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THE Middle Class Thread (merged)

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby MarkJ » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 09:41:21

What I find interesting is the amount of local poor, or lower middle class residents that consider themselves middle class, while the many of the people I consider upper middle class call themselves middle class as well.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')lmost all Americans consider themselves middle class. In the Pew survey, 53 percent put themselves in the "middle class" and 19 percent each in the "upper middle" and "lower middle" classes. But the prevalence of middle-class ambitions and values creates a vexing contradiction: The advances in living standards that Americans expect require a flexible and competitive economy that weakens the security and stability that Americans also expect.



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he more interesting data in the study, though, is on those who consider themselves middle class. Forty percent of Americans with incomes below $20,000 say they are middle class, as well as a third of people with incomes above $150,000. That's a mighty big middle. There are also interesting race distinctions: 50 percent of African Americans, 54 percent of Latinos, and 53 percent of whites say they are middle class, but members of minority groups who classify themselves as middle class have far less income. For whites, the median income of those who self-identified as middle class was $56,295. For blacks, it was $46,849, and for Latinos, it was $39,363.


Lifestyles of much of the local middle class if off the hook.. 2,000 plus sq/ft homes, 3/4/5 vehicles, boats, waverunners, marina dock rental, motorcycles, snowmobiles, multiple computers, digital cable, digital phone, multiple cell phone voice/text/data plans, high speed internet, central A/C, huge entertainment budgets, huge electric bills, large vehicle/toy gas bills etc.


It often takes 2 plus full-time incomes, rental incomes, incomes from second jobs, part-time side businesses etc to maintain these lifestyles.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Oakley » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 11:59:48

Remember the bell curve. A normal distribution of wealth would be a bell curve; this would mean there was a large middle class; only those beyond three standard deviations on either end of the curve would be in poverty or have extreme wealth.

But what you describe is a skewed distribution, not a normal distribution. You describe few with extreme wealth and the overwhelming majority in poverty; few are in the middle.

Now think of where skewed distributions traditionally exist. One would be a typical dictator ruled banana republic where the dictator controls the economy and keeps the majority of the population as serfs, while his friends and he own most of the wealth and live lavishly. Another would be a pre Civil War Southern plantation. The owner and his family lived in comfort, the slaves did the work and lived in poverty, and there might have been a few hired overseers (the middle class).

My point is that when you see a skewed distribution of wealth, you are seeing the effect of a slave system. In the case of the US, you are seeing a version of slavery knows as fascism; the merger of the powers of the state, of large corporations, and of wealthy individuals. In effect the power elite, with their wealth take control of the politicians, and the politicians then pass laws that give economic advantage to the power elite and themselves. The result is an uneven economic playing field and a shift of wealth out of the pockets of the majority into the pockets of the few. This is not capitalism or socialism, this is fascism.

The solution is to do away with the laws that create the uneven playing field, and replace them with laws that insure that nobody is given advantage. For example, the various banking laws, both at the federal and state level grant the privilege to banks to create money out of thin air (checking account balances) and loan it out at interest. This is a huge benefit to banks at the expense of the public, both because it gives them a large interest income paid to them by the public, and because it devalues the value of money as more and more is created, effectively stealing from savers and those with fixed incomes. The solution is to do what the US Constitution requires (Congress coin money and the States allow nothing but gold and silver coins to be legal tender). If laws required banks keep 100% reserves against their deposits, then they could not create money out of thin air. Another example would be to do away with licensing laws which limit competition and ensure that those with licenses have an economic advantage. Instead of licensing drugs, hospitals, doctors, lawyers, cable companies, taxi cabs, plumbers, etc., (all government management) rely upon competition, private certifications, consumer reports, consumer assessment, research and judgment, and redress in court.

No system will work 100%, so no matter which we have, there will be some damage. It is a matter of which system produces the least damage, and history shows that slave systems like fascism and socialism produce much more damage to the majority than does a system of freedom and free markets. If people understood that what we have now is fascism instead of blaming free markets, then we might actually have a chance to improve our living conditions, but so many people blame freedom and clamor for more government interference in the economy, not less, and as a result, the damage keeps increasing.

As the economy contracts (partly the collapse of the debt based monetary system, and partly less production because of less energy), you can already see those in power using government to maintain their position, for example, the bailout of Wall Street at the expense of the general public. Those in power are using government to shift the burden of the contraction onto the shoulders of the many, thus accelerating the movement out of the middle class into poverty. In my view, the end result will be civil war, perhaps within the next 15 years. There will likely be three factions; (1)those who are in power and want the plunder and control to continue (fascists like Bush and Obama and the majority of Republicans and Democrats); (2)those out of power who want the plunder and control to continue, but want the benefits of this to go to the majority (socialism); and (3) those out of power who want to end the plunder and control (libertarians).

I don't have a clue as to the outcome. Overall, for the human race, maybe it doesn't matter all that much anyway since no system is likely to avert the die-off that is coming. But the political and economic system we have certainly does affect who among us will survive and who will perish. If you are being plundered and controlled by government and special interests, then you have a lesser chance or survival, and those plundering and controlling you have a greater chance.
"The deepest sin against the human mind is to believe things without evidence" Thomas H Huxley
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 12:43:16

This isn't just happening in the US. Look at the riots and strikes in Greece and Spain right now.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 15:47:57

The GOP is promising to finish the job if they get elected to Congress.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Oakley » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 21:47:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'T')he GOP is promising to finish the job if they get elected to Congress.


Given that the GOP and the Democratic Party are just branches of the same Plunder and Control Party, I think you are correct.

During most of the history of the US the economic pie has been expanding, with few notable setbacks. A progressively greater and greater share of the pie has been taken by those in power, but people accepted this because the pie was expanding, and the smaller and smaller portion of the bigger pie going to the majority still gave them an increase in standard of living.

The post peak oil future will be one of contracting economic activity; just as energy was responsible for the prior expansion, the future of energy scarcity will be responsible for consistent contraction. A 5% reduction in available energy will cut economic output by 1/2 in just 14 years; imagine what that will do to the average person, especially considering that those in power will fight to take an even greater percentage to maintain their own standard of living.

We, indeed, are approaching the revolution point. That point is where the pain of going along with the current system exceeds the pain that comes from fighting back.

If suggest everyone read about the 1861 Civil War in border states like Missouri, where neighbors killed neighbors by the thousands, and just imagine that coming to the US nationwide as diverging political views are settled with violence.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 21:53:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'T')he GOP is promising to finish the job if they get elected to Congress.


I'm sorry Preston, that's not enough to motivate me to get out and vote. I'm hearing that line of thought a lot lately in liberal circles.. it's a very weak sales pitch: yeah the Democrats are sellouts to the incorporated and the rich, but the Republicans would be marginally worse so get out there and campaign for these not-as-bad Dems! Uh-huh.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 22:03:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oakley', '[')b]We, indeed, are approaching the revolution point. That point is where the pain of going along with the current system exceeds the pain that comes from fighting back.


I don't agree with that. The fact is, if anything people will endure unimaginable suffering without ever revolting. Historically, the revolutions of the 18th and early 19th century were an anomaly -- they sprang out of new ideas about government that developed form the the Enlightenment and rationalist thinkers. And even then, they were actually led by the wealthy but non-gentry class.

Modern revolutions are more commonly coups within the existing power structure, or revolutions happen if the central government becomes extremely weak and vulnerable.

So no, we won't see revolution within our lifetimes -- all you have to do is look at those countries where people suffer so terribly and yet never rise up. Many of the Latin American countries, the African countries, and real hell-holes like North Korea.

Hm, I forgot about post-WWI.. Russia certainly had a popular revolution, and Germany, Spain, and Italy went fascist. So I guess you could be right, with the caveat of whether we're in another global depression.

And by the way, things are getting bad but living through revolution and the chaos / instability afterward would be much worse. Who knows, maybe if people suffer enough someone like Nader could finally get a chance. Unfortunately, desperate people are also just as likely to vote in a fascist government.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Cloud9 » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 22:33:21

A revolution does not necessarily involve wisps of grape shot and guillotines. Martin Luther King led a revolution. Nelson Mandela led a revolution. Gandhi led a revolution. There was some level of violence in all these movements, but the vast majority did not storm the barricades to get their hands around the necks of the elite.

A revolution is already under way. The growth paradigm that has driven the United States since Jamestown is now in question. Read Seeking Alpha, Zero Hedge and Mish Sedlock all of these sources are talking about unsustainable federal and state budgets. Cut backs are part of the language now. Swartzenager is talking about paying state employees minimum wage. Small towns are shutting down their police departments. Austerity is the buzz word in the capitals of Europe.

The parasites are killing the host and everyone with half a brain knows it. The power the Federal government has is the power to write a check on an empty bank account. Anybody who can read knows the emperor has no clothes. We are on a knifes’ edge. Tip one way and we fall into a black hole of deflation that will result in massive defaults across the board. Tip the other way and we burn up in hyperinflation. Not much fun being a billionaire when a loaf of bread costs a trillion dollars. Remember that Zimbabwe went from printing one dollar notes to printing trillion dollar notes in one years’ time.

We live in dangerous times. Economics will invariably drive politics. Desperate people make desperate choices.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 22:42:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'T')he GOP is promising to finish the job if they get elected to Congress.


I'm sorry Preston, that's not enough to motivate me to get out and vote. I'm hearing that line of thought a lot lately in liberal circles.. it's a very weak sales pitch: yeah the Democrats are sellouts to the incorporated and the rich, but the Republicans would be marginally worse so get out there and campaign for these not-as-bad Dems! Uh-huh.
I did not say that the Dems were going to save you, just that the GOPers promise to #@$& you up as fast as they possibly can.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby MarkJ » Sun 25 Jul 2010, 07:54:43

Many of the stats supposedly proving the middle class is shrinking are due to numerous poor choices,.

For example, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 are often due to lack of budgeting, spending, saving and investment discipline.

The reason many people are moving to public assistance programs like food stamps is that they've made them much easier to get. For example, they've eliminated the savings/resource test, plus increased the grants.


Better billboard, radio and television advertising, plus outreach programs help to attract more applicants as well.


It's much easier to research or apply due to the growth in low income households with computers, telephones, cell phones, broadband, plus WiFi, web enabled cell phones etc.

Now applicants can see if they qualify online, apply online, interview by phone and recertify by phone.

There's less shame in applying, qualifying and recertifying online and by phone, plus the electronic benefit cards remove much of the food stamp and cash assistance shame. This also helps attract many transportation challenged applicants.

Only 10 years ago, many of my low income tenants had no phones, no computers and no internet connections. Currently many of these same households have multiple computers, multiple cell phones, VOIP phones, broadband, free WiFI and/or they hop unsecured neighborhood APs.

Human networking due to computers, cell phones, broadband, texting etc also allows news of benefits to travel quickly.

We also have many new transit lines which run from rural areas to DSS, so transportation challenged residents can apply in person as well.

The same applies to Medicaid, daycare, HEAP, Emergency HEAP, furnace/boiler maintenance/repair/replacement.

Only a few years ago, many of our heating customers, employees and tenants didn't know about HEAP, Emergency HEAP, the furnace/boiler maintenance/repair/replacement program and/or didn't think they qualified. Currently, households making over 50K per year with numerous assets qualify for thousands of dollars worth of heating fuel as well as free furnace, boiler, water heater maintenance, repairs and replacement.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby TreeFarmer » Sun 25 Jul 2010, 08:17:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oakley', 'R')emember the bell curve. A normal distribution of wealth would be a bell curve; this would mean there was a large middle class; only those beyond three standard deviations on either end of the curve would be in poverty or have extreme wealth.

But what you describe is a skewed distribution, not a normal distribution. You describe few with extreme wealth and the overwhelming majority in poverty; few are in the middle.


I understand why you are bringing up the bell curve but you have to be careful when applying normal distribution concepts to something like income or wealth.

Have you read Nassim Taleb's book Fooled By Randomness? It is an awesome read and everyone that I know that has read it found some useful information.

TF
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 25 Jul 2010, 09:14:16

The L Curve: Income Distribution in the US: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=woIkIph5xcU
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Sun 25 Jul 2010, 11:43:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', '
')There's less shame in applying, qualifying and recertifying online and by phone, plus the electronic benefit cards remove much of the food stamp and cash assistance shame. This also helps attract many transportation challenged applicants.

Only 10 years ago, many of my low income tenants had no phones, no computers and no internet connections. Currently many of these same households have multiple computers, multiple cell phones, VOIP phones, broadband, free WiFI and/or they hop unsecured neighborhood APs.


Remember when tv was free and local phones were cheap? Prices went way up. As the cost of everything climbs, the poor become conduits to funnel federal money to those corporations. Gummint subsidies go to Comcast.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby americandream » Sun 25 Jul 2010, 17:23:51

Your post is vague. Did prices go up after the socialised was deregulated or because of the then socialised nature of these services?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', '
')There's less shame in applying, qualifying and recertifying online and by phone, plus the electronic benefit cards remove much of the food stamp and cash assistance shame. This also helps attract many transportation challenged applicants.

Only 10 years ago, many of my low income tenants had no phones, no computers and no internet connections. Currently many of these same households have multiple computers, multiple cell phones, VOIP phones, broadband, free WiFI and/or they hop unsecured neighborhood APs.


Remember when tv was free and local phones were cheap? Prices went way up. As the cost of everything climbs, the poor become conduits to funnel federal money to those corporations. Gummint subsidies go to Comcast.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby MarkJ » Mon 26 Jul 2010, 06:09:47

Broadcast television is still free and phones are cheaper than ever.

Our landlines of the 90s were quite expensive. We were paying over $30 per month, plus 10 cents per minute interstate long distance and 25 cents per minute intrastate long distance in some regions. Many residents only several miles apart were long distance.

Cellular phones were expensive at the time, coverage was non-existent in many regions, plus you needed good credit to set up an account.

We would have killed for no contract pre-paid cellular phones with unlimited voice/text/data for $45 per month with video cameras, bluetooth, MP3 players etc.

Many poor households that couldn't afford phones in the past now have pre-paid cell phones, free Safelink cell phones/minutes, lifeline landline, or they run VOIP phones like Magic Jack.

Many poor households couldn't afford landline phones in the past since they owed huge past bills, so they couldn't have service activated until they paid the past bills, plus new service fees. Pre-paid cellular changed everything. Now even the poor can afford a $20 prepaid phone with 300 minutes.

In addition, many people use free, shared or inexpensive broadband connections to download movies, television, premium television, music, games, software etc, so they're spending less on these things as well. Since many people primarily communicate by text, they can use the internet to communicate computer to computer, or computer to cellular for free.


In the past it was common for many poor households to spend more money on video rentals than they're currently spending on cellular phones and voice/text/data plans.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby discount cell phones » Mon 26 Jul 2010, 21:19:07

You are absolutely right. In the past you couldn't get a prepaid cell phone for $20. You had to pay $30 to $40 per month for the priveledge. You also could not get a bundle with phone, internet, and tv for $75 per month.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 27 Jul 2010, 21:29:17

In California, and possibly other states, in the past (1980s) , there was "Lifeline" service for the poor - limited local phone service for a fee of I think something like $5 a month, so that households would always have the means to call fire, ambulance, or police.

Is such a thing available on celphones?
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 27 Jul 2010, 21:32:53

Oh, and there used to be payphones all over the place, so if you had some change, you could make a phonecall. They are all gone now and if you don't have a celphone, you're just shit out of luck.
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby gollum » Wed 28 Jul 2010, 02:17:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')n California, and possibly other states, in the past (1980s) , there was "Lifeline" service for the poor - limited local phone service for a fee of I think something like $5 a month, so that households would always have the means to call fire, ambulance, or police.

Is such a thing available on celphones?



I think it is mandated that even an inactive cell phone can call 911
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Re: 22 Statistics That Prove The Middle Class Is Being Wiped

Unread postby MarkJ » Wed 28 Jul 2010, 07:18:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n California, and possibly other states, in the past (1980s) , there was "Lifeline" service for the poor


They still have lifeline service, however California doesn't participate in the free Safelink wireless program.

California LifeLine

http://www.cpuc.ca.gov/PUC/Telco/Public ... etails.htm

Lifeline and Link-Up are available everywhere.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat Benefits are Available Under the Lifeline and Link-Up Programs?

*Lifeline Assistance provides discounts on basic monthly service at the primary residence for qualified telephone subscribers. These discounts can be up to $10.00 per month, depending on your state.

*Link-Up America helps income-eligible consumers initiate telephone service. This program pays one-half (up to a maximum of $30) of the initial installation fee for a traditional, wireline telephone or activation fee for a wireless telephone for a primary residence. It also allows participants to pay the remaining amount they owe on a deferred schedule, interest-free.


Unfortunately, many poor households owe large past bills, plus monthly landline charges including taxes and fees aren't cheap. Many poor people move frequently, rent rooms, live in shelters or bounce place to place, so cellular phones or VOIP phones make much more sense.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')h, and there used to be payphones all over the place, so if you had some change, you could make a phonecall. They are all gone now and if you don't have a celphone, you're just shit out of luck.


We still have payphones inside convenience stores. Affordable pre-paid cellular phones, computers, broadband, VOIP phones, WiFi and other technology made payphones obsolete.

When we had many payphones in the poor urban areas, many didn't work due to vandalism. The payphones inside stores almost always worked, plus they had time limits.

It's uncommon to see low income households that don't have 3/4/5 cell phones, plus a bunch of unused cell phones that can be used for emergency calling.

When there's an emergency, neighbors, pedestrians or motorists passing by almost always have a cell phone.
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