the littlest one can do a very quick, very proficient water take-off.


once i get the rooster, i will probably need to use a pet-sitter or board them in a neighbor's coop when i go out of town.

i don't think it will work too well having a rooster in a Motel 6. they start crowing about 1/2 hour before dawn, an hour before sunrise. can you imagine being at Motel 6 and having the room next door having a rooster crowing ?

"excuse me sir, we have a no-rooster policy."

"oh, excuse me, i didn't know. well, i'll just be here one night anyway." 8)
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby Expatriot » Sat 28 May 2011, 10:33:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'W')hen is the last time you really read a worthwhile post on this site or any other peak oil related site?

Time to move on?


Already have! This is like the old neighborhood for me. I pop in now and again to see how folks are doing. You see the folks who decided to stay after HS - (Ludi, Pops, Carlhole, etc) - and some new folks who have moved in and their yards look like crap (OF2 and the rest of the cornutrolls). Then there are the folks who always threaten to move away, stay at a motel for a month, but then move back in (Mos :P ) I'm just doing a drive by here.

For whatever reason people find a message board, they stay because it suits their need for a daily dose of interaction. The reasons are a combination of attraction to the main theme and like/dislike of the company.

Like the OP, I found this board, stayed for some time, but then decided it didn't fit my need for the dose. I'd guess that most who have moved on have reasons why. Once you discover PO and become a convert, it frames your life thereafter, so it would make sense to get your daily dose from a board that has others of the same bent.

Problem is, the same "bent" here is not ever shared completely.

Go to a Celtics board, you get Celtics fans.
Go to a Gardening board, you get gardeners.

Go to a Peak Oil Board - and 1/4 of the posts are by trolls who contaminate every relevant thread with smegma. Who would want to be part of a Celtics board where every 4th post is ripping the team?

Further, after the core issue you get major divergence. You've got your 911 division, your global warming division, and even some sheeplish left/right bickering.

Finally, you've got a half dozen or so dedicated posters who write the same damn thing every time. You could literally go back and pull up the last 200 threads on climate change and the same folks will be saying the same things in every thread.

And the killer - there has been little change in 5 years now on the PO front - no change in public perception, not much change in data availability, insufficient change in price. So that shifts discussion to OT stuff.

Perhaps this place will pick up again if something breaks in the world and PO gets on the public radar. I don't see it. Just more wars.
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby vision-master » Sat 28 May 2011, 10:41:18

The E-cat is gonna change everything, where ya been, posting on taht teabagger 4um or what? :lol:
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby efarmer » Sat 28 May 2011, 11:36:12

Sounds like an audacious plan pedalling_faster! Don't sweat the hens in your Motel 6 room,
just sign in as the Easter Bunny and they will understand that your job requires you to
be intimate with chickens.

E :~)
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Re: No more insights to be gleaned

Unread postby dorlomin » Sun 29 May 2011, 07:42:32

"Punctuated equilibrium" there is a good phrase to describe how we gain insights into the post peak world. Short periods of rapid development followed by longer periods of stasis. We are sort of muddling around in a post Lehman\ bailout period where not a lot has happened by comparison. We await either the slow death of the QEII\QEIII or the next grey\ black swan. Marking time getting on with our lives and accumulating information at a slower rate. Fukushima and Deepwater Horizon obviously stand out as major events in the energy world but the effects of both are yet to be felt throughout society.
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