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THE Commuting Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Telecommute - forget it !

Unread postby Mishka » Sat 27 Nov 2004, 23:19:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lowem', 'E')xactly. Sometimes I wonder why I have to drag my ass to the office every day (I'm a Java/J2EE software engineer). It's about 20 km (12 miles) away, about half an hour's drive in good conditions, a little longer if the roads are congested.

Today, I am at home for awhile, on medical leave. I can access the company servers via VPN; the software makes my home PC appear as a node on the office network. The upstream is a bit slow, but all they have to do is to pay a little bit for more bandwidth and we'd be all set.

I can reach across the network, deploy applications, debug, trigger an automated build, transfer files back and forth. I can check my email, I can send and receive instant messages, I can, if I want to, chat on Skype with my colleagues in the China and USA offices.

About the only thing missing is the "enormous" 100 Mbps bandwidth on the local area network, but if you consider that the office rental is in the 5-digit range and 4-digits will get us a very, very good high-speed link ...

Okay, some people talk about the "human factor" and all that, yeah, maybe, but since when did we geeks need to worry about "human factor" :twisted: - well, perhaps a smaller office for us to do F2F meetings once a week or two, with a limited number of cubicles and seats.


Lovely idea. Many people have been dreaming about Telecommuting arriving - and now it finally has. So now you can do your work from your lovely country home 100 miles from the office - Fantastic!
But what we forgot is that someone else can also do YOUR job from Bangalor, 10000 miles from your office - at a sixth of what you get paid (or did get paid) - DOH!
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Unread postby Bytesmiths » Sun 28 Nov 2004, 03:38:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bentstrider', 'I')f you could find a diesel, then that wouldn't be a problem.
Biodiesel is easier to make then you think.
My spouse's 1985 Jetta diesel gets over 200 miles per gallon of fossil fuel. That's 40 mpg on biodiesel, which consists of 20% methyl radicals that currently are made from natural gas, but could be made from vegetable byproducts in the future.

The other 80% is waste vegetable oil. Of course, the growing of the plants consumed fossil fuel, and in a "Mad Max" scenario, waste vegoil will no longer be free, but it's a heck of a good start.
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Unread postby gwmss15 » Sun 28 Nov 2004, 04:28:54

How to move people and food arond the country using the least amount of oil to do thats easy :


the answer is simple USE a Electic Powered TRAIN to move the people and the food this has been done before all over the world

SO STOP DRIVING and USE A TRAIN OR TRAM and you will get you oil saving you need to save the worl
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Unread postby Bytesmiths » Sun 28 Nov 2004, 12:12:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gwmss15', 'U')SE a Electic Powered TRAIN to move the people and the food this has been done before all over the world

SO STOP DRIVING and USE A TRAIN OR TRAM and you will get you oil saving you need to save the worl
Boy, would you have the US trucking industry all over you!

Also, look at all the high-paying jobs that would go away. A truck employs one driver per 50 tons; a train has a crew of three and carries 400 times as much.

I'm not saying this is a <b>good</b> argument, but you can bet it would be played for all it is worth should someone seriously raise using more rail transport.

(In another thread, a neophyte said all we needed to do was develop hybrid trucks. Rail has roughly <b>TEN TIMES</b> the efficiency of highway trucks. I don't think any amount of improved truck efficiency -- short of getting rid of tires -- is going to close <b>THAT</b> gap!)
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Unread postby bentstrider » Mon 29 Nov 2004, 07:24:28

You got that right.
I recently acquired a Class A CDL here in CA.
Even though those trucks had big ass fuel tanks, that was only to compensate for the ass fuel economy they got.
7 whole mile per gallon.
The only reason I stopped trucking though was because of having ot deal with those scales and DOT.
Maybe I'll put in an application to BNSF, UP, CSX, Conrail, CN, or one of those big railroad companies.
Because for all intesive purposes, trains were whooping everyones ass, even before oil came to be.
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You thought you had a bad commute?

Unread postby big_rc » Wed 08 Dec 2004, 09:39:52

Another example of why Peak Oil is going to hit the US in the behind super hard. Check out some of these commutes. So much for simplification.

Commutes from hell
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I don't think of all the misery, but of all the beauty that still remains.--Anne Frank
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Unread postby gwmss15 » Wed 08 Dec 2004, 10:22:39

in victoria there are a few thoursan people that commute on a train from a small poluted town 250 KM from melbourne every day it take them about 2 and half hours ie they leave tralogon station at 5.05am and arrive melbourne around 8.35 am if its ontime and when this train pass my train it si normaly standing room they have 3 6 car trips in the morning to melbourne and 4 6 car trips back in the night

so long commute in australia is common i think the average is 60 mins but a lot do over 90mins each way mainly by train and tram
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Unread postby mgibbons19 » Wed 08 Dec 2004, 10:55:16

Ppl are foolish. When are they going to look at it and see that they simply cannot win playing by those rules?

Simply foolish. Maybe I can sell them a car.
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Long training commute just as gas prices soar

Unread postby tmazanec1 » Sat 05 Mar 2005, 17:44:43

Mar 14 - Apr 8 will feature big time commuting for me (not really doable by bus, with my schedule and the bus routes) :-( . Well, at least it will be over in a few weeks!
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Unread postby some_guy282 » Sat 05 Mar 2005, 18:11:20

Just curious, how many miles is the commute?
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Unread postby tmazanec1 » Sat 05 Mar 2005, 22:06:37

Not sure of the miles. To work I go from Maple Heights to Garfield Heights. During the training period I will move to Garfield Heights so work and errands are closer. But for the training it will be Maple Heights - Warrensville Heights - Shaker Heights - Cleveland Heights - East Cleveland and on to almost CWRU campus. Fortunately most of the route is one LONG street (I tend to get lost fairly easily).
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Unread postby gwmss15 » Sat 05 Mar 2005, 23:39:20

do you know if theres a train or tram service within 1 mile of the campus

also if there is a train station is there a feeder bus to it have you tried to ring up the private bus company that runs the bus routes in that area to get a timetable plus does your city have a metro hotline and website that can give you timetable and route info eg like www.metlinkmelbourne.com.au for my city or like www.transperth.wa.gov.au

give them a try to find out more before you resort to long taxi trips
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Unread postby tmazanec1 » Sun 06 Mar 2005, 10:23:49

I don't believe so. Also, I have to get to work ASAP from the training...no time for waiting for busses and transfers.
It is likely not much longer in milage than the trips I make to my aunt's house a few times a year. At least I only have to do it 20+ times (the plus is for "practice runs) and then it is on to actually LESS gas usage per month (except visiting my father...but I doubt that will add much)!
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Economics of long commutes

Unread postby jmacdaddio » Sun 15 May 2005, 02:11:26

I live in NJ just a few miles from where I work. I drive maybe 50 miles a week for commuting and maybe another 100 for personal use. I get gas twice a month, and sometimes only once in a month. Most other people I know get gas every fourth day or thereabouts.

About 10 yrs ago when I entered the work force I realized that lots of folks were commuting in to NYC and the northern NJ industrial and office park areas from as far away as the Pocono mountains in PA, Putnam County in NY, and Toms River at the Jersey Shore. Now since not everyone on this board is from NJ, those areas are approximately 75 miles due west, 50 miles north, and about 75 miles south of NYC. The decreased housing costs, lower property taxes, and hypothetical "quality of life" improvements made it worthwhile to live in those far-flung areas and drive well over an hour each way to a job.

Most folks who do the long drives are doing it for noble reasons - more room for kids to play, better schools, more house per dollar for growing families. I've resisted the temptation to do the same because when gas hits $5 a gallon in the US suddenly there will be a lot of folks who are desperate to ditch their homes in those brand-new exurban subdivisions, not to mention the Expeditions and Hummers sitting in the driveways, and I don't want to be one of them, not that I'd have an Expedition or Hummer in my driveway even if I did have a house in an exurban subdivision.

IMHO an economic system which makes it feasible for someone to own a massive home in a new subdivision and drive 70 miles each way for a middle management position in an office park is insane and I am sure others on this board feel this outrage. In a way we're all paying for it because their choice to use all that gasoline affects us all through global warming. When you add in the cost to US taxpayers to invade Iraq and maintain a far-flung military presence to keep the oil flowing, suddenly $5 gas sounds like a bargain.

My apologies for turning this post into a classic rant ... myself, I'll try not to gloat at all the long-haul commuters when gas prices start marching up.
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Unread postby nero » Sun 15 May 2005, 03:08:59

The price of gas has to go way up to make the cost of the commute prohibitive. Even at 5 dollars a gallon the price of a 150 mile round trip commute is only around 27 dollars per day (27.5MPG). With an office job in the city this will still be affordable. So people who have good jobs will still be able to afford to commute. It will still make sense to some to make that commute, 27 dollars a day translates into over 500 dollars a month on gasoline for the commute. That is about the equivalent of an extra hundred thousand dollars on your mortgage. So to make it economic to move to within easy public transit distances from work you have to find a comparable place close to the city that is less than 100,000 dollars more expensive than the track housing out in the sticks. I am not familiar with the housing market in NYC but that doesn't sound realistic.

5 dollar a gallon gas would have some significant economic effects but I don't think it would change suburban life. People could compensate quite alot simply by buying more fuel efficient cars. I believe Europe already experiences these prices and there are Europeans living in suburbs with long commutes.
Biofuels: The "What else we got to burn?" answer to peak oil.
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Unread postby some_guy282 » Sun 15 May 2005, 04:02:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', 'T')he price of gas has to go way up to make the cost of the commute prohibitive. Even at 5 dollars a gallon the price of a 150 mile round trip commute is only around 27 dollars per day (27.5MPG). With an office job in the city this will still be affordable. So people who have good jobs will still be able to afford to commute. It will still make sense to some to make that commute, 27 dollars a day translates into over 500 dollars a month on gasoline for the commute. That is about the equivalent of an extra hundred thousand dollars on your mortgage. So to make it economic to move to within easy public transit distances from work you have to find a comparable place close to the city that is less than 100,000 dollars more expensive than the track housing out in the sticks. I am not familiar with the housing market in NYC but that doesn't sound realistic.

5 dollar a gallon gas would have some significant economic effects but I don't think it would change suburban life. People could compensate quite alot simply by buying more fuel efficient cars. I believe Europe already experiences these prices and there are Europeans living in suburbs with long commutes.


Oh god, not another comparison between American commuters and European commuters.... There is no comparison! Period! The two situations are completely different. The European commutes are shorter, their vehicles are more fuel efficient, and they have the option of taking a bus or train if they don't want to drive.

As far as your #'s on money spent on gasoline and mileage...you're kidding, right? The average suburban commuter isn't driving a car with 27 mpg. They're not even driving a car with 20 mpg. They're driving SUV's with about 12mpg. So you can take the estimates you made on how much they'll be spending for gasoline, and more than double them. That's $1,000 extra spent a month on gasoline, and an extra $12,000 spent a year on transportation costs. There is no way in hell the average suburban commuter will be able to keep that up - they simply wont be able to afford it. Something will have to give.

Even if we used your generous numbers, I still don't think it's possible for business as usual to continue. Americans are up to their ears in debt. Credit card debt. School loans. Home equity loans. Forget about bankruptcy, the government has fixed that as a way out of debt for the soon to be droves of unemployed people that were the formerly middle class. The job market has been in sorry shape for the past couple of years. When gasoline is $5 a gallon ($100 a barrel oil), what do you think the job market and the economy will look like then? THEY WONT EVEN HAVE A JOB TO COMMUTE TO.
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Unread postby arretium » Sun 15 May 2005, 04:14:53

I think Kunster is on to something regarding our suburbian society. In the reader's digest version of the reader's digest version of his book the Long Emergency, he states that our economy is now built on the continued expansion of the suburbs. When gas hits $5 a gallon, the suburbs will hit a break wall. Probably before that price, but $5 is a nice number, right? Once it costs $30 to feed your car to drive to your $120/day (gross) job, most people won't be able to afford it. Sure the middle managers can, but most of America makes far less than a middle manager.

Once it becomes exorbantly expensive to commute to work, that's when you'll see the whole society hit the preverbal brick wall.
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Unread postby some_guy282 » Sun 15 May 2005, 04:32:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('arretium', 'I') think Kunster is on to something regarding our suburbian society. In the reader's digest version of the reader's digest version of his book the Long Emergency, he states that our economy is now built on the continued expansion of the suburbs. When gas hits $5 a gallon, the suburbs will hit a break wall. Probably before that price, but $5 is a nice number, right? Once it costs $30 to feed your car to drive to your $120/day (gross) job, most people won't be able to afford it. Sure the middle managers can, but most of America makes far less than a middle manager.

Once it becomes exorbantly expensive to commute to work, that's when you'll see the whole society hit the preverbal brick wall.


That pretty much sums it up. My personal opinon is $4 a gallon is the price at which we will start to see major problems, and the real conservation/carpooling begin. I remember listening to the Art Bell talk about Peak Oil on coast to coast a month or so ago, and that question was asked. "At what price per gallon would your current lifestyle no longer be possible?" Everyone who answered that question said $4 a gallon.
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Sun 15 May 2005, 04:53:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('some_guy282', 'A')s far as your #'s on money spent on gasoline and mileage...you're kidding, right? The average suburban commuter isn't driving a car with 27 mpg. They're not even driving a car with 20 mpg. They're driving SUV's with about 12mpg. So you can take the estimates you made on how much they'll be spending for gasoline, and more than double them. That's $1,000 extra spent a month on gasoline, and an extra $12,000 spent a year on transportation costs. There is no way in hell the average suburban commuter will be able to keep that up - they simply wont be able to afford it. Something will have to give.


I still don't understand all the hysteria about this situation. I can think of lots ways of solving the problem off the top of my head: moving nearer to work, negotiating a telecommuting agreement with your employer, buying a scooter, staying at a flop-house near work during the week, car-pooling etc.

You can pocket most/all of $12,000 simply by dealing with some minor inconveniences, but we can't really expect anyone to cope with inconvenience in exchange for a large sum of money. Moving, or talking with your boss about telecommuting, or riding a scooter, is so unthinkable that clearly the only option left is hysteria/suicide.

Grow up! If the economic signals are telling you something, take responsibility for yourself, and act accordingly.
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Unread postby some_guy282 » Sun 15 May 2005, 05:08:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '
')
I still don't understand all the hysteria about this situation. I can think of lots ways of solving the problem off the top of my head: moving nearer to work, negotiating a telecommuting agreement with your employer, buying a scooter, staying at a flop-house near work during the week, car-pooling etc.

You can pocket most/all of $12,000 simply by dealing with some minor inconveniences, but we can't really expect anyone to cope with inconvenience in exchange for a large sum of money.



Uh, yeah. I think those things would fall into my "Something will have to give," statement. The bottomline is the current situation is unsustainable, and when gas prices get high things will change. Whether or not people lose their jobs and don't have to commute, telecommute, car pool, or whatever else remains to be seen.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Moving, or talking with your boss about telecommuting, or riding a scooter, is so unthinkable that clearly the only option left is hysteria/suicide.


The average American has absolutely no idea what's coming. When the gas prices spike, and people see their American dream turn into a nightmare, do you really think they'll react in a rational and orderly fashion? Are they just going to suck it up and start car pooling or telecommuting with a smile? I think I'll put my money on hysteria, thank you very much.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Grow up! If the economic signals are telling you something, take responsibility for yourself, and act accordingly.


If you're referring to me specifically, I don't live in the suburbs. I live in the city, and the all of my transportation is handled via subway or bicycle. I ride 60+ miles a week to and from school on my bike, and going to various other places.

If you're talking about Joe Six pack looking at economic indicators and making changes, you're fooling yourself. When suburbanites go home and watch the nightly news, they're constantly being told, "These gas price spikes are only temporary. The price will go down soon. Don't worry - be happy." They have absolutely no idea what the hell is going on. How do you expect people to respond to a situation they're totally unaware of? By the time they wise up and start to do something about it, the entire herd will be doing it at the same time. Want to buy that nice new fuel efficient Prius? Demand just went way through the roof, price has gone crazy, and the waiting list will probably have doubled from the current six months to a year long.

Move closer to the cities you say? Brilliant idea! Too bad there isn't enough housing in some cities though. Maybe they could invest in some tents and build some nice new tent slums, er, neighborhoods on the outskirts of the cities. Yeah, that'll work.
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