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Has anyone noticed this ad?

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Re: Has anyone noticed?

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Mon 31 Jan 2011, 02:56:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('IsThisRealLife', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he sales figures are out for December----Nissan sold 19 Leafs, and Chevy sold 326 Volts.
Sweet! Just another 300,000,000 --three hundred million, ya'll-- to replace the entire American fleet.

They're subsidized at $10,000 a pop. That will be $3,000,000,000,000 --three trillion.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Maddog78 » Mon 31 Jan 2011, 11:02:32

Lot of insults in this thread. Sad.
You like crotch rockets. Some others don't. We're all out in the wind.
I dislike Harley riders with 'tude about the same as crotch riders with 'tude.
It's so unnecessary.


I bought my first Harley in 1979 when they were very unfashionable.
I have easily ridden more than 150,000 miles since then, some alone and some with MC's.
I know what you are saying about these RUB's hanging around the dealers but not every Harley rider is one.
In fact I haven't been in a dealership since I bought my Vrod in '03.
If it isn't something I can't do myself I support my local independent shop.
Some of us old school riders are still around.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Mon 31 Jan 2011, 20:41:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Maddog78', 'L')ot of insults in this thread. Sad.
You like crotch rockets. Some others don't. We're all out in the wind.
I dislike Harley riders with 'tude about the same as crotch riders with 'tude.
It's so unnecessary.


It is, but Vision was getting all cranky with his touring buddies and pretending that Hardley riders are somehow different. Slower maybe, but not really different. :-D

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('maddog', '
')I know what you are saying about these RUB's hanging around the dealers but not every Harley rider is one. Some of us old school riders are still around.


Yup. The differences though are really amazing. I haven't been in a Hardley shop since the 80's when they sold Kawasakis and I was buying those. So some 20+ years later I'm standing there, waiting for the Ulysses to be wheeled out, and there were these guys who looked like they just stepped off a golf course photo shoot, and then there were the hairy guys, driving some 50k mile machine which was obviously used all the time, smoking cigarettes and laughing it up out in the parking lot.

For all my beefing about Hardleys, I only have one solid irritation with them, and it's their 10mph under the speed limit impromptu parades on local canyon roads. Yeah, I know there is a good bar at the other end of the canyon but for cryin out loud do we have to WALK there?
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby rangerone314 » Mon 31 Jan 2011, 21:24:08

Maybe Xeno can tackle this one, but assuming there is enough lithium, etc to make enough batteries for the cars needed to be replaced, why would people be worried about future supply running out?

Even if you ran the supply down to where you had to use ocean water, couldn't you just recycle the lithium in the batteries as their useful life ends?
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take

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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Mon 31 Jan 2011, 21:39:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', 'M')aybe Xeno can tackle this one, but assuming there is enough lithium, etc to make enough batteries for the cars needed to be replaced, why would people be worried about future supply running out?


Resource depletion, be it of oil, iron ore, or hydrogen on the sun is a completely reasonable concern.

Recycling old scarcity arguments for no other purpose than to scare the uninformed is not.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', '
')Even if you ran the supply down to where you had to use ocean water, couldn't you just recycle the lithium in the batteries as their useful life ends?


Humans can recycle all sorts of things, as well as create things from other things to replace things which might be scarce! Our ability to manipulate the form of a thing is much more important than any one particular commodity.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Mon 31 Jan 2011, 22:10:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'H')ardley riders are somehow different. Slower maybe, but not really different. :-D
Are those the ones that go "putt-putt-putt" ?
When you say "slow" are you referring to velocity or intelligence ?
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Mon 31 Jan 2011, 22:48:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', '
')When you say "slow" are you referring to velocity or intelligence ?


Coming down a canyon with marked 25mph corners, I get behind 3 Hardley riders. Screaming into the corners at 15 mph, one leg out like Scotty Parker on the dirt track but never quite touching the ground, they weave from double yellow to white line, never quite approaching 2 degree's of lean angle...gunning their open piped behemoths down the following short straightaway, slamming on the brakes 400 yards earlier than necessary to achieve the necessary underwhelming cornering speed....I refuse to pass because motorcyclists who can't hold their line are dangerous, no ifs, ands or buts about it.

We get passed by 2 bicyclists.

It was the most hysterical thing I've ever seen. These string beans, legs ablur, must have been going through those corners 20mph faster than the Hardleys, who, in a fit of pique, passed them on the next short straight only to be overtaken in the next series of corners which didn't happen to have any short straights for the Hardleys to do it again.

True story. I was laughing so hard I nearly fell off my motorcycle.

Hardley guys are just fine, people who ride performance machines just like giving them crap is all.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Fri 18 Feb 2011, 07:34:51

OK now that you guys have had your biker tale interlude back to the EVs.
Xeno have you seen this report on EVs and the required infrastructure to charge them?
http://www.accenture.com/SiteCollection ... e_game.pdf
Pretty up to date and a lot of interesting points. From the conclusion section.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hile there are still many lessons to be learned, the early results from the pilots indicate that the technology works. However, three key challenges remain.
Cost
The technology is still too expensive for consumers to purchase vehicles at scale and for a return on infrastructure investment to be made.
Scale
While the technologies function in an isolated environment, there are too few PEVs on the road to robustly test the technologies.
Control
Managed charging will be fundamental to protecting the grid and to permit managed charging, consumers will need to be incentivized to plug in to the grid whenever parked. 3. Creative mechanisms will be critical to overcoming key challenges related to technology cost, scale and
grid management. Industry players need to be proactive about market developments to stimulate demand and be creative in the mechanisms that they develop to support mass commercialization of PEVs—this end goal will then further help to overcome the barriers
previously identified. For example, consumer uptake will be limited by the current cost of PEVs, at a significant premium to conventional vehicles, but if the cost of the PEV is spread out over the vehicle’s lifetime, higher consumer uptake is likely.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Fri 18 Feb 2011, 13:02:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'c')onsumers will need to be incentivized to plug in to the grid whenever parked.
Brownouts would incentivize them.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')M recently announced that they are doubling their 2012 production targets, taking them to 45,000. This increase is due to the high level of consumer interest already expressed, with more than 25,000 consumers adding their names to the list of “Volt enthusiasts.”
Nissan, on the other hand, has been even more optimistic in its target, aiming to produce 50,000 vehicles in the first year of production.
Government subsidies start to add up. Tea, anyone?
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Fri 18 Feb 2011, 15:16:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'O')K now that you guys have had your biker tale interlude back to the EVs.
Xeno have you seen this report on EVs and the required infrastructure to charge them?
http://www.accenture.com/SiteCollection ... e_game.pdf
Pretty up to date and a lot of interesting points.


No I haven't, but thanks for the pointer. I'll check it out this evening.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
')From the conclusion section.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hile there are still many lessons to
be learned, the early results from the
pilots indicate that the technology
works. However, three key challenges
remain.



Cool. Nothing insurmountable and it works. Pretty reasonable. I'll check the particulars this evening.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Fri 18 Feb 2011, 18:37:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'N')o I haven't, but thanks for the pointer. I'll check it out this evening. Cool. Nothing insurmountable and it works. Pretty reasonable. I'll check the particulars this evening.

Ahem! A challenge that remains May or may Not be insurmountable. Time will tell.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Fri 18 Feb 2011, 20:19:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
')Ahem! A challenge that remains May or may Not be insurmountable. Time will tell.


Sure, VT, but seriously, did you really read that much of a CHALLENGE into those conclusions?

"Creative mechanisms will be critical to overcoming key challenges related to technology cost, scale and grid management."

Creative mechanisms.....cost, scale and management?

I'll bet you and I could come up with mechanisms to solve all those three of those in a 30 minute BS session. A little time, some basic subsidies to handle the transition from both the consumer and utility end, and presto, EV rollout for some chunk of American consumers over the next decade, certainly enough to put a dent in American crude consumption, and presto....just that much more demand destruction for America...
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 19 Feb 2011, 10:42:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
')Ahem! A challenge that remains May or may Not be insurmountable. Time will tell.


Sure, VT, but seriously, did you really read that much of a CHALLENGE into those conclusions?

"Creative mechanisms will be critical to overcoming key challenges related to technology cost, scale and grid management."

Creative mechanisms.....cost, scale and management?

I'll bet you and I could come up with mechanisms to solve all those three of those in a 30 minute BS session. A little time, some basic subsidies to handle the transition from both the consumer and utility end, and presto, EV rollout for some chunk of American consumers over the next decade, certainly enough to put a dent in American crude consumption, and presto....just that much more demand destruction for America...

If you want that "some chunk" to be more then a tiny sliver it will take more then some BS sessions to solve it. If electric cars are to both get away from oil use and coal use (merely switching from one to the other accomplishes nothing) then we have to not only replace every thirty year old nuclear power plant as they are finally shut down. (that's all of them by the way) but must build new non coal plants insufficient quantities to expand grid capabilities equal to the total number of electric cars and their cumulative KWH consumption.
Fooling around with smart meters and incentivize pricing so that people charge their PEV only at night can only accomplish a drop in the bucket compared to the real energy demands of a PEV fleet that replaces a significant amount of the 300 million ICE cars on the road today. If you can't build these plants which is most likely the case there is NO point in building the PEVs.
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Re: Has anyone noticed this ad?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Sat 19 Feb 2011, 11:13:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
')If you want that "some chunk" to be more then a tiny sliver it will take more then some BS sessions to solve it. If electric cars are to both get away from oil use and coal use (merely switching from one to the other accomplishes nothing) then we have to not only replace every thirty year old nuclear power plant as they are finally shut down.


See...peakers always want to expand the base concept which has already failed (peak oil) into an all around energy issue. I ain't buying. Peak oil is one thing, peak all the other stuff something else.

We start with the basics. Which one are we most afraid about causing problems first? Peak oil. Cool. So using anything else to use less crude is a good thing right outta the box. Doesn't even matter WHAT we use, as long as it cuts crude usage.

That 30 minute BS sessions between you and me then can focus on how much of those other things we would rather use, and of course, we would throw in some nukes and wind and PV's on all new residential construction, this conversation isn't all about using the plentiful coal and natural gas available to use exclusively.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
')Fooling around with smart meters and incentivize pricing so that people charge their PEV only at night can only accomplish a drop in the bucket compared to the real energy demands of a PEV fleet that replaces a significant amount of the 300 million ICE cars on the road today. If you can't build these plants which is most likely the case there is NO point in building the PEVs.


Too late. The solution to peak oil is already here, and some are already availing themselves of it. Can we argue that it's pricey? Sure. A cluster of EV's might cause local utility issues? Sure. But we DON'T get to pretend that they haven't already arrived, each of them a little peak oil solution, and when/if peak oil effects do show up, the demand for them will be higher and more and more people will notice. Give that economic stimuli a decade or two and we'll be exactly where we want to be.
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