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Main Doomer Fallacy

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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 02:12:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'C')ornhole. Shut up why don't ya'

This is what the doomers all about folks. Brain-dead moronic crap every time.

Do you have an opinion as to the "why"?


I think that there is strong Judeo-Christian meme or belief or tenet or whatever you want to call it - that Man is distinctly separate from Nature. And this tenet has affected people in a deep way even if they are not religious. The doomers see Man as a virus, something that has infected Planet Earth. They don't see Man as being created by the Earth's evolutionary forces as I do.

I can only guess that the Peak Oil Theory has inspired a doom-fantasy in certain types of people. If you read this site or Malthusia.com (former PO.com members). They clearly are in love with doom. Those that are attracted to a vision of doom tend to stay at sites like PO.com whereas those who do NOT entertain any such notions might read the site but not return or post anything ever. So sites like this one have a skewed consensus.

A former doomer recently wrote about this in The Doomer's Curse

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Doomer is motivated by much more than a perverse sense of altruism. He mainly desires to see everyone brought down to his level. His fondest wish is for everyone to be as emotionally crippled as he is, and, if they could also be paralyzed fiscally, that would be great too. The argument for the necessity of disaster is merely an excuse for his vindictive fantasies. This is the Doomer's Curse: to wallow in despair, to sneer at the happiness of others, to revel in schadenfreude and to believe that he has humanity's best interests at heart. The Doomer honestly thinks that a universal depression (in the emotional sense) would lay the foundation for a better world, but this belief is rooted in his own selfishness, not in a rational socioeconomic analysis.

The Doomer wants this world to end, because in this world he is a failure. He has failed to achieve his goals personally and/or professionally, but he lacks the maturity to take responsibility for his failure. He blames the rules of this world for his defeat, to the point of judging this world irredeemably corrupt. This belief makes a virtue of his failure, for only the corrupt could succeed in such a world. His moral integrity precludes his success in this den of iniquity. With a better perspective, he could see that it's not the world's corruption that condemns him to failure, but rather his failure that leads him to condemn the world. Therefore, instead of taking steps to improve his chances of success, he throws up his hands, picks up the remote (or the mouse) and eagerly awaits the end of the world that (he believes) is dead set against him.

The Doomer confuses his personal collapse with the "inevitable" collapse of society. ("Inevitable" is the keystone of the Doomer vocabulary and, as such, should be avoided whenever possible.) He suffers from a severe case of tunnel vision. Like a horse with blinders on, he can only see what's immediately in front of him. Anything indicating that other people's experience contradicts his world-view is dismissed as false or a lie propagated by the corrupt elite. He doesn't want his dogma tested, because then it might be refuted, and the emotional consequences of that would be too much to bear. He would have to accept that he has failed due to his lack of merit and not by his refusal to make some moral compromise.


I probably wouldn't have written the essay exactly this way. I have other thoughts about the matter. It's seems clear that a lot of folks who post around here simply hate civilization and its ills. They hate the de-speciation and environmental degradation, etc. They've heard about pollution all their lives and felt powerless about it. They witnessed the rampant development that has wrecked the countryside. They see powerful people capitalizing on the poor and weak while off-loading costs onto the environment, etc. So, you can hardly blame them for finding surcease in the company of other doomers.

However, someone like myself who sees evolutionary forces in the driver's seat, and sees ideas like The Technological Singularity as having validity - I'm not very popular with doomers. And they come to recognize me as someone who is outside the doomer-loop and so they attack en swarme.

I don't particularly care though because I'm an argumentative bastard. That's why I chose my username. But I don't want to be an out-and-out troll. I just have a different point-of-view. And I certainly don't believe that ANYONE can accurately predict the future. The world is just too chaotic (in the sense of Chaos Theory) a place to allow accurate prediction. Anything can happen. Science is not at the End of All Knowledge.

I laid out my viewpoint here, second post down.
Carlhole
 

Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 03:00:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '.')..$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '.')..

You are not writing anything intelligent.

I have concluded that you are our on-line-cretin.

You are not fit to present arguments above your usual clap-trap.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'I') don't particularly care though because I'm an argumentative bastard.

You are possibly a bastard (don't know your mum, so it is hard to say... :-D ) but I do not observe that you are an argumentative one.
You are just mumbling nonsense, all the same and again and again.

So get away, troll.
Last edited by EnergyUnlimited on Wed 11 Aug 2010, 03:12:05, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Pretorian » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 03:09:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', '
')
You can begin with naming a technology that didnt cause mass-murders of people, animals or plants. I'm all ears.


Humans decide to invent, say, spears. Spears can be good, they can protect paleo-people from lions and tigers and bears. They can also be used to wipe out a species, say, the mastodon. The spear doesn't have an intent beyond what people give it.

You sound like you are trying to angle towards a philosophical angle of "people be bad". Did I read your intent with this comment correctly?


well I actually wanted Carlhole to name a technology that didnt cause mass-murder in one way or another.. Simple as that.
But if you want to spin this way then yes, "people be bad". Just thinking that you are entitled to define, or even to know, what is good and what is bad, on behalf of anything more than, say, yourself and your under-aged children is bad enough.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby diemos » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 09:40:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'O')h come on. No one knows yet.


We know that NIF's goal is to achieve a gain of one. We know that the LIFE design team assumes they need 39.1 (or there abouts). Therefore we can conclude that between success at NIF and being ready to finalize a design for LIFE there's a whole lotta R&D that needs to go on that may or may not be successful.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'O')ne of the strangest things that keeps happening here on PeakOil.com are claims by anonymous posters that they know better than leading scientists in a given field.


I don't claim to know more than leading scientists in a given field. I claim to know more than you and your half-assed interpretations of press releases.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'W')hy would someone with valuable, specialized scientific knowledge be posting here on this board full of mostly Luddite ignoramuses?


The motto of the university that gave me my PhD in Physics is, "Fiat Lux", let there be light. I like advanced technological society. I'd love for a deus ex machina techno-fix to swoop in and save us but I'm not blind to the realities of actually making these things work. Supporting this research is great but if it were up to me we'd be diverting 10% of GDP to building out what we've got now that we already know works. Solar, wind, nuclear plus a grid to move it around.

You can back of the envelope a calculation that 10% of GDP over 20 years would put in enough infrastructure to generate our current level of energy without fossil fuel. It just wouldn't do it painlessly. Techno-optimism is too often used as an excuse to put off implementing the fixes that we already have in hope that a painless fix will eventually arrive.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 11:40:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', ' ')Just thinking that you are entitled to define, or even to know, what is good and what is bad, on behalf of anything more than, say, yourself and your under-aged children is bad enough.


So it's bad to say something is bad? Is it bad to say it's bad to say something is bad?

:?:
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby efarmer » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 12:02:45

Hey Ludi,
Consider saying "not good", "not good" is actually bad but it is not bad to say "not good". I think that is because bad is so final and "not good" allows for hope that it still could go either way and might not necessarily be bad for good. We all know that most stuff that is "not good" stays that way, but it takes all the arguments out of expressing one's opinions.

Once we get this thread down, can we open up some on tertiary doomer fallacies next?
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Pretorian » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 13:39:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', ' ')Just thinking that you are entitled to define, or even to know, what is good and what is bad, on behalf of anything more than, say, yourself and your under-aged children is bad enough.


So it's bad to say something is bad? Is it bad to say it's bad to say something is bad?

:?:


Ok, so may be I used wrong word combination. The truth is that you dont know shit. Nobody does. With xenophobe's example, its good when a spear can protect someone against lions and bears. What if that someone will kill him later, or have children that will rape/kill Xenophobe's children/grandchildren? Will that be good?
According to Xenophobe it was bad for humans to wipe off mastodons. I guess he feels really missed out on mastodon's steaks. What if they didnt and Xenophobe got a tuberculosis from them , got run over by them, or may be not him but one of millions of his distant ancestors, thus wiping out his own existence as well?

A guy I've never met broke headphones in some cyber -cafe and left quietly. Was it good or bad? As a direct result of this event, through a chain of other events of course, my kids were born a few years later, 10 000 miles away from the place.
What do you think they think about that action? Good or bad? Now, obviously some of my children didnt got born as a result of this event. What would they think about that event, if they could? Furthermore , me and my children broke and keep braking a lot of these hypothetical headphones as we go in life. You have no slightest idea what future ramifications have any of the pettiest things you or anybody/anything else is doing right now. So why pretend that you can know what is good and what is bad?
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby eXpat » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 14:36:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', ' ')What a ridiculous comment! You know, EU, you are not articulate. You are not logical. You don't know the procedures of science. You throw up a needless barrage of childish objections on every single science thread I post. It's completely obvious to everyone that you simply have an axe to grind.

Preaching by example I see, some selected quotes, for your viewing pleasure:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;This is what the doomers all about folks. Brain-dead moronic crap every time."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;Look, moron, you have bitched and moaned and called me a "troll" for posting an article in a peer-reviewed journal! Since when ..."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;See what I mean? Really stupid brain farts, every single time."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;This is how groupthink works, folks."
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;What a site full of morons!"
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;No, moron. I post articles from science magazines and reputable scientific journals."
Can i suggest you this?
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Is not expensive and it would do a lot of good to you 8)
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 17:39:03

Hey, look at all the old-time POers suddenly returned.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 17:52:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', ' ')The truth is that you dont know shit. Nobody does.


Let's all keep that in mind and not post any opinions, then, shall we? Since none of us knows anything?

:|
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby frood » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 18:01:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Doomer is motivated by much more than a perverse sense of altruism. He mainly desires to see everyone brought down to his level. His fondest wish is for everyone to be as emotionally crippled as he is, and, if they could also be paralyzed fiscally, that would be great too. The argument for the necessity of disaster is merely an excuse for his vindictive fantasies. This is the Doomer's Curse: to wallow in despair, to sneer at the happiness of others, to revel in schadenfreude and to believe that he has humanity's best interests at heart. The Doomer honestly thinks that a universal depression (in the emotional sense) would lay the foundation for a better world, but this belief is rooted in his own selfishness, not in a rational socioeconomic analysis.

The Doomer wants this world to end, because in this world he is a failure. He has failed to achieve his goals personally and/or professionally, but he lacks the maturity to take responsibility for his failure. He blames the rules of this world for his defeat, to the point of judging this world irredeemably corrupt. This belief makes a virtue of his failure, for only the corrupt could succeed in such a world. His moral integrity precludes his success in this den of iniquity. With a better perspective, he could see that it's not the world's corruption that condemns him to failure, but rather his failure that leads him to condemn the world. Therefore, instead of taking steps to improve his chances of success, he throws up his hands, picks up the remote (or the mouse) and eagerly awaits the end of the world that (he believes) is dead set against him.

The Doomer confuses his personal collapse with the "inevitable" collapse of society. ("Inevitable" is the keystone of the Doomer vocabulary and, as such, should be avoided whenever possible.) He suffers from a severe case of tunnel vision. Like a horse with blinders on, he can only see what's immediately in front of him. Anything indicating that other people's experience contradicts his world-view is dismissed as false or a lie propagated by the corrupt elite. He doesn't want his dogma tested, because then it might be refuted, and the emotional consequences of that would be too much to bear. He would have to accept that he has failed due to his lack of merit and not by his refusal to make some moral compromise.


Thats yet another pile of BS from a closed minded person trying to pigeonhole a mindset that doesnt follow along the lines of conformity. I can tell you I started survival courses out of neccesity five years back when I feared for PO but now its my way of life. I now have more connection with others and more responsibilty with an easier and more honest lifestlye in a farming community than i would have had continuing in my way in the western world. Its still stressful yes but it keeps you moving. You can call this my moral failure but I call it my epiphany. You only have to get out there to find it, if not, continue with the armchair psychanalysis as long as you like but its empty words that are being traded here.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 18:08:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frood', 'T')hats yet another pile of BS from a closed minded person...


Well, he WAS a former doomer and doomers tend to be very closed-minded.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby frood » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 18:27:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frood', 'T')hats yet another pile of BS from a closed minded person...


Well, he WAS a former doomer and doomers tend to be very closed-minded.


Well, it IS a quote you used in your earlier post to back up your argument
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 18:37:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frood', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frood', 'T')hats yet another pile of BS from a closed minded person...


Well, he WAS a former doomer and doomers tend to be very closed-minded.


Well, it IS a quote you used in your earlier post to back up your argument


...and I said "I wouldn't have written the essay exactly like that". But it was a former-doomer's perspective, so how could I not include it in answer to Xenophobe's question as to why doomer's are so childishly intolerant of dissent?
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 18:47:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('diemos', 'T')he motto of the university that gave me my PhD in Physics is, "Fiat Lux", let there be light.


Mmm hmmm. And I'm the Queen of Sheba.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby rangerone314 » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 19:05:06

Technology isn't going to doom us...

The mindset that thinks that technology can solve all problems (instead of creating new problems that are worse than the original) will.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progress_trap
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take

You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown

Our elected reps should wear sponsor patches on their suits so we know who they represent-like Nascar-Roy
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby rangerone314 » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 19:06:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('diemos', 'T')he motto of the university that gave me my PhD in Physics is, "Fiat Lux", let there be light.


Mmm hmmm. And I'm the Queen of Sheba.

I think he means the University of California.
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take

You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown

Our elected reps should wear sponsor patches on their suits so we know who they represent-like Nascar-Roy
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby rangerone314 » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 19:13:04

I think technology is nifty actually, I program them for a living, and assemble them as a hobby.

I don't think we'll be riding around in flying cars with robot butlers at home on an Earth with a population of 50 billion fed by fusion-powered farmer robots.

Humans are like a bacteria that is evolving to destroy everything else around it like gangrene. Eventually the Earth will die, and if that ends up being the case that humans haven't learned to mentally evolve beyond their ultimately self-destructive tendencies, then I can only hope that the infection remains limited to the Earth.

Although this may take care of that problem:
Image
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take

You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown

Our elected reps should wear sponsor patches on their suits so we know who they represent-like Nascar-Roy
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Wed 11 Aug 2010, 19:17:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', 'T')echnology isn't going to doom us...

The mindset that thinks that technology can solve all problems (instead of creating new problems that are worse than the original) will.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progress_trap


That's a wrong interpretation of your own link source.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n a progress trap, those in positions of authority are unwilling to make changes necessary for future survival. To do so they would need to sacrifice their current status and political power at the top of a hierarchy.


Human Beings do not have a choice as to whether or not to apply Science & Technology. The primary way human beings solve problems is via sci/tech. This the nature of the human animal. It is the product of Earth's billion years + evolutionary process. Human sci/tech is evolutionary in that we are now able to study/modify our own DNA and we are able to deploy vast, global networks of increasingly sophisticated computers.

In geological terms, the culmination of this process of accelerating Science would be as though the Earth suddenly blinked awake to survey itself and the cosmos.

Doomers, however, view Science as an aberration. They view humanity as a virus. They don't see the strong evolutionary processes that have always been at work and are at work now as never before. It is the Earth finding a mean to understand itself.

Unless you belief the old religious horse manure that Man and Nature are somehow separate. Does anyone still believe that Old Middles Ages dogma?
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